The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 15, 2023
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AQU-1   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:222 :443 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROUGH DRAFT 2 1 32 32   2nk 1¾ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 4.00 21% 3.70 5.10 W
1  CONMAN 1 4 63 64   42 2¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 1.55  
8  SANDRONE 8 3 11½ 11½   1nk 31 (bond ja)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.10 S
6  SINFUL DANCER 6 2 21½ 21½   31 42¾ (figueroa j)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 16% 5.40 9.50  
7  FEATHERS ROAD 7 8 42½ 42½   52½ 56 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00 6.20  
5  GREAT WORKOUT 5 7 85 85   64 67 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 127 10.00 8.90  
3  BASIS RISK 3 6 53 53½   84¾ 78¼ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 125 30.00 59.75  
4  BE OF COURAGE 4 5 74 74½   74½ 88¼ (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 9.10  
SCR  BRACIOLE               (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50 ★    
SCR  CLASH A. J.               (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 15.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 127 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:52
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOOMS BOLDLY 2 2 11 11   11 11 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.10 0.60 W
5  HELDISH 4 5 21 21   21 21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
3  THUNDERIAN 3 4 52½ 47   35½ 33¼ (jacobson david)TORRES A 117 10.00 14.50  
6  TORRONE 5 1 42½ 34½   47 45 (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 17.70  
1  WARMAN ROAD 1 3 32 512   515 521¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 2.85  
SCR  TOXIC GRAY               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Danger's Hour Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
:231 :473 1:11 1:224   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG EVEREST (GB) 2 1 11 11 11½ 11 1hd (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 41% 1.50 0.55 W
1  ANACONDA 1 3 32 31½ 21½ 21 2hd (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 21% 3.70 1.60 P
4  ELEVEN CENTRAL 3 2 21 21 32 35½ 36½ (lobo h)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 4.50  
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL CITY               (mcgaughey cla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  SO HIGH (GB)               (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 120 0.50    
 
AQU-4   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
:234 :474 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIFE AND LIGHT 4 2 41½ 42 11 15½ 13½ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.65 W
8  HANG TIGHT 7 4 68½ 78½ 48½ 25½ 23½ (thompson g)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 2.15  
3  BINGO JOHN 3 3 3½ 31½ 34½ 35½ 39¾ (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 17% 5.00 3.05 S
7  ONE MORE SCORE 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 46 416 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 ★ 14.10  
5  EXXTOP 5 7 79 68½ 713 612½ 520¾ (thompson m)DAVIS A 125 20.00 44.25  
1  PRINCE OF JOY 1 6 53½ 56 511½ 512 620¾ (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 7.50  
2  SIGHT UNSEEN 2 5 1½ 1½ 612½ 715½ 726¼ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 120 4.50 3.70  
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-5   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:242 :483 1:124 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PROVEN HOPE 7 7 42½ 42¼ 31 21½ 1¼ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 126 5.00 43% 1.30 4.00 W
9  YORKSHIRE PRINCE 9 3 32½ 32 41¼ 31½ 2¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5.30  
10  CARLIN CLAN 10 2 22 1nk 1nk 11½ 3¾ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 21% 3.70 2.50 S
11  CHESS SPECTACULAR 11 10 74¾ 76¼ 74¼ 42 41½ (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 11.00  
12  MAD MAGIC 12 8 63¼ 55¼ 63¾ 65½ 54¼ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00 ★ 14.90  
4  PLEASE BABY 4 11 127½ 1210 129¾ 97¾ 65½ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 9% 9.80 3.90  
1  STEADY PROGRESS 1 5 84¾ 109¼ 108¼ 75¾ 75½ (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 47.00  
5  SECOND AND REED 5 4 53 65¼ 52¾ 53½ 85½ (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 62.00  
8  STORMANDY 8 6 105½ 97¾ 98¼ 118 99 (baker charl)VARGAS A 118 15.00 42.75  
2  UNION TAP 2 9 95¼ 86¾ 85¼ 107¾ 1010¾ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 8.90  
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 12 117 119¾ 118¾ 128 1112¼ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 64.25  
3  CARPE CAPELLA 3 1 12 2nk 2nk 86¼ 1214 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 30.00 35.25  
SCR  PEJA DU               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEALLLIKEDHIM               (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 126 50.00    
 
