Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-2   WIN (2/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4)-(2/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/5/4)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/4)-(2/3/5)-(9/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(9/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(9/7/1)-(2/11) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-4   WIN (9/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/1)-(9/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/7/1)-(9/7/1/4)-(9/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/7/1)-(2/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/7/1)-(2/11)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/11)-(2/11/12/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/11)-(2/11/12/3)-(2/11/12/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/11)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/11)-(1/5/2)-(6/8/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(6/8/1)-(11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-7   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1/4)-(6/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(11) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
AQU-8   WIN (11) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (11)-(9/5/11/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (11)-(9/5/11/8)-(9/5/11/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUFRESNE Dec04 Nov19 Oct23 Aug12 Jul20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY Sep25 Aug18 Jul09 Jun19 Apr30 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
2  CURLY GIRL Apr02 Mar03 Dec29 Dec11 Nov02 (barrow p)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
3  SANURA Mar23 Mar11 Jan15     (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
4  NEW GINYA Apr08 Nov06 Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Oct20 Sep05 Aug12 Jul16 Jun04 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 2.50 13% 6.50    
6  HOME FOR CHRISTMAS Nov18 Sep25 Aug14 Jul20 Jun25 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
7  SILKEN DOLLAR Dec29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Sep23 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 Jan19 Dec29 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 ★    
SCR  B B'S BUSTED Feb07 Jan09 Nov13 Oct20 Oct01 (englehart jeffrey)RIDER TBA 118 4.00 8% 12.30    
 
AQU-2   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVO REGINA Apr07 Mar19 Feb19 Oct25 Oct07 (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00    
2  AFILADA Apr13 Apr02 Mar05 Jan26 Jan01 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  JOEY THE FISH Apr02 Mar12 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
4  WICKED LADY Mar19 Mar05 Jan20 Dec29 Nov27 (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 124 15.00 17% 5.00    
5  IN TRAFFIC Mar19 Jan13 Dec15 Nov07 Oct13 (englehart jeff)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 17% 4.70    
6  AMANDA'S FOLLY Apr08 Mar12 Feb18 Jan06 Nov26 (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
7  HANDLE THE TRUTH Mar26 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct28 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 10.00    
8  TEKILA Feb05 Jan13 Dec15 Nov25 Oct15 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00    
 
AQU-3   04/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY AZTECA Apr07 Mar18 Feb02 Jan22 Nov20 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 12.00    
2  LOVE APPEALS Apr01 Feb16       (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
3  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Mar04 Feb04 Nov27 Nov04 Oct08 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  FABULOUSLY FUNNY Mar18 Feb17 Jan07     (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
5  GEORGEES SPIRIT Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 Jul21   (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  CHASING AFTER YOU Apr14 Mar10 Feb09 Jan11 Dec21 (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
7  SENIOR PRANK Feb05 Jan07       (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
 
