Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TUP-4   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TUP-5   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 3.80
TUP-6   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.60  
TUP-7   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.20  
TUP-8   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 5.20
TUP-9   Win (11/7/5/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $19.00 $19.00 9.00
TUP-10   Win (3/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $12.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET SHADOW 2 5 55 52   1nk 1 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 1.20 47% 1.10 0.60 W
SECRET MISTRESS 1 1 3 31   3.2 2 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 11% 8.20 7.60 P
FAST TO FORTUNE 3 2 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (woolley benn)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 6.60 S
LADY LANA 5 4 4 41   4 4 (vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 1.90  
PLUMA 4 3 2½ 2½   513¼ 522¼ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 12% 7.20 13.30  
SCR  LEMON DROP LADY               (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
 
TUP-4   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM ROSE 4 6 35 31   1 1 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 12% 7.40 2.10 W
TED'S CANDY GIRL 6 1 12 1½   2 2 (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 3.90 P
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 2 2 22 2½   34 3 (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 34% 1.90 1.40 S
GRANDIOSE SUMMER 3 5 5 54   4 49 (silva gab)CARRENO J 124 3.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
DOWNTOWN CUTIE 1 4 45 44   514½ 522¼ (o'brien debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 6.50  
MUCH ABOUT ONE 5 3 6 610   628½ 635 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 55.30  
SCR  DADDY'SFAVORITESON               (silva rodriguez )LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
 
TUP-5   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOZO 7 1 1nk 1nk   11 1¼ (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 3.50 26% 2.80 2.90 W
IN THE VAULT 4 7 7 6   4 2¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 4.00 8.70 P
RODEO ROSE 6 5 4 3   54 3¼ (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 5.00 15.90  
ELDORADO DREAM 1 4 6 4   3 4 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.50  
BENGAL TIGER 3 6 2nk 2nk   21 5 (metz jeffrey)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.50 2.30  
BURNADEBT 2 2 54 5   6 6 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 6.00 11.10  
APART OF MY CHARM 5 3 33 7   78 7 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 11.50  
 
TUP-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIRATES CROSS 2 4 2nk 1nk   1 15 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 3.80  
JACANA 6 1 3½ 2nk   2 25 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 2.40 P
LADY JADE 4 2 6 5   35 3 (leon)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 8% 10.90 4.90 S
QUEENS RANSOM 1 6 4 3   45 410¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 1.00  
SUNNY LANE 5 3 1nk 4   516 519¼ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 25.60  
SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND 3 5 5 610   618½ 622½ (chambers mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 27% 2.70 12.20  
SCR  YES YOUR GRAZE               (rosales jorg)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
TUP-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:111 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBARIAN 2 2 11 1 16 19 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.20 0.10  
GUARDSMAN PASS 7 8 8 6 26 29 2 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 5.80 P
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 8 3 7 7 6 415 317¼ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 51% 0.90 5.40 S
MORE ACTION 3 1 32 3 3 315 422 (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 25% 3.10 ######  
BEL RAGAZZO 4 4 42 5 5 617¼ 523¼ (villamar cande)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 25.60  
ATLATL 5 7 5 2 7 517 623½ (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 19.50  
TWIST OF FATE 1 6 21 4 4 718¾ 734½ (villamar candelar)LEON A 124 12.00 60.70  
LAZARUS COME FORTH 6 5 6 8 812 824¼ 835 (trejo amali)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ######  
 
TUP-8   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOE GAME 5 5 31 4   2nk 12 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 79% 0.30 2.60 W
ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD 6 8 2nk 1   1nk 22 (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 1.60 P
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 4 4 5 5   4 3 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 9.50 S
SUE ETTAS GHOST 7 3 65 78   75 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 4.60  
FIRE DIAMONDS 8 7 9 9   5 5 (silva pabl)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 23.30  
BIG CYN 2 6 7 6   33 6 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 8.00 17.10  
TICK TOCK 9 2 4 3   6 7 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 4.10  
SHEZ A GRINDER 3 9 8 8   8 8 (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 20.00 99.40  
10  IZANAMI 10 1 1nk 2   9 9 (soto antoni)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 ######  
M AND M GIRL 1 10 1010¾ 1013¼   10 10 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 32.10  
 
TUP-9   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:213 :44 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 5 11 10 8   44 1nk (pearman jaymi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 12% 7.40 8.50 W
10  SPEEDY GIGI 10 3 6 4   2½ 2nk (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 6.00 3.50  
JANERO ROSE 7 7 7 6   54 3 (chambers mike)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 20% 3.90 3.90 S
SWEET HONOR 4 8 1110¾ 1112¼   7 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00 8.90  
11  DAZZLING MIST 11 1 2nk 1½   1½ 5 (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 4.00 33% 2.00 3.80  
COASTAL RUN 1 5 1nk 2½   3 6 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 14.50  
12  LOVELY LINDA 12 4 5 5   8 78 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00 5% 18.00 13.50  
RAGING LADY 3 12 1212¼ 1214¾   9 8 (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 74.40  
PALACE STAR 9 9 8 9   10 9 (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 48.00  
SEVEN SISTERS 8 10 9 10   1110¼ 1010 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 5.60  
MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT 6 2 3.2 3½   6 1110 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 9.00  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 2 6 4 7   1211¼ 1212½ (lavanway dayso)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00 75.50  
 
TUP-10   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114     1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDING STYLE 9 5 2nk 1½   1 1¾ (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 12.00 5.00  
MOOGIE SON 3 9 1011¼ 811   3 2¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 30% 2.30 2.50 P
LIGHTNING STAR 5 3 45 46   2 33 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00 27% 2.70 3.90 S
NOTACRY 1 2 7 710   4 4 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 13.20  
FAST GALLITO 6 7 9 1012   613¾ 510¼ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 33.90  
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 2 1 3 69   513½ 619 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 6% 17.00 3.90  
CHAMPS SUCCESS 4 10 6 35   816¾ 722¾ (moreno carlos)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 11.00  
10  POVERTY BAY 10 4 1nk 2½   716¾ 824 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 16% 5.40 7.70  
LESLIE'S GOLD 7 8 8 912   924¾ 929¾ (lund valorie)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 9.40  
TOOL TIME 8 6 5 5   1032¾ 1045½ (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 45.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.