AQU-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NO MORE TALK 7 6 42½ 1½   13½ 13¼ (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50 6% 16.20 2.95 W
4  CASH NOW 3 3 32½ 42½   34 23¼ (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50 2.90  
6  ZERTZ 5 7 76¼ 54   44½ 33¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 30% 2.30 2.30 S
3  MARVIN 2 4 1½ 2½   23½ 44½ (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 6.10  
5  MIDNIGHTCHARLY 4 1 66 66   610 515¼ (arriaga antoni)TORRES A 115 6.00 10% 9.30 7.00  
7  MAGNIFICENT CHROME 6 2 2½ 32   510 617½ (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 11.10  
1  R BOY BODE 1 5 54½ 77   714½ 717¾ (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 20.00 25.00  
SCR  RAISE THE RENT               (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-7   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
:23 :492 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KOSUKE 10 2 2½ 22 2nk 1½ 1¼ (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00 41.75  
4  STARTS NOW 4 5 34 33 31½ 3½ 2¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 ★ 8.00 P
7  ARISAEMA 7 8 67 44 41¾ 41 31¾ (abreu r)SAMUEL L 126 12.00 14.10  
6  SUCCULENT 6 10 910½ 66½ 53¼ 51½ 41¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 126 6.00 4.70  
9  LA CONQUISTADORA 9 1 1½ 12 1nk 2½ 52½ (breen ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 28.75  
1  THE SPLENDID ONE 1 7 45½ 55 63¼ 62 62¾ (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 10.00 12.80  
11  BOMB SQUAD 11 3 78 76½ 76¾ 74½ 74 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.20 3.30  
12  PINSTRIPEPIZZO 12 6 89½ 99¼ 87¼ 84¾ 84¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 42.00  
2  ORANGE FREEZE 2 12 1215 1211¾ 1210¾ 99¼ 99¾ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.60 5.70  
3  INFLATIONARY TREND 3 11 1113 1010¼ 109¾ 1011¼ 1011¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.05  
5  GRACEFULNESS 5 9 1011 1111¾ 1110¼ 1111¼ 1111¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 55.75  
8  ICHIBAN 8 4 56 86¾ 98¾ 1221¼ 1239 (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 20.30  
SCR  BON ADIEU               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MY ANGEL               (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  NORTHWAY               (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  SILENT MELODY               (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
:22 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ZEEBEAR 7 5 79 710   33½ 11¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 9% 10.20 3.30 W
6  BUILT TO LAST 6 2 66½ 811   55½ 21¾ (engle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 22.50  
1  WIN FOR GOLD 1 3 1nk 11½   13½ 34½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.00  
3  NOLO CONTESTO 3 7 56 58½   44½ 44½ (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 41% 1.50 8.40  
5  NECROMANCER 5 8 814 69½   76¼ 55½ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 9.40  
8  MOTION TO STRIKE 8 6 3½ 21½   23½ 66¼ (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 20.30  
11  BLINDING LIGHT 9 1 44½ 45½   65¾ 710¼ (englehart jeff)TORRES A 115 8.00 6% 15.30 3.80  
4  BOURBON READY 4 9 918½ 919   915¾ 817 (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6% 16.80 10.50  
2  SUPER QUALITY 2 4 2nk 32   810¾ 922½ (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 122 6.00 6.80  
SCR  HATCH               (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-9   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
:22 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEKANTER 7 5 42 41   2½ 11¾ (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 125 5.00 10% 8.70 11.50 W
6  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) 6 2 2½ 2½   4¾ 21¾ (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.00 P
3  QUIESCENT 3 1 1½ 1½   3½ 31¾ (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5.40  
10  MISS SAN GABRIEL 10 3 62½ 31   1½ 42¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60 3.20  
4  RISK FREE 4 10 94¾ 74   52¾ 52¾ (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 27.75  
5  LEXI'S SPIRIT 5 8 72¾ 62½   62¾ 63¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12.10  
2  ROMAN GODDESS 2 11 119 106¾   84¼ 74 (maker michael )TORRES A 118 15.00 16.20  
1  SPELTERINI 1 9 84¾ 94¾   73¾ 85½ (mott willia)VARGAS A 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.95  
11  DIAMOND STATUS 11 7 105 117¼   106¼ 97¾ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00 31.75  
12  MY GIRL JAL 12 12 1210 129¼   116¾ 108 (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 73.50  
8  DARK DAHLIA 8 6 31 51½   95¼ 119½ (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 17% 4.90 14.80  
9  TUFANI 9 4 52 84½   127¼ 1212 (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 23.30  
SCR  BUTTER CAKE               (mott william )MARTINEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  JUST ON TIME               (jerkens jam)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S STORMY               (jerkens james )TORRES A 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.