Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.76 $5.76  
ELP-2   Win (2/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.62 $3.62  
ELP-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.32 $6.32 0.32
ELP-4   Win (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.82 $6.82 0.82
ELP-5   Win (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $19.40  
ELP-6   Win (11/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $11.72 $11.72 3.72
ELP-7   Win (9/3/8/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $3.30 $3.30  
ELP-8   Win (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 12.20
ELP-9   Win (3/7/9/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $11.32  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ELITE FORCES 7 3 31 1nk   1½ 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.88 W
5  STUDY COMMITTEE 5 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 23½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.78 P
2  BOURBON FEVER 2 1 42 42¾   42½ 35 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.91 S
3  STORMIN ARMY 3 2 1½ 3.2   3½ 46¾ (vance david )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 10% 9.20 3.34  
6  MACHO VILLA 6 7 710 69¾   57½ 57¾ (lukas way)TORRES A 118 3.00 3.43  
1  HINENI 1 6 65½ 79¾   711 614¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 17.26  
4  AUTO DIAL 4 5 53 57¾   69½ 715¾ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 25.61  
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION               (rutledge lance)GILLIGAN JACK 113 8.00    
 
ELP-2   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TWIRLING QUEEN 5 2 11½ 11½   11½ 1½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 11% 8.40 0.81 W
8  DANCING PRINCESS 6 1 21½ 21½   21½ 2½ (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00 49.59  
4  PARTAKE 2 4 44 34   36½ 39¼ (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 18.73  
2  LIAM'S MESSAGE 1 5 65 65½   47½ 412¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 3.50 53% 0.90 1.98  
9  NAUGHTY MISS 7 7 712 710½   611½ 517 (roberson de)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 38.32  
5  BOOMIN' BELLE 3 6 55 55   510½ 619¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 12% 7.50 5.56  
6  CAT ONE 4 3 33½ 45   715½ 737 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 11.60  
SCR  LUXURIATE               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00    
SCR  MRS. RIP               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
SCR  SHIMMERING ALLURE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  TAMBARELLA               (hancock john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  THORPEDO ANNA               (mcpeek kenneth )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
 
ELP-3   06/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :443 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 4 2 2½ 2nk   11½ 11 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 40% 1.50 2.16 W
5  PURPLE DREAM 5 3 43½ 42¼   21½ 21 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 7.33  
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 6 33 32   31½ 31¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 26% 2.80 1.80 S
6  TULANE TRYST 6 5 57 57¾   56¾ 45 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 10.51  
1  FIELD DAY 1 4 1½ 1nk   41¾ 55¾ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 9% 10.10 2.43  
3  FRIAR LAURENCE 3 1 68 612¾   612¾ 614¼ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 22.92  
 
ELP-4   06/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:102 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 3 11 11 1½ 11 1¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.41 W
8  DON'T FORGET 6 4 21 21 2½ 21 2¼ (shorter aar)TORRES A 120 3.50 19% 4.20 5.60 P
5  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 3 1 32 32 43½ 43½ 31 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 4.85  
3  ALLEGE 2 2 43 42½ 31½ 33 43½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.40  
1  JUST CALL RAY 1 5 54½ 54½ 54 55 57¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 15.00 6.83  
6  SHORTLIST 4 6 65 65 65 67½ 610¾ (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 17.77  
SCR  AMERICAN PURE               (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  STORMY PATTERN               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
ELP-5   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLASSY SOCKS 2 2 1½ 1nk   12 13¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8.70  
4  CAMP DADDY 4 5 62½ 3½   22 23¾ (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7.63  
1  LEMON DROP SHOT 1 8 73½ 51¾   44 34¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 2.09  
3  NITROMAN 3 3 2½ 2nk   32 47 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.28  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 5 6 84 84¾   811¼ 513½ (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.36  
7  TROPIC STORM 7 4 41½ 4¾   58½ 615½ (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 4.85  
6  MISTER SHARPIE 6 1 31 61¾   79¾ 715¾ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
8  BACK TO NORMAL 8 7 52 72¼   69½ 816½ (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.00 68% 0.50 3.07  
 
