Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   EXA (7/4/9/3)-(7/4/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-9 $106.75 $90.75 567%
SAR-4   EXA (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $19.60 $7.60 63%
    TRI (1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-1 $38.87 $26.87 224%
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $21.10 $9.10 76%
    PK3 (2/3/7/9/1)-(5/3/4)-(1/6/5/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-5-7 $119.00 $59.00 98%
SAR-5   WIN (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    EXA (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    TRI (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-1-4 $27.37 $15.37 128%
    SFT (1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7)-(1/4/3/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-1-4-7 $18.62 $16.22 676%
    DD (1/6/5/7)-(1/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-3 $33.00 $17.00 106%
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00  5-7-3 $150.75 $102.75 214%
    PK4 (2/3/7/9/1)-(5/3/4)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/4/3/7) 240 $0.50 $120  2/10/11-5-7-3 $265.75 $145.75 121%
    PK5 (7/4/9/3)-(2/3/7/9/1)-(5/3/4)-(1/6/5/7)-(1/4/3/7) 960 $0.50 $480  7-2/10/11-5-7-3 $1412.00 $932.00 194%
SAR-10   EXA (3/1/7/8/2)-(3/1/7/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-7 $23.60 $3.60 18%
    TRI (3/1/7/8/2)-(3/1/7/8/2)-(3/1/7/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-7-2 $76.00 $46.00 153%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JIMMYTHETOOTH 7 3 1½ 11   11½ 13¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 53% 0.90 3.10 W
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SILENT FRIGHT by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  HARD PAR 9 5 54½ 55   43½ 23¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.25 P
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAID ON A MISSION by STRATEGIC MISSION)
10  FILM ACADEMY 10 2 41½ 32   33 34½ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5.10  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TARRIP by GREEN DESERT)
6  PRICE IS TRUTH 6 4 31½ 21   21½ 46 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★ 5.20  
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
4  INSTAMATIC 4 10 810 710   68 57 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 17% 4.80 1.75  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SEATTLE'S BEST by SEATTLE DANCER)
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT 5 8 68 69   57½ 67 (albertrani thom)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 17.80  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
1  BALI AMOUR 1 6 78½ 812½   815 714¾ (whylie hero)RAMOS C 119 30.00 68.00  
  (by BAL A BALI out of NEBRASKA by STREET CRY)
8  I AM DADA MOON 8 1 2½ 42   714½ 821¼ (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 9.90  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GARDEN CITY by CARSON CITY)
3  SENEGAL 3 9 914½ 918½   920 923¼ (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of HOLLY'S STAR by DUBLIN)
2  CHARLIE TOUGH 2 7 1022½ 10100   10100 10100 (chichakl)SANTANA JR 119 30.00 47.00  
  (by LEOFRIC out of BETROFF TOUGH by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  BUSTIN AWAY               (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LA RIGNANA by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  SPLIT STRIKE               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
SAR-2   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:242     1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISS SAN GABRIEL 2 1 11 11 11½ 12 12¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 44% 1.30 1.75 W
4  TAP IT UP 4 4 32 32 31½ 22 22¼ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 8.30  
8  LADY JASMINE 8 2 21 21 21½ 32½ 32¼ (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.60  
7  ANILEATE 7 7 86 74 77½ 67½ 45½ (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 7% 14.10 3.75  
5  FROSTY INVASION 5 8 75 84¼ 55 56½ 56½ (schettin)DAVIS A 125 15.00 19.00  
9  SNOW LOVES A FIGHT 9 3 42½ 52½ 44½ 46 67¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
3  SISTER NELL 3 5 53½ 63½ 88 78 79¾ (jimenez jose)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 25% 2.90 9.50  
6  HARLAN'S BOND 6 9 64½ 42½ 65½ 89 811 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 12.90  
1  POUT 1 6 99 916¼ 928 939 956¾ (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 30.00 5% 19.00 39.00  
SCR  CARBON               (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
SCR  YOGI               (chichakly am)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IT TAKES HEART 5 2 21 11   14½ 19¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 42% 1.40 2.00 W
