The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-1   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:25
:221 :453 :58     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DAHLIA'S DANCER 3 1 11 11½   14 17 (barraza s)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30 W
2  LOTSA LOU 2 4 21 21½   24 27 (person a)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 2.00 17% 4.80 2.70 P
6  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 6 6 42 32   34½ 37½ (torres-casas j)CRUZ M 121 6.00 ★ 3.90 S
4  GOLDEN RACHEL 4 3 55 59½   412½ 414¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50 ★ 3.40  
1  MY JOLENE 1 5 65¼ 611½   614½ 519½ (williams dewey)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00 14% 6.30 9.00  
5  WEST COAST ANDY 5 2 32 45   514½ 622½ (torres-casas j)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 17.90  
 
TUP-2   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
:213 :443 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUSTY RED 5 1 11½ 1nk   11½ 1¾ (martinez esteban)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 7% 13.40 3.90 W
3  TWICE FOOLED 2 5 43½ 42½   33 2¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 11% 8.00 0.60 P
5  ROYAL JOKER 3 3 33 2nk   21½ 34 (schnell don)CORBETT W 124 6.00 ★ 4.30 S
7  BET ON DAD 4 4 54½ 53   45½ 45 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 13.20  
2  PRINCE GRAYGRAY 1 2 21½ 32   511½ 522¼ (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50 4.50  
SCR  CENTAURUS               (martinez a)ANAYA V 124 8.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  CHIEF GOVERNOR               (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
SCR  STREET HUMOR               (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 
TUP-3   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
:222 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 6 2 31 2½   1nk 1hd (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 ★ 5.00  
1  REAL GOOD VYBZ 1 5 2½ 1½   2nk 2hd (williams omani)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 15% 5.80 4.20 P
6  MUNNINGS TALE 5 3 52½ 55   34 32 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★ 4.30 S
4  WITCHES DANCE 3 6 62½ 33   45½ 43¾ (torres-casas j)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 20.70  
2  LEGAL MISCHIEF 2 4 41½ 44   510 59½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 28.30  
5  FLY ROBYN FLY 4 1 1½ 6100   6100 6100 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70 0.50  
SCR  LITTLE LILY LU               (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
:243 1:114 1:243     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOTSA LACE 2 1 1½ 11 11 11 13¼ (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 7% 14.30 2.90 W
5  COCORITA 3 3 32 32 33 21 23¼ (leaney patricia)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 14% 6.00 2.60 P
2  COME CORRECT 1 5 65¼ 57 44½ 42½ 34 (lucarelli frank)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 2.80  
8  MANDONA 6 6 52¼ 42 21 32½ 48¾ (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.00 30% 2.40 1.50  
7  SKY HIGH VERONIKA 5 2 42 69 69½ 57½ 510¾ (leon priscilla)ANAYA V 124 10.00 6% 14.60 15.90  
6  TALKINGNONSTOP 4 4 2½ 21 57 613½ 622¼ (potts ann)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 41.10  
SCR  HELLO BABY               (breashear bill)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER               (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-5   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
:213 :441 :564     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STYLISH ELEGANCE 2 1 11½ 12   14 11¾ (lucarelli frank)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50 ★ 1.60  
7  ALPHABETICAL 7 4 21½ 22   34 21¾ (nunnally jennifer)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 47% 1.10 3.10 P
4  BRON AND THE BROW 4 3 31½ 33   24 32 (lavanway dayson)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00 ★ 3.00 S
1  PHILIPIE FAST 1 5 42 53½   44¼ 43 (garcia l)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50 22.20  
8  MUSICAL GEM 8 6 52½ 43½   66¼ 53¾ (torres-casas j)CRUZ M 124 10.00 9% 9.70 6.90  
3  SYZSLAK 3 7 76½ 66½   55¼ 65¼ (rumsey cory)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00 9.30  
6  FULL OF LIFE 6 2 65½ 78   712¼ 710½ (silva gabriel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 20% 4.10 18.70  
5  MYBESTISYETTOCOME 5 8 88½ 811   815¾ 813¼ (simpson shannon)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 11.90  
 
TUP-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
:22 :444 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLLECTING STARS 1 5 42¾ 42½   3½ 1¾ (person a)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 47% 1.10 3.90 W
6  MO CONNELLY 5 2 3.2 1nk   1nk 2¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 4.60  
4  TWITTERATI 3 6 67¼ 65   41½ 31½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 14.00  
5  BELLS AND WHISTLES 4 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 42¼ (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 ★ 1.90  
7  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 6 1 2nk 31   53½ 52½ (valerio g)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7% 12.50 1.60  
3  MISCHIEF MAMA 2 4 53¾ 53½   65 64 (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 8.60  
SCR  HEART ON THE RUN               (nunnally jennifer)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT               (christian billy)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
:214 :443 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUONLYLIVETWICE 1 4 11½ 12½   13½ 11¼ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.50 69% 0.50 6.10 W
4  TRULY A MESS 3 6 42½ 33   23½ 21¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 ★ 2.00 P
3  IT'S CURLIN TIME 2 7 77½ 65   36 35 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 8% 10.90 14.00 S
9  PRECIOUS ONE 7 1 67½ 76½   410 48½ (morales guillermo)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 40.10  
5  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 4 5 32 22½   511 511 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50 ★ 0.70  
6  AWESOME GALAXY 5 2 54½ 55   617 616 (torres-casas j)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 50.40  
8  MICKEY DOBBS 6 3 21½ 43½   723 728 (martinez esteban)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 8.60  
SCR  DISCOVER A WISH               (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
SCR  R HAPPY PLACE               (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
:231 :461 1:093 1:22   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 1 1 1½ 2nk 11½ 14½ 14¾ (crotts e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 27% 2.80 2.40 W
11  TELLER 7 7 711 78½ 54½ 35 24¾ (silva pablo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00 10.00  
4  RIVER ROSE 2 5 32 42 21½ 24½ 39½ (rosales jorge)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 2.20  
9  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN 6 6 65 53½ 42½ 48½ 49¾ (vitali j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 3.60  
6  THE PUBLIC HALO 4 4 2½ 1nk 32 511 519¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 22% 3.50 2.90  
8  FINAL ROSE 5 3 43 31½ 66 613½ 625¾ (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00 13.10  
5  I'M AN EIGHT 3 2 53 67 715 727½ 742 (moreno carlos)MAWING A 124 12.00 26.20  
SCR  CALIBOGEE               (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT               (silva pablo)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY               (oberholtzer kevin)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUN TAPPY               (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 6% 15.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.