Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - June 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.18 $4.18 70%
ELP-3   EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-6 $46.52 $34.52 288%
ELP-5   WIN (5/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.68 $2.68 34%
    TRI (5/4/9/3)-(5/4/9/3)-(5/4/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-3 $31.57 $19.57 163%
ELP-7   EXA (8/2/10/3/9)-(8/2/10/3/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-9 $90.78 $50.78 127%
    TRI (8/2/10/3/9)-(8/2/10/3/9)-(8/2/10/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-9-3 $151.68 $121.68 406%
ELP-9   TRI (10/9/3/2/5)-(10/9/3/2/5)-(10/9/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-3-2 $37.65 $7.65 26%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HASHTAG WINNER 4 3 65¼ 55 22½ 2½ 11¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 18% 4.70 4.09 W
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 5 5 2½ 2½ 12½ 1½ 21¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 7.55  
2  SHE'S GONE D'WILD 2 2 55 67 67 44 36¼ (barkley jason)PARKER L 118 10.00 10% 9.30 7.80 S
3  JUDY'S WAY 3 4 43 32½ 54 55½ 49 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 1.15  
1  APRIL'S NO FOOL 1 1 1½ 1½ 33 33½ 59½ (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 4.44  
6  SACRED BEAUTY 6 6 33 43 43½ 67 614¾ (roberson denni)CASTANON L 118 3.50 36% 1.80 6.30  
 
ELP-2   06/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SARATOGA SECRET 3 2 21 2nk   1½ 13 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 3.34  
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER by FORT LARNED)
4  MYSTICAL CHANT 2 1 11 1nk   2½ 23 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 35% 1.90 4.26 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MUSICAL MYSTERY by CONCERTO)
7  CANDY LOVER 5 4 57 57   36½ 37½ (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 3.50 23% 3.30 6.46 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
8  RACONTEUSE 6 3 33½ 34   46½ 49¾ (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 5.90  
  (by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
6  BOSSY BRUIN GAL 4 6 46½ 46½   57½ 516 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.00 1.08  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MISS SAMMY by TALE OF EKATI)
3  SOPHIE'S SHADOW 1 5 611½ 617   617½ 628½ (gorostie)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 5% 17.20 28.78  
  (by TEXAS RED out of DEDICATION (FR) by HIGHEST HONOR (FR))
SCR  SCARLET MISS               (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of VON ROSENBERG by JOHANNESBURG)
SCR  Z INDY LINDY               (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of LINDZ WINZ by VRONSKY)
 
ELP-3   06/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTERN BET 1 2 43 21   11½ 14½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 29% 2.50 1.83 W
6  MUSICMANSANDY 6 5 21 31½   32 24½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 3.00 8% 10.90 5.70 P
4  SUNDAY GRACE 4 1 31½ 67½   57 35¾ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 5.06  
5  AWESOME LAWSON 5 4 11 11   21½ 46½ (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 125 8.00 17.77  
3  JE SUIS RAPIDE 3 3 54 42½   44½ 57¼ (king l)CASTANON L 123 3.50 3.86  
2  BALI DREAMIN 2 6 67 57   67 67¾ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 118 2.50 35% 1.90 2.49  
 
ELP-4   06/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:22 :452 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISTER MMMMM 2 4 32½ 32   1nk 12½ (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 2.75  
8  DIAMOND CITY 7 1 2½ 2½   2nk 22½ (hernandez rey)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 2.20  
6  GREGORY'S PRIDE 5 7 75½ 74½   73½ 32½ (d'amato ph)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 24% 3.10 2.47 S
7  WILLTORUN 6 6 54 53½   52¾ 42¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 16% 5.20 6.57  
4  RED HORNET 3 2 65½ 64½   42¾ 53¼ (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00 30.14  
2  AGENT PETER GRAVES 1 3 1½ 1½   3.2 63¾ (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 121 5.00 33% 2.00 7.41  
5  ALL IN SYNC 4 5 43½ 43   63 74 (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.83  
SCR  BAYTOWN BEAR               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 121 8.00    
SCR  BROKEN RIB               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00    
SCR  HIGH FRONT               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50    
SCR  VULCAN               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 2.50    
 
