Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   EXA (8/4)-(8/4/7/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-7 $14.30 $6.30 79%
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/7/3/5)-(8/4/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-7-3 $66.95 $54.95 458%
    SFT (8/4)-(8/4/7/3/5)-(8/4/7/3/5)-(8/4/7/3/5) 48 $0.10 $4.80  8-7-3-5 $44.89 $40.09 835%
SA-5   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.80 $2.80 47%
SA-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $15.90 $3.90 33%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/4)-(1/2/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-2-3 $22.85 $4.85 27%
    SFT (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/4)-(1/2/3/5/4)-(1/2/3/5/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-2-3-5 $8.80 $1.60 22%
SA-9   WIN (11/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  11 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    DD (1/2/3)-(11/9/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-11 $72.40 $54.40 302%
Simulator Race results
 
SA-1   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:13 1:251   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHOCKING GREY 8 1 64 63 41½ 11 1¾ (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 49% 1.10 0.50 W
  (by GRAZEN out of SEOUL UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  SMART MONIQUE 7 6 42 31½ 3½ 21 2¾ (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 ★ 20.40 P
  (by GRAZEN out of ELEMENTAL METAL by SMART STRIKE)
3  TIZ MY PRINCESS 3 8 86½ 84½ 83¾ 86½ 36 (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 20.00 ★ 48.40 S
  (by TIZBUD out of BLUSH WITH REALITY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
5  ELEGANCE CODE 5 7 53 52½ 62¾ 76 47 (gaines carla)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 ★ 3.80  
  (by FED BIZ out of ELEGANTLY by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
2  OAT MILK LATTE 2 4 21 21 2½ 44 57½ (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 12.00 29.50  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of NEACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
1  BLURSDAY 1 3 11 11 1½ 32½ 68 (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00 17.30  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TRAP QUEEN by GOOD JOURNEY)
6  AMERICAN CONQUEST 6 9 910½ 97½ 95¾ 97 78½ (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00 55.00  
  (by FINNEGANS WAKE out of AMERICAN FARRAH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  CANDY ON TOP 4 2 32 42 51¾ 54½ 89¼ (gaines carla)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 27% 2.80 5.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  TAPIT ROCKS 9 5 74½ 73½ 73¼ 66 99¾ (dunham dani)HERRERA A 124 15.00 58.60  
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SA-2   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRUTTO 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 12% 7.50 0.40 W
4  FIREMAN DAN 4 3 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (amescua rene)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 ★ 8.30 P
2  NOLO CONTESTO 2 5 41½ 31½   31½ 32 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 66% 0.50 4.10 S
7  SEATTLE BREAKOUT 7 4 52½ 43½   45 44¾ (headley kare)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00 32.10  
1  BIG SPLASH 1 7 65½ 79   611½ 513¼ (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 ★ 7.10  
3  DERBY STORM 3 6 75¾ 68½   711½ 614¾ (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00 ★ 54.80  
6  WINK AND A DREAM 6 2 31½ 54   511 723¼ (winick debbie)JIMENEZ A 124 20.00 78.60  
 
SA-3   01/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ 6 4 53 32   21 11 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00 4.30  
2  TOPOLINA 2 1 11 11½   11 21 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 6% 16.80 2.30 P
9  GOOD BOO JOO 9 5 32 42   31½ 31¾ (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.50 32% 2.10 3.30 S
5  GYPSY LYNN 5 3 21 21½   42½ 44 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
8  CRIMSON ROSE 8 6 43 53   54 54¼ (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 30% 2.30 10.30  
10  LA AGUILILLA 10 2 63½ 63½   64½ 64¼ (ramos jesus)CEDILLO ABEL 124 15.00 40.30  
1  ROSES AND CANDY 1 7 107¾ 107¾   85 74½ (mcanally ron)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00 23.20  
4  MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE) 4 9 75 86   74½ 85¼ (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 6% 16.80 3.50  
3  FRIED ASPARAGUS 3 8 85¼ 75½   95½ 96¾ (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00 58.70  
7  ADAM'S CREED 7 10 95¾ 96¼   107 107¼ (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 124 15.00 58.30  
SCR  TOO BOSSY               (puype mike)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00    
 
SA-4   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KATONAH 6 5 53 41½   2½ 1nk (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 6.00 ★ 10.80  
3  DISTORTED MATH 3 4 41½ 3½   1½ 2nk (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 55% 0.80 1.00 P
1  EL POTENTE 1 1 2½ 1nk   3½ 32 (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 124 6.00 10.30  
2  FAMOUS STAR (GB) 2 3 31 2nk   4¾ 44½ (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 19% 4.40 1.70  
4  TENTH STREET DON 4 6 610 64½   55¾ 57 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 ★ 48.90  
5  HYDRO FROST 5 2 1½ 54   614¾ 632¾ (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00 ★ 6.10  
 
