Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - June 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-5 $61.22 $37.22 155%
    TRI (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-5-2 $67.23 $55.23 460%
    SFT (7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-5-2-3 $33.05 $30.65 1277%
ELP-4   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $6.82 $0.82 14%
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-8 $28.48 $16.48 137%
    DD (4/2/1)-(7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-7 $13.21 $4.21 47%
ELP-6   WIN (11/8/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.72 $3.72 47%
ELP-7   TRI (9/3/8/10/4)-(9/3/8/10/4)-(9/3/8/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-3-10 $40.88 $10.88 36%
ELP-8   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $20.20 $12.20 153%
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $92.48 $68.48 285%
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-7 $39.36 $27.36 228%
    SFT (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-5-7-1 $58.78 $56.38 2349%
    PK3 (11/8/9/7)-(9/3/8/10/4)-(7/5/1/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  9-9-3 $63.64 $23.64 59%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ELITE FORCES 7 3 31 1nk   1½ 13½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.88 W
5  STUDY COMMITTEE 5 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 23½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 5% 19.00 7.78 P
2  BOURBON FEVER 2 1 42 42¾   42½ 35 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 31% 2.20 3.91 S
3  STORMIN ARMY 3 2 1½ 3.2   3½ 46¾ (vance davi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 10% 9.20 3.34  
6  MACHO VILLA 6 7 710 69¾   57½ 57¾ (lukas w)TORRES A 118 3.00 3.43  
1  HINENI 1 6 65½ 79¾   711 614¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 17.26  
4  AUTO DIAL 4 5 53 57¾   69½ 715¾ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 25.61  
SCR  CALLIE'S PASSION               (rutledge lanc)GILLIGAN JACK 113 8.00    
 
ELP-2   06/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TWIRLING QUEEN 5 2 11½ 11½   11½ 1½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 11% 8.40 0.81 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ADVENTUROUS LADY by KANTHAROS)
8  DANCING PRINCESS 6 1 21½ 21½   21½ 2½ (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 112 20.00 49.59  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
4  PARTAKE 2 4 44 34   36½ 39¼ (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 18.73  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
2  LIAM'S MESSAGE 1 5 65 65½   47½ 412¼ (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 3.50 53% 0.90 1.98  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
9  NAUGHTY MISS 7 7 712 710½   611½ 517 (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 38.32  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
5  BOOMIN' BELLE 3 6 55 55   510½ 619¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 12% 7.50 5.56  
  (by GET STORMY out of VERA BELLE by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  CAT ONE 4 3 33½ 45   715½ 737 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 11.60  
  (by GET STORMY out of MARIE CURIE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  LUXURIATE               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of PLATINUM PREFERRED by VINDICATION)
SCR  MRS. RIP               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of HAUTE COUTURE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SHIMMERING ALLURE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of SHIMMERING TALE by WILD AGAIN)
SCR  TAMBARELLA               (hancock jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BELLADONNIA by BAYERN)
SCR  THORPEDO ANNA               (mcpeek kennet)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SATAVES by UNCLE MO)
 
ELP-3   06/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :443 :553     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 4 2 2½ 2nk   11½ 11 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 40% 1.50 2.16 W
5  PURPLE DREAM 5 3 43½ 42¼   21½ 21 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 15.00 7.33  
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 6 33 32   31½ 31¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 1.80 26% 2.80 1.80 S
6  TULANE TRYST 6 5 57 57¾   56¾ 45 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 10.51  
1  FIELD DAY 1 4 1½ 1nk   41¾ 55¾ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 9% 10.10 2.43  
3  FRIAR LAURENCE 3 1 68 612¾   612¾ 614¼ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 22.92  
 
ELP-4   06/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:102 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 5 3 11 11 1½ 11 1¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.41 W
8  DON'T FORGET 6 4 21 21 2½ 21 2¼ (shorter a)TORRES A 120 3.50 19% 4.20 5.60 P
5  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 3 1 32 32 43½ 43½ 31 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 4.85  
3  ALLEGE 2 2 43 42½ 31½ 33 43½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 17% 5.00 1.40  
1  JUST CALL RAY 1 5 54½ 54½ 54 55 57¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 15.00 6.83  
6  SHORTLIST 4 6 65 65 65 67½ 610¾ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 17.77  
SCR  AMERICAN PURE               (o'dwyer jeremiah)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  STORMY PATTERN               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
 
ELP-5   06/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLASSY SOCKS 2 2 1½ 1nk   12 13¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 122 6.00 8.70  
4  CAMP DADDY 4 5 62½ 3½   22 23¾ (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 7.63  
1  LEMON DROP SHOT 1 8 73½ 51¾   44 34¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 2.09  
3  NITROMAN 3 3 2½ 2nk   32 47 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.28  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 5 6 84 84¾   811¼ 513½ (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.36  
7  TROPIC STORM 7 4 41½ 4¾   58½ 615½ (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 4.85  
6  MISTER SHARPIE 6 1 31 61¾   79¾ 715¾ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
8  BACK TO NORMAL 8 7 52 72¼   69½ 816½ (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.00 68% 0.50 3.07  
 
