Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - January 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (10/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (3/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (9/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (10/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (2/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (1/3/8/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-9   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   01/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMANT E Feb11 Jan27 Jan03     (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 5.00    
APART OF MY CHARM Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Nov05 Sep01 (asprino alfre)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00    
FLYIN BY Dec19 Nov25 Nov08 Jul30 Jul02 (johnston kimbe)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
FEARLESS FACTOR Jan04 Dec19 Aug12 Jul23 Jun18 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
NO PEOPLE Jan04 Dec15 Nov02 Sep29 Aug04 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 10% 9.50    
SMILING THUNDER Jan04 Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 Sep30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 57% 0.80    
MISTY MATT Dec21 Nov19 Nov08 Sep08 Aug17 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
VALUE DANCER Jan14 Dec10 Oct28 Sep17 Aug30 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-2   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOCK TALK         (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
TANGLED THOUGHTS Apr14 Mar18       (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00    
ALEX'S DREAM Dec16 Nov16 Nov06 Oct15 Oct07 (baze t)ZUNINO L 124 6.00    
YANKEE GO HOME Nov28 Sep05 Aug12 Jul03 Apr13 (pierce l)SANCHEZ OBED 124 5.00    
ROBIN'S EMPIRE Dec26 Dec01 Oct06     (axmaker cody )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
BUSTER BURNS Dec17 Apr23 Apr15 Feb20 Jan22 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 15.00    
BIG VANILLA Dec04         (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
COUSIN MARK Dec17 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 Sep18 (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00    
STANFORD INDIANS Jun26         (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 9% 10.60    
10  AMADMADWORLD Jan03 Nov28 Nov09 Sep11 Aug26 (torres-casas alex)CRUZ M 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
TUP-3   01/24/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR EMPIRE Jan04 Dec22 Dec08 Oct30 Sep24 (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
TWO SOCKS MAC Oct09 Oct01 Sep24 Sep16 Sep09 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 20.00    
ROYAL TAP Jan04 Dec22 Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00    
INDIAN GAMBLER Dec22 Sep14 Aug26 Aug13 May27 (barraza rafael )VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNBRIDLED TIGER Jan02 Nov23 Nov08 Sep19 Aug27 (peery debbie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
MINDSHARE Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov04   (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
SQUARE ROOT Jan04 Dec22 Aug06 Jul10 Jun18 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEMOCRAT Jan02 Dec15 Sep10 Aug13 Jul02 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 57% 0.80    
DURANGO JESS Nov11 Sep22 Sep03 Jul16 Jun24 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00    
10  PROFOUND ONE Jan04 Dec13 Nov09 Sep20 Sep06 (eids)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
SCR  BREXTON Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  HAMMERING LEMON Jan10 Dec10 Nov30 Jun27 Apr12 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
 
TUP-4   01/24/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY PHYLLIS Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 Sep29 Aug28 (sanderson bru)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
RED VENUS Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Sep26 Aug30 (vitali j)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
TICK TOCK Jan11 Dec27 Nov19 Nov07 Sep30 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 33% 2.10    
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 Sep26 Aug30 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 6% 15.20    
ALL NATIVE Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Sep07 Aug24 (eidschun gr)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
SUPERSTAR BEA Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 Sep14 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00    
SCR  LEXOPHILIA Dec19 Nov12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jan14 Dec28 Dec19 Nov19 Nov04 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
GOLD INCLUDED Dec28 Dec14 Sep27 Sep06 Aug20 (caraman michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGA MEAT Dec17 Nov16       (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00    
SUPER INTENSE Jan07 May07 Apr08 Mar23 Feb24 (o'brien d)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
TAP THE BANK Jan10 Dec17 Nov16 Sep17 Sep11 (garcia valent)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
SARGE'S SERMON Jan07 Dec17 Jan12     (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
SUPER CREATIVE Jan07 Oct22 Sep27 Sep05 Aug09 (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
LEA COSTA ME Dec12 Oct17 Sep17 Aug31 Aug24 (barraza rafael)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00    
MANFORALLSEASONS Dec17 Nov30 Sep18 Sep03   (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 15.00    
