Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $16.40 $4.40 37%
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1/7)-(2/3/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-7-2 $24.20 $6.20 34%
    SFT (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1/7)-(2/3/4/1/7)-(2/3/4/1/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-7-2-3 $8.18 $0.98 14%
TUP-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $7.80 $3.80 95%
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-4 $32.60 $24.60 308%
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $10.10 $4.10 68%
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/3/4)-(1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2/3-4-7 $11.90 $2.90 32%
TUP-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00  5 $7.20 $5.20 260%
    EXA (5)-(5/1/6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-6 $10.30 $6.30 158%
    TRI (5)-(5/1/6/3/4)-(5/1/6/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-6-4 $25.65 $19.65 328%
TUP-9   WIN (11/7/5/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $19.00 $9.00 90%
    DD (5)-(11/7/5/12/3) 5 $1.00 $5.00  5-5 $30.80 $25.80 516%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STREET SHADOW 2 5 55 52   1nk 11¾ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 1.20 47% 1.10 0.60 W
1  SECRET MISTRESS 1 1 32½ 31   3.2 21¾ (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 11% 8.20 7.60 P
4  FAST TO FORTUNE 3 2 1½ 1½   2nk 33¼ (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 ★ 6.60 S
6  LADY LANA 5 4 42½ 41   44¼ 46½ (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 ★ 1.90  
5  PLUMA 4 3 2½ 2½   513¼ 522¼ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 12% 7.20 13.30  
SCR  LEMON DROP LADY               (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PLUM ROSE 4 6 35 31   11½ 13¾ (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 12% 7.40 2.10 W
7  TED'S CANDY GIRL 6 1 12 1½   21½ 23¾ (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 ★ 3.90 P
2  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 2 2 22 2½   34 37¾ (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 34% 1.90 1.40 S
3  GRANDIOSE SUMMER 3 5 55½ 54   46½ 49 (silva g)CARRENO J 124 3.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
1  DOWNTOWN CUTIE 1 4 45 44   514½ 522¼ (o'brien debbi)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 ★ 6.50  
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE 5 3 66½ 610   628½ 635 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 55.30  
SCR  DADDY'SFAVORITESON               (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DOZO 7 1 1nk 1nk   11 1¼ (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 3.50 26% 2.80 2.90 W
4  IN THE VAULT 4 7 75¼ 64¾   42½ 2¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★ 8.70 P
6  RODEO ROSE 6 5 43½ 33½   54 3¼ (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 5.00 15.90  
1  ELDORADO DREAM 1 4 64¼ 43¾   32½ 41½ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.50  
3  BENGAL TIGER 3 6 2nk 2nk   21 52¾ (metz jeffrey)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.50 ★ 2.30  
2  BURNADEBT 2 2 54 54¼   66½ 65¼ (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 6.00 11.10  
5  APART OF MY CHARM 5 3 33 74¾   78 75½ (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★ 11.50  
 
TUP-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PIRATES CROSS 2 4 2nk 1nk   13½ 15 (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 ★ 3.80  
7  JACANA 6 1 3½ 2nk   23½ 25 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★ 2.40 P
4  LADY JADE 4 2 63½ 54½   35 36½ (le)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 8% 10.90 4.90 S
1  QUEENS RANSOM 1 6 41½ 31½   45 410¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 1.00  
6  SUNNY LANE 5 3 1nk 43½   516 519¼ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 25.60  
3  SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND 3 5 52½ 610   618½ 622½ (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 27% 2.70 12.20  
SCR  YES YOUR GRAZE               (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:111 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BARBARIAN 2 2 11 11½ 16 19 17½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.20 ★ 0.10  
7  GUARDSMAN PASS 7 8 86¾ 62¾ 26 29 27½ (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 5.80 P
8  HIGH FLYIN TIGER 8 3 75¾ 73¼ 68½ 415 317¼ (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 51% 0.90 5.40 S
3  MORE ACTION 3 1 32 31½ 36½ 315 422 (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 25% 3.10 ######  
4  BEL RAGAZZO 4 4 42 52¼ 57½ 617¼ 523¼ (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 25.60  
5  ATLATL 5 7 52¼ 21½ 79½ 517 623½ (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 19.50  
1  TWIST OF FATE 1 6 21 41¾ 47½ 718¾ 734½ (villamar candel)LEON A 124 12.00 60.70  
6  LAZARUS COME FORTH 6 5 65¼ 85¾ 812 824¼ 835 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ★ ######  
 
