Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (10/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.20 $4.20 53%
AQU-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.30 $3.30 55%
AQU-5   WIN (7/10/4/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.00 $2.00 25%
    DD (4/6/3)-(7/10/4/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $33.50 $21.50 179%
    PK5 (10/2/8/6)-(4/2/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(4/6/3)-(7/10/4/13) 576 $0.50 $288  2-2-3-4-7 $345.50 $57.50 20%
AQU-6   DD (7/10/4/13)-(2/6/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-8 $18.40 $2.40 15%
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(7/10/4/13)-(2/6/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  4-7-8 $132.50 $84.50 176%
    PK4 (3/1/5/6)-(4/6/3)-(7/10/4/13)-(2/6/5/8) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2/3/5/6/7-4-7-8 $458.25 $362.25 377%
AQU-9   WIN (6/10/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $25.00 $15.00 150%
    EXA (6/10/8/1/7)-(6/10/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-6 $61.75 $41.75 209%
    DD (3/10/7/11/4)-(6/10/8/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00  7-7 $51.75 $26.75 107%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :443 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROUGH DRAFT 2 1 32 32   2nk 1¾ (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 4.00 21% 3.70 5.10 W
1  CONMAN 1 4 63 64   42 2¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 1.55  
8  SANDRONE 8 3 11½ 11½   1nk 31 (bond harold )TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.10 S
6  SINFUL DANCER 6 2 21½ 21½   31 42¾ (figueroa david )DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 16% 5.40 9.50  
7  FEATHERS ROAD 7 8 42½ 42½   52½ 56 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00 6.20  
5  GREAT WORKOUT 5 7 85 85   64 67 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 127 10.00 8.90  
3  BASIS RISK 3 6 53 53½   84¾ 78¼ (coffey m)DAVIS A 125 30.00 59.75  
4  BE OF COURAGE 4 5 74 74½   74½ 88¼ (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 9.10  
SCR  BRACIOLE               (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50 ★    
SCR  CLASH A. J.               (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 15.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 127 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOOMS BOLDLY 2 2 11 11   11 11 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.10 0.60 W
5  HELDISH 4 5 21 21   21 21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
3  THUNDERIAN 3 4 52½ 47   35½ 33¼ (jacobson dav)TORRES A 117 10.00 14.50  
6  TORRONE 5 1 42½ 34½   47 45 (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 17.70  
1  WARMAN ROAD 1 3 32 512   515 521¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 2.85  
SCR  TOXIC GRAY               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Danger's Hour Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:11 1:224   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG EVEREST (GB) 2 1 11 11 11½ 11 1hd (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 41% 1.50 0.55 W
  (by THE GURKHA out of LONG FACE by WHYWHYWHY)
1  ANACONDA 1 3 32 31½ 21½ 21 2hd (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 21% 3.70 1.60 P
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LAWN PARTY by SLEWVESCENT)
4  ELEVEN CENTRAL 3 2 21 21 32 35½ 36½ (lobo h)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 4.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SEALY HILL by POINT GIVEN)
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 7% 14.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HOLY PLACE by PULPIT)
SCR  CELESTIAL CITY               (mcgaughey c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SO HIGH (GB)               (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FUGITIVE ANGEL by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 120 0.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of BESTOWED A STAR by ALDEBARAN)
 
AQU-4   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LIFE AND LIGHT 4 2 41½ 42 11 15½ 13½ (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.65 W
8  HANG TIGHT 7 4 68½ 78½ 48½ 25½ 23½ (thompson marcus)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 2.15  
3  BINGO JOHN 3 3 3½ 31½ 34½ 35½ 39¾ (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 17% 5.00 3.05 S
7  ONE MORE SCORE 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 46 416 (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 ★ 14.10  
