Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-2   TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-5 $17.25 $5.25 44%
BEL-4   WIN (8/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $25.00 $13.00 108%
    TRI (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-8-6 $94.62 $82.62 689%
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-7 $19.10 $3.10 19%
BEL-5   DD (8/7/1/6)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $13.80 $1.80 15%
BEL-8   EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $13.90 $1.90 16%

Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   06/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL 5 5 5 5   3 1¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
BEER RUN 3 1 1½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 60% 0.70 2.10 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
FLAT TOP BOX 6 3 2½ 2½   2nk 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7.00  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIL'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 4 2 42 32   42 4 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 5.70  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
AMERICAN KNOW HOW 2 4 32 43   55 59 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 7% 13.30 8.40  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
INSPECTOR POIROT (IRE) 1 6 612½ 628½   640 656 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
  (by EXPERT EYE (GB) out of GOWER SONG by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
SCR  BIG ELM               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CIGARETTE BOAT               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HONOR KING               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LANTERN GLOW by MINESHAFT)
 
BEL-2   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:153 1:39   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHOTON 7 2 25 28 2nk 11 11 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 37% 1.70 1.95 W
  (by BAYERN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
STARTS NOW 2 4 57 610½ 52 3 21 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 9% 10.00 3.50 P
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BOMB SQUAD 5 3 36 3 4 4 33 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.30 3.10 S
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DAISY CUTTER by J P HAMER)
NORTH END LADY 6 5 46 4 31 53 43 (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 26.00  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TURNING TIDE by MULA GULA)
THE SPLENDID ONE 1 1 15 18 1nk 21 5 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 5.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
BERNING HONOR 3 6 711¼ 713 6 65 66 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
  (by HONOR CODE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
STONE OF DESTINY 4 7 6 59 7 7 7 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 11.60  
  (by DESTIN out of ALEXANDRITE by ORDWAY (BRZ))
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
 
BEL-3   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OH DONNA 5 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 50% 1.00 2.20 W
K D KAKES 4 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (falcone robe)TORRES A 115 3.50 2.95  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 2 3 42 44   44 3 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00 11.20  
SAVE GRACE 7 7 31 3   3 4 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 25% 3.00 1.70  
JOEY THE FISH 3 5 711¾ 714   6 5 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 120 20.00 25.25  
RICELLE 6 6 6 65   57 6 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00 5% 19.00 50.75  
ACCEL ROSE 1 4 5 5   710 710¾ (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
SCR  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS               (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
 
BEL-4   06/17/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:11     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSE 7 1 1½ 1½   1 1¼ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 15% 5.70 4.40 W
ROUGH DRAFT 8 2 2½ 2½   2 2¼ (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 38% 1.60 3.15 P
PHANTOM SMOKE 6 3 4 3   32 3 (miceli michael)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 9% 10.10 8.90 S
GHOST GIANT 4 5 6 7   4 43 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00 7.80  
YARROW 1 4 7 8   65 53 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 11% 8.00 2.25  
WHAT'S UP BRO 5 8 8 6   54 64 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 6.10  
ME 'N SAP 2 7 5 4   75 76 (donk david)TORRES A 116 15.00 33.25  
BAR FOURTEEN 3 6 3 52   8 8 (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 10.90  
SCR  BIG ENGINE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
SCR  THRILL OF IT               (terranova jo)TORRES A 118 2.50    
 
