Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-8   Win (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP REFERENCES Dec22 Nov12 Oct10 Aug29 Jul23 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIPLOMATICA Dec26 Dec01 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 5.00    
3  CURIOUS INJI Dec13 Jul03 May26 Apr08 Mar31 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 11% 8.50    
4  A THOUSAND DREAMS Dec26 Nov12 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
5  TALES OF MAKENNA Jan04 Dec26 Oct19 Sep27 Aug17 (person a)MAWING A 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
6  LOW DOSE Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 Sep10 (silva pablo)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00 5% 17.80    
 
TUP-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METAROSE Jan04 Dec19 Nov25 Nov12 Sep30 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
2  SUPERSTAR BEA Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 Sep14 Aug28 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.50 ★    
SCR  KALLINIKI Dec19 Nov30 Nov14 Aug28 Aug18 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.50 10% 8.70    
4  CANTERBURY GOLD Dec19 Nov30 Sep14 Sep01 Jul30 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
5  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Dec28 Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  SEVEN POINTS Dec17 Nov30 Oct23 Sep12 Aug20 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
7  AND I KNOW Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 Jul17 Jun24 (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 15.00 7% 12.60    
8  PIPER ROSE Dec19 Nov04 Oct24 Aug31 Jun18 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR THUNDER Dec27 Dec08       (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 2.50 7% 12.90    
2  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Dec27         (gleason m)MAWING A 121 3.00 65% 0.50    
3  RENEGADE WARRIOR Dec27 Dec08 Oct29 Sep18   (chambers mike)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 ★    
4  BARON'S SONG Dec27         (zimmerman p)ANAYA V 121 5.00 ★    
5  JOHN'S KID Dec20 Nov25 Sep19 Sep05 Aug20 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00    
6  BRENSON BUNS Dec27 Dec10 Nov12     (kereluk edwar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 15.00 ★    
7  BIG TIME ROB Dec10 Nov12 Aug11 Jul03   (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 10.00    
8  BIG JACK Dec08 Nov07       (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
9  LOTSA SKY Nov07         (perkins frances)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPRECIABLE Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Nov07 Sep01 (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  FIRE ESCAPE Nov21 Nov07 Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00 ★    
3  VALUE DANCER Dec10 Oct28 Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
4  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Dec27 Dec17 Nov07 Sep14 Aug21 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.20    
5  JAMMINJL Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug26 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00    
6  LARIMAR Jan04 Dec10 Nov21 Oct22 Sep23 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
7  EVEN PANDURA Dec27 Dec10 Sep14 Aug21 Jul09 (brown jared)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 ★    
8  SUNDANCE STAR Dec17 Nov16 Sep15 Jul31 Jun25 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   01/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS LONG BOW Jan02 Dec20 Dec01 Nov14 Sep25 (tate mary)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 70% 0.40    
2  TAINO HOUSE Jan02 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 Sep14 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 7% 12.90    
3  SOLEROCKER Dec22 Nov29 Nov09 Aug27 Aug06 (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
4  HERBIE Dec15 Nov15 Jul16 Jun16 Jun02 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 ★    
5  LOST THE MINISTER Dec26 Dec13 Apr02 Mar05 Jan15 (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SCR  ECHO ALPHA SIX Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Jul27 Jul07 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
7  EPIC DRAMA Dec26 Nov09 Sep07 Aug11 Jul07 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 ★    
8  STARZAN Dec26 Nov19 Nov09 Sep11 Aug21 (baze robert)NEGRON LUIS 124 15.00    
9  CHUCK NAZTY Dec13 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 Aug15 (martinez a)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
10  ALBANY FRONT Jan02 Nov30 Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 12.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   01/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETU BABOU Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 Oct08 Sep02 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 6.00 ★    
2  IN THE MIDST Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Aug27 Aug19 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★    
3  STRAUS'S PLACE Jan03 Dec10 Oct29 Oct10 Oct01 (salas eliaza)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
4  MONGOL ALTAI Dec21 Nov28 Sep17 Aug24 Jul31 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
5  AUTISM SAVANT Jan03 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 Aug29 (torres-casas je)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 20.00    
6  N. K. ROCKET MAN Dec17 Nov15 May03 Mar21 Feb28 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
7  WILLTOBELUCKY Dec21 Nov29 Nov05 Oct02 Sep19 (eikleberry kev)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
8  GALLANT OAK Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 Sep03 Aug04 (birdwell tena)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 4.00 ★    
9  BROTHERLY LOVE Dec13 Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
10  CHROME KING Jan03 Dec21 Dec10 Dec01 Nov04 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.