Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (8/6/1/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7)-(8/6/1/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/1/5/7)-(2/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/5/7)-(2/4/3)-(3/6/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3/1/5)-(2/4/3/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/6/9/1)-(6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/6/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1)-(3/6/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/9/1)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/9/1)-(6/4)-(1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/8)-(6/4/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(1/5/3)-(3/10/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3/7/2)-(1/5/3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(3/10/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(3/10/7)-(9) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-6   WIN (3/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/10/7)-(3/10/7/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/10/7)-(3/10/7/11)-(3/10/7/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/10/7)-(9) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/10/7)-(9)-(2/8/4/7/6) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TUP-7   WIN (9) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (9)-(9/2/6/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (9)-(9/2/6/1)-(9/2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9)-(2/8/4/7/6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (9)-(2/8/4/7/6)-(7/10/8) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
TUP-8   WIN (2/8/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6)-(2/8/4/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/7/6)-(7/10/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (7/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/8)-(7/10/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/10/8)-(7/10/8/9)-(7/10/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST POINT Nov26 Nov11 Oct08 Aug20   (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 9% 9.90    
2  KNIGHT EYES         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
3  I'LL TAKE THE SOUP Dec14 Jun11       (kereluk edward)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
4  THE BIG CAKE Dec09 Nov27 Nov04 Oct21   (martinez este)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
5  KEEPMEINPOWER Jan03 Dec19 Nov28 Oct21 Sep24 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
6  GOLDEN HALO Dec09 Nov11 Oct21 Sep11 Aug07 (brinkerhoff val)CORBETT W 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
7  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Jan09 Dec19 Jan26 Jan06   (vitali j)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 5% 18.50    
8  HIGH GUNNER Dec14         (gleason m)MAWING A 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-2   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME IT ON KITTY Jan04 Dec19 Oct15 Aug13 Jul15 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★    
2  FAMILY BIZ Dec27 Nov26 Nov15 Sep19 Sep05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  CATS TOUCH Dec15 Nov16 Oct15 Sep18 Sep03 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
4  BLUE AZUL Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 Feb28 Feb07 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 20% 4.10    
5  MR. WHO Dec08 Nov07 Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
6  NEW EAGLE Dec11 Nov24 Nov13 Oct21 Oct10 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00    
7  STALKING SHADOW Dec22 Dec13 Oct01 Jul16 Jun11 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
8  BODEMONSTER Jan07 Dec20 Nov28 Nov15 Sep24 (hedge rick)MAWING A 122 15.00    
 
TUP-3   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETU BABOU Jan14 Dec17 Dec01 Nov21 Oct08 (hedge rick)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALPINE HYPNOSIS Nov29 Nov16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 (pierce michael )LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
3  SHORT RIB Jan02 Dec19 Dec08 Oct30 Oct15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
4  GLENROY Dec31 Dec11 Nov14 Nov05 Sep18 (baze t)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
5  MARK YE WELL Jan07 Dec20 Nov28 Sep28 Sep20 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
6  GOLDEN COWBOY Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Aug28 Jul30 (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
7  RINGS OF SATURN Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov21 Nov07 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
SCR  SWITCH BACK Apr24 Mar26 Mar20 Mar05 Feb26 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jan07 Dec26 Dec01 Nov05 Sep17 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 18.20    
 
TUP-4   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASTRONOMICAL Nov15 Sep24 Aug21 Jun04 May21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00    
2  MYOPIC Nov19 Nov08 Sep13 Aug03 Jul17 (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
3  FALSELY ACCUSED Dec27 Dec01 Nov08 Sep09 Aug18 (lucarelli frank)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
4  BAROSSA Jan09 Jun12 May18 Apr08 Mar12 (he)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  HYPERFOCUS Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 Oct16 Sep11 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00 ★    
6  T BONES TRICK Dec27 Nov15 Sep17 Aug21 Aug10 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  ARRABIATA Jan07 Nov19 Sep12 Apr16 Mar13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
8  EL NOBLE Oct29 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 Jul01 (palma milto)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE SHOES Jan12 Oct29 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by MANK out of DANCIN FOR DELLANA by WHYWHYWHY)
2  LA CASTIGLIONE Nov26 Nov05 Sep05 Aug15 Jul16 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PERVERSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  GEMSTONE GAL Oct11 Sep16 Aug06 Mar27 Feb20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of MISS STAR MAKER by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jan09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct16 Aug14 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
5  BLAZINGBELLABLU Dec21 Nov26 Nov05 Sep18 Jun26 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
6  MISS HARD KNOCKS Jan09 Dec21 Nov23 Nov13 Oct15 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS HISSY FIT by ALDEBARAN)
7  LADY COMMISSIONER Jan09 Dec15 Nov26 Nov09 Sep16 (he)DA FAUSTO 120 6.00 ★    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)
 