AQU-4   04/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Apr10 Mar17 Feb03 Dec31 Nov13 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 6% 15.80    
SCR  BIG CHEEKS Apr10 Mar17 Feb04 Jan07 Jan01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
2  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Mar26 Feb17 Dec21 Nov30 Oct02 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
3  GIRL'S ON FIRE Mar17 Feb20 Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 (rubley kelly)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
4  LINNY KATE Mar29 Feb16 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 ★    
5  KEEN DANCER Apr20 Apr13 Mar31 Mar24 Feb19 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00    
6  MORE MANGO Mar17 Feb12 Jan12 Dec18 Dec01 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
7  FORTY SMOOTH Mar26 Nov15 Nov07 Oct08 Sep15 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00    
9  BE UP Mar31 Mar15 Feb02 Jan13 Oct13 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  GAGLIANO Mar31 Feb20 Jan29 Jan13 Dec10 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
SCR  CARAMOCHA Apr02 Mar03 Feb05 Jan19 Jan08 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
SCR  CHAYSENBRYN Apr13 Feb18 Jan15 Dec16 Nov11 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   04/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORM THE EMPIRE Oct09 Aug11       (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHICHWAYDIDSHEGO by STORM CAT)
SCR  UNDER THE KNIFE         (englehart jef)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  FREUDMEIN Apr01         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 60% 0.70    
  (by FREUD out of COLORMEIN by MR. GREELEY)
3  SEIZE THE CITY         (giangiulio mich)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of GARDEN CITY by CARSON CITY)
4  RUSSI Mar04 Jan07       (bond har)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RISERVA by DIXIE BRASS)
SCR  NIGHTMARE MOON         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of MOONLIGHTANDBEAUTY by CAPOTE)
6  ON THE LEDGE Mar17 Feb09 Dec31     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of BILEAPS AND BOUNDS by DISCO RICO)
7  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Mar04         (friedman mi)MARTINEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of READ THE RESEARCH by FREUD)
8  GOLDEN ARM         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of TAP FOR LUCK by TAPIT)
9  ORMSTOWN Feb24         (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
10  POP COYER Apr07 Mar04 Feb09 Aug11   (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of LINDSAY'S TREASURE by MINESHAFT)
11  FAYETTE JOKER         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRULY CHARMING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  PRIX DE WEST         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MORROW by PIVOTAL)
 
AQU-6   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAKE ROCKS Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 Jan14 Dec11 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Mar24 Dec11 Oct09 Jul31 May29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 ★    
2  GLORY ROAD Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 Feb09 Jan01 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  LASTCHANCEATGLORY Feb25 Jan15 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 ★    
3  LAFITTE'S FLEET Apr01 Feb26 Jan26 Jan01 Dec04 (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
4  LOST IN ROME Apr01 Mar25 Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 123 20.00    
5  MILTON THE MONSTER Mar04 Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 Oct24 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
6  THINKABOUTIT Mar24 Feb26 Jan21 Nov26 Oct02 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 8.00 ★    
7  NUCLEAR OPTION Feb26 Feb08 Jan19 Jan10 Sep20 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 ★    
8  CHARLIE FIVE O Apr20 Apr06 Mar25 Mar12 Mar04 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
9  RUSSIAN TO WIN Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 Jan07 Dec01 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
 
AQU-7   04/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Apr01 Feb10 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
2  GHOST GIANT Mar15 Feb25 Feb12 Jan13 Nov18 (donk davi)VARGAS A 124 6.00    
3  YARROW Nov20 Oct22 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
4  BATTLE STATION Nov18 Oct27 Sep22 Aug27 Jul24 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 ★    
5  ME 'N SAP Sep22 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul14 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
6  FRANK'S ART Nov18 Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 Jul09 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.00 57% 0.80    
7  BAR FOURTEEN Mar01 Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov18 (sells rachel)HARKIE K 122 15.00    
8  VACATION DANCE Dec17 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SCILLY CAY Mar25 Mar05 Feb17 Feb10 Jan07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 124 1.80 ★    
SCR  BREW PUB Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
 
AQU-8   04/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PARKERNESS Apr15 Mar22 Feb26     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00 68% 0.50    
2  WINNING CONNECTION Apr02 Mar11 Jan19 Dec17 Dec01 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  GOING IN STYLE Apr02 Jan01 Dec04 Oct28 Sep18 (bern)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 20.00    
4  AMERICAN GRANT Mar31 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 (brown r)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
5  BOBBY THE TANK Feb20 Jan01 Dec04 Nov27 Oct16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMING OF SMARTY Mar27 Mar06 Jan03 Nov21   (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 120 12.00    
7  SORPRESO Apr07 Mar18 Feb18 Dec07 Nov06 (del)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
8  MAMA'S GOLD Mar11 Mar05 Jan21 Nov26 Aug11 (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★    
9  ROL AGAIN DANCER Mar19 Feb09 Dec04 Oct31 Oct02 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 122 6.00 ★    
10  THUNDERIAN Apr15 Mar25 Mar19 Dec02 Sep21 (jacobson dav)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
11  PAROS Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 Nov19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
12  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Mar31 Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27 (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.