Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (10/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
AQU-2   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
AQU-3   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
AQU-4   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
AQU-5   Win (7/10/4/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
AQU-6   Win (2/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.90 $7.90  
AQU-7   Win (3/16/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $85.50  
AQU-8   Win (3/10/7/11/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $8.60 $8.60  
AQU-9   Win (6/10/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $25.00 $25.00 15.00

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :443 :561     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUGH DRAFT 2 1 32 32   2nk 1¾ (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 4.00 21% 3.70 5.10 W
CONMAN 1 4 63 64   42 2¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 1.55  
SANDRONE 8 3 1 1   1nk 31 (bond ja)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.90 4.10 S
SINFUL DANCER 6 2 2 2   31 4 (figueroa j)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 16% 5.40 9.50  
FEATHERS ROAD 7 8 4 4   5 56 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00 6.20  
GREAT WORKOUT 5 7 85 85   64 67 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 127 10.00 8.90  
BASIS RISK 3 6 53 5   8 7 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 125 30.00 59.75  
BE OF COURAGE 4 5 74 7   7 8 (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 9.10  
SCR  BRACIOLE               (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50    
SCR  CLASH A. J.               (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 15.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 127 1.60 21% 3.70    
 
AQU-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOMS BOLDLY 2 2 11 11   11 11 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.10 0.60 W
HELDISH 4 5 21 21   21 21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 14% 6.10 4.00 P
THUNDERIAN 3 4 5 47   3 3 (jacobson david)TORRES A 117 10.00 14.50  
TORRONE 5 1 4 3   47 45 (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 17.70  
WARMAN ROAD 1 3 32 512   515 521¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00 2.85  
SCR  TOXIC GRAY               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Danger's Hour Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:11 1:224   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG EVEREST (GB) 2 1 11 11 1 11 1hd (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 41% 1.50 0.55 W
ANACONDA 1 3 32 3 2 21 2hd (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 21% 3.70 1.60 P
ELEVEN CENTRAL 3 2 21 21 32 3 3 (lobo h)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 4.50  
SCR  KOOLHAUS               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL CITY               (mcgaughey cla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  SO HIGH (GB)               (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING               (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 120 0.50    
 
AQU-4   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:13 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE AND LIGHT 4 2 4 42 11 1 1 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 31% 2.20 3.65 W
HANG TIGHT 7 4 6 7 4 2 2 (thompson g)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00 2.15  
BINGO JOHN 3 3 3½ 3 3 3 3 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 17% 5.00 3.05 S
ONE MORE SCORE 6 1 2½ 2½ 21 46 416 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 14.10  
EXXTOP 5 7 79 6 713 612½ 520¾ (thompson m)DAVIS A 125 20.00 44.25  
PRINCE OF JOY 1 6 5 56 511½ 512 620¾ (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 7.50  
SIGHT UNSEEN 2 5 1½ 1½ 612½ 715½ 726¼ (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 120 4.50 3.70  
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-5   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:124 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVEN HOPE 7 7 4 4 31 2 1¼ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 126 5.00 43% 1.30 4.00 W
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 9 3 3 32 4 3 2¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 5.30  
10  CARLIN CLAN 10 2 22 1nk 1nk 1 3¾ (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 21% 3.70 2.50 S
11  CHESS SPECTACULAR 11 10 7 7 7 42 4 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 11.00  
12  MAD MAGIC 12 8 6 5 6 6 5 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00 14.90  
PLEASE BABY 4 11 12 1210 12 9 6 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 9% 9.80 3.90  
STEADY PROGRESS 1 5 8 10 10 7 7 (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 47.00  
SECOND AND REED 5 4 53 6 5 5 8 (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 62.00  
STORMANDY 8 6 10 9 9 118 99 (baker charl)VARGAS A 118 15.00 42.75  
UNION TAP 2 9 9 8 8 10 1010¾ (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 8.90  
ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 12 117 11 11 128 1112¼ (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00 64.25  
CARPE CAPELLA 3 1 12 2nk 2nk 8 1214 (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 30.00 35.25  
SCR  PEJA DU               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEALLLIKEDHIM               (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 126 50.00    
 