ELP-6   06/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:102 1:362   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  UNLOAD 6 2 11 1½ 1nk 13½ 14¾ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 9% 9.90 4.86 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNTAPPED by MALABAR GOLD)
12  HERO'S MEDAL 8 8 64½ 64¼ 54 44 24¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 25.84  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MAGICAL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
11  HARBOUR BRIDGE 7 4 42½ 32 32 23½ 35¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 54% 0.90 2.35 S
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
8  QUALITY CHIC 5 6 54 54 64¼ 65 45¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 13% 6.80 3.02  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
1  KENTUCKY JOKER 1 1 32 42 42½ 54½ 57 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 5.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
4  CANAVALL 2 3 21 2½ 2nk 33½ 67½ (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 12.91  
  (by KANTHAROS out of PALMA by MALIBU MOON)
7  TEXAS PRIDE 4 5 86 76¾ 79¼ 710 713¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 31.77  
  (by CURLIN out of GIFTING by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  DR KRINGLE 3 7 75½ 89¼ 813¾ 816 823½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 5.00 4.14  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 125 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
SCR  DREAMWITHINADREAM               (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SUDESTADA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MOUNT CRAIG               (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 125 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FLASH FORWARD by SCROLL)
SCR  MR. KEATING               (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TWEETERDINI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  RUNNINGFORJOY               (tomlinson michael )GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JOY FILLED by PULPIT)
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker jam)TORRES A 125 8.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
 
ELP-7   06/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :473 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GLORIA'S PRINCESS 9 3 11 11 1½ 11½ 11 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 50% 1.00 0.65 W
3  MISREAD 3 2 42½ 53½ 42 43½ 21 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 10% 8.90 4.10 P
10  FIDDLE 10 5 21 21 2½ 21½ 32 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 17.30 38.34 S
6  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 6 4 32 32 31½ 32 42¼ (d'amato phil)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 11.07  
4  AIN'T BROKE 4 6 64½ 65 63½ 54½ 52¾ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 26.31  
2  MO SHIRO 2 1 76½ 86 96 65½ 64¼ (catalano w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 6.56  
5  WORK OF FICTION 5 8 86½ 75½ 86 77½ 75 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 19.32  
1  HELENS WELL (IRE) 1 10 98 96½ 74½ 87½ 87¼ (reed r)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 29.45  
7  LADY COMMANDER 7 9 109 108 108 1010½ 910 (fires h)COURT K 124 15.00 42.91  
8  SWISS FRANC 8 7 53 43 52½ 99½ 1012¼ (devaux ch)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 8% 11.10 28.89  
SCR  OPENING NIGHT               (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00    
SCR  SHEWILLGHOSTU               (mott rile)TORRES A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   06/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:09     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE LIGHT 3 4 2½ 3.2   11 11½ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10 W
5  ZAMBEZI 5 2 41 42¾   42 21½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 37% 1.70 5.27 P
7  SWEET CHERRY PIE 7 7 31 2nk   21 32½ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 39% 1.60 0.56 S
1  BOHEMIAN BO 1 3 1½ 1nk   31½ 49¼ (vance tho)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.37  
8  BOURBON BASH 8 1 86¼ 54¼   54½ 59¼ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 11.65  
6  BRAZEN BOY 6 5 53 64¾   66½ 611 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 39.08  
4  GOLD LUCK 4 8 76 88¾   79½ 714¼ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 49.04  
2  EDDIE M 2 6 63½ 78¾   812½ 814½ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.48  
 
ELP-9   06/25/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :452 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL FLOWER 1 3 11 1½   12½ 11¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 4.66  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MODIFICATION by VINDICATION)
7  SASSY WALKER 7 1 21 2½   22½ 21¾ (d'amato philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 11% 8.40 2.31 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
9  PELICAN LANE 9 2 32 31   44½ 33¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 4.89 S
  (by BLAME out of SEA ROAD by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  BABY GOT BACKSPIN 3 8 96 94¼   66 46 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 60% 0.70 3.82  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHOWTIME SIS by EUROEARS)
4  CUTE KHLOE 4 7 54 41½   33½ 56 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 9.47  
  (by HARD SPUN out of AMBER ROMANCE by BAHAMIAN BOUNTY (GB))
2  AMERICAN FAIRYTALE 2 5 43 52   56 66½ (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 16.51  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FAIRYLAND by SCAT DADDY)
8  ANIMAL FRIES 8 10 85½ 83¼   88½ 78½ (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 48.00  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of R NAJA by EXCHANGE RATE)
10  JENNIFER MY LOVE 10 6 74½ 73   77½ 88¾ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
5  CALLAS 5 9 106½ 105¾   1010¼ 910 (mott rile)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.83  
  (by KANTHAROS out of CHORAL SYMPHONY by A.P. INDY)
6  AMERICAN MAESTRA 6 4 64 63   98¾ 1010 (gallagher willi)HEARD TYLER 118 12.00 76.57  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of QUIET PASSAGE by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  GOING THE DISTANCE               (shirer m)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of SHEISINITTOWINIT by STUDENT COUNCIL)
SCR  GOLD TICKET               (peitz dan )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NO JOKE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MY LILY MAE               (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.