Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(7/5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-2   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BEL-3   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BEL-4   WIN (8/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/6)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/6)-(6/4/2)-(5/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/2/7)-(7/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
BEL-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(7/1/5)-(7/4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-7   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(7/4/5/6)-(1/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BEL-8   WIN (7/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6)-(7/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/5/6)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/6)-(1/3/5)-(6/8/5/4/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
BEL-9   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/8/5/4/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BEL-10   WIN (6/8/5/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/4/10)-(6/8/5/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/4/10)-(6/8/5/4/10)-(6/8/5/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BEL-1   06/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPECTOR POIROT (IRE)         (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXPERT EYE (GB) out of GOWER SONG by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
AMERICAN KNOW HOW May21 May05       (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
BEER RUN Apr26         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
FAST BOAT TO SKYE May05 Apr13 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
MISCHIEVOUS ANGEL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABRINA'S ANGEL by SCAT DADDY)
FLAT TOP BOX May05         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DEVIL'S BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BIG ELM May21 Mar17 Jan28     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HOKEY OKEY by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  CIGARETTE BOAT Apr22 Mar25 Jul02 Jun02 May04 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HONOR KING         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LANTERN GLOW by MINESHAFT)
 
BEL-2   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SPLENDID ONE Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 Jan19 Dec16 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
STARTS NOW Apr15 Nov18 Oct28     (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.00 9% 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BERNING HONOR May05 Feb26 Jan19 Oct08 Aug18 (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of BERNING ROSE by FREUD)
STONE OF DESTINY         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
  (by DESTIN out of ALEXANDRITE by ORDWAY (BRZ))
BOMB SQUAD Jun01 Apr15 Nov04     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DAISY CUTTER by J P HAMER)
NORTH END LADY May21         (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TURNING TIDE by MULA GULA)
PHOTON May27 Apr29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct29 (breen j)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by BAYERN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  ICHIBAN Apr15 Mar18 Jan21     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  FOXY CARA May21 Apr29 Apr06     (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 2.00    
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
BEL-3   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCEL ROSE May18 Apr20 Mar31 Mar04   (begg bent)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HANDLE THE TRUTH May21 Apr27 Mar26 Jan21 Dec29 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00    
JOEY THE FISH May19 Apr27 Apr02 Mar12 Jan27 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 120 20.00    
K D KAKES May19 Apr06 Mar12 Feb18 Jan20 (falcone robe)TORRES A 115 3.50    
OH DONNA Oct21 Sep15 Aug17     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.00 50% 1.00    
RICELLE May21 Apr28 Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAVE GRACE May21 Mar18 Feb24 Nov23 Oct19 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS May21 Apr29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan06 (nevin michell)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
 
BEL-4   06/17/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YARROW Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 Aug21 Jul17 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 11% 8.00    
ME 'N SAP Apr27 Sep22 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (donk david)TORRES A 116 15.00    
BAR FOURTEEN May21 Apr27 Mar01 Jan27 Dec28 (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
GHOST GIANT May28 Apr27 Mar15 Feb25 Feb12 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 6.00    
WHAT'S UP BRO May29 Mar19 Feb20 Jan15 Dec10 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
PHANTOM SMOKE Jan07 Nov18 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 (miceli michael)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 9% 10.10    
RUSE Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May20 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
ROUGH DRAFT Apr15 Nov18       (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  THRILL OF IT Apr30 Mar24 Jul28 May30 Mar27 (terranova jo)TORRES A 118 2.50    
SCR  BIG ENGINE May21 Apr28 Apr20 Feb18 Feb10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
 
BEL-5   06/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD FOREST Apr02 Aug28 Aug10 Jul08 May15 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 125 3.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MEADOWSWEET by SMART STRIKE)
MARTY'S MAGIC May14 Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Oct13 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ECHO STORM by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  MOORE'S LAW Mar25 Feb11       (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
RIDE UP May20 Apr22 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WALKWITHAPURPOSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SHREVEPORT Apr22 Mar26 Jun10 May05   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.50    
  (by TAPIT out of SEVENTH STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
DONEGAL FOREVER         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of FLATTER UP by FLATTER)
PHELPSY Apr21 Sep18 Jul23     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
 