AQU-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE TALK 7 6 4 1½   1 1 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50 6% 16.20 2.95 W
CASH NOW 3 3 3 4   34 2 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50 2.90  
ZERTZ 5 7 7 54   4 3 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 30% 2.30 2.30 S
MARVIN 2 4 1½ 2½   2 4 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 6.10  
MIDNIGHTCHARLY 4 1 66 66   610 515¼ (arriaga antoni)TORRES A 115 6.00 10% 9.30 7.00  
MAGNIFICENT CHROME 6 2 2½ 32   510 617½ (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 11.10  
R BOY BODE 1 5 5 77   714½ 717¾ (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 20.00 25.00  
SCR  RAISE THE RENT               (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-7   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :492 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  KOSUKE 10 2 2½ 22 2nk 1½ 1¼ (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00 41.75  
STARTS NOW 4 5 34 33 3 3½ 2¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 8.00 P
ARISAEMA 7 8 67 44 4 41 3 (abreu r)SAMUEL L 126 12.00 14.10  
SUCCULENT 6 10 910½ 6 5 5 4 (donk david)VARGAS A 126 6.00 4.70  
LA CONQUISTADORA 9 1 1½ 12 1nk 2½ 5 (breen ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 28.75  
THE SPLENDID ONE 1 7 4 55 6 62 6 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 10.00 12.80  
11  BOMB SQUAD 11 3 78 7 7 7 74 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.20 3.30  
12  PINSTRIPEPIZZO 12 6 8 9 8 8 8 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 42.00  
ORANGE FREEZE 2 12 1215 1211¾ 1210¾ 9 9 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.60 5.70  
INFLATIONARY TREND 3 11 1113 1010¼ 10 1011¼ 1011¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50 3.05  
GRACEFULNESS 5 9 1011 1111¾ 1110¼ 1111¼ 1111¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 55.75  
ICHIBAN 8 4 56 8 9 1221¼ 1239 (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 20.30  
SCR  BON ADIEU               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MY ANGEL               (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  NORTHWAY               (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  SILENT MELODY               (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:22 :453 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEEBEAR 7 5 79 710   3 1 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 9% 10.20 3.30 W
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 6 2 6 811   5 2 (engle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 22.50  
WIN FOR GOLD 1 3 1nk 1   1 3 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 3.00  
NOLO CONTESTO 3 7 56 5   4 4 (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 41% 1.50 8.40  
NECROMANCER 5 8 814 6   7 5 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 9.40  
MOTION TO STRIKE 8 6 3½ 2   2 6 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 20.30  
11  BLINDING LIGHT 9 1 4 4   6 710¼ (englehart jeff)TORRES A 115 8.00 6% 15.30 3.80  
BOURBON READY 4 9 918½ 919   915¾ 817 (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6% 16.80 10.50  
SUPER QUALITY 2 4 2nk 32   810¾ 922½ (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 122 6.00 6.80  
SCR  HATCH (GB)               (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
 
AQU-9   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:22 :45 :564     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEKANTER 7 5 42 41   2½ 1 (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 125 5.00 10% 8.70 11.50 W
ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) 6 2 2½ 2½   4¾ 2 (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 21% 3.70 4.00 P
QUIESCENT 3 1 1½ 1½   3½ 3 (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00 5.40  
10  MISS SAN GABRIEL 10 3 6 31   1½ 4 (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60 3.20  
RISK FREE 4 10 9 74   5 5 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 27.75  
LEXI'S SPIRIT 5 8 7 6   6 6 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 12.10  
ROMAN GODDESS 2 11 119 10   8 74 (maker michael )TORRES A 118 15.00 16.20  
SPELTERINI 1 9 8 9   7 8 (mott willia)VARGAS A 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.95  
11  DIAMOND STATUS 11 7 105 11   10 9 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00 31.75  
12  MY GIRL JAL 12 12 1210 12   11 108 (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 118 50.00 73.50  
DARK DAHLIA 8 6 31 5   9 11 (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 17% 4.90 14.80  
TUFANI 9 4 52 8   12 1212 (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 23.30  
SCR  BUTTER CAKE               (mott william )MARTINEZ R 118 6.00    
SCR  JUST ON TIME (FR)               (jerkens jam)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S STORMY               (jerkens james )TORRES A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.