Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-5   Win (7/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (3/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (3/7/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (6/10/8/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONMAN Mar11 Oct29 Sep17 Aug10 Jul17 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00    
2  ROUGH DRAFT Nov18         (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 4.00 21% 3.70    
3  BASIS RISK Feb25 Feb05 Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 125 30.00    
4  BE OF COURAGE Nov05 Oct21 Sep23     (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00    
5  GREAT WORKOUT Feb19 Nov11 Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 127 10.00    
6  SINFUL DANCER Dec04 Nov13 Oct14 Oct07 Aug31 (figueroa j)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 16% 5.40    
7  FEATHERS ROAD Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 May21 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 5.00    
8  SANDRONE Nov26 Oct30 Aug25 May21 Apr23 (bond ja)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  CLASH A. J. Apr01 Mar24 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 (jones e)RIDER TBA 125 15.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION Mar10 Feb12 Jan08 Dec11 Jun11 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 127 1.60 21% 3.70    
SCR  BRACIOLE Mar24 Mar04 Feb05 Jan13 Dec31 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 2.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($82K) 3 ALL PT- 1:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARMAN ROAD Mar11 Sep16       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
2  LOOMS BOLDLY Mar19 Feb20 Nov12 Sep29   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
3  THUNDERIAN Mar25 Mar19 Dec02 Sep21 Aug12 (jacobson david)TORRES A 117 10.00    
SCR  TOXIC GRAY Mar05 Feb11 Dec30     (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  HELDISH Mar25 Jan21 Nov12 Oct22 Sep10 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
6  TORRONE Nov06 Oct02 Sep17 Aug12   (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00    
 
AQU-3   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Danger's Hour Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANACONDA Mar11 Feb04 Nov25 Nov07 Sep29 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  SO HIGH (GB) Apr07 Mar05 Feb03 Apr15   (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
3  BIG EVEREST (GB) Nov13 Sep29 Aug04 Jul09 Jun02 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.80 41% 1.50    
4  ELEVEN CENTRAL Nov13 Sep30 Aug13 Jul09 May28 (lobo h)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL CITY Dec03 Oct22 Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 (mcgaughey cla)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 8% 11.70    
SCR  KOOLHAUS Jan27 Dec17 Jun17 May12 Mar24 (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  BOURBON CALLING Mar19 Feb20 Jan06 Nov18 Nov07 (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 120 0.50    
 
AQU-4   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF JOY Mar05 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01 Dec18 (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00    
2  SIGHT UNSEEN Mar05 Jan29 Dec31 Nov05 Oct14 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 120 4.50    
3  BINGO JOHN Mar26 Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan22 (englehart jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 17% 5.00    
4  LIFE AND LIGHT Mar25 Feb24 Feb03 Jan12 Dec11 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  EXXTOP Mar30 Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 Jan26 (thompson m)DAVIS A 125 20.00    
SCR  PATRICK THE GREAT Apr08 Mar25 Jan27 Jan21 Dec11 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 127 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  ONE MORE SCORE Mar27 Feb18 Jan12 Apr08 Mar28 (brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 ★    
8  HANG TIGHT Mar30 Feb17 Feb05 Jan28 Jan08 (thompson g)CANCEL ERIC 125 8.00    
 
AQU-5   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEADY PROGRESS Mar31 Mar12 Feb17 Feb02 Jan19 (chatt)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
2  UNION TAP Mar18         (kimmel c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
3  CARPE CAPELLA Mar26 Mar03 Oct09     (shivmang)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 30.00    
4  PLEASE BABY Jan19 Dec01 Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
5  SECOND AND REED Feb02 Jan05 Dec10 Oct28 Oct02 (ryerso)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY         (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 20.00    
7  PROVEN HOPE Mar31 Mar12 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 126 5.00 43% 1.30    
8  STORMANDY Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 Jan13 Oct22 (baker charl)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
9  YORKSHIRE PRINCE Feb18 Jan21 Dec03 Oct22   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00    
10  CARLIN CLAN Mar03 Feb04 Oct23 Aug27 Jul16 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
11  CHESS SPECTACULAR Mar10 Feb12 Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
12  MAD MAGIC Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 Nov06 Oct09 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 10.00 ★    
SCR  PEJA DU         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEALLLIKEDHIM Mar31 Mar10 Dec29 Dec09   (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 126 50.00    
 
