Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - June 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.18 $10.18 4.18
ELP-2   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.68  
ELP-3   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.66 $5.66  
ELP-4   Win (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $7.50  
ELP-5   Win (5/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.68 $10.68 2.68
ELP-6   Win (1/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.36  
ELP-7   Win (8/2/10/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $9.04 $9.04  
ELP-8   Win (8/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $24.12  
ELP-9   Win (10/9/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HASHTAG WINNER 4 3 65¼ 55 22½ 2½ 11¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 18% 4.70 4.09 W
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 5 2½ 2½ 12½ 1½ 21¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 7.55  
2  SHE'S GONE D'WILD 2 2 55 67 67 44 36¼ (barkley jason)PARKER L 118 10.00 10% 9.30 7.80 S
3  JUDY'S WAY 3 4 43 32½ 54 55½ 49 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 1.15  
1  APRIL'S NO FOOL 1 1 1½ 1½ 33 33½ 59½ (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 4.44  
6  SACRED BEAUTY 6 6 33 43 43½ 67 614¾ (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 118 3.50 36% 1.80 6.30  
 
ELP-2   06/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SARATOGA SECRET 3 2 21 2nk   1½ 13 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 3.34  
4  MYSTICAL CHANT 2 1 11 1nk   2½ 23 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 35% 1.90 4.26 P
7  CANDY LOVER 5 4 57 57   36½ 37½ (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 3.50 23% 3.30 6.46 S
8  RACONTEUSE 6 3 33½ 34   46½ 49¾ (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 5.90  
6  BOSSY BRUIN GAL 4 6 46½ 46½   57½ 516 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 1.08  
3  SOPHIE'S SHADOW 1 5 611½ 617   617½ 628½ (gorostieta)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 5% 17.20 28.78  
SCR  SCARLET MISS               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
SCR  Z INDY LINDY               (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
 
ELP-3   06/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTERN BET 1 2 43 21   11½ 14½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 29% 2.50 1.83 W
6  MUSICMANSANDY 6 5 21 31½   32 24½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 3.00 8% 10.90 5.70 P
4  SUNDAY GRACE 4 1 31½ 67½   57 35¾ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 5.06  
5  AWESOME LAWSON 5 4 11 11   21½ 46½ (vesty clarke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00 17.77  
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE 3 3 54 42½   44½ 57¼ (king l)CASTANON L 123 3.50 3.86  
2  BALI DREAMIN 2 6 67 57   67 67¾ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.49  
 
ELP-4   06/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :452 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISTER MMMMM 2 4 32½ 32   1nk 12½ (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 2.75  
8  DIAMOND CITY 7 1 2½ 2½   2nk 22½ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 2.20  
6  GREGORY'S PRIDE 5 7 75½ 74½   73½ 32½ (d'amato phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.47 S
7  WILLTORUN 6 6 54 53½   52¾ 42¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 16% 5.20 6.57  
4  RED HORNET 3 2 65½ 64½   42¾ 53¼ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 30.14  
2  AGENT PETER GRAVES 1 3 1½ 1½   3.2 63¾ (mott i)GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 33% 2.00 7.41  
5  ALL IN SYNC 4 5 43½ 43   63 74 (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.83  
SCR  BAYTOWN BEAR               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 121 8.00    
SCR  BROKEN RIB               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
SCR  HIGH FRONT               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50    
SCR  VULCAN               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50    
 
