Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-1   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $71.80 $65.80 1097%
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $317.50 $305.50 2546%
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/2/1/7)-(6/5/2/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-5-2 $1010.45 $992.45 5514%
    SFT (6/5/7)-(6/5/2/1/7)-(6/5/2/1/7)-(6/5/2/1/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-5-2-1 $2192 $2185 30352%
TUP-2   WIN (10/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    DD (6/5/7)-(10/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $839.30 $830.30 9226%
TUP-4   WIN (3/7/8/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $19.60 $9.60 96%
    EXA (3/7/8/2/4)-(3/7/8/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-4 $64.20 $44.20 221%
    TRI (3/7/8/2/4)-(3/7/8/2/4)-(3/7/8/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-4-8 $102.10 $72.10 240%
TUP-5   WIN (9/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (9/4/10)-(9/4/10/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-10 $52.60 $40.60 338%
    TRI (9/4/10)-(9/4/10/3/1)-(9/4/10/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  9-10-3 $257.40 $239.40 1330%
    DD (3/7/8/2/4)-(9/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-9 $50.30 $35.30 235%
TUP-8   WIN (1/3/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $17.20 $9.20 115%
    DD (2/4/7/3/9)-(1/3/8/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $44.90 $24.90 125%
TUP-9   PK3 (2/4/7/3/9)-(1/3/8/12)-(7/2/12/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00  7/9/11-8-4/11/12 $77.60 $37.60 94%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:214 :441 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTY MATT 7 4 6 43   3.2 1¾ (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00 34.90 W
NO PEOPLE 5 1 4 3   4¼ 2¾ (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 10% 9.50 6.50 P
APART OF MY CHARM 2 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (asprino alf)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00 12.10 S
CHARMANT E 1 6 3.2 1nk   1nk 4 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 5.00 7.00  
VALUE DANCER 8 7 7 7   6 5 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50 2.90  
FLYIN BY 3 5 5 5   5¾ 67 (johnston kim)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 41.80  
FEARLESS FACTOR 4 8 813¾ 810¼   7 710¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 9.00  
SMILING THUNDER 6 2 2nk 6   812¼ 814 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 57% 0.80 0.80  
 
TUP-2   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOCK TALK 1 7 3½ 33   23 1½ (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
BIG VANILLA 7 4 1½ 12   13 2½ (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 8.20  
10  AMADMADWORLD 10 1 5 4   48 3 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 124 2.50 67% 0.50 5.20 S
YANKEE GO HOME 4 9 97 9   5 47 (pierce michael)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00 1.90  
ALEX'S DREAM 3 8 8 7   3 58 (baze t)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 17.90  
BUSTER BURNS 6 6 7 56   610½ 6 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00 42.70  
COUSIN MARK 8 3 6 6   713 710¾ (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 12.20  
TANGLED THOUGHTS 2 10 10 1010¼   817 818 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00 58.90  
ROBIN'S EMPIRE 5 2 41 8   922 927 (axmaker cod)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00 13.60  
STANFORD INDIANS 9 5 2½ 22   1025 1030 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 9% 10.60 3.00  
 
TUP-3   01/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:22 :44       :501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANGO JESS 9 6 1nk     1½ 1 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 2.10  
OUR EMPIRE 1 1 2nk     2½ 2 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 3.80  
ROYAL TAP 3 4 54     3 3 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 58.50  
INDIAN GAMBLER 4 2 33     4 4 (barraza rafae)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
DEMOCRAT 8 3 6     610½ 5 (peery debbie)LEON A 122 5.00 57% 0.80 2.70  
MINDSHARE 6 8 77     711 610 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 14.60  
10  PROFOUND ONE 10 5 4     510½ 710¾ (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 13.60  
UNBRIDLED TIGER 5 10 8     812 811¾ (peery debbi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.50 3.90  
SQUARE ROOT 7 7 99     912½ 912¼ (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 59.80  
TWO SOCKS MAC 2 9 1012½     1013 1012¾ (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00 16.30  
SCR  BREXTON               (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  HAMMERING LEMON               (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
 