AQU-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R BOY BODE Feb09 Aug08 Jul22 Jul10 Jul04 (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  RAISE THE RENT Mar11 Jan01 Aug19 Jul24 May28 (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  MARVIN Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Jan22 Nov10 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
4  CASH NOW Jan29 Jan21 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 (summers chad)ADORNO ABNER 123 3.50    
5  MIDNIGHTCHARLY Mar19 Mar03 Feb25 Oct11 Sep10 (arriaga antoni)TORRES A 115 6.00 10% 9.30    
6  ZERTZ Mar25 Mar03 Feb09 Jan22 Jan13 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 30% 2.30    
7  MAGNIFICENT CHROME Mar30 Feb02 Jan19 Aug14 Jul20 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
8  NO MORE TALK Mar26 Feb26 Feb05 Jan06 Nov11 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50 6% 16.20    
 
AQU-7   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SPLENDID ONE Feb24 Jan19 Dec16 Nov04 Sep22 (hennig mark)HARKIE K 118 10.00    
2  ORANGE FREEZE Sep15 Aug18       (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  INFLATIONARY TREND         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
4  STARTS NOW Nov18 Oct28       (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 ★    
5  GRACEFULNESS Feb24 Jan27       (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
6  SUCCULENT Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Jul16 (donk david)VARGAS A 126 6.00    
7  ARISAEMA Feb12 Oct29 Jul16 Jun04 Apr10 (abreu r)SAMUEL L 126 12.00    
8  ICHIBAN Mar18 Jan21       (rice linda)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
9  LA CONQUISTADORA Feb24 Dec16 Oct30 Sep22   (breen ke)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
10  KOSUKE         (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00    
11  BOMB SQUAD Nov04         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 10% 9.20    
12  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Feb24 Jan14       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  NORTHWAY Mar18 Feb20       (handal raym)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
SCR  SILENT MELODY         (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MY ANGEL Mar18 Feb11 Jan14     (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
SCR  BON ADIEU Feb10 Dec16       (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
AQU-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIN FOR GOLD Mar26 Feb20 Feb11 Jan12 Dec11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50    
2  SUPER QUALITY Mar10 Mar05 Jan29 Dec09 Nov10 (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 122 6.00    
3  NOLO CONTESTO Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec30 Nov24 (jacobson davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 41% 1.50    
4  BOURBON READY Mar04 Feb12 Jan08 Apr23 Mar26 (pletcher)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 6% 16.80    
5  NECROMANCER Mar10 Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 Aug25 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
6  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Mar10 Jan01 Dec03 Aug24 Jul30 (engle)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
7  ZEEBEAR Mar26 Feb12       (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 5.00 9% 10.20    
8  MOTION TO STRIKE Mar04 Jan05 Dec10 Nov20 Oct23 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB) Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 Nov18 Oct22 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 30.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS Mar11 Feb09 Jan29 Jan08 Aug25 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
11  BLINDING LIGHT Jan14 Nov04 Oct06 Sep03 Jul20 (englehart jeff)TORRES A 115 8.00 6% 15.30    
 
AQU-9   04/15/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELTERINI Mar17 Feb17 Jan07 Nov05 Oct02 (mott willia)VARGAS A 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  BUTTER CAKE         (mott william )MARTINEZ R 118 6.00    
2  ROMAN GODDESS Dec11 Nov18 Oct16 Sep25   (maker michael )TORRES A 118 15.00    
3  QUIESCENT Aug28         (ribaudo j)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
4  RISK FREE Mar17 Feb17 Jan29 Jan07 Dec15 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
5  LEXI'S SPIRIT Feb18 Jan08 Nov20 Oct27 Aug25 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
6  ACCEPT THE OUTCOME (IRE) Feb16         (brown c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
7  DEKANTER Mar16         (abreu r)DAVIS KATIE 125 5.00 10% 8.70    
8  DARK DAHLIA Dec10         (englehart jerem)OLVER MADISON 118 8.00 17% 4.90    
9  TUFANI         (stidham michael)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
10  MISS SAN GABRIEL Jul13         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
11  DIAMOND STATUS Nov20 Oct15 Sep16 Aug19 Jun30 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 20.00    
12  MY GIRL JAL Mar17 Feb17       (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 118 50.00    
SCR  JUST ON TIME (FR) Mar11 Nov12 Oct15     (jerkens jam)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S STORMY Mar03 Feb03 Jan06 Aug14   (jerkens james )TORRES A 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.