2  ARELLA STAR 2 1 11 21   24½ 29¾ (morey william)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 1.30  
1  TRY IT AGAIN 1 5 31 33½   39½ 312 (arenas marce)TORRES A 119 12.00 13.90  
4  SISTER SUPREAM 4 3 54 58   513½ 417½ (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
3  BRISKY FROLIC 3 4 42 47   413 518¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 31% 2.20 2.20  
SCR  AMERICAN BASTET               (hemingway mic)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SCR  CANDY CARAMEL               (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:213 :444 1:11     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  REIGNING CHICK 6 3 31 21   12½ 1¾ (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7% 13.40 3.05 W
6  MERAVIGLIOSO 5 1 45 43½   22½ 2¾ (dutrow richa)TORRES A 113 3.00 20% 4.10 2.90 P
1  VITAEMI 1 5 2nk 11   32½ 34½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90 2.25 S
3  GRINGOTTS 3 6 77¼ 57½   46½ 47¼ (younghans w)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 25.50  
5  BACKED BY GOLD 4 7 67¼ 68   56¾ 58½ (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 13% 6.90 9.70  
8  GAME THEORY 7 4 57 78½   713¾ 624 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 31.00  
2  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 2 2 1nk 31   69¼ 733½ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 3.50  
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
 
SAR-5   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:114 1:353   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISE EN SCENE (GB) 3 6 64¾ 64 63½ 42½ 1¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
1  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) 1 1 41¾ 31½ 32 21 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 39% 1.50 1.35 P
4  PLEASANT PASSAGE 4 4 52¾ 53 43 32 31 (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 34% 2.00 4.20 S
7  MISS CAROL ANN (IRE) 6 2 11½ 1½ 1½ 11 41¼ (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
2  SAIL BY 2 5 76¾ 78 77 68½ 55½ (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 15.00 26.00  
8  VERONICA GREENE 7 7 21½ 2½ 2½ 55 66¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 4.60  
6  BRAMBLE BAY 5 3 31½ 42 53 710 712¼ (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 28.50  
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY               (joseph saffi)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY               (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 3 8 88½ 57   42½ 12¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 5.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
8  FOCUS POCUS 8 5 21 2nk   11 22¾ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 13.60  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of FOCUS CURIOSITY by HOLY BULL)
7  LADY ARWEN 7 9 43½ 31   21 35¾ (englehart jeremia)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 ★ 2.95 S
  (by AUDIBLE out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
6  KANT CALL IT 6 4 11 1nk   31½ 48½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 3.45  
  (by KANTHAROS out of CALL IT A TRUCE by FRIEND OR FOE)
5  GRAB THE GLORY 5 1 31½ 42   54½ 512¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 49% 1.00 3.85  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
2  DREAMERY 2 7 78 812   611½ 615½ (moysey chel)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 21.30  
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
1  POSEIDON'S MIST 1 2 67½ 711½   711½ 718¾ (david carlos)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 27% 2.70 3.95  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of MY COUNTRY by BELONG TO ME)
4  REGENERATOR 4 3 55½ 69½   814½ 824½ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 43.25  
  (by AL KHALI out of MISS SPLASH by HUSBAND)
9  ARCHIVIST 9 6 910½ 920   928½ 948½ (chichakl)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.75  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of A TRUE PUSSYCAT by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
SAR-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:122 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EYES ON TARGET 3 6 75 75 76 41¼ 1¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 48% 1.10 1.45 DQ↓8
12  LANDBISCUIT 10 7 21 21 2½ 2nk 2¼ (donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.10  
10  KLICKITAT 8 3 43 42½ 54½ 31 3½ (rodriguez gu)TORRES A 113 20.00 5% 19.00 51.25 P
13  MICROSECOND 11 8 11 11 1½ 1nk 41¾ (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 29.75  
8  TOMMY BEE 6 1 31½ 31½ 31½ 61¾ 52¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 3.70  