ELP-5   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWO RIVERS OVER 3 2 63¾ 63½ 32 31 1nk (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 22% 3.50 4.34 W
5  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 34% 1.90 0.63 P
3  SPEED INSTITUTE 2 3 52¼ 42 2½ 1nk 3.2 (toye lin)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.99 S
1  REPREHEND 1 8 86¼ 75 84¾ 44 47 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 10.64  
8  PATROLMAN 7 5 2½ 2½ 42 56½ 512½ (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 8.95  
6  PHILHARMONIC 5 7 75¾ 85 63¼ 68 615½ (zito p)LANERIE J 118 15.00 18.59  
9  TEXCOCO 8 4 3½ 31 52¼ 89½ 715¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 15% 5.80 16.76  
7  MATLOCK (IRE) 6 6 42 52½ 74¾ 78½ 816¼ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 12.00 32.97  
SCR  WINGER               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
ELP-6   06/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HEADLAND 2 3 21½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.18  
6  QUICK MUNNY 5 1 11½ 1nk   2½ 23½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.55 P
1  KANTEX 1 5 32½ 33   33½ 36¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 66% 0.50 4.79 S
4  JETS A GINNIN 3 6 57 58   56½ 49 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 5.00 5.85  
5  ROCK STAR PARKING 4 2 45 45   46 511¾ (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.38  
7  LOVE OF MY HEART 6 4 67 68½   69½ 614¼ (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.12  
8  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 7 7 77½ 711   715½ 733¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 7.69  
SCR  ATLANTIC STRIKE               (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
 
ELP-7   06/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :571     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 9 5 21 3.2   11½ 1½ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 4.00 9% 10.40 3.52 W
9  ARABIAN PRINCE 8 8 74¼ 73¼   53½ 2½ (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.53 P
3  COUNTERSTRIKE 3 3 51¾ 41¼   21½ 31¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 10.00 8% 11.80 4.42 S
11  FADETHENOISE 10 7 31 2nk   42 43½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.04  
8  FAVORITE OUTLAW 7 1 41¼ 51¾   73¾ 53¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 53% 0.90 6.65  
5  PATTON'S WAR 4 10 108¾ 108¼   96¼ 64 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 17.99  
7  TRUST DADDY 6 4 62¾ 61¾   63¾ 74½ (o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 16.16  
1  LARK'S MISCHIEF 1 2 11 1nk   31½ 85¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 20.26  
2  B D VALESKI 2 6 85¼ 84¼   85¼ 95¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 9% 9.80 3.60  
6  CADILLAC CANDY 5 9 96¾ 95¾   106½ 1010 (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.04  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley jason)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00    
SCR  MOON CAT               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  ZARTOWNIS               (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00    
 
ELP-8   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOLIDIFY 1 7 32 51¾   51¾ 1nk (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00 11.06  
8  SLAM DUNK SERMON 7 1 21½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (vance d)LANERIE J 123 2.00 34% 2.00 1.62 P
7  BEVERLY PARK 6 4 53 3.2   3.2 32½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 30% 2.30 7.13 S
3  TETSU 2 5 74 41¾   2nk 43 (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 8.21  
6  LAMUTANAATTY 5 3 11½ 2nk   4¼ 53¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 2.08  
5  SOARING BIRD 4 2 42½ 63¼   63¾ 67½ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 8.48  
4  ALEXANDROS 3 6 64 75¼   75¼ 78¾ (duncan tris)TORRES A 118 6.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   06/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRONTAL ATTACK 9 9 98 88¾ 41 13 12½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 32% 2.20 1.05 W
3  BOLTORO 3 7 76½ 77¾ 75¾ 44 22½ (casse mark)TORRES A 118 4.00 17% 5.00 5.37 P
2  BOLT'S BROAD 2 8 87 98¾ 87¾ 66¼ 35¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 7% 13.00 20.22 S
4  CHURCH SERVICE 4 1 43½ 32 31 34 47¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00 41.15  
9  PURE COUNTRY 8 5 2½ 2nk 1½ 23 58½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 24% 3.10 3.70  
6  ENGLISH CHARM 6 4 55 56 54 56 69 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 8.31  
1  BAG LADY 1 6 65½ 67½ 97¾ 810¾ 714¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 27.30  
7  MY TALLULAH 7 3 31½ 42½ 64¼ 910¾ 817¼ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 38.85  
5  WORDS OF PRAISE 5 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 79¼ 920 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.44  
SCR  BEL ROSSO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
SCR  GLAMOUR ANNA               (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  RESOURCE               (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
SCR  SAHLABIYA               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.