TUP-4   01/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:243 :493       1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TICK TOCK 3 2 1 1½   1½ 1¾ (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 33% 2.10 8.80 W
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 4 5 2 2½   2½ 2¾ (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 6% 15.20 6.50 P
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 7 6 43 42   31 3 (evans justin)LEON A 124 4.50 13% 6.50 2.80 S
GOLD INCLUDED 8 8 66 6   53 4 (caraman micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 8.30  
RED VENUS 2 3 8 8   75 54 (vitali marcus )SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 12% 7.50 3.50 DH
SUPERSTAR BEA 6 7 5 54   6 54 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 20.10 DH
LADY PHYLLIS 1 1 3 3   42 7 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 2.30  
ALL NATIVE 5 4 78 7   86 8 (eidschun )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8.70  
SCR  LEXOPHILIA               (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
TUP-5   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD OFF 9 2 2nk 2½   1nk 1 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 3.00 38% 1.60 4.60 W
10  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 10 3 3.2 3   4 2 (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5% 18.70 8.30 P
TAP THE BANK 3 11 9 6   56 33 (garcia vale)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00 17.30 S
SUPER CREATIVE 5 5 7 5   32 4 (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 10.00 5.50  
FLYING WINCHESTER 8 4 1nk 1½   2nk 5 (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 10.00 8.40  
SARGE'S SERMON 4 8 1110 1010   8 6 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 34% 1.90 2.30  
MANFORALLSEASONS 7 12 1210½ 1111½   78 7 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00 22.10  
MEGA MEAT 1 10 8 7   67 8 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 4.40  
LEA COSTA ME 6 7 6 9   912 9 (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 14.60  
11  GABE'S MONSTER 11 6 107 1213½   1013½ 1011 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 ######  
SUPER INTENSE 2 9 5 8   1114 1112½ (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 66.10  
12  HERMISTON 12 1 4 4   1215 1214¾ (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 19.10  
 
TUP-6   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER GOLD 1 3 1 1   1 1 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 5.50  
JAKE THE GREAT 4 2 4 3   2 2 (guerrero orla)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00 7.40  
DIAMOND WILLOW 3 1 2 2   37 37 (valerio ra)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 5% 19.00 1.70 S
CREST DRIVE 6 4 3 4   510½ 4 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 20.00 23.50  
10  BIG SCOTT DADDY 9 5 7 910¾   915 5 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 70% 0.40 1.90  
LIL LATIGO 7 6 66 69   712½ 6 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 79.40  
LIVE A GOOD LIFE 8 7 9 7   610½ 7 (nunnally jennif)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00 41.10  
UNCLE FLOYD 2 8 8 8   814 810¾ (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00 28.40  
CATABILITY 5 9 5 5   49 911¾ (perren lymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 5% 19.00 4.30  
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY               (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY               (martinez a)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 7 1 11 1   1 1 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10% 9.40 1.80 W
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 4 8 7 55   2 2 (brinson cla)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 9.40 2.60 P
PAYNT THE KITTY 2 4 31 2   3 3 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 52% 0.90 2.40 S
MISYA GIRL 1 7 6 4   46 4 (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 34.50  
SHE'S NOT TO BLAME 8 2 4 33   5 56 (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00 41.30  
10  PREDETERMINATION 9 9 1010¼ 88   6 6 (gutierrez juan )LEON A 124 12.00 11.80  
12  IMPULSUS 10 6 9 9   811½ 7 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00 30.90  
MISS MENSA 5 5 21 65   7 8 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00 5.20  
KEEP IT ROLLIN 3 10 8 1010   913½ 912 (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 7% 13.40 37.60  
HAYNESPUN 6 3 53 7   1018½ 1020½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 85.80  
SCR  BARBARIUS               (matt we)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PLUM ROSE               (gleason m)MAWING A 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUIN MAGIC 8 1 1nk 1   1 1¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 8% 10.80 7.60 W
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 5 5 4 5   32 2¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 12.00 14.30  
12  POVERTY BAY 12 3 31 3   2 31 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.30 S
TOIL AND TROUBLE 3 9 7 7   5 4 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 11% 7.80 2.30  
11  TEMPTED MISSION 11 7 5 4   44 5 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 5.00  
GIVE EM HECK BECK 6 8 9 6   8 6 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 19.80  
POPS AWESOME 2 10 108 10   75 7 (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00 9.10  
CAUCUS RULES 9 2 2nk 2   6 84 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 6.00  
BECKHAM JAMES 1 12 1211 1211¾   9 9 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 53% 0.90 5.70  
DRAW THE FOUL 4 6 8 8   1010¾ 10 (va)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00 13.80  
10  NEW CHASER 10 11 119 1110¼   1112¾ 1111 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00 82.60  
LESLIE'S GOLD 7 4 6 9   1215¾ 1214¼ (lund valo)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 55.30  
 
TUP-9   01/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:232 :492 1:143 1:281   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARNFIELD 4 2 31 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 0.90  
GUEST CHECK 7 4 2½ 3.2 2nk 2½ 2½ (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.60 P
TOUR THE WORLD 1 7 6 6 54 32 3½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 8.70 S
10  SOLANDER 10 9 7 8 6 4 4 (leaney patr)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00 25.80  
HANKY PRANKY 3 8 8 9 9 64 5 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00 12.10  
PRINCE OTTO 2 10 52 5 3 54 6 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 23% 3.30 9.00  
ATTORNEY LOUIS 5 1 10 1010½ 10 9 7 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00 10.80  
MINNESOTA RED 8 6 94 7 8 8 8 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 14.70  
LIE AND DENY 9 5 41 4 43 78 910 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 18.20  
MORE ACTION 6 3 1½ 1nk 7 1010¼ 1014½ (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 76.50  
SCR  GUARDSMAN PASS               (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SCR  THIRSTY KISS               (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.