SA-5   01/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
See original race card.
:213 :45 :564     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MY SUMMER DREAM 6 3 42½ 42   11 12 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 9% 9.50 3.40 W
4  COMMANDER (FR) 4 6 64½ 63   42 22 (palma hector)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00 6.50  
3  MANITOWISH 3 4 21 2½   31½ 32½ (valenzuel)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 33.10  
5  MESUT 5 9 810½ 810   84¾ 43½ (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 12.00 ★ 9.70  
2  KANDEREL 2 7 76½ 75½   73¼ 53½ (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 14% 6.20 10.50  
10  REBEL POSSE 9 2 53 52½   63 64½ (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00 2.20  
9  MONGOLIAN MEMORY 8 1 32 31   52 74¾ (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 122 20.00 46.20  
1  GIVE ME THE LUTE 1 5 11 1½   21 86 (miller peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 ★ 8.20  
8  HEMBREE 7 8 911½ 911½   98¾ 96½ (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 49% 1.00 4.50  
SCR  COMMANDER KHAI               (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
 
SA-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SHAMROCK 1 2 2½ 1nk   1½ 13¼ (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 2.60  
6  FEELING GRAZEFUL 6 1 1½ 2nk   2½ 23¼ (saavedra a)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.40 P
3  SHANGHAI SUNRISE 3 6 65½ 55   44½ 35¾ (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00 ★ 8.70 S
4  ROSE HARBOR 4 5 52½ 32½   34½ 46¼ (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 27% 2.70 7.30  
2  VEGAN 2 3 42 43   56½ 58½ (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 ★ 11.60  
5  QUEEN MOLOTOV 5 4 3½ 65½   611½ 619¼ (thomas jamey)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 12% 7.30 3.90  
 
SA-7   01/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
See original race card.
:213 :424 1:06     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STELLA NOIR 2 8 43 46   31½ 1¾ (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 5.00 6.90  
8  XMAS SURPRISE 8 4 54½ 57   63½ 2¾ (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 7.50  
3  SECRETS TOLD 3 2 21½ 22½   11 31¼ (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 13% 6.70 9.90 S
7  FOUNDER'S DAY 7 7 87 68   53 42 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00 36.70  
6  PHENOM 6 1 32 35   42½ 53 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 35% 1.80 1.10  
5  GOLD FOR KITTEN 5 6 77 810   86½ 64¼ (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 11% 7.90 7.00  
4  ANGELCENTS 4 3 11½ 12½   21 75½ (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 6% 14.50 19.30  
1  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME 1 5 65½ 78   74 87¼ (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 6.00 13% 6.90 4.80  
 
SA-8   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:07
See original race card.
:213 :443 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH WAHINE 1 6 68½ 46   31½ 1½ (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 2.50 33% 2.00 5.90 W
2  GLORIOUS SPRING 2 5 36 33   1½ 2½ (blacker dan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.80 P
3  STARSHIP DEFIANT 3 2 23½ 22½   2½ 33 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.00 10% 8.80 5.90 S
5  VELLA 5 4 47 59   66½ 45¾ (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 ★ 3.30  
4  ROMAN EMPRESS 4 3 58 69½   56½ 56½ (saavedra an)HERRERA A 122 20.00 ★ 58.50  
6  GIANNA'S WILD CAT 6 1 13½ 12½   42½ 610½ (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 2.30  
 
SA-9   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:37
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:12 1:241   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CONSTERNATION (IRE) 11 4 33 2nk 2nk 1nk 1½ (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 32% 2.10 4.30 W
3  BALI DANCER 3 3 12 1nk 1nk 2nk 2½ (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 42.30  
10  ICE QUEEN 10 2 22 31 31½ 32 31 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70 9.20 S
4  WITCH MOON 4 8 118 117¼ 116¾ 86¾ 42½ (spawr william)FREY KYLE 124 12.00 18.70  
7  CHEERFUL CHARM 7 11 96¾ 73¾ 73¾ 54¾ 52½ (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 5.00 ★ 11.20  
2  A CROWN FOR KITTEN 2 10 74¾ 83¾ 63¾ 76¼ 63¾ (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 12.00 16.50  
1  SWEET HEIDELBERG 1 7 43 41½ 42 44½ 74¼ (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 10.00 7.10  
9  DOLLY MAY (IRE) 9 1 64½ 51¾ 52¼ 65¼ 85¾ (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 31% 2.30 1.70  
8  BEACHGRASS 8 9 107¾ 106¼ 84¼ 108¼ 96 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 ★ 7.60  
6  NOBLE HEARTED 6 5 84¾ 94¾ 105¼ 97¾ 107¼ (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00 24.20  
5  LIZY D 5 6 53½ 63¼ 94¾ 1110¼ 1111½ (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00 22.50  
SCR  TROJAN WAY               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.