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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise

Saturday - February 18, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

TUP-4

WIN

(1)

$2.00

$4.40

$2.40

120%

EXA

(1)-(1/4/5/2/3)

$1.00

$4.00

1-5

$5.30

$1.30

33%

TRI

(1)-(1/4/5/2/3)-(1/4/5/2/3)

$0.50

$6.00

1-5-2

$25.55

$19.55

326%

SFT

(1)-(1/4/5/2/3)-(1/4/5/2/3)-(1/4/5/2/3)

$0.10

$2.40

1-5-2-4

$17.07

$14.67

611%

TUP-5

(1)-(4/3/2/1/7)

$1.00

$5.00

1-4

$8.20

$3.20

64%

TUP-6

TRI

(8/3/2/1)-(8/3/2/1/5)-(8/3/2/1/5)

$0.50

$24.00

3-5-8

$25.85

$1.85

PK3

(1)-(4/3/2/1/7)-(8/3/2/1)

$0.50

$10.00

1-4-3

$19.65

$9.65

97%

Simulator Race results

TUP-1

02/18/2023

3300ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($4K)

Purse ($10.4K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 2:55

See original race card.

:22

:44²

:56³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SPENDAHOLIC

1^½

1³

1^5½

1^3¼

(silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 124

1.60

44%

1.30

0.30

D K'S CROWN

4²

4^4½

3^7½

2^3¼

(villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124

6.00

10.10

11.60

LIL LATIGO

3^1½

3³

2^5½

3^6½

(lavanway day)BEVERLY JR 124

10.00

40.30

ECHO ALPHA SIX

6⁵

6^6¾

5⁸

4⁸

(silva pabl)LEON A 124

4.00

★

6.70

GO ADMIRAL GO

5^2½

5^6½

6^10½

5⁸

(silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124

5.00

★

9.20

READY TO FORGIVE

2^½

2³

4⁸

6⁹

(william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124

2.50

21%

3.80

TUP-2

02/18/2023

5280ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)

Purse ($13.4K)

4UP

M/F

PT- 3:23

See original race card.

:24¹

:49

1:13³

1:26³

1:39²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

FIRST IMPRESSION

2^1½

2¹

2^nk

1^1¼

(ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124

1.60

★

0.30

IMPECCABLE TASTE

1^1½

1¹

1^nk

2^1¼

(rollins sco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124

2.50

★

2.10

KEEPMEINPOWER

3²

3^½

3⁴

(hedge rick)MAWING A 124

5.00

77%

0.30

6.90

FINE POINT ASSAY

4^2½

4^3½

5⁶

5^7¾

4^12½

(martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124

8.00

★

22.40

DADDY'SFAVORITESON

5⁴

5^3½

4^4½

4^7½

5^13¼

(silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124

10.00

15.40

SCR

WHAT A WAY TO GO

(whitehouse wilt)CRUZ M 124

6.00

★

TUP-3

02/18/2023

5280ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($8.5K)

Purse ($12.4K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 3:53

See original race card.

:23³

:47⁴

1:12¹

1:25

1:37⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

LAST RENEGADE

2¹

3^1½

4^¾

2^nk

1^1¾

(gutierrez q)MAWING A 122

6.00

9.50

FORGOTTEN VOWS

1¹

1^nk

2^1¾

(dennis clif)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122

12.00

10.00

IN THE MIDST

4^1½

3^½

4^1¼

3²

(person kennet)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122

4.50

★

7.40

BECKHAM JAMES

6⁷

5^3½

5^2¾

5^4¾

4^4¾

(rycroft ril)MARTI ALEXANDER 122

3.00

63%

0.60

1.80

ANDY BOBBY

5^6½

6⁵

6^4¼

6^5¾

5^4¾

(diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122

3.50

12%

7.30

1.70

MR LOVE MUFFIN

3^1½

2¹

2^nk

3¹

6^5½

(mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124

4.00

★

3.10

SCR

MONGOL ALTAI

(asprino alfre)LARA EZEQUIEL 122

4.00

★

TUP-4

02/18/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($6.25K)

Purse ($12.4K)

4UP

M/F

PT- 4:24

See original race card.

:22¹

:44¹

:56²

1:09²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

REIGN OF FIRE

2^nk

1^nk

1^1½

1^2½

(si)DA FAUSTO 124

2.50

73%

0.40

1.20

JANERO ROSE

3^.2

2^nk

2^1½

2^2½

(chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124

3.50

★

1.60

STRADARI

1^nk

3^1½

3⁴

3^7¾

(soto antonio)CORBETT W 124

8.00

★

16.40

WAY TO FIRE

4^1¾

4^6½

4⁷

4^9½

(silva jose )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124

8.00

★

13.40

MISCHIEF MAMA

7^4¼

5⁸

5¹⁰

5^11¼

(mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124

5.00

★

17.90

PALACE STAR

5^2¾

7^10¾

7¹¹

6^11½

(perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124

10.00

22.40

MO CONNELLY

8^4½

8^12¼

6^10½

7^11½

(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124

6.00

8.50

PIRATES CROSS

6^2¾

6^10½

8¹¹

8^12¼

(ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124

4.50

7.90

TUP-5

02/18/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC4

FAST

Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)

Purse ($13.4K)

3UP

ALL

PT- 4:54

See original race card.

