Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (2/3/7/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (1/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (5/1/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (5/11/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (7/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (2/7/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (3/1/7/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI AMOUR Jul07 Jun10 May23     (whylie herold)RAMOS C 119 30.00    
CHARLIE TOUGH Jul09         (chichakly )SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
SENEGAL         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
INSTAMATIC         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
SAVAGE SPIRIT         (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
PRICE IS TRUTH         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
JIMMYTHETOOTH Jul07 Jun16       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
I AM DADA MOON         (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
HARD PAR         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  FILM ACADEMY         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  BUSTIN AWAY         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 20.00    
SCR  SPLIT STRIKE Jun23         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 2.50    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POUT Jun16 Apr27 Mar30 Feb17 Oct19 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
MISS SAN GABRIEL Jun03 Apr15 Jul13     (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
SISTER NELL Jul02 Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Jan20 (jimenez l)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 25% 2.90    
TAP IT UP Jun22 Jun02 May14 Apr16 Mar20 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
FROSTY INVASION Jul02 May28 Apr14 Mar12 Feb26 (schettino )DAVIS A 125 15.00    
HARLAN'S BOND Jul03 May20 Apr22 Mar17 Feb20 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
ANILEATE Jun11 May18 Apr28 Mar12 Jan01 (ferraro w)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00 7% 14.10    
LADY JASMINE Jul15 Jun25 May29 May04 Apr08 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50    
SNOW LOVES A FIGHT Jul02 May28 Apr28 Mar23 Jul14 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARBON Jul13 Jun16 May20 May04 Apr02 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
SCR  YOGI Jul16 May19 Mar12 Dec29 Nov26 (chichakly amir)TORRES A 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRY IT AGAIN Jun22 Jun16 May21 Apr23 Mar26 (arenas marcelo)TORRES A 119 12.00    
ARELLA STAR Jun17 May20 Feb04 Jan01 Nov20 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
BRISKY FROLIC Jul09 Jun22 May28 May04 Apr21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
SISTER SUPREAM Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 Sep05 Aug14 (gorham michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
IT TAKES HEART Jun17 Apr23 Mar25 Jan28 Dec29 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  AMERICAN BASTET Feb03 Dec22 Oct23 Mar25 Feb12 (hemingway miche)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
SCR  CANDY CARAMEL Jul02 Jun03 Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITAEMI May16 May02 Mar20 Feb22 Jan17 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Jul04 May11 Apr20 Apr13 Feb19 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
GRINGOTTS Jun22 Jun02 May18 May11 Apr20 (younghans wil)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  MON PETIT CHOU Jul04 Jun02 May07 Apr06 Feb24 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
BACKED BY GOLD Jul07 Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 Dec18 (quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 10.00 13% 6.90    
MERAVIGLIOSO Jun16 May20 Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 (dutrow richard)TORRES A 113 3.00 20% 4.10    
REIGNING CHICK Jul03 Jun15 May21 Apr13 Mar18 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 6.00 7% 13.40    
GAME THEORY Jun16 Jun02 May18 May07 Apr28 (jones eduardo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTE CACHEE (FR) May26         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 39% 1.50    
SAIL BY May18 Oct14 Sep18 Aug20 May28 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 122 15.00    
MISE EN SCENE (GB) Jun16 Apr22 Dec26 Nov05   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PLEASANT PASSAGE Jun18 Apr08 Nov04 Oct01 Aug21 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY Apr22 Mar25 Dec29 Sep05 May06 (joseph saffie )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
BRAMBLE BAY Jul08 May20 Apr21 Jan26 Dec02 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
MISS CAROL ANN (IRE) May18 Sep18       (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
VERONICA GREENE Jun18 May07 Apr08 Nov13 Sep18 (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 Mar12 (barrera s)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSEIDON'S MIST         (david a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
DREAMERY Jun23         (moysey chelse)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
REGENERATOR         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRAB THE GLORY Jul09 Jun15       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
KANT CALL IT         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