11  SPEEDY HANS 9 5 64 64 65½ 83 63 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 18% 4.50 11.00  
3  CUPID'S CLAWS 2 10 108¾ 107½ 109¾ 104½ 74 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 10.10  
9  TARTINI 7 2 53 53 44½ 51¼ 84 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10% 9.30 8.40  
7  HUGE BIGLY 5 4 96¾ 86½ 97¾ 94½ 94¼ (diodoro )SANTANA JR 120 12.00 32.00  
6  GOLDINI 4 9 86½ 96½ 87½ 72¾ 106 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 40.50  
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 1 11 1114¼ 1112 1117¾ 1116½ 1124½ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
SCR  HEALING               (quick patri)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
SCR  MOLIERE               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  TRUCULENT               (kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2023 9240ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdstone Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NEXT 7 21 21½ 2½ 13½ 17 111¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 124 0.80 55% 0.80 0.60 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHIA BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  TIME FOR TROUBLE 5 74¾ 77½ 65 45 27 211¾ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 7.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of STARSTRUCK by GALILEO)
4  DASH ATTACK 4 42 32 42 34½ 37 315¾ (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of CERCE CAY by HARD SPUN)
2  THE SKIPPER TOO 2 53 55½ 54 67 511¾ 420 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00 12.90  
  (by BRETHREN out of KATIRA by FIRST DUDE)
1  SEA FOAM 1 11 11½ 1½ 23½ 411½ 543¼ (giangiulio mic)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of STRIKE IT RICH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  LONE ROCK 6 32 43½ 31½ 56½ 614¾ 652 (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 25% 3.10 5.10  
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
3  TREASURE TROVE 3 63¼ 65½ 76 717 729¾ 794½ (cash norman )CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 35.00  
  (by TAPIZAR out of CASHMERE by PHONE TRICK)
 
SAR-9   07/27/2023 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:13 1:374 2:013 2:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIONEERING SPIRIT 3 75¾ 710 78¼ 53 11½ 13¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 13% 6.70 2.35 W
5  GOOD SKATE 4 96¾ 812½ 810¼ 74¼ 44 23¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 12.50  
7  DRIPPING GOLD 6 21½ 23 31 11 21½ 34¾ (mcgaughey )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 25% 3.00 4.30 S
6  SERIFOS 5 53½ 68 67¼ 64 55 46 (motion gra)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00 19.40  
2  SPACE LAUNCH 1 11½ 33 21 21 33½ 57 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 38% 1.60 3.05  
3  ONENIGHTSTANDARDS 2 42½ 46 45 43 66 610¾ (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 11.40  
11  MERLIN 10 63¾ 57 55¼ 31½ 79½ 715¾ (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 126 15.00 35.75  
10  ROYNE 9 107 1013¾ 1011¾ 86¾ 817½ 827½ (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
8  NONEEDTOWORRY 7 85¾ 912¾ 911¾ 911¼ 923½ 931¾ (whylie hero)RAMOS C 122 50.00 69.50  
9  HIGH TIDE 8 32½ 13 11 1016¾ 1038½ 1069¼ (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
SCR  CORELLI               (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  CROSS BORDER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT               (diodoro rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN DISTRICT               (de h)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:212 :433 :551     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOSUA SUMMER 1 6 53½ 43   23 1½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 10% 8.90 3.65 W
7  SOUPER QUEST 6 1 1½ 1½   13 2½ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 10% 9.00 4.10 P
2  RICHY 2 2 31½ 32   33 32 (gulick m)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 6% 15.80 17.30 S
5  MACKILLOP 5 3 77½ 78   76¾ 43½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 124 6.00 10.90  
8  FAMOUS GENT 7 9 89 89   88¼ 54 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 7% 12.90 8.30  
10  TIVY 9 5 43 53   45½ 65¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 11.50  
4  THREE ZERO 4 7 64½ 66   66¾ 77 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 33.75  
3  AWESOME NATIVE 3 8 912½ 913½   913¼ 88 (abreu jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.40  
9  CHARGING 8 4 2½ 2½   55¾ 98¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 3.90  
SCR  CAMM' DUKE               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.