BEL-5   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:121 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FOREVER 5 5 5 5 4 11 1 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLATTER UP by FLATTER)
SHREVEPORT 4 3 3½ 4¾ 31 4 2 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.50 5.10  
  (by TAPIT out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
RIDE UP 3 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 21 3 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00 10.00 S
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CLOUD FOREST 1 4 4¾ 1nk 2nk 3 4 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50 2.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
PHELPSY 6 6 6 6 6 5 510¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 6.60  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
MARTY'S MAGIC 2 1 2nk 3½ 5 611½ 620¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00 32.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  MOORE'S LAW               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
BEL-6   06/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:15 1:384   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT MAN 2 1 6 63 53 2nk 1½ (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 11.90  
LANDBISCUIT 3 2 32 42 42 1nk 2½ (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 1.90  
BE HERE 4 7 7 76 65 31 3½ (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 45% 1.20 1.45 S
KLICKITAT 1 4 1 11 11 4 4 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 28% 2.50 9.00  
GOLDINI 5 6 42 3 32 5 510¼ (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 4.20  
AMERICAN LINCOLN 7 5 5 53 7 714½ 615¾ (romero j)DAVIS A 120 30.00 54.50  
MOUNT TRAVERS 6 3 2 21 21 611½ 717¼ (chichakly ami)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.90  
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER               (falcone n)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  HEALING               (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PIT BOSS               (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE               (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
 
BEL-7   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE 1 2 4 42   4 1¾ (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 22% 3.50 1.25 W
ALWAYS CHARMING 3 6 3 31   1nk 2¾ (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 2.80  
MARIACHI 6 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 3¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 50% 1.00 2.45 S
TOMMY GUN 2 1 1nk 2nk   3 4 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 10.00 9.20  
BRACIOLE 4 5 5 53   514¾ 518 (barrera osca)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
DR. MARBOOZ 5 4 6 611½   622¾ 625¾ (davis ro)DAVIS A 125 20.00 44.00  
SCR  DR. KRAFT               (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BEL-8   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:123 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXACT ESTIMATE 7 5 5 41 3 22 1½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 42% 1.40 0.95 W
KAWHI ME A RIVER 5 2 1nk 1½ 11 12 2½ (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.50 P
AL'S ROCKET 2 4 6 7 5 43 3 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 3.00 4.10  
SHUTTERS 4 7 41 5 42 3 4 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 126 4.50 28% 2.60 4.30  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 1 6 74 6 7 64 5 (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00 11.30  
SOULMATE 6 3 3½ 2½ 21 54 64 (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
EMBOITE (IRE) 3 1 2nk 31 64 78 7 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 7.30  
SCR  BREW PUB               (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  CENTAVO               (chatterpaul )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  FILM STAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.80    
SCR  LEDDY               (goberdhan )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 12.00    
SCR  RESERVE CURRENCY               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00    
SCR  ROCCO STRONG               (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BEL-9   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Bed Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:101     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE 1 1 5 52   31 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 34% 2.00 0.30 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SALTY STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
WICKED HALO 3 2 2nk 2½   2½ 2¼ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 30% 2.40 5.20 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
CARAMEL SWIRL 5 4 42 31   1½ 31 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 14% 6.00 6.00 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
DR B 4 5 3 4   46 413½ (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 12.40  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
BEGUINE 2 3 1nk 1½   5 522¼ (allard edwar)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 13.60  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
 
BEL-10   06/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUM RUNNER READY 1 9 5 6   4 1hd (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 2.35  
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 7 6 8 87   94 2hd (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 19% 4.20 4.50 P
12  CANDY MONET 11 7 2nk 1½   1 3¼ (pers)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00 16.50  
10  QUEENS OVER THREES 9 2 4 34   3 4½ (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 18.80 9.00  
QUICK POWER NAP 5 5 6 76   7 5½ (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 29% 2.40 2.75  
MOSTLY HARMLESS 3 8 9 97   8 61 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 7% 12.70 9.50  
SUSIE'S SAVER 8 10 10 108   106 7 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 20.00 36.50  
FULIGNI 6 4 32 4   5 8 (bond harold )TORRES A 120 10.00 22.80  
11  DEVILLY 10 1 7 55   6 9 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 22.40  
PREDETERMINED 2 11 11 1110   1112 1018¼ (sciacca ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00 61.25  
FAST COREY 4 3 1nk 2½   2 11100 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 17% 4.70 12.60  
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES               (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.