Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-3-5 $10.95 $1.95 22%
    DD (2/6/5/4)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $12.60 $0.60 5%
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $20.10 $8.10 68%
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/2/5/7/6)-(1/2/5/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-5-7 $39.75 $21.75 121%
    SFT (1/5/2)-(1/2/5/7/6)-(1/2/5/7/6)-(1/2/5/7/6) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-5-7-6 $32.25 $25.05 348%
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.70 $2.70 45%
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-1 $18.40 $9.40 104%
AQU-8   WIN (1/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00  11 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    EXA (1/11)-(1/9/5/11/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00  11-5 $24.80 $16.80 210%
    DD (6/8/1)-(1/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-11 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(6/8/1)-(1/11) 18 $1.00 $18.00  1-1-11 $49.50 $31.50 175%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:141 1:373   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANURA 2 1 1½ 11 1½ 1 11 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 35% 1.90 1.80 W
WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE 4 5 52 42 4 2 21 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.50 2.95 P
NEW GINYA 3 3 63 6 52 4 32 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 22% 3.60 2.10 S
SILKEN DOLLAR 6 2 3 3 3 3 4 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 6.30  
HOME FOR CHRISTMAS 5 6 2½ 21 2½ 5 59 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9.30  
CURLY GIRL 1 4 4 5 6 612½ 614 (barrow p)DAVIS A 118 30.00 29.75  
SCR  B B'S BUSTED               (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 118 4.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
SCR  DUFRESNE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
 
AQU-2   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:122     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S FOLLY 6 3 2½ 2½   1 1 (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 19% 4.30 1.95 W
BRAVO REGINA 1 1 31 4   4 2 (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 9.30  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 7 5 5 3   2 32 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 10.00 25.00  
AFILADA 2 2 6 6   5 4 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 20% 4.10 2.40  
TEKILA 8 4 1½ 1½   32 54 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00 16.60  
IN TRAFFIC 5 6 4 5   6 610¼ (englehart jeff)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 17% 4.70 3.40  
JOEY THE FISH 3 7 810 811½   812½ 713 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 8.10  
WICKED LADY 4 8 76 75   712½ 823½ (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 124 15.00 17% 5.00 25.50  
 
AQU-3   04/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:224 :451 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE APPEALS 2 3 31 2   1 1 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 38% 1.70 2.90 W
SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 3 5 5 3   32 2 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.40 2.00 P
GEORGEES SPIRIT 5 4 6 53   54 3 (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00 17% 4.80 4.50 S
SENIOR PRANK 7 7 7 75   44 4 (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 2.70  
FANCY AZTECA 1 6 11 1   2 57 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00 19.80  
CHASING AFTER YOU 6 1 4 6   6 6 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00 52.00  
FABULOUSLY FUNNY 4 2 21 43   7 712 (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 10.20  
 
AQU-4   04/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :50 1:144 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE UP 8 4 52 32 2½ 1 1 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 62% 0.60 1.55 W
LINNY KATE 4 6 6 63 62 3 2 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 2.30 P
ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM 3 1 11 11 1½ 2 3 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 6% 15.80 6.60 S
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 3 3 42 4 4 4 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 8.50  
GIRL'S ON FIRE 2 2 42 5 52 5 56 (rubley kelly)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 8.40  
FORTY SMOOTH 7 5 21 21 31 67 6 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 7% 12.70 11.40  
MORE MANGO 6 7 7 7 7 7 710½ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 19.80  
KEEN DANCER 5 8 89 89 811 819½ 821½ (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00 33.50  
SCR  BIG CHEEKS               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
SCR  CARAMOCHA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN               (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GAGLIANO               (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR               (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
 
AQU-5   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN ARM 6 6 11 1nk   1 1hd (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 8.10  
  (by UNIFIED out of TAP FOR LUCK by TAPIT)
11  FAYETTE JOKER 9 2 6 3   3 2hd (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30 3.30 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRULY CHARMING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
ON THE LEDGE 4 5 4 2nk   2 3 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 10.80  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of BILEAPS AND BOUNDS by DISCO RICO)
FREUDMEIN 1 3 31 53   56 4 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 60% 0.70 1.15  
  (by FREUD out of COLORMEIN by MR. GREELEY)
SEIZE THE CITY 2 9 10 8   7 5 (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 13.20  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GARDEN CITY by CARSON CITY)
10  POP COYER 8 1 5 42   45 6 (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 21.00  
  (by FORTY TALES out of LINDSAY'S TREASURE by MINESHAFT)
RUSSI 3 4 21 6   67 7 (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 29.75  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RISERVA by DIXIE BRASS)
ORMSTOWN 7 8 9 9   8 8 (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 10.00 34.50  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
12  PRIX DE WEST 10 10 8 7   914¾ 915¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 8.80  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MORROW by PIVOTAL)
WOODSIDE WARRIOR 5 7 7 1015¼   1017¾ 1016½ (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00 35.50  
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of READ THE RESEARCH by FREUD)
SCR  NIGHTMARE MOON               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of MOONLIGHTANDBEAUTY by CAPOTE)
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE               (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE               (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
AQU-6   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS 4 1 1½ 1   11 1 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 53% 0.90 2.30 W
MILTON THE MONSTER 3 9 6 6   4 2 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 13% 6.80 3.30 P
NUCLEAR OPTION 7 3 31 32   31 3 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 3.40 S
THINKABOUTIT 5 2 2½ 2   5 4 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 8.00 7.10  
CHARLIE FIVE O 8 5 52 42   21 5 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 41.50  
LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 4 85 910½   8 69 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 17.90  
LOST IN ROME 2 7 42 53   6 79 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 20.00 46.50  
GLORY ROAD 6 6 74 7   7 8 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 11% 8.10 4.70  
RUSSIAN TO WIN 9 8 9 89   913¼ 926¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 26.00  
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
AQU-7   04/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :452       1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 1 6 41 4   1nk 1 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 10% 9.50 3.35 W
YARROW 3 4 1nk 11   2nk 2 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 7.70  
BAR FOURTEEN 7 7 8 8   8 3 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 15.00 17.00  
GHOST GIANT 2 8 7 7   6 4 (donk davi)VARGAS A 124 6.00 10.30  
FRANK'S ART 6 3 6 6   7 54 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 57% 0.80 3.70  
BATTLE STATION 4 5 5 5   43 6 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 11.00  
VACATION DANCE 8 1 3½ 31   3 75 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 10% 9.40 1.55  
ME 'N SAP 5 2 2nk 21   5 85 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 38.75  
SCR  BREW PUB               (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  SCILLY CAY               (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 1.80    
 
AQU-8   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  PAROS 8 5 5 43   1nk 12 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 5% 19.00 1.80 W
BOBBY THE TANK 3 1 12 12   2nk 22 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 13.60 P
10  THUNDERIAN 7 7 6 6   3 32 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 3.75  
12  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 9 6 33 22   44 4 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 16.70  
WINNING CONNECTION 1 8 911 910¾   7 58 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 4.00  
ROL AGAIN DANCER 6 4 22 32   5 6 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 122 6.00 6.60  
AMERICAN GRANT 2 9 76 7   6 7 (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 42.00  
SORPRESO 4 2 8 8   811¾ 816½ (del)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 63.50  
MAMA'S GOLD 5 3 43 5   911¾ 923 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 6.40  
SCR  DREAMING OF SMARTY               (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00    
SCR  GOING IN STYLE               (bern)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 20.00    
SCR  PARKERNESS               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 68% 0.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.