Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-2   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 0 $2.60  
TUP-3   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $21.00  
TUP-4   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 2.40
TUP-5   Win (4/3/2/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $8.20 $8.20  
TUP-6   Win (8/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TUP-7   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TUP-8   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $29.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :442       :563   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPENDAHOLIC 5 1 1½ 13   1 1 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 1.60 44% 1.30 0.30 W
D K'S CROWN 2 4 42 4   3 2 (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 6.00 9% 10.10 11.60 P
LIL LATIGO 1 3 3 33   2 3 (lavanway dayso)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00 40.30  
ECHO ALPHA SIX 4 6 65 6   58 48 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 4.00 6.70  
GO ADMIRAL GO 3 5 5 5   610½ 58 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 9.20  
READY TO FORGIVE 6 2 2½ 23   48 69 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.50 21% 3.80 3.80  
 
TUP-2   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:133 1:263   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST IMPRESSION 3 1 2 21 2nk 2nk 1 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 1.60 0.30  
IMPECCABLE TASTE 1 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 2 (rollins scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 2.10 P
KEEPMEINPOWER 2 2 32 32 32 3½ 34 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 5.00 77% 0.30 6.90 S
FINE POINT ASSAY 4 4 4 4 56 5 412½ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 22.40  
DADDY'SFAVORITESON 5 5 54 5 4 4 513¼ (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 10.00 15.40  
SCR  WHAT A WAY TO GO               (whitehouse wilton)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
 
TUP-3   02/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:121 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST RENEGADE 3 2 21 3 4¾ 2nk 1 (gutierrez qui)MAWING A 122 6.00 9.50  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 4 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 2 (dennis clifto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 12.00 10.00  
IN THE MIDST 1 4 4 4 3½ 4 32 (person kenneth )ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 7.40 S
BECKHAM JAMES 2 5 67 5 5 5 4 (rycroft riley)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 63% 0.60 1.80  
ANDY BOBBY 6 6 5 65 6 6 5 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 12% 7.30 1.70  
MR LOVE MUFFIN 5 3 3 21 2nk 31 6 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 3.10  
SCR  MONGOL ALTAI               (asprino alfredo)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :441 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF FIRE 1 6 2nk 1nk   1 1 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 73% 0.40 1.20 W
JANERO ROSE 5 1 3.2 2nk   2 2 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 1.60 P
STRADARI 2 3 1nk 3   34 3 (soto antonio)CORBETT W 124 8.00 16.40 S
WAY TO FIRE 4 5 4 4   47 4 (silva l)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 13.40  
MISCHIEF MAMA 3 8 7 58   510 511¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 17.90  
PALACE STAR 6 2 5 710¾   711 611½ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 22.40  
MO CONNELLY 7 7 8 812¼   610½ 711½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 6.00 8.50  
PIRATES CROSS 8 4 6 610½   811 812¼ (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 7.90  
 
TUP-5   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO LAKER GO 4 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 12 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.10 W
PRECEDENT 7 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20 P
BOURBON AND WATER 2 3 4 43   4 3 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 10% 9.10 7.20 S
SIXTYFOUR G T O 3 4 3.2 32   34 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 14% 6.30 1.00  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 1 6 6 7   58 5 (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 8.00 5% 17.20 19.60  
THIRSTY TIGER 8 8 7 68   6 610½ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 15.00 30.10  
WINTER SOLDIER 5 7 8 812½   812½ 712½ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 10.00 36.00  
MIDNIGHT DADDY 6 5 5 5   711½ 816 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 12.00 16.50  
 
TUP-6   02/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:49 1:14     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T GET PICKLED 3 8 7 7   11 1¾ (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 119 3.00 28% 2.60 2.70 W
UNA PALABRA 5 7 4 42   21 2¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 3.80 P
FOOLISH DELIGHT 8 5 8 5   3 3 (green greg)PEREZ A 121 4.00 29% 2.50 2.80 S
JAMIES INHERITANCE 7 6 3 2½   44 4 (rennie richar)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00 18.30  
TOBY'S CANDY 1 2 11 1½   54 514¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 10.00 5% 17.60 9.20  
ARIZONA KALEI 2 3 21 32   610 615¼ (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.50 17% 5.00 5.10  
BANGIE GO 6 1 53 6   712½ 718¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 5.30  
COUNTESS OF CAIRO 4 4 63 8   818½ 826¼ (vanwinkle david)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 6.00 17.70  
 
TUP-7   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:221 :433 :552     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUTH SEEKER 2 7 7 56   3 1 (barraza s)MAWING A 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.30 W
MINISTER OF SOUL 3 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 2 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 3.50 35% 1.80 3.30 P
JAZZ HANDS 7 1 2nk 1nk   2½ 3 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 8.00 20.40  
MR. STANG 5 3 4 45   5 4 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124 4.00 6.50  
BEDROCK (GB) 1 4 5 6   4 5 (christian bil)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 30.50  
TONY'S TAPIT 6 5 3 32   6 6 (silva jr)GARCIA F 124 4.50 11% 8.20 2.10  
RACE HOME 4 6 6 79   710½ 79 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 11.80  
 
TUP-8   02/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:133     1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL MOMENT 1 8 88 9   4 1¾ (hone bart)CORBETT W 119 12.00 13.90  
I AM FREAKY FAST 5 5 5 5   3½ 2¾ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119 3.00 66% 0.50 2.60 P
ARIZONA ANDREW 3 1 1 1½   1nk 3 (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 3.50 2.30 S
MY MAN BIGGIE 9 6 43 31   2nk 43 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 119 5.00 10.30  
ACCELERITAS 6 4 32 41   53 5 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 121 10.00 18.30  
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 4 2 2 2½   64 6 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 4.00 3.00  
FLASHIN ACES 7 7 76 7   9 7 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
PUBLIC OPINION 2 9 9 8   8 8 (rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 8% 11.30 7.30  
BIG CREED 8 3 6 6   76 9 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 119 8.00 10.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.