TUP-8   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHOE GAME 5 5 31 42½   2nk 12 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 79% 0.30 2.60 W
6  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 6 8 2nk 11½   1nk 22 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★ 1.60 P
4  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 4 4 53½ 54½   43¼ 32¼ (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★ 9.50 S
7  SUE ETTAS GHOST 7 3 65 78   75 43¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 4.60  
8  FIRE DIAMONDS 8 7 96¾ 99¼   53¼ 53½ (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 23.30  
2  BIG CYN 2 6 75¼ 65½   33 64¼ (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 8.00 17.10  
9  TICK TOCK 9 2 41½ 32½   63½ 74½ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 4.10  
3  SHEZ A GRINDER 3 9 85¼ 88¼   85½ 86¾ (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 20.00 ★ 99.40  
10  IZANAMI 10 1 1nk 21½   95½ 98¼ (soto anto)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 ######  
1  M AND M GIRL 1 10 1010¾ 1013¼   107½ 109½ (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 ★ 32.10  
 
TUP-9   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:213 :44 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 5 11 108¾ 86¾   44 1nk (pearman jay)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 12% 7.40 8.50 W
10  SPEEDY GIGI 10 3 64¾ 42½   2½ 2nk (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 6.00 3.50  
7  JANERO ROSE 7 7 75¾ 65¾   54 31¼ (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 20% 3.90 3.90 S
4  SWEET HONOR 4 8 1110¾ 1112¼   74¼ 42¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00 8.90  
11  DAZZLING MIST 11 1 2nk 1½   1½ 52¾ (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 33% 2.00 3.80  
1  COASTAL RUN 1 5 1nk 2½   32½ 67¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 14.50  
12  LOVELY LINDA 12 4 53¾ 55½   87¼ 78 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00 5% 18.00 13.50  
3  RAGING LADY 3 12 1212¼ 1214¾   98¼ 88½ (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 74.40  
9  PALACE STAR 9 9 87¼ 98¼   109¼ 98¾ (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 48.00  
8  SEVEN SISTERS 8 10 97¾ 109¾   1110¼ 1010 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 5.60  
6  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 6 2 3.2 3½   64¼ 1110 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 9.00  
2  TOTHEMOONANDBACK 2 6 43¼ 75¾   1211¼ 1212½ (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 75.50  
 
TUP-10   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SPEEDING STYLE 9 5 2nk 1½   13½ 1¾ (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 12.00 5.00  
3  MOOGIE SON 3 9 1011¼ 811   33½ 2¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 30% 2.30 2.50 P
5  LIGHTNING STAR 5 3 45 46   23½ 33 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00 27% 2.70 3.90 S
1  NOTACRY 1 2 77¼ 710   49½ 47¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 13.20  
6  FAST GALLITO 6 7 99¾ 1012   613¾ 510¼ (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 33.90  
2  A VIEW FROM ABOVE 2 1 33½ 69   513½ 619 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 6% 17.00 3.90  
4  CHAMPS SUCCESS 4 10 66¼ 35   816¾ 722¾ (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 11.00  
10  POVERTY BAY 10 4 1nk 2½   716¾ 824 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 16% 5.40 7.70  
7  LESLIE'S GOLD 7 8 88¾ 912   924¾ 929¾ (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 9.40  
8  TOOL TIME 8 6 55¼ 58½   1032¾ 1045½ (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 ★ 45.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.