:22³

:44⁴

:56⁴

1:09³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

GO LAKER GO

2^nk

1^nk

1²

(barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124

3.50

46%

1.20

3.10

PRECEDENT

1^nk

2^nk

2²

(gleason m)MAWING A 124

6.00

19.00

3.20

BOURBON AND WATER

4^1¼

4³

4^4½

3^4¾

(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124

4.00

10%

9.10

7.20

SIXTYFOUR G T O

3^.2

3²

3⁴

4^5¼

(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124

2.00

14%

6.30

1.00

IMPASSIONED CLAIM

6^4¾

7^8½

5⁸

5^9¾

(barraza ra)VERGARA P 124

8.00

17.20

19.60

THIRSTY TIGER

7^5¼

6⁸

6^8½

6^10½

(grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124

15.00

30.10

WINTER SOLDIER

8^9¼

8^12½

7^12½

(essex charles)CRUZ M 124

10.00

36.00

MIDNIGHT DADDY

5^1¾

5^5½

7^11½

8¹⁶

(baze robert)ANAYA V 124

12.00

16.50

TUP-6

02/18/2023

4950ft

TURF

RC11

FIRM

nongraded Stake

Purse ($60K)

PT- 5:26

See original race card.

:49

1:14

1:32¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

DON'T GET PICKLED

7^4½

7^3¼

1¹

1^¾

(hernandez migue)CORBETT W 119

3.00

28%

2.60

2.70

(by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)

UNA PALABRA

4^2½

4²

2¹

2^¾

(belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119

4.50

★

3.80

(by MCCRAKEN out of ONE FOR YOU by DAYJUR)

FOOLISH DELIGHT

8^4¾

5^2¼

3^3½

3^5½

(green greg)PEREZ A 121

4.00

29%

2.50

2.80

(by CARPE DIEM out of MORE THAN FOLLY by MORE THAN READY)

JAMIES INHERITANCE

3^1½

2^½

4⁴

4^9½

(rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 119

15.00

18.30

(by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)

TOBY'S CANDY

1¹

1^½

5⁴

5^14¼

(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119

10.00

17.60

9.20

(by DANZING CANDY out of MYFOURCHIX by HENNY HUGHES)

ARIZONA KALEI

2¹

3²

6¹⁰

6^15¼

(eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121

3.50

17%

5.00

5.10

(by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)

BANGIE GO

5³

6^3¼

7^12½

7^18¼

(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121

5.00

5.30

(by UH OH BANGO out of JUSTCALLHERAGGIE by CAUSE UR MINE)

COUNTESS OF CAIRO

6³

8^4¾

8^18½

8^26¼

(vanwinkle dav)LARA EZEQUIEL 119

6.00

17.70

(by CAIRO PRINCE out of GUESS WHAT by PROUD CITIZEN)

TUP-7

02/18/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC3

FAST

Alw Opt Clm ($40K)

Purse ($26.9K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 5:58

See original race card.

:22¹

:43³

:55²

1:07³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

TRUTH SEEKER

7^9¼

5⁶

3^4½

1^1¼

(barraza s)MAWING A 122

2.50

26%

2.80

1.30

MINISTER OF SOUL

1^nk

2^nk

1^½

2^1¼

(martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122

3.50

35%

1.80

3.30

JAZZ HANDS

2^nk

1^nk

2^½

3^2¾

(hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122

8.00

20.40

MR. STANG

4^1¾

4⁵

5^5½

4^5¾

(lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 124

4.00

6.50

BEDROCK (GB)

5^5¼

6^6½

4^4½

5^6¾

(christian b)CONNING CRYSTAL 122

12.00

★

30.50

TONY'S TAPIT

3^1½

3²

6^6½

6^7¼

(silva jr)GARCIA F 124

4.50

11%

8.20

2.10

RACE HOME

6^6¼

7⁹

7^10½

7⁹

(brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124

5.00

★

11.80

TUP-8

02/18/2023

4950ft

TURF

RC11

FIRM

nongraded Stake

Purse ($60K)

ALL

PT- 6:28

See original race card.

:23⁴

:48³

1:13³

1:32¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SPECIAL MOMENT

8⁸

9^5¾

4^2½

1^¾

(hone bart)CORBETT W 119

12.00

13.90

(by STANFORD out of BLAME IT ONTHESONG by BLAME)

I AM FREAKY FAST

5^4½

5^2½

3^½

2^¾

(ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 119

3.00

66%

0.50

2.60

(by CONNECT out of POUNDS TO PENNIES by EXCHANGE RATE)

ARIZONA ANDREW

1^1½

1^½

1^nk

3^2½

(eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 121

3.50

★

2.30

(by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)

MY MAN BIGGIE

4³

3¹

2^nk

4³

(simpson shannon)CRUZ M 119

5.00

10.30

(by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)

ACCELERITAS

3²

4¹

5³

5^5½

(ei)DA FAUSTO 121

10.00

18.30

(by SHARP AZTECA out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)

LOUDMOUTHSOUP

2^1½

2^½

6⁴

6^6½

(diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 119

4.00

★

3.00

(by SPEIGHTSTER out of TALKAHOLIC by MAJESTICPERFECTION)

FLASHIN ACES

7⁶

7^4¼

9^6¾

7^6¾

(belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 119

12.00

19.00

30.10

(by DANZING CANDY out of SWEET DREAMIN by NAJRAN)

PUBLIC OPINION

9^9½

8^5¾

8^6¼

8^7¼

(rarick wade)LOPEZ KARLO 119

5.00

11.30

7.30

(by CAIRO PRINCE out of BARBY SUE by PURGE)

BIG CREED

6^4½

6^2¾

7⁶

9^7¾

(metz jeffrey)MAWING A 119

8.00

10.80

(by JIMMY CREED out of WINDY FORECAST by STORMY ATLANTIC)

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.