TUP-6   01/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HENRIETTA MAE Jan10 Dec14       (soto antonio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 20.00    
2  SHORT JOURNEY Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 Oct15   (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jan03 Dec08       (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
4  BABY JOY Dec20         (ortiz manuel)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 20.00    
SCR  KATZIE BABY Nov26         (garcia je)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 20.00    
6  TOBY'S CANDY         (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00    
7  TIZ THE PROSPECT Dec20         (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS WHISKEY         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 ★    
9  ALL THATS NOBLE         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
10  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 Sep17 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
11  TECATE GOLD         (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SHARON Dec26 Dec15 Nov23 Sep17 Aug27 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★    
2  BEAU ROCKS Nov14 Oct15 Oct10 Sep18 Sep03 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 ★    
3  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jan11 Jan02 Dec17 Nov19 Nov07 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
SCR  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Mar28 Jan07       (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY EXPRESSION Dec26 Nov28 Nov05 May22 Apr14 (fulmer drew)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
6  AMAAZA Jan04 Nov24 Oct30 Sep23 Sep03 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 ★    
7  ORATORY GLORY Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 Mar15 Feb18 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
8  CHICKS DIG MUNNY Dec21 Mar30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb08 (gale bryce)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 20.00    
9  TIZ TENACIOUS Jan03 Nov28 Nov04 Sep19 Aug13 (leon prisci)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 78% 0.30    
10  MOUNTAIN PASS Nov28 Nov14 Sep10 Aug08 Jul04 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50    
 
TUP-8   01/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZESTFUL Jan03 Nov22 Oct31 Sep24 Sep03 (evans justin)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
2  TONY'S TAPIT Dec21 Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 Jul27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
3  COASTAL KID Jan10 Dec21 Nov26 Nov04 Jun19 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
4  RACE HOME Dec21 Sep05 Jul23 Jul04 Apr27 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 12.00 10% 8.60    
  (by RACE DAY out of HEAD FOR HOME by WHISKEY WISDOM)
5  LOOKIN FOR EIGHT Dec22 Nov08 Sep08 Aug14 Jul27 (silva rodrig)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SOMALIA by MINESHAFT)
6  UNMACHABLE Jan10 Aug14 Jul30 Apr27   (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 15.00 8% 11.30    
  (by MACHO UNO out of POINT OF REFERENCE by BENCHMARK)
7  AX MAN Dec19 Sep07 Jun11 Apr27 Feb11 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of SHAMEFUL by FLYING CHEVRON)
8  PERFECT DUDE Dec13 Nov04 Aug13 Jul09 Jun15 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
9  TARTINI Jan03 Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Sep24 (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))
10  CONVENTION (IRE) Jan03 Nov26 Oct04 Sep05 Aug15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
TUP-9   01/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYZSLAK Jan17 Dec19 Nov30 Sep09 Aug27 (rumsey cor)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
2  ABRIERWIN Dec27 Dec14 Oct22 Oct09 Sep25 (lavanway day)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 20.00    
3  ATLATL Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 Aug26 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
4  THIRSTY KISS Dec27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov08 Aug31 (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
5  LOVER BOY TOM Jan03 Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 Oct01 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 20.00    
SCR  BALI STAR Jan05 Nov14 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 8.00 ★    
7  RAVINA LANE Jan05 Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  KOVACS Jan05 Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 Aug27 (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  SILENT DECLARATION Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 Sep02 Aug06 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
10  ROCKED Jan05 Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 Aug12 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
11  DEPUTY'S DANCER Jan10 Dec22 Nov25 Nov09 Aug27 (christian bi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
12  DOUBLE THE GOLD Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 Oct07 Sep09 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.