The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TUP-1   02/18/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
:22 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPENDAHOLIC 5 1 1½ 13   15½ 13¼ (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 1.60 44% 1.30 0.30 W
2  D K'S CROWN 2 4 42 44½   37½ 23¼ (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 6.00 9% 10.10 11.60 P
1  LIL LATIGO 1 3 31½ 33   25½ 36½ (lavanway dayso)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00 40.30  
4  ECHO ALPHA SIX 4 6 65 66¾   58 48 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.00 ★ 6.70  
3  GO ADMIRAL GO 3 5 52½ 56½   610½ 58 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★ 9.20  
6  READY TO FORGIVE 6 2 2½ 23   48 69 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50 21% 3.80 3.80  
 
TUP-2   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
:241 :49 1:133 1:263   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIRST IMPRESSION 3 1 21½ 21 2nk 2nk 11¼ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.60 ★ 0.30  
1  IMPECCABLE TASTE 1 3 11½ 11 1nk 1nk 21¼ (rollins scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★ 2.10 P
2  KEEPMEINPOWER 2 2 32 32 32 3½ 34 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 5.00 77% 0.30 6.90 S
5  FINE POINT ASSAY 4 4 42½ 43½ 56 57¾ 412½ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 ★ 22.40  
6  DADDY'SFAVORITESON 5 5 54 53½ 44½ 47½ 513¼ (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00 15.40  
SCR  WHAT A WAY TO GO               (whitehouse wilton)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
:233 :474 1:121 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LAST RENEGADE 3 2 21 31½ 4¾ 2nk 11¾ (gutierrez qui)MAWING A 122 6.00 9.50  
5  FORGOTTEN VOWS 4 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 21¾ (dennis clifto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 10.00  
1  IN THE MIDST 1 4 41½ 41½ 3½ 41¼ 32 (person kenneth )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 ★ 7.40 S
2  BECKHAM JAMES 2 5 67 53½ 52¾ 54¾ 44¾ (rycroft riley)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 63% 0.60 1.80  
7  ANDY BOBBY 6 6 56½ 65 64¼ 65¾ 54¾ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 12% 7.30 1.70  
6  MR LOVE MUFFIN 5 3 31½ 21 2nk 31 65½ (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 ★ 3.10  
SCR  MONGOL ALTAI               (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
:221 :441 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGN OF FIRE 1 6 2nk 1nk   11½ 12½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 73% 0.40 1.20 W
5  JANERO ROSE 5 1 3.2 2nk   21½ 22½ (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★ 1.60 P
2  STRADARI 2 3 1nk 31½   34 37¾ (soto antonio)CORBETT W 124 8.00 ★ 16.40 S
4  WAY TO FIRE 4 5 41¾ 46½   47 49½ (silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 ★ 13.40  
3  MISCHIEF MAMA 3 8 74¼ 58   510 511¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★ 17.90  
6  PALACE STAR 6 2 52¾ 710¾   711 611½ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 22.40  
7  MO CONNELLY 7 7 84½ 812¼   610½ 711½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8.50  
8  PIRATES CROSS 8 4 62¾ 610½   811 812¼ (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 7.90  
 
TUP-5   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
:223 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GO LAKER GO 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 12 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.10 W
7  PRECEDENT 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20 P
2  BOURBON AND WATER 2 3 41¼ 43   44½ 34¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 10% 9.10 7.20 S
3  SIXTYFOUR G T O 3 4 3.2 32   34 45¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 14% 6.30 1.00  
1  IMPASSIONED CLAIM 1 6 64¾ 78½   58 59¾ (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 8.00 5% 17.20 19.60  
8  THIRSTY TIGER 8 8 75¼ 68   68½ 610½ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 30.10  
5  WINTER SOLDIER 5 7 89¼ 812½   812½ 712½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00 36.00  
6  MIDNIGHT DADDY 6 5 51¾ 55½   711½ 816 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 12.00 16.50  
 
TUP-6   02/18/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:26
:49 1:14     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DON'T GET PICKLED 3 8 74½ 73¼   11 1¾ (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.70 W
5  UNA PALABRA 5 7 42½ 42   21 2¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 ★ 3.80 P
8  FOOLISH DELIGHT 8 5 84¾ 52¼   33½ 35½ (green greg)PEREZ A 121 4.00 29% 2.50 2.80 S
7  JAMIES INHERITANCE 7 6 31½ 2½   44 49½ (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 18.30  
1  TOBY'S CANDY 1 2 11 1½   54 514¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 10.00 5% 17.60 9.20  
2  ARIZONA KALEI 2 3 21 32   610 615¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.50 17% 5.00 5.10  
6  BANGIE GO 6 1 53 63¼   712½ 718¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 5.30  
4  COUNTESS OF CAIRO 4 4 63 84¾   818½ 826¼ (vanwinkle david)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 6.00 17.70  
 
TUP-7   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
:221 :433 :552     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUTH SEEKER 2 7 79¼ 56   34½ 11¼ (barraza s)MAWING A 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.30 W
3  MINISTER OF SOUL 3 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 21¼ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 3.50 35% 1.80 3.30 P
7  JAZZ HANDS 7 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 32¾ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 20.40  
5  MR. STANG 5 3 41¾ 45   55½ 45¾ (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 4.00 6.50  
1  BEDROCK 1 4 55¼ 66½   44½ 56¾ (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 ★ 30.50  
6  TONY'S TAPIT 6 5 31½ 32   66½ 67¼ (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 4.50 11% 8.20 2.10  
4  RACE HOME 4 6 66¼ 79   710½ 79 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★ 11.80  
 
TUP-8   02/18/2023 4950ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:28
:234 :483 1:133     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPECIAL MOMENT 1 8 88 95¾   42½ 1¾ (hone bart)CORBETT W 119 12.00 13.90  
5  I AM FREAKY FAST 5 5 54½ 52½   3½ 2¾ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 66% 0.50 2.60 P
3  ARIZONA ANDREW 3 1 11½ 1½   1nk 32½ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.50 ★ 2.30 S
9  MY MAN BIGGIE 9 6 43 31   2nk 43 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 119 5.00 10.30  
6  ACCELERITAS 6 4 32 41   53 55½ (eikl)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00 18.30  
4  LOUDMOUTHSOUP 4 2 21½ 2½   64 66½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.00 ★ 3.00  
7  FLASHIN ACES 7 7 76 74¼   96¾ 76¾ (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
2  PUBLIC OPINION 2 9 99½ 85¾   86¼ 87¼ (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 8% 11.30 7.30  
8  BIG CREED 8 3 64½ 62¾   76 97¾ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 119 8.00 10.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.