ELP-5   06/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:122 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWO RIVERS OVER 3 2 63¾ 63½ 32 31 1nk (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 22% 3.50 4.34 W
5  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 1.60 34% 1.90 0.63 P
3  SPEED INSTITUTE 2 3 52¼ 42 2½ 1nk 3.2 (toye lin)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.99 S
1  REPREHEND 1 8 86¼ 75 84¾ 44 47 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 10.64  
8  PATROLMAN 7 5 2½ 2½ 42 56½ 512½ (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 125 6.00 8.95  
6  PHILHARMONIC 5 7 75¾ 85 63¼ 68 615½ (zito p)LANERIE J 118 15.00 18.59  
9  TEXCOCO 8 4 3½ 31 52¼ 89½ 715¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 15% 5.80 16.76  
7  MATLOCK (IRE) 6 6 42 52½ 74¾ 78½ 816¼ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 12.00 32.97  
SCR  WINGER               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
ELP-6   06/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HEADLAND 2 3 21½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 2.18  
6  QUICK MUNNY 5 1 11½ 1nk   2½ 23½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 5.55 P
1  KANTEX 1 5 32½ 33   33½ 36¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 66% 0.50 4.79 S
4  JETS A GINNIN 3 6 57 58   56½ 49 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 5.00 5.85  
5  ROCK STAR PARKING 4 2 45 45   46 511¾ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.38  
7  LOVE OF MY HEART 6 4 67 68½   69½ 614¼ (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.12  
8  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 7 7 77½ 711   715½ 733¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 6.00 7.69  
SCR  ATLANTIC STRIKE               (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
 
ELP-7   06/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :453 :571     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 9 5 21 3.2   11½ 1½ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 4.00 9% 10.40 3.52 W
9  ARABIAN PRINCE 8 8 74¼ 73¼   53½ 2½ (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.53 P
3  COUNTERSTRIKE 3 3 51¾ 41¼   21½ 31¼ (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 10.00 8% 11.80 4.42 S
11  FADETHENOISE 10 7 31 2nk   42 43½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 10.04  
8  FAVORITE OUTLAW 7 1 41¼ 51¾   73¾ 53¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.00 53% 0.90 6.65  
5  PATTON'S WAR 4 10 108¾ 108¼   96¼ 64 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00 17.99  
7  TRUST DADDY 6 4 62¾ 61¾   63¾ 74½ (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 16.16  
1  LARK'S MISCHIEF 1 2 11 1nk   31½ 85¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 6.00 20.26  
2  B D VALESKI 2 6 85¼ 84¼   85¼ 95¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 9% 9.80 3.60  
6  CADILLAC CANDY 5 9 96¾ 95¾   106½ 1010 (arnold geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.04  
SCR  AMANI'S EAGLE               (barkley jaso)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00    
SCR  MOON CAT               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 118 15.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD               (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  ZARTOWNIS               (devaux cherie)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 12.00    
 
ELP-8   06/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOLIDIFY 1 7 32 51¾   51¾ 1nk (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 12.00 11.06  
8  SLAM DUNK SERMON 7 1 21½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (vance d)LANERIE J 123 2.00 34% 2.00 1.62 P
7  BEVERLY PARK 6 4 53 3.2   3.2 32½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 30% 2.30 7.13 S
3  TETSU 2 5 74 41¾   2nk 43 (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 8.21  
6  LAMUTANAATTY 5 3 11½ 2nk   4¼ 53¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 2.08  
5  SOARING BIRD 4 2 42½ 63¼   63¾ 67½ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 8.48  
4  ALEXANDROS 3 6 64 75¼   75¼ 78¾ (duncan tr)TORRES A 118 6.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   06/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRONTAL ATTACK 9 9 98 88¾ 41 13 12½ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 32% 2.20 1.05 W
  (by WAR FRONT out of LADY OF KYUSHU by SMART STRIKE)
3  BOLTORO 3 7 76½ 77¾ 75¾ 44 22½ (casse mar)TORRES A 118 4.00 17% 5.00 5.37 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
2  BOLT'S BROAD 2 8 87 98¾ 87¾ 66¼ 35¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 7% 13.00 20.22 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
4  CHURCH SERVICE 4 1 43½ 32 31 34 47¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00 41.15  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
9  PURE COUNTRY 8 5 2½ 2nk 1½ 23 58½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 125 4.50 24% 3.10 3.70  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
6  ENGLISH CHARM 6 4 55 56 54 56 69 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 8.31  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LINDA by SCAT DADDY)
1  BAG LADY 1 6 65½ 67½ 97¾ 810¾ 714¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 27.30  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAGHDARIA by ROYAL ACADEMY)
7  MY TALLULAH 7 3 31½ 42½ 64¼ 910¾ 817¼ (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 38.85  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CHIT CHATTER by LOST SOLDIER)
5  WORDS OF PRAISE 5 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 79¼ 920 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.44  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BEL ROSSO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
SCR  GLAMOUR ANNA               (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of GLAMOUR N GLORY by NEWSPROBE)
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BITTER LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  RESOURCE               (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REMIT by HUCKSTER)
SCR  SAHLABIYA               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ORCHARD BEACH by TAPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.