Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $16.30 $4.30 36%
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/4)-(5/1/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-2-4 $19.00 $1.00 6%
    SFT (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/2/4)-(5/1/3/2/4)-(5/1/3/2/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-2-4-3 $11.65 $4.45 62%
AQU-3   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/1/6)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00  1-2-2 $37.50 $10.50 39%
AQU-5   EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $16.50 $4.50 38%
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/1/5)-(3/4/6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-4-3 $23.87 $5.87 33%
AQU-6   DD (3/4/6)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-4 $10.60 $1.60 18%
AQU-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.50 $0.50 8%
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $13.30 $1.30 11%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMAWAYSEVEN   (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 25% 3.00 4.10 W
HERECOMES SCARLETT   (mice)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.50 1.25 P
GRACEFUL   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 3.20 S
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE   (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 13% 6.80 22.90  
BELLA COSA   (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 2.60  
SCR  BALENTINA   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREATEST LOVE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 36% 1.80 0.40 W
ICY REPLY   (sanchez-salomon)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 5.30 P
TWICE SMITTEN   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 2.80 S
BELLS ON HER TOES   (metivier ric)HARKIE K 123 20.00 14.80  
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY   (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  STENCIL   (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-3   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREDDYMO FACTOR   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.90 W
1A  BASTET   (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 1.80 7% 13.90 1.20  
RAFFINITY   (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 1.20 S
RUN UP THE SCORE   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.85  
MORE MANGO   (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 19.00  
EASY PLAY   (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 29.50  
IDAKA   (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 12.00 17.80  
SCR  LONDON GOLD   (persaud rand)TORRES A 113 6.00    
 
AQU-4   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYHEM MISS   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 6.20  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MAYHEM MIZZ by EXCHANGE RATE)
SPELTERINI   (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 52% 0.90 0.45 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
RISK FREE   (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 22% 3.50 3.55 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
COOLCALM COLLECTED   (hills )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 8.90  
  (by COLLECTED out of GOOD NEWS TODAY by FLYING PASTER)
MY GIRL JAL   (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 120 12.00 28.50  
  (by PALACE out of DYNAMITE DAME by EL PRADO (IRE))
TOOSHAY   (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 43.00  
  (by MO TOWN out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
AQU-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORGAY   (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 5.00 8% 12.30 2.20 W
ACHILLES HEEL   (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 25% 3.00 5.10 P
AFJAN   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 3.00 43% 1.40 2.30 S
LEGENDARY LORE   (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 2.30  
CLASH A. J.   (jones eduard)HARKIE K 125 12.00 19.50  
OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 10.00 13.90  
SCR  GOING IN STYLE   (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
SCR  PRESSURE   (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 3.50    
 
AQU-6   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 3:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.05 W
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 9% 10.70 2.15 P
SWEETEST PRINCESS   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 5.10 S
MONROE   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.85  
LAVON   (coffey m)DAVIS A 122 20.00 58.00  
HARLAN'S BOND   (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 12.00 29.50  
LUNA LOCA   (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 6.80  
 
AQU-7   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMMASGOTTARUN   (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 3.60  
HONEY MONEY   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60 P
MOVIE MOXY   (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
TONED UP   (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 13.40  
PHAROAH'S HEART   (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.75  
SELF ISOLATION   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 16.20  
 
AQU-8   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEN CENT TOWN   (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 51% 1.00 2.25 W
  (by REDESDALE out of HELEONOR RUGBY by TRIBAL RULE)
EMPIRE SKY   (crook-demasi ka)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80 19% 4.40 2.75 P
  (by KLIMT out of ILLUSIONAL SKY by SKY MESA)
ON THE LEDGE   (nevin )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 8% 11.30 2.90 S
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of BILEAPS AND BOUNDS by DISCO RICO)
SCHERZANDO   (scia)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 5.00 6.70  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
TIE BREAKER   (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 26.00  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SHE'LL BE RIGHT by SKY MESA)
SUPERB SURPRISE   (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 6.00 5.20  
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of MIZ LYNNE KELLY by LANGFUHR)
CENTRAL STATION   (jerkens stev)HARKIE K 111 30.00 46.50  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
STONECOLDWARRIOR   (clarke dylan)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00 49.25  
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of NORTHERN WARRIOR by DESERT WARRIOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.