Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.16 $7.16 1.16
CD-2   Win (8/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.64  
CD-3   Win (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 4.92
CD-4   Win (3/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $5.16 $5.16  
CD-5   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
CD-6   Win (10/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $18.18 $18.18 10.18
CD-7   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $12.74  
CD-8   Win (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.62 $8.62 2.62
CD-9   Win (8/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $17.48  
CD-10   Win (7/1/3/4/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $12.00  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/03/2023 6600ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:38   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALLEGE 3 43 22 22 22 21½ 1¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.58 W
6  KISSALOT 5 12½ 12 12 12 11½ 2¼ (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 2.98  
2  LOCALLY OWNED 2 56½ 55 45 35 35 38¾ (morley thom)LEPAROUX R 120 1.40 33% 2.00 1.42 S
5  SILVER DUST 4 32½ 32 33½ 48 413 425½ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 3.50 4.12  
1  CURRENT 1 22½ 44 58½ 515 520 542 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 10.00 16% 5.40 12.25  
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   05/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:224 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VITEMENT 5 3 1nk     1½ 1¾ (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 ★ 7.32  
8  SONOFASHIP 6 4 2nk     2½ 2¾ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 36% 1.80 1.18 P
9  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 7 6 41½     42½ 31¾ (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 ★ 25.06 S
11  LET'S GO MARK 9 7 31     32½ 42½ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 34% 2.00 2.90  
1  PRINCE OF POWER 1 1 73¾     66 55 (vosler eugene )WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 29.68  
6  SUGA STEVE 4 2 52     54 66½ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 37.64  
10  LOUDERMILK 8 8 62¼     76½ 712 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 119 6.00 6% 15.60 4.45  
4  FAVORITISM 3 9 86¼     89½ 812½ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 119 15.00 11.69  
3  MI OSCURO SECRETO 2 5 910¾     913 916 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00 49.18  
SCR  LAUGH NOW               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  LIL ANTHONY               (mendez luis)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HERD IMMUNITY 8 6 11 11 1½ 12 12½ (barkley jason)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 42% 1.40 3.46 W
6  MY REDEMPTION 6 5 32 21 2½ 22 22½ (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00 33% 2.00 4.36 P
2  BAJAN RUM 2 1 75½ 44½ 33 32½ 32¾ (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00 14.91  
4  PEEKACHO 4 8 65 32½ 43½ 45½ 47 (vance r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 ★ 7.43  
5  CO CONSPIRATOR 5 4 42 66½ 57 58½ 514¾ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 118 4.50 4.12  
7  BLUEBERRY 7 7 811 89½ 67 611 620 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00 ★ 7.41  
3  GO FOR SHERRIE 3 3 53½ 56 717 736 7100 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 8.65  
1  THAT KHENNY 1 2 21 77½ 8100 8100 8100 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 3.92  
 
CD-4   05/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GLORIA'S PRINCESS 8 2 11 11½ 11½ 13½ 16½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.58 W
3  WARDEYA 3 1 54 45 32 23½ 26½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 35% 1.80 2.47 P
11  BEST PERFORMER 11 7 65 77¾ 42½ 35½ 38 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 18.14  
10  BLESSING THE FLAG 10 8 86 99¼ 74 57 49 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 10.00 18% 4.50 24.29  
5  HOLY FOLEY 5 9 97 109¼ 97 79½ 510¾ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 18.28  
9  HECKLED 9 6 21 21½ 21½ 45½ 611¾ (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 5.34  
13  EMPATHY 12 12 1210½ 1211¾ 129½ 810½ 712½ (abreu r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 18.80  
7  WHAT'S TO DO 7 10 107½ 88¾ 53 68½ 813 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 12.00 ★ 31.27  
2  AUNT NELDA 2 11 118½ 1110¼ 107 911 913¾ (devaux cheri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 21.98  
1  PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS 1 5 32 33½ 63½ 1013 1020¾ (o'connor r)LANERIE J 118 20.00 35.04  
6  LE LEVRE (IRE) 6 3 75½ 67½ 86½ 1115 1125¼ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 14.94  
4  SUPER COOL STORM 4 4 43½ 57½ 119 1218½ 1236¼ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 20.00 46.36  
SCR  LA VOIE               (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
SCR  MYSTIC PLEASURE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
SCR  STARTERS ORDERS               (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEET TROUBLE               (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:212 :444 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWING 1 5 1½ 12   14½ 13¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 36% 1.80 1.67 W
7  LEMON DROP SHOT 7 6 88½ 46½   24½ 23¼ (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 123 3.00 34% 1.90 2.05 P
2  ROAN FOR THE ROSE 2 8 75 57½   46½ 38 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 6% 17.00 6.39 S
5  GOT THE BOB 5 7 64½ 35   36 48¼ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 15.45  
3  MULTI PLATINUM 3 2 2½ 22   58½ 519¾ (santamaria ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00 ★ 10.83  
6  MASTER LEA 6 1 54 78½   612½ 621¾ (bahena isma)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00 42.97  
9  SWISS GUARD 8 4 32 88½   718½ 740 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 5.00 8.46  
4  LOOT THE MOON 4 3 43½ 68   823½ 8100 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 123 8.00 8.89  
SCR  BRONZE BEAST               (rouck l)RIQUELME J 123 12.00    
 