LADY ARWEN         (englehart jeremiah )SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
FOCUS POCUS         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
ARCHIVIST         (chichakly )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOLIERE Jul08 Jun15 May06 Apr23 Apr08 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  TRUCULENT Jun24 Jun16 Mar26 Feb26 Jan22 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Jun18 May05 Apr02 Mar05 Feb04 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CUPID'S CLAWS Jun25 Mar31 Jan28 Nov04 Oct20 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  HEALING May20 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Dec11 (quick patrick)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
EYES ON TARGET Jun18 Apr15 Mar04 Jan01 Dec04 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
GOLDINI Jun17 May20 Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
HUGE BIGLY Jun14 May13 Apr16 Jan08 Dec30 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 120 12.00    
TOMMY BEE May11 Aug06 Jul02 May18 Apr29 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
TARTINI Jun09 May06 Apr15 Mar11 Feb11 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  KLICKITAT Jun17 May14 Nov18 Oct22 Oct13 (rodriguez gust)TORRES A 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  SPEEDY HANS May25 May11 Feb11 Dec16 Nov20 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
12  LANDBISCUIT Jun17 May20 May14 Jun23 May05 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
13  MICROSECOND May22 Apr14 Jan19 Apr16   (englehart jef)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER Jun03 May20 May05 Apr29 Apr01 (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2023 9240ft DIRT RC11 FAST Birdstone Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA FOAM May29 Feb20 Jan07 Dec17 Oct30 (giangiulio miche)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
THE SKIPPER TOO Jul02 May27 Apr08 Mar11 Feb10 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 10.00    
TREASURE TROVE Jun18 Apr06 Mar25 Mar07 Feb18 (cash l)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
DASH ATTACK Jun30 Jun11 May11 Apr28 Apr08 (mcpeek kenneth )ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIME FOR TROUBLE May20 Apr20 Mar04 Jan28 Nov12 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
LONE ROCK May03 Apr02 Jul28 Jun11 May03 (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 25% 3.10    
NEXT Jun10 May03 Nov04 Sep08 Jul16 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 124 0.80 55% 0.80    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2023 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSTIC NIGHT Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 (diodoro roberti)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  TIDE OF THE SEA Jun09 May06 Nov10 Sep16 Aug24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
SPACE LAUNCH Jul01 May27 Nov19 Sep16 Jul01 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
ONENIGHTSTANDARDS Jun09 May11 Mar30 Jan28 Dec14 (casse mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 6.00    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Jun24 Jun04 May11 Apr22 Apr02 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
GOOD SKATE Jul01 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Jan29 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
SERIFOS Jun18 May20 Oct20 Sep10 Aug11 (motion graha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
DRIPPING GOLD Jul01 May27 Apr12 Mar05 Nov19 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
NONEEDTOWORRY Jun26 Jun14 May17 Mar01 Feb13 (whylie herold)RAMOS C 122 50.00    
HIGH TIDE Jun04 Jul14 May13 May06 Apr16 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ROYNE Jun17 Nov07 Oct15 Sep10 Jul27 (brion keri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MERLIN Jul01 Jun11 Apr23 Sep03 Aug07 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 126 15.00    
SCR  CORELLI Jan28         (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  CROSS BORDER Jun09 Mar25 Nov13 Oct15 Sep24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jul08 May29 May06 Mar19 Feb02 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOSUA SUMMER Jun09 Apr20 Feb25 Jan22 Nov20 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 10% 8.90    
RICHY Jun10 May14 Apr16 Mar18 Aug27 (gulick m)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
AWESOME NATIVE May21 Apr07 Feb19 Jan14 Dec15 (abreu jorge )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
THREE ZERO Jun09 May13 Mar25 Mar10 Dec30 (abreu fernando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
MACKILLOP Sep17 Aug17 May05 Mar27   (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 124 6.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01   (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 20.00    
SOUPER QUEST Dec08         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
FAMOUS GENT Jul08 Jun09 Apr29 Apr16 Mar17 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 7% 12.90    
CHARGING May20 Apr26 Mar26 Feb05   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00    
10  TIVY May20 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 Jun09 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Jun09 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan21 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  TWELTH MAN Jul01 Jun10 May19 Feb18 Jan13 (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.