Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-8   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY JOLENE         (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 8.00 14% 6.30    
LOTSA LOU Dec26 Nov30 Sep19 Aug20   (person kennet)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 2.00 17% 4.80    
DAHLIA'S DANCER Dec26 Dec10 Nov12 Sep05 Aug20 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
GOLDEN RACHEL Dec26         (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 3.50    
WEST COAST ANDY Dec26 Dec14 Nov30     (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jan07 Dec20 Dec10 Nov12   (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 121 6.00    
 
TUP-2   01/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STREET HUMOR Nov04 Oct02 Aug18 Jan01   (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
PRINCE GRAYGRAY Jan03         (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
TWICE FOOLED Dec26         (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  CENTAURUS Jan03 Aug28       (martinez a)ANAYA V 124 8.00 33% 2.00    
ROYAL JOKER Dec26         (schnell don)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
SCR  CHIEF GOVERNOR Dec17 Aug31 Jan24     (allred jeff)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
BET ON DAD Dec26 Dec01       (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
RUSTY RED         (martinez est)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 7% 13.40    
 
TUP-3   01/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL GOOD VYBZ Jan09 Dec19 May14 Apr24 Apr15 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
LEGAL MISCHIEF Dec22 Sep17       (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SCR  LITTLE LILY LU Dec22 Apr21 Apr11     (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
WITCHES DANCE Dec26 Nov27       (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
FLY ROBYN FLY Dec19 Nov28 Nov15 Sep17 Aug27 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
MUNNINGS TALE Dec14 Sep17       (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jan09 Apr25       (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-4   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PANCAKES AND BEER Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 Jan19 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
COME CORRECT Dec22 Aug25 Jul24 Jun26 May28 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  HELLO BABY Dec22 May03       (brea)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
LOTSA LACE Dec20 Nov23 Jul11 Jun27 May07 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 7% 14.30    
COCORITA Dec15 Nov24 Oct29 Sep10 Jul30 (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
TALKINGNONSTOP Jan12 Dec15 Nov12 Sep04 Aug20 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
SKY HIGH VERONIKA Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 Jun27 (leon priscilla)ANAYA V 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
MANDONA Jan02 Dec15 Nov22 Nov09 Sep17 (barraza s)MAWING A 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
 
TUP-5   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILIPIE FAST Jan02 Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 Jun11 (garcia valent)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
STYLISH ELEGANCE Jan02 Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 May28 (luca)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.50    
SYZSLAK Dec19 Nov30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 (rumsey cory)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
BRON AND THE BROW Dec22 Nov04 Oct09 Sep30 Jul04 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 5.00    
MYBESTISYETTOCOME Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Jun25 Jun10 (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00    
FULL OF LIFE Jan05 Aug06 Jul24 Jul08 Jun05 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
ALPHABETICAL Jan03 Dec02 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 8.00 47% 1.10    
MUSICAL GEM Jan05 Dec08 Sep05 Aug22 Apr03 (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 124 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
TUP-6   01/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEART ON THE RUN Jan02 Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 Sep14 (nunnally jennifer)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 9% 10.20    
COLLECTING STARS Dec19 Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
MISCHIEF MAMA Nov23 Nov05 Oct02 Sep12 Aug21 (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
TWITTERATI Dec15 Nov15 Sep19 Sep03 Apr27 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
BELLS AND WHISTLES Jan02 Dec21 Oct28 Oct21 Oct07 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
MO CONNELLY Dec27 Dec15 Nov23 Nov14 Aug19 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Jan02 Dec17 Nov23 Nov04 Oct23 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  MISS IMPORTANT Dec27 Dec15 Nov21 Jul31 Jul11 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-7   01/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 Oct08 Sep04 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.50 69% 0.50    
SCR  R HAPPY PLACE Jan09 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
IT'S CURLIN TIME Jan04 Dec14 Nov15 Sep10 Aug27 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 8% 10.90    
TRULY A MESS Nov27 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09 Jul29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Dec14 Nov09       (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 3.50    
AWESOME GALAXY Jan09 Nov21 Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00    
SCR  DISCOVER A WISH Jan09 Nov05       (wheeler travis)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
MICKEY DOBBS Dec22 Nov08 Aug17 Jul09 Jun15 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
PRECIOUS ONE Nov15 Sep12 Aug27 Aug06   (morales guill)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   01/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOYALTY SPIRIT Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Aug08 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  CALIBOGEE Dec26 Nov28 Sep12 Aug08 Jul16 (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00    
SANTALUZ DREAMIN Dec13 Nov21 Sep04 Aug19 Aug10 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 27% 2.80    
RIVER ROSE Jan09 Dec26 Dec08 Nov29 Aug18 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00    
I'M AN EIGHT Dec03 Sep08 Jun23 May29 Mar10 (moreno carlos)MAWING A 124 12.00    
THE PUBLIC HALO Dec20 Nov30 Nov04 Sep05 Aug22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  OUR DANDY'S BOY Dec10 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep09 (oberholtzer ke)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL ROSE Dec10 Nov26 Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 6.00    
THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Jan05 Dec22 Dec10 Sep18 Aug08 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
SCR  RUN TAPPY Dec26 Nov29 Nov16 Sep05 Aug22 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 6% 15.90    
11  TELLER Nov29 Sep27 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.