Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $15.40 $3.40 28%
TUP-6   WIN (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.80 $1.80 23%
TUP-7   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $14.20 $10.20 255%
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-4 $23.60 $15.60 195%
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/8)-(1/3/5/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-3 $45.35 $33.35 278%
    DD (2/8/1/7)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  2-1 $34.70 $26.70 334%
TUP-8   DD (1/3)-(3/6/1/10/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00  1-3 $27.30 $17.30 173%
    PK3 (2/8/1/7)-(1/3)-(3/6/1/10/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00  2-1-3 $87.15 $67.15 336%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DAHLIA'S DANCER 3 1 11 11½   14 17 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 W
2  LOTSA LOU 2 4 21 21½   24 27 (person kenn)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 2.00 17% 4.80 2.70 P
6  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 6 6 42 32   34½ 37½ (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★ 3.90 S
4  GOLDEN RACHEL 4 3 55 59½   412½ 414¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 ★ 3.40  
1  MY JOLENE 1 5 65¼ 611½   614½ 519½ (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00 14% 6.30 9.00  
5  WEST COAST ANDY 5 2 32 45   514½ 622½ (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 17.90  
 
TUP-2   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:213 :443 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUSTY RED 5 1 11½ 1nk   11½ 1¾ (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 7% 13.40 3.90 W
3  TWICE FOOLED 2 5 43½ 42½   33 2¾ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 11% 8.00 0.60 P
5  ROYAL JOKER 3 3 33 2nk   21½ 34 (schnell don)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★ 4.30 S
7  BET ON DAD 4 4 54½ 53   45½ 45 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 13.20  
2  PRINCE GRAYGRAY 1 2 21½ 32   511½ 522¼ (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50 4.50  
SCR  CENTAURUS               (martinez a)ANAYA V 124 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  CHIEF GOVERNOR               (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
SCR  STREET HUMOR               (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 
TUP-3   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 6 2 31 2½   1nk 1hd (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 ★ 5.00  
1  REAL GOOD VYBZ 1 5 2½ 1½   2nk 2hd (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 15% 5.80 4.20 P
6  MUNNINGS TALE 5 3 52½ 55   34 32 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★ 4.30 S
4  WITCHES DANCE 3 6 62½ 33   45½ 43¾ (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 20.70  
2  LEGAL MISCHIEF 2 4 41½ 44   510 59½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 28.30  
5  FLY ROBYN FLY 4 1 1½ 6100   6100 6100 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 0.50  
SCR  LITTLE LILY LU               (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:243 1:114 1:243     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOTSA LACE 2 1 1½ 11 11 11 13¼ (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 7% 14.30 2.90 W
5  COCORITA 3 3 32 32 33 21 23¼ (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 14% 6.00 2.60 P
2  COME CORRECT 1 5 65¼ 57 44½ 42½ 34 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 2.80  
8  MANDONA 6 6 52¼ 42 21 32½ 48¾ (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.00 30% 2.40 1.50  
7  SKY HIGH VERONIKA 5 2 42 69 69½ 57½ 510¾ (leon priscilla)ANAYA V 124 10.00 6% 14.60 15.90  
6  TALKINGNONSTOP 4 4 2½ 21 57 613½ 622¼ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 41.10  
SCR  HELLO BABY               (br)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER               (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-5   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:213 :441 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STYLISH ELEGANCE 2 1 11½ 12   14 11¾ (lu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 ★ 1.60  
7  ALPHABETICAL 7 4 21½ 22   34 21¾ (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 47% 1.10 3.10 P
4  BRON AND THE BROW 4 3 31½ 33   24 32 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★ 3.00 S
1  PHILIPIE FAST 1 5 42 53½   44¼ 43 (garcia vale)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 22.20  
8  MUSICAL GEM 8 6 52½ 43½   66¼ 53¾ (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 124 10.00 9% 9.70 6.90  
3  SYZSLAK 3 7 76½ 66½   55¼ 65¼ (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 9.30  
6  FULL OF LIFE 6 2 65½ 78   712¼ 710½ (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 20% 4.10 18.70  
5  MYBESTISYETTOCOME 5 8 88½ 811   815¾ 813¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 11.90  
 
TUP-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:22 :444 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLLECTING STARS 1 5 42¾ 42½   3½ 1¾ (person a)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 47% 1.10 3.90 W
6  MO CONNELLY 5 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 2¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 4.60  
4  TWITTERATI 3 6 67¼ 65   41½ 31½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 14.00  
5  BELLS AND WHISTLES 4 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 42¼ (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 ★ 1.90  
7  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 6 1 2nk 31   53½ 52½ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7% 12.50 1.60  
3  MISCHIEF MAMA 2 4 53¾ 53½   65 64 (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 8.60  
SCR  HEART ON THE RUN               (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT               (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUONLYLIVETWICE 1 4 11½ 12½   13½ 11¼ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.50 69% 0.50 6.10 W
4  TRULY A MESS 3 6 42½ 33   23½ 21¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★ 2.00 P
3  IT'S CURLIN TIME 2 7 77½ 65   36 35 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 8% 10.90 14.00 S
9  PRECIOUS ONE 7 1 67½ 76½   410 48½ (morales gui)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 40.10  
5  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 4 5 32 22½   511 511 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 ★ 0.70  
6  AWESOME GALAXY 5 2 54½ 55   617 616 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 50.40  
8  MICKEY DOBBS 6 3 21½ 43½   723 728 (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 8.60  
SCR  DISCOVER A WISH               (wheeler travi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
SCR  R HAPPY PLACE               (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:093 1:22   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 1 1 1½ 2nk 11½ 14½ 14¾ (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 27% 2.80 2.40 W
11  TELLER 7 7 711 78½ 54½ 35 24¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00 10.00  
4  RIVER ROSE 2 5 32 42 21½ 24½ 39½ (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 2.20  
9  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 6 6 65 53½ 42½ 48½ 49¾ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 3.60  
6  THE PUBLIC HALO 4 4 2½ 1nk 32 511 519¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 22% 3.50 2.90  
8  FINAL ROSE 5 3 43 31½ 66 613½ 625¾ (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00 13.10  
5  I'M AN EIGHT 3 2 53 67 715 727½ 742 (moreno carlos)MAWING A 124 12.00 26.20  
SCR  CALIBOGEE               (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT               (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY               (oberholtzer )SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUN TAPPY               (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 6% 15.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.