Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Monday - January 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-1   WIN (8/6/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $18.20 $8.20 82%
    EXA (8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-8 $25.40 $5.40 27%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 7 6 3½ 3½   3.2 1¼ (vitali j)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 5% 18.50 8.10 W
HIGH GUNNER 8 7 4 41   4 2¼ (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 34% 1.90 1.50 P
KNIGHT EYES 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00 16.00  
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 3 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 124 4.00 3.80  
FIRST POINT 1 8 53 5   5 5 (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.90 3.80  
GOLDEN HALO 6 3 6 6   6 6 (brinkerhoff val)CORBETT W 124 5.00 16% 5.30 5.40  
KEEPMEINPOWER 5 5 8 8   710¼ 7 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 9% 10.10 10.50  
THE BIG CAKE 4 4 7 7   810¼ 814 (martinez este)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 25.00  
 
TUP-2   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:112 1:243   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WHO 5 1 11 11 1 16 1 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 5.00  
FAMILY BIZ 2 7 76 6 5 26 2 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 44% 1.30 0.60 P
BLAME IT ON KITTY 1 5 4 42 6 5 38 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 4.50 13.70 S
CATS TOUCH 3 3 54 5 43 6 4 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 14% 6.40 35.70  
STALKING SHADOW 7 4 21 21 2 4 59 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 4.30  
BLUE AZUL 4 6 64 31 3 36 610 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 20% 4.10 7.50  
NEW EAGLE 6 2 33 7 7 7 710½ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 10.50  
BODEMONSTER 8 8 810 8 8 810¼ 811 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 15.00 62.10  
 
TUP-3   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:11     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORT RIB 3 4 42 3   3 1 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 52% 0.90 1.70 W
MARK YE WELL 5 6 711¾ 6   4 2 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 8.20  
FAMOUS ROCK STAR 8 1 1½ 1nk   1 3 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 18.20 0.80 S
ETU BABOU 1 5 59 5   5 4 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
RINGS OF SATURN 7 2 2½ 2nk   2 5 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 13.50  
GLENROY 4 8 814¼ 814¾   812¼ 69 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 10.00 35.50  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 2 7 611½ 711¾   710¾ 7 (pierce michael )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 56.60  
GOLDEN COWBOY 6 3 32 44   610½ 815¾ (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 4.00 20% 4.00 10.30  
SCR  SWITCH BACK               (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:48 1:11 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYOPIC 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 2.10  
T BONES TRICK 4 5 31 2½ 2½ 2nk 2 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 54% 0.90 1.50 P
BAROSSA 3 3 4 43 32 33 3 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.00 21% 3.80 1.50 S
FALSELY ACCUSED 2 2 2½ 31 4 49 413¾ (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00 9.00  
EL NOBLE 5 4 5 5 5 517 522 (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 15.80  
SCR  ARRABIATA               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
SCR  HYPERFOCUS               (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-5   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:103 1:234   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CASTIGLIONE 2 2 1 1 12 1 1 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 4.30  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PERVERSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LADY COMMISSIONER 7 6 7 7 6 5 2 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 6.80 P
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
DANCE SHOES 1 3 33 3 22 3 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 39% 1.50 5.30 S
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 4 7 6 6 5 2 4 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 2.10  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
GEMSTONE GAL 3 1 2 2 32 46 5 (evans justin)FUENTES A 124 3.00 14% 6.20 9.00  
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MISS STAR MAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BLAZINGBELLABLU 5 4 5 4 4 6 6 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 20% 4.10 3.30  
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
MISS HARD KNOCKS 6 5 43 5 7 7 7 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 5.90  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS HISSY FIT by ALDEBARAN)
 
TUP-6   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:22 :443 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOBY'S CANDY 5 4 2nk 1½   14 1 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 2.50  
BEAUTIFUL MESS 3 5 7 4   4 2 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 43% 1.30 4.20 P
SHORT JOURNEY 2 9 8 510   58 35 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00 14.50  
10  EDDIE'S ON PATROL 8 3 4 3   35 45 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 37% 1.70 2.10  
TIZ THE PROSPECT 6 1 1nk 2½   24 5 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
BABY JOY 4 6 6 810¼   611 610¼ (ortiz manuel)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 20.00 16.50  
ALL THATS NOBLE 7 7 5 710¼   714 714 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 11.20  
11  TECATE GOLD 9 2 3½ 610   817 824¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 5.00 10.00  
HENRIETTA MAE 1 8 913¾ 916¼   925 936 (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00 55.00  
SCR  KATZIE BABY               (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
SCR  MISS WHISKEY               (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00    
 
TUP-7   01/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:214 :46 :571     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAAZA 5 1 1 1   13 14 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 1.00  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 3 2 2 2   23 24 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 8.60  
BEAU ROCKS 2 5 66 6   58 3 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 14.20 S
MEAN SHARON 1 3 43 43   36 46 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 6.40  
ORATORY GLORY 6 9 99 810   69 5 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00 8.60  
TIZ TENACIOUS 8 6 55 55   47 68 (leon prisci)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 78% 0.30 4.50  
CHICKS DIG MUNNY 7 8 88 79   711½ 7 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00 42.70  
MY EXPRESSION 4 7 7 911½   915 812½ (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 44.20  
10  MOUNTAIN PASS 9 4 3 33   814 913¾ (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 6.70  
SCR  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY               (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:094 1:221   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT DUDE 8 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 15 1 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.90 W
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
COASTAL KID 3 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 25 2 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 8.00 10.50  
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
ZESTFUL 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 (evans justin)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 5.40  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
RACE HOME 4 10 97 8 7 510 47 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 12.00 10% 8.60 14.80  
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
TONY'S TAPIT 2 5 64 7 4 47 58 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 25% 3.00 3.80  
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
TARTINI 9 6 52 5 55 611 69 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 10.10  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))
UNMACHABLE 6 9 109 10 910½ 714 714 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 15.00 8% 11.30 8.70  
  (by MACHO UNO out of POINT OF REFERENCE by BENCHMARK)
LOOKIN FOR EIGHT 5 8 7 64 6 814½ 814¾ (silva rodrig)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 68.90  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SOMALIA by MINESHAFT)
10  CONVENTION (IRE) 10 7 8 9 810½ 915½ 915½ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 9.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AX MAN 7 2 42 4 1010¾ 1015½ 1016 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 10% 9.30 7.90  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SHAMEFUL by FLYING CHEVRON)
 
TUP-9   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ROCKED 9 3 5 5   5 1¼ (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 30% 2.30 1.00 W
SILENT DECLARATION 8 4 4¾ 2nk   2½ 2¼ (pierce michael )CRUZ M 124 5.00 5.50 P
SYZSLAK 1 9 6 4   3½ 3½ (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 23.90  
RAVINA LANE 6 6 8 8   7 4 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 45% 1.20 3.70  
THIRSTY KISS 4 8 7 6   6 52 (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 8.50  
KOVACS 7 5 3½ 1nk   1½ 64 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
ATLATL 3 10 10 10   9 7 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 78.30  
ABRIERWIN 2 11 9 7   4 8 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 61.60  
12  DOUBLE THE GOLD 11 1 2½ 9   10 96 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 10.60  
11  DEPUTY'S DANCER 10 2 1½ 3.2   8 107 (christian bi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 7.50  
LOVER BOY TOM 5 7 11 1110¾   1115½ 1121¾ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 20.00 46.70  
SCR  BALI STAR               (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.