ELP-6   06/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:102 1:362   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  UNLOAD 6 2 11 1½ 1nk 13½ 14¾ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9% 9.90 4.86 W
12  HERO'S MEDAL 8 8 64½ 64¼ 54 44 24¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 25.84  
11  HARBOUR BRIDGE 7 4 42½ 32 32 23½ 35¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 54% 0.90 2.35 S
8  QUALITY CHIC 5 6 54 54 64¼ 65 45¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 13% 6.80 3.02  
1  KENTUCKY JOKER 1 1 32 42 42½ 54½ 57 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 5.20  
4  CANAVALL 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 33½ 67½ (vaughan edward)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 12.91  
7  TEXAS PRIDE 4 5 86 76¾ 79¼ 710 713¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 31.77  
6  DR KRINGLE 3 7 75½ 89¼ 813¾ 816 823½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 5.00 4.14  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00    
SCR  DREAMWITHINADREAM               (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
SCR  MOUNT CRAIG               (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 125 6.00    
SCR  MR. KEATING               (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  RUNNINGFORJOY               (tomlinson a)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker james)TORRES A 125 8.00    
 
ELP-7   06/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GLORIA'S PRINCESS 9 3 11 11 1½ 11½ 11 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 50% 1.00 0.65 W
3  MISREAD 3 2 42½ 53½ 42 43½ 21 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 10% 8.90 4.10 P
10  FIDDLE 10 5 21 21 2½ 21½ 32 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 17.30 38.34 S
6  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 6 4 32 32 31½ 32 42¼ (d'amato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 11.07  
4  AIN'T BROKE 4 6 64½ 65 63½ 54½ 52¾ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.31  
2  MO SHIRO 2 1 76½ 86 96 65½ 64¼ (catalano way)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 6.56  
5  WORK OF FICTION 5 8 86½ 75½ 86 77½ 75 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 19.32  
1  HELENS WELL (IRE) 1 10 98 96½ 74½ 87½ 87¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 29.45  
7  LADY COMMANDER 7 9 109 108 108 1010½ 910 (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00 42.91  
8  SWISS FRANC 8 7 53 43 52½ 99½ 1012¼ (devaux cher)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 8% 11.10 28.89  
SCR  OPENING NIGHT               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  SHEWILLGHOSTU               (mott riley)TORRES A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   06/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:09     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE LIGHT 3 4 2½ 3.2   11 11½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 W
5  ZAMBEZI 5 2 41 42¾   42 21½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 37% 1.70 5.27 P
7  SWEET CHERRY PIE 7 7 31 2nk   21 32½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 39% 1.60 0.56 S
1  BOHEMIAN BO 1 3 1½ 1nk   31½ 49¼ (vance thoma)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.37  
8  BOURBON BASH 8 1 86¼ 54¼   54½ 59¼ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 11.65  
6  BRAZEN BOY 6 5 53 64¾   66½ 611 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 39.08  
4  GOLD LUCK 4 8 76 88¾   79½ 714¼ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 49.04  
2  EDDIE M 2 6 63½ 78¾   812½ 814½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.48  
 
ELP-9   06/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :452 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL FLOWER 1 3 11 1½   12½ 11¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 4.66  
7  SASSY WALKER 7 1 21 2½   22½ 21¾ (d'amato philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 11% 8.40 2.31 P
9  PELICAN LANE 9 2 32 31   44½ 33¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.89 S
3  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 3 8 96 94¼   66 46 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 60% 0.70 3.82  
4  CUTE KHLOE 4 7 54 41½   33½ 56 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 9.47  
2  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 2 5 43 52   56 66½ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 16.51  
8  ANIMAL FRIES 8 10 85½ 83¼   88½ 78½ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 48.00  
10  JENNIFER MY LOVE 10 6 74½ 73   77½ 88¾ (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
5  CALLAS 5 9 106½ 105¾   1010¼ 910 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.83  
6  AMERICAN MAESTRA 6 4 64 63   98¾ 1010 (gallagher william)HEARD TYLER 118 12.00 76.57  
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE               (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  GOLD TICKET               (peitz c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
SCR  MY LILY MAE               (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.