Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.16 $1.16 19%
CD-3   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $8.92 $4.92 123%
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-6 $48.30 $36.30 303%
CD-4   DD (8/6)-(3/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00  8-8 $15.23 $9.23 154%
CD-5   TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1-7-2 $9.75 $0.75 8%
    PK3 (8/6)-(3/8/10)-(1/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  8-8-1 $14.78 $5.78 64%
CD-6   WIN (10/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $18.18 $10.18 127%
    DD (1/7/2)-(10/11/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-9 $31.53 $19.53 163%
    PK3 (3/8/10)-(1/7/2)-(10/11/2/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-1-9 $36.29 $18.29 102%
CD-8   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.62 $2.62 44%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/03/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:38   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALLEGE 3 43 22 22 22 21½ 1¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.58 W
6  KISSALOT 5 12½ 12 12 12 11½ 2¼ (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 2.98  
2  LOCALLY OWNED 2 56½ 55 45 35 35 38¾ (morley th)LEPAROUX R 120 1.40 33% 2.00 1.42 S
5  SILVER DUST 4 32½ 32 33½ 48 413 425½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 3.50 4.12  
1  CURRENT 1 22½ 44 58½ 515 520 542 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 10.00 16% 5.40 12.25  
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VITEMENT 5 3 1nk     1½ 1¾ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 ★ 7.32  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of SHOWED UP LATE by DISCREET CAT)
8  SONOFASHIP 6 4 2nk     2½ 2¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 36% 1.80 1.18 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CINDY SAYS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 7 6 41½     42½ 31¾ (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 ★ 25.06 S
  (by RACE DAY out of BEAUDACIOUS LADY by BEAU GENIUS)
11  LET'S GO MARK 9 7 31     32½ 42½ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 34% 2.00 2.90  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
1  PRINCE OF POWER 1 1 73¾     66 55 (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 29.68  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
6  SUGA STEVE 4 2 52     54 66½ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 37.64  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  LOUDERMILK 8 8 62¼     76½ 712 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 6% 15.60 4.45  
  (by BERNARDINI out of ASCOT DAY by STREET SENSE)
4  FAVORITISM 3 9 86¼     89½ 812½ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 119 15.00 11.69  
  (by ENTICED out of COMANCHE PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  MI OSCURO SECRETO 2 5 910¾     913 916 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 49.18  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of STORMY DIXIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  LAUGH NOW               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of LITTLE PAO by TIZNOW)
SCR  LIL ANTHONY               (mendez luis)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of LIL NUGGET by MINING FOR MONEY)
 
CD-3   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERD IMMUNITY 8 6 11 11 1½ 12 12½ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 42% 1.40 3.46 W
6  MY REDEMPTION 6 5 32 21 2½ 22 22½ (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 33% 2.00 4.36 P
2  BAJAN RUM 2 1 75½ 44½ 33 32½ 32¾ (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00 14.91  
4  PEEKACHO 4 8 65 32½ 43½ 45½ 47 (vance r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 ★ 7.43  
5  CO CONSPIRATOR 5 4 42 66½ 57 58½ 514¾ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 4.50 4.12  
7  BLUEBERRY 7 7 811 89½ 67 611 620 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 7.41  
3  GO FOR SHERRIE 3 3 53½ 56 717 736 7100 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 8.65  
1  THAT KHENNY 1 2 21 77½ 8100 8100 8100 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 3.92  
 
