Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/6/4)-(3/5/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(2/3/4)-(1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/1/7)-(2/3/4/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/7)-(3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/4/5/3)-(1/7/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(3/4)-(8/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(8/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(8/3)-(5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/2/6/7)-(8/3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3)-(5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(5)-(11/7/5/12/3) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1/6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/1/6/3/4)-(5/1/6/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5)-(11/7/5/12/3) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (5)-(11/7/5/12/3)-(3/5/10/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
TUP-9   WIN (11/7/5/12/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/7/5/12/3)-(11/7/5/12/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/7/5/12/3)-(11/7/5/12/3)-(11/7/5/12/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/7/5/12/3)-(3/5/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-10   WIN (3/5/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/2)-(3/5/10/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/2)-(3/5/10/2/8)-(3/5/10/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET MISTRESS Dec19 Nov15 Sep14 Sep03 Aug03 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  LEMON DROP LADY Dec13 Nov01 Oct18 Mar17 Mar04 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
3  STREET SHADOW Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 Aug06 Jun25 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 1.20 47% 1.10    
4  FAST TO FORTUNE Dec26 Dec13 Nov12 Sep11 Aug21 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 ★    
5  PLUMA Dec20 Nov14 Sep01 Aug14 Jul30 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  LADY LANA Nov26 Oct18 Sep27 Jun23 May31 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 ★    
 
TUP-4   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWN CUTIE Dec14 Sep17 Aug29 May07 Apr07 (o'brien debbi)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 ★    
2  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Nov22 Nov09       (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  GRANDIOSE SUMMER Nov22 Sep01 Aug17 Jul10 Jul03 (silva g)CARRENO J 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  PLUM ROSE Dec22 Apr01 Mar15 Feb21   (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  MUCH ABOUT ONE Nov07 Sep10 Aug27 Jan31 Jan07 (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
SCR  DADDY'SFAVORITESON Nov22 Nov09 Aug27 Jul01 Jun03 (silva rodrigue)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
7  TED'S CANDY GIRL Dec19 Nov28       (rollins scott)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDORADO DREAM Dec20 Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 Sep30 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  BURNADEBT Sep12 Sep03 Aug20 Aug08 Jul09 (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 6.00    
3  BENGAL TIGER Dec27 Nov23 Nov08 Aug26 Jul29 (metz jeffrey)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.50 ★    
4  IN THE VAULT Aug19 Aug06 May29 Apr08 Jan21 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 4.00 ★    
5  APART OF MY CHARM Dec15 Nov30 Nov05 Sep01 Aug21 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 ★    
6  RODEO ROSE Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 Sep03 Aug20 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 5.00    
7  DOZO Dec14 Apr20 Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
 
TUP-6   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS RANSOM Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 Aug15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
2  PIRATES CROSS Dec19 Nov26 Sep09 Aug19   (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 ★    
3  SHE'S BLUE DIAMOND Dec21 Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 27% 2.70    
4  LADY JADE Dec19 May06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb18 (le)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
SCR  YES YOUR GRAZE Sep09 Aug19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun03 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  SUNNY LANE Dec10 Nov16 Nov08 Oct10 Sep11 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00    
7  JACANA Dec10 Nov16 Sep03 Jul30 Jul16 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIST OF FATE Jan02 Dec20 Nov21 Oct01 Sep25 (villamar candel)LEON A 124 12.00    
2  BARBARIAN Dec09 Nov20 Aug17 Aug05 Jun29 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.20 ★    
3  MORE ACTION Jan03 Dec19 Dec08     (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 25% 3.10    
4  BEL RAGAZZO Dec14 Nov15 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (villamar can)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
5  ATLATL Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 Aug26 Aug12 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
6  LAZARUS COME FORTH Jan03 Dec19 Nov30 Feb26 Feb10 (trejo ama)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ★    
7  GUARDSMAN PASS Dec27 Dec08 Jul02 May29 May08 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★    
8  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jan03 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Sep12 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
 
TUP-8   01/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M AND M GIRL Dec27 Nov15 Sep29 Sep19 Aug20 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 ★    
2  BIG CYN Dec28 Dec10 Nov26 Nov02 Oct19 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 8.00    
3  SHEZ A GRINDER Jan03 Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 Oct09 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 20.00 ★    
4  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Dec26 Nov19 Sep26 Aug30 Aug22 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
5  SHOE GAME Jan03 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 Nov05 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 79% 0.30    
6  ROWANGOESHOLLYWOOD Dec19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 ★    
7  SUE ETTAS GHOST Dec10 Oct29 Oct15 Sep11 Sep03 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00    
8  FIRE DIAMONDS Nov21 Oct16 Sep10 Aug07 Jul29 (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
9  TICK TOCK Dec27 Nov19 Nov07 Sep30 Sep18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
10  IZANAMI Dec21 Nov05 Sep19 Sep10 Aug29 (soto anto)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
 
TUP-9   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTAL RUN Dec15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 May29 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00    
2  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jan02 Dec17 Nov19 Nov07 Oct10 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
3  RAGING LADY Jan02         (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET HONOR Nov21 Nov04 Sep15 Aug31 Jul30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
5  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Dec17 Oct15 Oct01 Sep18 Aug22 (pearman jay)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 10.00 12% 7.40    
6  MISCHIEVOUS EFFORT Dec19 Nov08 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
7  JANERO ROSE Dec15 Nov05 Sep10 Aug22 Jul23 (chambers mi)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
8  SEVEN SISTERS Dec27 Dec10 Nov07 Sep25 Sep05 (rosales jorge)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00    
9  PALACE STAR Dec17 Nov23 Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
10  SPEEDY GIGI Dec15 Nov23 Nov07 Sep12 Aug13 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 6.00    
11  DAZZLING MIST Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Sep19 Sep03 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
12  LOVELY LINDA Jun26 Jun11 May26 May03 Apr19 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 12.00 5% 18.00    
 
TUP-10   01/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTACRY Dec17 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 May25 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
2  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Nov19 Sep17 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 122 10.00 6% 17.00    
3  MOOGIE SON Dec20 Nov23 Sep02 Aug05 Jun26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  CHAMPS SUCCESS May16 Apr26 Apr11 Mar22 Feb26 (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00    
5  LIGHTNING STAR Dec20 Nov23 Sep18 Aug05 Jul15 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  FAST GALLITO Apr26 Apr01 Feb21 Feb01 Jan12 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
7  LESLIE'S GOLD Dec20 Nov19 Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
8  TOOL TIME Dec28 Nov04       (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 ★    
9  SPEEDING STYLE Dec22 Nov30 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
10  POVERTY BAY Dec01 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun19 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.