The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Saturday - April 08, 2023

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AQU-1   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
:24 :474 1:124 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRICK THE GREAT 6 2 1 1 1 13 1(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00 13% 6.60 2.80 W
UNION LIGHTS 5 5 6 54 3 32(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 1.80 1.60  
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 3 1 2 2 2 23 3(noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7.90  
ROMANOATSEE 7 6 5 6 610½ 54(barrow pau)DAVIS A 125 12.00 23.60  
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 1 4 3 3 5 65(morley thomas)TORRES A 122 2.00 47% 1.10 4.00  
GRAND MANNER 2 3 43 4 45 46(gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 6% 14.80 16.70  
KONG LOVES A FIGHT 4 7 78 7 714 712¼ 715¾ (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 6.00  
 
AQU-2   04/08/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:221 :453 :57     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN FUTURE 4 5 21 2½   11¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 30% 2.40 3.90 W
LOON CRY 5 2 4 3   22¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 25% 3.00 1.60 P
CERRETTA 2 9 9 9   55 3(bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 11.10  
MZ BIG BUCKS 1 7 3 4   34(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 14.00  
MY CARA MIA MINE 7 10 8 8   65 56 (friedman mitch)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 15.00 19.60  
10  CENTRAL SPEED 9 1 53 52   44 67 (terranova john)TORRES A 113 12.00 15.70 DQ↓8
11  BUSHWICK 10 3 1010¼ 10   812 714½ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 72.00  
PHINNEYS HARBOR 3 4 11 1½   78 826 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 5% 17.90 23.60  
LADY LAOBAN 6 8 74 7   9100 9100 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 19% 4.20 9.00  
AUTUMN 8 6 63 63   10100 10100 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 4.00  
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 118 20.00    
 
AQU-3   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Gazelle Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 1:27
:242 :493 1:142 1:39   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROMISEHER AMERICA 4 6 31 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 12.00 26.50  
GAMBLING GIRL 2 3 64 64 6 4¾ 2½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 5.70  
SHIDABHUTI 6 4 5 5 5 2nk 32 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 14% 6.10 3.05 S
CAPELLA 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 544 (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 32% 2.20 4.00  
OCCULT 5 5 21 31 31 3½ 5(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 20% 4.10 1.80  
FROSTY O TOOLE 3 1 42 4 4 66(pletcher todd )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.50 3.75  
 
AQU-4   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:234 :474 1:123 1:25   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET IT RIDE 4 3 1½ 1½ 11 113 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 0.80 36% 1.80 0.50 W
SUBROGATE 5 2 2½ 4 4 223 (duarte jr)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 6.70  
TREATY OBLIGATION 3 7 4 2½ 21 33(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50 4.30 S
MISTICAL CURLIN 7 1 6 31 31 44(rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 126 12.00 7% 12.90 15.20  
AMERICAN HUSTLE 1 5 3 5 5 54 58 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 8% 11.90 6.80  
COMMON PROSPERITY 6 6 7 6 610¼ 610½ 613 (de paz)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 42.00  
EQUALIZER 2 4 52 77 714¼ 722½ 740½ (metivier richa)HARKIE K 126 50.00 66.50  
 
AQU-5   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
:233 :492 1:133 1:254   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRYINMYHEARTOUT 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (camejo jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 23.30  
1A  UTILIZATION RATE (FR) 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 3.2 2¼ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 47% 1.10 0.75  
MONETIZE IT (GB) 4 2 3 42 3 1nk 3¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60 0.75 S
ZAPPERA 3 4 76 76 6 44(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 13.00  
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 7 6 54 52 7 55(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 31% 2.30 4.00  
BOLLINGER 1 8 89 8 8 76(motion graha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00 15.20  
BILOXI BLUES 2 7 66 6 5 675 (mcgaughey claude )CANCEL ERIC 118 5.00 6.80  
UNDOUBTEDLY 8 5 42 31 4 88(mott william )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 7.20  
SCR  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT               (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  MY GIRL JAL               (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
 
AQU-6   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Bay Shore Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:09
:233 :464 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY FRESHWATER 5 1 3 31   11 1(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 24% 3.10 3.15 W
GILMORE 2 7 4 5   47 2(walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 P
VICTORY WAY 3 5 2½ 2½   21 3(mott william )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 18% 4.70 2.20 S
EXPECTED VALUE 6 6 7 68   54(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5.10  
DAYDREAMING BOY 4 4 63 45   68 5(linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00 21.40  
PROVE RIGHT 7 2 1½ 1½   37 610¾ (chapman james )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 5.70  
ARREBATO 1 3 5 7   713½ 713½ (chatterpau)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00 58.75  
 