CD-6   05/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PROUD FOOT 8 9 63 62¼   2nk 11¾ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 123 8.00 7% 12.80 8.09 W
8  BALL GOWN 7 1 21 3.2   31 21¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 123 12.00 13.95  
10  ELLE OF THE BALL 9 4 31 1nk   1nk 32 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 32% 2.20 3.00 S
2  CHARLEY RUDE 1 5 52½ 52¼   52½ 43 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 11% 8.50 1.51  
5  MS HAYLEY 4 2 96¼ 107¼   63 53¾ (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 29.27  
6  MAGNA MASSA 5 3 11 2nk   42 66½ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 20.00 39.62  
4  KILMOREY 3 10 1010¼ 96¾   87½ 710 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 15.00 37.26  
3  BIG JAVA 2 7 85¼ 84¼   76½ 813¼ (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 10.09  
7  AZUL TEQUILA 6 8 75 72¾   98 913¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 12.00 ★ 17.97  
11  TWIRLING PATTI 10 6 41½ 4¾   108½ 1021½ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 4.00 28% 2.60 5.16  
SCR  QUEEN TAPITURE               (cash l)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:10     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GREYS THE BOY 8 7 74¾ 75   1nk 12½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 ★ 5.37  
1  BAD TO THE BONES 1 4 62¾ 42   4¾ 22½ (mott i)ORTIZ JR 123 6.00 4.17 DH
3  ANGKOR 3 6 42 53   2nk 22½ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 49% 1.10 4.04 P
6  PATIENT CAPITAL 6 3 3½ 31   3.2 43¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.50 10% 8.90 3.41  
5  SPARTAN ARMY 5 5 52¼ 63½   52¼ 59 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 8.00 14.79  
4  TIM TAL 4 2 2½ 2½   75¾ 613½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00 8.77  
2  ZIPPIN GIGI 2 1 1½ 1½   63¾ 714 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 16% 5.50 3.15  
7  AMERICAN ICON 7 8 87¼ 88   88¼ 814¼ (vasquez sr)NAVAS YOEL 113 50.00 30.84  
 
CD-8   05/03/2023 7920ft DIRT RC11 FAST Isaac Murphy Marathon Overnigh Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:144 1:392 2:043 2:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WARRANT 5 2½ 21 2½ 1nk 11½ 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19% 4.20 3.31 W
5  RED RUN 4 44½ 54 42½ 32½ 32½ 2¼ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 12.90  
7  NEXT 6 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 21½ 34½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.38 S
2  DECISION MAKER 2 67 66½ 64¾ 66½ 47 48¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 18.37  
3  CALIBRATE 3 54½ 42½ 54½ 56 58 510 (rosin coty )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 7.30  
1  LONE ROCK 1 32½ 32 32½ 44 69½ 623¾ (diodoro robertino)VAZQUEZ A 118 2.50 36% 1.80 2.14  
SCR  SCARLET FUSION               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
 
CD-9   05/03/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Mamzelle Overnight Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DANSE MACABRE 4 2 32 3½   13 12¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 7.74  
10  AMERICAN APPLE 9 1 73½ 62¾   33 22¼ (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 10.79  
1  ANNA'S ARABESQUE 1 9 86½ 85¼   65 32½ (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 30.00 21.66  
9  MY SWEET AFFAIR 8 4 42½ 41½   23 44¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.20 4.11  
6  B G WARRIOR 5 7 52½ 51¾   43½ 54¼ (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 15.00 ★ 54.58  
7  PEACOCK LASS 6 8 96¾ 97¼   97¼ 64½ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 30.46  
8  SHOOTOUTTHELIGHTS 7 6 21½ 2nk   54 79 (ward a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 31% 2.20 2.00  
3  SASSY NATURE 2 3 11½ 1nk   86¼ 810¼ (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 120 8.00 10% 8.70 7.31  
4  LADY HOLLYWOOD (GB) 3 5 63 73¼   75¼ 910¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.00 26% 2.80 2.69  
SCR  ACCOMPLISHED GIRL               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
CD-10   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:214 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  EDDIE M 8 1 21 1nk   1nk 11¼ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.00  
4  FOREVER COOL 3 10 1012¼ 64   32½ 21¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.50 1.95 P
1  RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 31 2nk   2nk 32¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 29% 2.40 8.57 S
7  RIVOLI 6 2 62¼ 42½   44½ 45¾ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.50 29% 2.40 6.20  
6  BROKENHEARTED 5 6 73¼ 74½   56 57¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 7.56  
5  GOLDEN REIGN 4 5 51¾ 86   77¾ 68 (toye li)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 34.01  
3  POWER ALLEY 2 8 41½ 53½   66¼ 79½ (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 8% 11.20 6.00  
12  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 10 9 94¼ 97   810¾ 814 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 20.00 5% 19.00 14.84  
9  AIR KENNEY 7 3 11 32   911¾ 922 (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 9.85  
11  PAPA D L 9 4 84¼ 109   1015¾ 1029¾ (forster gra)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 46.82  
SCR  OFFICER QUIGLEY               (stall m)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
SCR  WHEN I GET PAID               (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 108 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.