Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (4/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-3   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (4/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-9   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-10   Win (11/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-11   Win (1/13/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Mar12 Feb25 Jan08 Feb19 Jan22 (morley thomas)TORRES A 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
GRAND MANNER Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 12.00 6% 14.80    
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Mar31 Mar05 Jan29 Nov27 Oct22 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Feb12 Jan21 Jan08 Dec15 Nov13 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00    
UNION LIGHTS Feb26 Jan07 Dec17 Nov06 Sep29 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 1.80    
PATRICK THE GREAT Mar25 Jan27 Jan21 Dec11 Aug11 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00 13% 6.60    
ROMANOATSEE Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Dec31 (barrow pau)DAVIS A 125 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/08/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MZ BIG BUCKS         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
CERRETTA Nov17 Oct09 Aug31 Jul16 May21 (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
PHINNEYS HARBOR Mar12         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 5% 17.90    
STOLEN FUTURE Mar05         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE         (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 118 20.00    
LOON CRY Dec03         (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
LADY LAOBAN         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 19% 4.20    
MY CARA MIA MINE Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 Jul23 Feb05 (friedman mitch)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 15.00    
AUTUMN         (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00    
10  CENTRAL SPEED Dec17 Nov19 Oct30     (terranova john)TORRES A 113 12.00    
11  BUSHWICK Feb20         (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
 
AQU-3   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Gazelle Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 1:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPELLA Mar04 Feb03 Dec29     (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
GAMBLING GIRL Feb25 Jan14 Dec03 Oct30 Sep23 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
FROSTY O TOOLE Mar08 Feb04 Jan15 Dec18   (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
PROMISEHER AMERICA Feb19 Jan15 Dec15     (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
OCCULT Jan14 Dec18 Sep17     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
SHIDABHUTI Mar04 Jan22 Sep17     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
AQU-4   04/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN HUSTLE Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 Jul30   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 8% 11.90    
EQUALIZER Feb25 Aug15       (metivier richa)HARKIE K 126 50.00    
TREATY OBLIGATION Mar04 Jan28       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
LET IT RIDE Mar04         (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 0.80 36% 1.80    
SUBROGATE         (duarte jr)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00    
COMMON PROSPERITY         (de paz)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
MISTICAL CURLIN Feb02 Dec15 Nov06 Oct03 Aug04 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 126 12.00 7% 12.90    
 
AQU-5   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONETIZE IT (GB) Jan26 Sep24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.60    
1A  UTILIZATION RATE (FR) Mar05         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
BOLLINGER         (motion graha)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 8.00    
BILOXI BLUES Feb26 Jan29 Nov10     (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
ZAPPERA         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
TRYINMYHEARTOUT Mar04 Feb05 Jan07     (camejo jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  MY GIRL JAL Mar17 Feb17       (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 118 30.00    
SHE'S MO BUBBLY Feb24 Jan21       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 31% 2.30    
UNDOUBTEDLY Feb19 Jan05 Nov12     (mott william )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00    
SCR  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Mar04 Feb05 Dec04 Jul31   (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
 
AQU-6   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bay Shore Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 3:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARREBATO Mar11 Feb24 Feb12     (chatterpau)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 30.00    
GILMORE Mar04 Feb11 Dec10 Nov13   (walsh p)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
VICTORY WAY Mar04         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.50 18% 4.70    
DAYDREAMING BOY Mar22 Feb11 Jan03 Dec05 Nov01 (linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 8.00    
JOEY FRESHWATER Mar19 Feb11 Jan01 Nov27 Nov06 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
EXPECTED VALUE Sep18 Aug20       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
PROVE RIGHT Mar31 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 Dec11 (chapman james )BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
 