AQU-7   04/08/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
:244 :492 1:131 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW GINYA 1 6 63 8 6 31 1(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.80 38% 1.60 1.65 W
COLLABORATION 9 5 2½ 2½ 1nk 11 2(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6.60 P
SWEETEST PRINCESS 7 4 3 3 3 21 3(weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 9.80  
WATERVILLE 3 2 4 42 4 443 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 3.50 8% 11.90 4.10  
LADY JASMINE 2 7 52 52 5 65(donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5.30  
EAU CLAIRE 4 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 56(delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 7% 13.30 7.50  
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 5 3 7 63 7 77(rice linda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 10.00 12.80  
SHASI 6 8 9 9 96 98(donk david)VARGAS A 118 20.00 36.25  
AMANDA'S FOLLY 8 9 8 7 84 8911½ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 41.75  
SCR  MY FIRST LOVE               (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-8   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Carter Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
:222 :444 1:094     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOPPELGANGER 6 2 57 57   53 1(russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 17.90  
REPO ROCKS 4 4 4 4   32(ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 1.80 0.80  
EXPRESSMAN 3 3 2½ 34   42 3(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 117 12.00 7.90 S
TODAY'S FLAVOR 1 5 1½ 1½   14(weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 117 6.00 5% 18.60 3.10  
BOLD JOURNEY 2 6 6 610½   65(mott i)CANCEL ERIC 114 12.00 9.50  
LITTLE VIC 5 1 3½ 2½   26(avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 3.00 45% 1.20 6.10  
SCR  WHITE ABARRIO               (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-9   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
:232 :464 1:104 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERONICA GREENE 6 6 6 613½ 58 1½ 1(brown c)ORTIZ L 127 1.40 28% 2.60 1.20 W
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) 2 3 57 512 3 2½ 2(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.00 24% 3.20 2.30 P
CANDLE 4 2 25 2 25 31 3(mcgaughey cla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 3.45  
CAIRONI 3 1 3 310 47 53 45 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 15.20  
YO CUZ 1 4 15 1 15 43 510¾ (mott willia)VARGAS A 127 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
INTO HAPPINESS 7 7 711 719½ 718 613 612¼ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 20.00 26.75  
GEYSER ROAD 5 5 4 412 614 714 715 (abreu r)PENNINGTON F 120 20.00 25.00  
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.20 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-10   04/08/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
:214 :443 :561     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WEEKEND RAGS 11 5 3½ 2nk   1½ 1(abreu r)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50 55% 0.80 4.20 W
SNOWY EVENING 6 7 7 6   52(donk david)VARGAS A 118 20.00 30.25  
STRICTLY TABOO 5 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 3(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 16% 5.40 3.15 S
SHE'S A NATURAL 2 10 9 7   645 (sciacca gary)SAMUEL L 125 30.00 52.25  
RED HOT CHICK 7 4 8 84   755 (maker j)CANCEL ERIC 118 4.00 4.90  
ADMIRE MY CROWN 1 8 2½ 4   34 6(handal ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 13.30  
CHARISSE 3 11 11 106   976 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 24.50  
LAKESIDE GETAWAY 4 6 5 31   44 87 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 6% 14.70 3.70  
LIMANI 9 1 41 52   898 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00 12.00  
GALATRONA 8 2 6 9   1011¼ 1013 (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 9.00  
10  PRACTICAL JULIA 10 9 10 1126   1141¼ 11100 (de horacio)ORTIZ L 125 15.00 22.40  
SCR  INDE SYMPHONY               (englehart s)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
AQU-11   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Wood Memorial Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 6:16
:244 :49 1:124 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD MILES 7 3 3 4 42 3.2 1hd (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 30.00 59.25  
13  HIT SHOW 12 6 5 53 5 4¼ 2hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 22% 3.60 1.70 P
DREAMLIKE 1 1 42 31 2½ 1nk 3.15 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 28% 2.60 3.30 S
ARCTIC ARROGANCE 6 2 1½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 4(rice linda)VARGAS A 123 6.00 13% 6.50 7.30  
11  CLASSIC CATCH 10 12 11 1110¾ 1110¼ 65(pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 9.80  
SLIP MAHONEY 5 7 8 7 7 56(cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 10% 9.40 4.40  
SHADOW DRAGON 2 9 107 1010¼ 10 78 710 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 22.60  
KNOX 3 8 63 6 6 89 810½ (joseph saf)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 50.00 94.75  
CRUPI 8 10 12 1212¾ 1211¾ 1010 910¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 17.30  
GENERAL BANKER 4 4 96 9 9 91013½ (ferraro w)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00 46.25  
12  MR. SWAGGER 11 5 7 8 8 1113½ 1127¼ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 123 30.00 79.25  
10  UNCLE JAKE 9 11 2½ 1nk 32 1220½ 1242¾ (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00 25.00  
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR               (walden william)HARKIE K 123 15.00 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.