5  EXXTOP 5 7 79 68½ 713 612½ 520¾ (thompson)DAVIS A 125 20.00 44.25  
1  PRINCE OF JOY 1 6 53½ 56 511½ 512 620¾ (legall)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 7.50  
2  SIGHT UNSEEN 2 5 1½ 1½ 612½ 715½ 726¼ (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 120 4.50 3.70  
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-5   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:124 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PROVEN HOPE 7 7 42½ 42¼ 31 21½ 1¼ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 126 5.00 43% 1.30 4.00 W
9  YORKSHIRE PRINCE 9 3 32½ 32 41¼ 31½ 2¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5.30  
10  CARLIN CLAN 10 2 22 1nk 1nk 11½ 3¾ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 21% 3.70 2.50 S
11  CHESS SPECTACULAR 11 10 74¾ 76¼ 74¼ 42 41½ (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 11.00  
12  MAD MAGIC 12 8 63¼ 55¼ 63¾ 65½ 54¼ (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00 ★ 14.90  
4  PLEASE BABY 4 11 127½ 1210 129¾ 97¾ 65½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 9% 9.80 3.90  
1  STEADY PROGRESS 1 5 84¾ 109¼ 108¼ 75¾ 75½ (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 47.00  
5  SECOND AND REED 5 4 53 65¼ 52¾ 53½ 85½ (ryer)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 62.00  
8  STORMANDY 8 6 105½ 97¾ 98¼ 118 99 (baker cha)VARGAS A 118 15.00 42.75  
2  UNION TAP 2 9 95¼ 86¾ 85¼ 107¾ 1010¾ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 8.90  
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 12 117 119¾ 118¾ 128 1112¼ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 64.25  
3  CARPE CAPELLA 3 1 12 2nk 2nk 86¼ 1214 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 30.00 35.25  
SCR  PEJA DU               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEALLLIKEDHIM               (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 126 50.00    
 
AQU-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NO MORE TALK 7 6 42½ 1½   13½ 13¼ (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50 6% 16.20 2.95 W
4  CASH NOW 3 3 32½ 42½   34 23¼ (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50 2.90  
6  ZERTZ 5 7 76¼ 54   44½ 33¼ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 30% 2.30 2.30 S
3  MARVIN 2 4 1½ 2½   23½ 44½ (tess)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 6.10  
5  MIDNIGHTCHARLY 4 1 66 66   610 515¼ (arriaga anto)TORRES A 115 6.00 10% 9.30 7.00  
7  MAGNIFICENT CHROME 6 2 2½ 32   510 617½ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 11.10  
1  R BOY BODE 1 5 54½ 77   714½ 717¾ (thompson)DAVIS A 120 20.00 25.00  
SCR  RAISE THE RENT               (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-7   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :492 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KOSUKE 10 2 2½ 22 2nk 1½ 1¼ (bond harold )TORRES A 113 15.00 41.75  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of OSAKA by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
4  STARTS NOW 4 5 34 33 31½ 3½ 2¼ (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 ★ 8.00 P
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  ARISAEMA 7 8 67 44 41¾ 41 31¾ (abreu jorge )SAMUEL L 126 12.00 14.10  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MEIANN by FIRST SAMURAI)
6  SUCCULENT 6 10 910½ 66½ 53¼ 51½ 41¾ (donk davi)VARGAS A 126 6.00 4.70  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of OUCHY NIGHT by CACTUS RIDGE)
9  LA CONQUISTADORA 9 1 1½ 12 1nk 2½ 52½ (breen )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 28.75  
  (by NYQUIST out of COURT DRESS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  THE SPLENDID ONE 1 7 45½ 55 63¼ 62 62¾ (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 10.00 12.80  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BLISSFULLY by COX'S RIDGE)
11  BOMB SQUAD 11 3 78 76½ 76¾ 74½ 74 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.20 3.30  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DAISY CUTTER by J P HAMER)
12  PINSTRIPEPIZZO 12 6 89½ 99¼ 87¼ 84¾ 84¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 42.00  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPICY TEMPER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  ORANGE FREEZE 2 12 1215 1211¾ 1210¾ 99¼ 99¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.60 5.70  
  (by FREUD out of HOOPSKIRT by BIRDSTONE)