AQU-7   04/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW GINYA Nov06 Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 Jun25 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.80 38% 1.60    
LADY JASMINE Sep01 Aug03       (donk david)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
WATERVILLE Nov06 Sep05 Aug12 Apr10   (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 3.50 8% 11.90    
EAU CLAIRE Mar11 Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Oct22 (delacour arnaud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 7% 13.30    
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Nov19 Nov06 Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00    
SHASI Mar12 Feb02 Jan12     (donk david)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Mar17 Feb19 Jan14 Nov18 Oct08 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00    
AMANDA'S FOLLY Mar12 Feb18 Jan06 Nov26 Oct23 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
COLLABORATION Sep15 Aug03       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  MY FIRST LOVE Mar05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec10 Nov13 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
AQU-8   04/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC14 FAST Carter Purse ($300K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Nov27 Sep23 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 117 6.00 5% 18.60    
BOLD JOURNEY Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 114 12.00    
EXPRESSMAN Feb10 Dec23 Sep17 Aug13   (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 117 12.00    
REPO ROCKS Feb25 Jan28 Jan04 Nov23 Oct29 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 1.80    
LITTLE VIC Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 Nov26 Oct20 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  WHITE ABARRIO Mar04 Jan28 Dec03 Sep24 Jul23 (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
DOPPELGANGER Feb24 Jan27 Jul09 Jun11 May07 (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00    
 
AQU-9   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO CUZ Feb25 Jan07 May30 Apr24 Mar27 (mott willia)VARGAS A 127 10.00 5% 19.00    
EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Jan14 Nov20 Sep16 Apr15   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.00 24% 3.20    
CAIRONI Jan28 Jan07 Nov18 Oct29 Sep30 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00    
CANDLE Feb12 Nov04 Aug28 Jul31   (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50    
GEYSER ROAD Feb12 Dec18 Oct27     (abreu r)PENNINGTON F 120 20.00    
VERONICA GREENE Nov13 Sep18 Jul23 Jun09 Apr15 (brown c)ORTIZ L 127 1.40 28% 2.60    
INTO HAPPINESS Feb24 Jan12 Dec11 Sep23 Jan14 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 20.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Mar12 Feb12 Jan19 Dec17 Nov04 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.20 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-10   04/08/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRE MY CROWN Nov17 Jul23       (handal ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00    
SHE'S A NATURAL Feb10 Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 May30 (sciacca gary)SAMUEL L 125 30.00    
CHARISSE Mar11         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
LAKESIDE GETAWAY Mar16 Feb11 Jan08 Dec07 Oct28 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 6% 14.70    
STRICTLY TABOO Jan08         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 16% 5.40    
SNOWY EVENING Feb24 Jan27 Jul28 Jul04   (donk david)VARGAS A 118 20.00    
RED HOT CHICK Sep17 Aug17       (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00    
GALATRONA Sep30         (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
LIMANI Feb10 Apr10 Feb13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
10  PRACTICAL JULIA Feb10         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 125 15.00    
11  WEEKEND RAGS Jan14 Nov20 Oct30     (abreu r)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  INDE SYMPHONY         (englehart s)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
AQU-11   04/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Wood Memorial Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 6:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMLIKE Mar11 Feb11       (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
SHADOW DRAGON Mar04 Feb04 Oct30 Sep29   (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
KNOX Mar24 Feb23 Dec03 Oct01 Aug06 (joseph saf)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 50.00    
GENERAL BANKER Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec17 Nov26 (ferraro w)PENNINGTON F 123 20.00    
SLIP MAHONEY Mar04 Jan21 Dec17 Nov19   (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  CLEAR THE AIR Mar04 Feb11 Jan06 Aug28   (walden william)HARKIE K 123 15.00 7% 12.60    
ARCTIC ARROGANCE Feb11 Jan07 Dec03 Oct30 Sep29 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 13% 6.50    
LORD MILES Mar11 Feb04 Jan01 Nov19   (joseph saffie )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 30.00    
CRUPI Feb18 Jan21 Nov20 Oct14 Sep03 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
10  UNCLE JAKE Mar10 Jan29       (russell brittan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 20.00    
11  CLASSIC CATCH Mar02 Jan13 Nov20 Oct22   (pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
12  MR. SWAGGER Mar04 Jan28       (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 123 30.00    
13  HIT SHOW Feb11 Dec17 Nov26 Oct09   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.