BEL-6   06/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRONT MAN Oct23 Sep30 Jul23 Jul01 May29 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (falcone n)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
KLICKITAT May14 Nov18 Oct22 Oct13 Sep17 (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  HEALING May20 Apr29 Mar25 Feb26 Dec11 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
LANDBISCUIT May20 May14 Jun23 May05 Apr13 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
BE HERE May27 Mar30 Mar16 Feb04 Jan07 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
GOLDINI May20 Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
MOUNT TRAVERS May14 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 (chichakly ami)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN LINCOLN Jun03 May18 Apr29 Apr14 Mar18 (romero j)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE May21 Apr29 Mar30 Feb09 Jan20 (barrera oscar)ORTIZ JR 123 1.40    
SCR  PIT BOSS May27 May04 Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
 
BEL-7   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OCEAN'S RESERVE May29 Dec29 Nov11 Oct20 Sep23 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
TOMMY GUN May14 Sep24 Aug24 Jul14 Jun09 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
ALWAYS CHARMING May12 Apr01 Jun16 May21 Feb21 (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50    
SCR  DR. KRAFT May14 Apr22 Mar31 Feb25 Jan26 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
BRACIOLE May06 Apr22 Mar24 Mar04 Feb05 (barrera osca)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
DR. MARBOOZ Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov15 Oct25 (davis ro)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
MARIACHI Nov26 Oct27       (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
 
BEL-8   06/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS May27 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 (schettino do)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
SCR  BREW PUB May21 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
AL'S ROCKET May04 Nov20 Oct26 Sep24 Aug13 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
EMBOITE (IRE) Apr07 Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug17 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SHUTTERS Apr07 Sep15 Jul16     (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
KAWHI ME A RIVER Apr20 Jun02 May05     (terranova john )DAVIS KATIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SOULMATE Jun04 May13 Nov20 Sep23 Jul31 (diprima gre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
EXACT ESTIMATE Apr26 Mar17 Jun10 Apr24   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  RESERVE CURRENCY Apr23 Mar11 Feb02 Nov03 Sep18 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 2.00    
SCR  FILM STAR May21 May06 Apr19 Feb24 Dec16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 1.80    
SCR  CENTAVO Jun10 May21 May13 Apr23 Apr13 (chatterpaul )CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  ROCCO STRONG May27 Oct15 Aug25 Apr22 Mar27 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
SCR  LEDDY Jun04 May19 Feb11 Dec17 Nov05 (goberdhan )GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 12.00    
 
BEL-9   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Bed Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODNIGHT OLIVE May06 Apr08 Nov05 Aug28 Aug07 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20 34% 2.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SALTY STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
BEGUINE May20 Dec10 Nov13 Oct07 May20 (allard edwar)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
WICKED HALO May06 Mar31 Nov05 Oct22 Sep02 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
DR B May14 Dec03 Oct29 Oct03 Sep05 (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
CARAMEL SWIRL May14 Feb11 Aug28 May20   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 14% 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CARAMEL SNAP by SMART STRIKE)
 
BEL-10   06/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUM RUNNER READY May18 Apr16 Feb15 Dec29 Nov30 (morey willi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
PREDETERMINED May20 Apr29 Mar26 Mar05 Feb24 (sciacca ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 116 50.00    
SCR  ROSEMARY POTATOES May18 Apr28 Nov17 Nov06 Sep22 (arenas marcelo)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
MOSTLY HARMLESS May20 Apr29 Apr02 Jan26 Jan01 (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 7% 12.70    
FAST COREY Oct07 Aug04 Jul14 Jun11 Apr16 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 17% 4.70    
QUICK POWER NAP May20 Apr29 Oct07 Sep03 Jul23 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
FULIGNI Apr29 Mar03 Feb17 Jan01 Dec08 (bond harold )TORRES A 120 10.00    
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Apr28 Apr08 Nov19 Nov06 Aug28 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 19% 4.20    
SUSIE'S SAVER May19 May12 Apr23 Apr02 Mar22 (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 20.00    
10  QUEENS OVER THREES May18 Mar12 Feb11 Jan12 Nov27 (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 5% 18.80    
11  DEVILLY May20 Apr28 Feb20 Jan28 Dec17 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00    
12  CANDY MONET Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 Apr29 Apr03 (pers)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.