The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Friday - March 17, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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AQU-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:231 :474 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMAWAYSEVEN 1 3 1½ 11½   16½ 16¼ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 25% 3.00 4.10 W
2  HERECOMES SCARLETT 2 1 2½ 21½   26½ 26¼ (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.50 ★ 1.25 P
4  GRACEFUL 4 5 54½ 32½   38 38¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 ★ 3.20 S
3  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE 3 4 43 53   411 415 (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 13% 6.80 22.90  
6  BELLA COSA 5 2 31 42½   512 520¼ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 2.60  
SCR  BALENTINA               (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.00 36% 1.80    
 
AQU-2   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
:231 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GREATEST LOVE 1 1 1nk 2½   1½ 12¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 36% 1.80 0.40 W
5  ICY REPLY 4 3 2nk 1½   2½ 22¼ (sanchez-salomon r)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 ★ 5.30 P
3  TWICE SMITTEN 2 2 31 34   33½ 36¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 ★ 2.80 S
4  BELLS ON HER TOES 3 4 49 410½   49½ 412¾ (metivier richa)HARKIE K 123 20.00 14.80  
SCR  SARATOGA BEAUTY               (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  STENCIL               (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
AQU-3   03/17/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
:23 :472 1:14     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FREDDYMO FACTOR 1 7 77¼ 67½   22½ 11 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 16% 5.30 2.90 W
1A  BASTET 4 4 52¾ 3½   12½ 21 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 1.80 7% 13.90 1.20  
1  RAFFINITY 3 2 41¼ 44   43 32¼ (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.80 ★ 1.20 S
5  RUN UP THE SCORE 5 1 1nk 2nk   32½ 46½ (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 56% 0.80 1.85  
7  MORE MANGO 7 3 65¾ 711   68½ 58¼ (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 19.00  
4  EASY PLAY 2 6 2nk 1nk   57½ 69¾ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00 ★ 29.50  
6  IDAKA 6 5 31 55   711 715 (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 122 12.00 17.80  
SCR  LONDON GOLD               (persaud randi)TORRES A 113 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:55
:23 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MAYHEM MISS 2 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 1¾ (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 ★ 6.20  
5  SPELTERINI 5 3 34 31½   3½ 2¾ (mott i)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.00 52% 0.90 0.45 P
4  RISK FREE 4 2 45½ 45   42 31¼ (delauro j)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.00 22% 3.50 3.55 S
1  COOLCALM COLLECTED 1 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 43½ (hills ti)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 ★ 8.90  
6  MY GIRL JAL 6 6 610½ 515   517 518½ (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 120 12.00 28.50  
3  TOOSHAY 3 5 510 617   617½ 619¾ (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 ★ 43.00  
 
AQU-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:234 :474 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NORGAY 4 2 31 3½ 1nk 12 13 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 5.00 8% 12.30 2.20 W
4  ACHILLES HEEL 3 5 42 41½ 31½ 33 23 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 125 4.50 25% 3.00 5.10 P
3  AFJAN 2 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 33 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 3.00 43% 1.40 2.30 S
8  LEGENDARY LORE 6 3 53 52½ 66¼ 49 416 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.00 2.30  
7  CLASH A. J. 5 6 67 65½ 56 511½ 519¾ (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 125 12.00 19.50  
2  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT 1 4 1½ 1½ 45½ 611½ 620 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 10.00 13.90  
SCR  GOING IN STYLE               (bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  PRESSURE               (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-6   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 3:57
:23 :464 1:123 1:254   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDTOWN LIGHTS 4 2 52¾ 53 2nk 1nk 12¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 44% 1.30 2.05 W
7  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 7 3 2nk 2½ 1nk 2nk 22¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 9% 10.70 2.15 P
2  SWEETEST PRINCESS 2 6 67¼ 65 33½ 36 38½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 ★ 5.10 S
6  MONROE 6 1 41¾ 42 58 512½ 416¼ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.85  
5  LAVON 5 7 77¾ 75½ 47½ 411½ 517½ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 122 20.00 ★ 58.00  
3  HARLAN'S BOND 3 4 31½ 31½ 711½ 618 626 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 12.00 29.50  
1  LUNA LOCA 1 5 1nk 1½ 68½ 721 738¾ (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 6.80  
 
AQU-7   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:28
:224 :46 1:111 1:242   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOMMASGOTTARUN 3 4 41¾ 42½ 1½ 11½ 13¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 ★ 3.60  
4  HONEY MONEY 4 2 31½ 31½ 31½ 21½ 23¼ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 16% 5.30 4.60 P
2  MOVIE MOXY 2 5 57¼ 55½ 47 46½ 35 (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 3.00 17% 5.00 7.60 S
1  TONED UP 1 6 613¾ 613½ 510½ 57 45½ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 ★ 13.40  
6  PHAROAH'S HEART 6 3 2nk 21 2½ 33 57 (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.75  
5  SELF ISOLATION 5 1 1nk 11 611½ 615 625¼ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 10.00 16.20  
 
AQU-8   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:224 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEN CENT TOWN 5 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 51% 1.00 2.25 W
1  EMPIRE SKY 1 6 63¼ 41¼   3½ 2nk (crook-demasi kath)CARMOUCHE K 125 1.80 19% 4.40 2.75 P
4  ON THE LEDGE 4 3 1nk 2nk   2½ 34½ (nevin mi)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 4.00 8% 11.30 2.90 S
2  SCHERZANDO 2 5 41¾ 31   44 47 (sciacc)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 5.00 ★ 6.70  
3  TIE BREAKER 3 7 73¾ 57¼   59½ 512½ (dugga)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 ★ 26.00  
6  SUPERB SURPRISE 6 8 810¾ 710¾   611½ 612¾ (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 125 6.00 5.20  
7  CENTRAL STATION 7 2 31½ 67¾   712½ 719 (jerkens steven)HARKIE K 111 30.00 46.50  
8  STONECOLDWARRIOR 8 1 52¼ 811¾   818½ 827 (clarke dylan)OLVER MADISON 118 20.00 49.25  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.