CD-4   05/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GLORIA'S PRINCESS 8 2 11 11½ 11½ 13½ 16½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.58 W
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
3  WARDEYA 3 1 54 45 32 23½ 26½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 35% 1.80 2.47 P
  (by TAPIT out of SABLAH by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  BEST PERFORMER 11 7 65 77¾ 42½ 35½ 38 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 18.14  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of KINSLEY by PULPIT)
10  BLESSING THE FLAG 10 8 86 99¼ 74 57 49 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 10.00 18% 4.50 24.29  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  HOLY FOLEY 5 9 97 109¼ 97 79½ 510¾ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 18.28  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  HECKLED 9 6 21 21½ 21½ 45½ 611¾ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 5.34  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SPECKLED by STREET CRY (IRE))
13  EMPATHY 12 12 1210½ 1211¾ 129½ 810½ 712½ (abreu jorge )GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 18.80  
  (by UNCLE MO out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
7  WHAT'S TO DO 7 10 107½ 88¾ 53 68½ 813 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 12.00 ★ 31.27  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MENDING WALL by BROKEN VOW)
2  AUNT NELDA 2 11 118½ 1110¼ 107 911 913¾ (devaux che)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 21.98  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKIPPED by BROKEN VOW)
1  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 1 5 32 33½ 63½ 1013 1020¾ (o'connor robert)LANERIE J 118 20.00 35.04  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of DANCING COMPASS by ORIENTATE (GB))
6  LE LEVRE (IRE) 6 3 75½ 67½ 86½ 1115 1125¼ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 14.94  
  (by LE HAVRE (IRE) out of SUNNY AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  SUPER COOL STORM 4 4 43½ 57½ 119 1218½ 1236¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 46.36  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
SCR  LA VOIE               (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of DEBONNAIRE (ARG) by LEFTY)
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of DISPOSABLEPLEASURE by GIACOMO)
SCR  STARTERS ORDERS               (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GRACIE SQUARE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  SWEET TROUBLE               (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
CD-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:212 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWING 1 5 1½ 12   14½ 13¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.67 W
7  LEMON DROP SHOT 7 6 88½ 46½   24½ 23¼ (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 123 3.00 34% 1.90 2.05 P
2  ROAN FOR THE ROSE 2 8 75 57½   46½ 38 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 6% 17.00 6.39 S
5  GOT THE BOB 5 7 64½ 35   36 48¼ (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 15.45  
3  MULTI PLATINUM 3 2 2½ 22   58½ 519¾ (santamaria )GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 ★ 10.83  
6  MASTER LEA 6 1 54 78½   612½ 621¾ (bahena is)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 42.97  
9  SWISS GUARD 8 4 32 88½   718½ 740 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 5.00 8.46  
4  LOOT THE MOON 4 3 43½ 68   823½ 8100 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 8.89  
SCR  BRONZE BEAST               (rouck l)RIQUELME J 123 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PROUD FOOT 8 9 63 62¼   2nk 11¾ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 7% 12.80 8.09 W
8  BALL GOWN 7 1 21 3.2   31 21¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 123 12.00 13.95  
10  ELLE OF THE BALL 9 4 31 1nk   1nk 32 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 32% 2.20 3.00 S
2  CHARLEY RUDE 1 5 52½ 52¼   52½ 43 (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 11% 8.50 1.51  
5  MS HAYLEY 4 2 96¼ 107¼   63 53¾ (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 29.27  
6  MAGNA MASSA 5 3 11 2nk   42 66½ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00 39.62  
4  KILMOREY 3 10 1010¼ 96¾   87½ 710 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 37.26  
3  BIG JAVA 2 7 85¼ 84¼   76½ 813¼ (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.09  
7  AZUL TEQUILA 6 8 75 72¾   98 913¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00 ★ 17.97  
11  TWIRLING PATTI 10 6 41½ 4¾   108½ 1021½ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 28% 2.60 5.16  
SCR  QUEEN TAPITURE               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GREYS THE BOY 8 7 74¾ 75   1nk 12½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 ★ 5.37  
1  BAD TO THE BONES 1 4 62¾ 42   4¾ 22½ (mott william )ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 4.17 DH
3  ANGKOR 3 6 42 53   2nk 22½ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 49% 1.10 4.04 P
6  PATIENT CAPITAL 6 3 3½ 31   3.2 43¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90 3.41  
5  SPARTAN ARMY 5 5 52¼ 63½   52¼ 59 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 14.79  
4  TIM TAL 4 2 2½ 2½   75¾ 613½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 8.77  
2  ZIPPIN GIGI 2 1 1½ 1½   63¾ 714 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 16% 5.50 3.15  
7  AMERICAN ICON 7 8 87¼ 88   88¼ 814¼ (vasquez s)NAVAS YOEL 113 50.00 30.84  
 
CD-8   05/03/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:144 1:392 2:043 2:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WARRANT 5 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 11½ 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19% 4.20 3.31 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  RED RUN 4 44½ 54 42½ 32½ 32½ 2¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 12.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RED HOUSE by RED RYDER)
7  NEXT 6 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 21½ 34½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.38 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BAHIA BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  DECISION MAKER 2 67 66½ 64¾ 66½ 47 48¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 18.37  
  (by COURT VISION out of TOWN QUEEN by WILLIAMSTOWN)
3  CALIBRATE 3 54½ 42½ 54½ 56 58 510 (rosin cot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 7.30  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GLAMOUR AND STYLE by DYNAFORMER)
1  LONE ROCK 1 32½ 32 32½ 44 69½ 623¾ (diodoro roberti)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.14  
  (by MAJESTIC WARRIOR out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
SCR  SCARLET FUSION               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SCARLET TANGO by FRENCH DEPUTY)
 
CD-9   05/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Overnight Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DANSE MACABRE 4 2 32 3½   13 12¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 7.74  
  (by ARMY MULE out of SYLPHIDE by BLAME)
10  AMERICAN APPLE 9 1 73½ 62¾   33 22¼ (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 10.79  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of MISS MARY APPLES by CLEVER TRICK)
1  ANNA'S ARABESQUE 1 9 86½ 85¼   65 32½ (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 21.66  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
9  MY SWEET AFFAIR 8 4 42½ 41½   23 44¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.20 4.11  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
6  B G WARRIOR 5 7 52½ 51¾   43½ 54¼ (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 ★ 54.58  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  PEACOCK LASS 6 8 96¾ 97¼   97¼ 64½ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 30.46  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of VIA VILLAGGIO by BERNARDINI)
8  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 7 6 21½ 2nk   54 79 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 31% 2.20 2.00  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DONNA GETYOURGUN by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  SASSY NATURE 2 3 11½ 1nk   86¼ 810¼ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 10% 8.70 7.31  
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
4  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 3 5 63 73¼   75¼ 910¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.69  
  (by HAVANA GREY (GB) out of DUBAI LEGEND by CADEAUX GENEREUX (GB))
SCR  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of DAZZLE by SLEWACIDE)
 
CD-10   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:214 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EDDIE M 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 11¼ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.00  
4  FOREVER COOL 3 10 1012¼ 64   32½ 21¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.50 1.95 P
1  RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 31 2nk   2nk 32¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 29% 2.40 8.57 S
7  RIVOLI 6 2 62¼ 42½   44½ 45¾ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 29% 2.40 6.20  
6  BROKENHEARTED 5 6 73¼ 74½   56 57¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 7.56  
5  GOLDEN REIGN 4 5 51¾ 86   77¾ 68 (toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 34.01  
3  POWER ALLEY 2 8 41½ 53½   66¼ 79½ (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 8% 11.20 6.00  
12  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 10 9 94¼ 97   810¾ 814 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 14.84  
9  AIR KENNEY 7 3 11 32   911¾ 922 (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.85  
11  PAPA D L 9 4 84¼ 109   1015¾ 1029¾ (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 46.82  
SCR  OFFICER QUIGLEY               (stall m)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
SCR  WHEN I GET PAID               (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.