FLYING WINCHESTER Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Sep09   (peery debbie)MAWING A 124 10.00    
LEAD OFF Sep27 Sep13 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
10  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jan07 Dec17 Nov28 Nov09 Jul16 (garcia jesu)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 5% 18.70    
11  GABE'S MONSTER Jan07 Nov30 Nov12 Aug18 Jul16 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
12  HERMISTON Jan07 Nov30 Sep09 Aug21 Jul16 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER GOLD Jan05 Dec15 Nov08 Sep02 Jul29 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
UNCLE FLOYD Jan12 Dec20 Dec10 Nov19 Nov04 (williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND WILLOW Jan12 Jan05 Dec13 Nov16 Sep18 (valerio raym)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHUCK NAZTY Jan14 Dec13 Oct02 Sep18 Sep06 (martinez a)CRUZ M 124 10.00    
JAKE THE GREAT Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 Feb25 Feb15 (guerrero orland)VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
CATABILITY Jan12 Dec13 Nov16 Oct25 Aug03 (perren lymon )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
CREST DRIVE Dec10 Nov19 Nov09 Sep17 Jun24 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 20.00    
LIL LATIGO Jan10 Dec20 Nov15 Nov04 Oct10 (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jan10 Dec13 Oct16 Oct08 Sep11 (nunnally jennifer)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
10  BIG SCOTT DADDY Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 Oct08 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 70% 0.40    
SCR  AFTER THE CANDY Jan12 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 Oct14 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50    
 
TUP-7   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISYA GIRL Dec14 Nov05 Sep24 Sep03 Aug27 (nelson amy)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
PAYNT THE KITTY Jan09 Dec14 Nov29 May06 Apr18 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
KEEP IT ROLLIN Jan04 Dec13 Nov07 Oct17 Sep28 (buechler j)LOPEZ KARLO 124 15.00 7% 13.40    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Dec18 Dec11 Sep18 Aug26 Jun26 (brinson clay)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 10% 9.40    
MISS MENSA Dec22 Nov09 Oct15 Aug25 Jun18 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
HAYNESPUN Jan09         (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
BIG AL'S PRINCESS Jan09 Nov29 Nov15 Sep03 Aug22 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Nov05 Sep01 (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 15.00    
SCR  BARBARIUS Jan09 Dec15 Nov12 Sep14 Aug26 (matt wend)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  PREDETERMINATION Jan12 Dec22 May06 Apr13 Mar22 (gutierrez qu)LEON A 124 12.00    
SCR  PLUM ROSE Jan11 Dec22 Apr01 Mar15 Feb21 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 6.00    
12  IMPULSUS Dec15 Nov21 Aug18 Jul07 Jun19 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   01/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BECKHAM JAMES Jul09 Jun18 May20 May07 Mar24 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 53% 0.90    
POPS AWESOME Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 Nov08 Jul16 (williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
TOIL AND TROUBLE Dec28 Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 Jun17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
DRAW THE FOUL Dec26 Dec04 Nov05 Oct08 Sep18 (van )MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 8.00    
ABRAAJ MIRAGE Dec19 Nov19 Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
GIVE EM HECK BECK Sep14 Aug25 Aug03 Jul13 Jun30 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
LESLIE'S GOLD Jan11 Dec20 Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 (lund valori)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
BRUIN MAGIC Jan02 Aug15 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 8% 10.80    
CAUCUS RULES Dec28 Nov25 Oct10 Jul27 Jul07 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
10  NEW CHASER Jul24 Jun26       (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
11  TEMPTED MISSION Dec26 Dec01 Nov09     (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
12  POVERTY BAY Jan11 Dec01 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-9   01/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR THE WORLD Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 Sep04 Jun29 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
PRINCE OTTO Jan10 Sep06 Apr25 Apr04 Mar15 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
HANKY PRANKY Dec20 Dec08 Oct16 Oct02 Sep18 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
BARNFIELD Jan07 Oct28 Sep11 Aug04 May08 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Sep17 Sep11 (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 15.00    
MORE ACTION Jan11 Jan03 Dec19 Dec08   (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
GUEST CHECK Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 Oct28 Sep14 (perkinson cc)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
MINNESOTA RED Dec13 Nov23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00    
LIE AND DENY Dec22 Nov09 Sep11 Aug12 May19 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
10  SOLANDER Dec27 Dec13 Oct02 Sep17 Aug23 (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  GUARDSMAN PASS Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Jul02 May29 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
SCR  THIRSTY KISS Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov08 (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.