3  INFLATIONARY TREND 3 11 1113 1010¼ 109¾ 1011¼ 1011¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.05  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLASH ACT by ACTIVADO (URU))
5  GRACEFULNESS 5 9 1011 1111¾ 1110¼ 1111¼ 1111¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 55.75  
  (by TAPWRIT out of BAY ISLAND by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  ICHIBAN 8 4 56 86¾ 98¾ 1221¼ 1239 (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 20.30  
  (by STREET SENSE out of COVER GIRL ELLE by OUT OF PLACE)
SCR  BON ADIEU               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of VIVA SHEILA by TIZNOW)
SCR  MY ANGEL               (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  NORTHWAY               (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHINE UPON by CONGAREE)
SCR  SILENT MELODY               (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ANNA STRONG by UNCLE MO)
 
AQU-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ZEEBEAR 7 5 79 710   33½ 11¾ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 9% 10.20 3.30 W
6  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 6 2 66½ 811   55½ 21¾ (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 22.50  
1  WIN FOR GOLD 1 3 1nk 11½   13½ 34½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.00  
3  NOLO CONTESTO 3 7 56 58½   44½ 44½ (jacobson da)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 41% 1.50 8.40  
5  NECROMANCER 5 8 814 69½   76¼ 55½ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 9.40  
8  MOTION TO STRIKE 8 6 3½ 21½   23½ 66¼ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 20.30  
11  BLINDING LIGHT 9 1 44½ 45½   65¾ 710¼ (englehart je)TORRES A 115 8.00 6% 15.30 3.80  
4  BOURBON READY 4 9 918½ 919   915¾ 817 (pletch)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6% 16.80 10.50  
2  SUPER QUALITY 2 4 2nk 32   810¾ 922½ (arriaga a)VARGAS A 122 6.00 6.80  
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-9   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DEKANTER 7 5 42 41   2½ 11¾ (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 125 5.00 10% 8.70 11.50 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of MORNING RUSH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) 6 2 2½ 2½   4¾ 21¾ (brown chad )MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.00 P
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
3  QUIESCENT 3 1 1½ 1½   3½ 31¾ (ribaudo robert )CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of SAARLIGHT by SAARLAND)
10  MISS SAN GABRIEL 10 3 62½ 31   1½ 42¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60 3.20  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HERE COMES FROCK by ARTAX)
4  RISK FREE 4 10 94¾ 74   52¾ 52¾ (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 27.75  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
5  LEXI'S SPIRIT 5 8 72¾ 62½   62¾ 63¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12.10  
  (by KANTHAROS out of EDUCATING by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  ROMAN GODDESS 2 11 119 106¾   84¼ 74 (maker michae)TORRES A 118 15.00 16.20  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of NARIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  SPELTERINI 1 9 84¾ 94¾   73¾ 85½ (mott will)VARGAS A 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.95  
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
11  DIAMOND STATUS 11 7 105 117¼   106¼ 97¾ (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00 31.75  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STATUS by KRIS S.)
12  MY GIRL JAL 12 12 1210 129¼   116¾ 108 (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 73.50  
  (by PALACE out of DYNAMITE DAME by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  DARK DAHLIA 8 6 31 51½   95¼ 119½ (englehart jer)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 17% 4.90 14.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of THE TEA CUPS by HARD SPUN)
9  TUFANI 9 4 52 84½   127¼ 1212 (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 23.30  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of WINDHOEK by MINESHAFT)
SCR  BUTTER CAKE               (mott willia)MARTINEZ R 118 6.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of APIARY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  JUST ON TIME (FR)               (jerkens j)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SMART STING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SHE'S STORMY               (jerkens jame)TORRES A 120 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.