Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/7/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/7/3/5)-(8/4/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4)-(2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4)-(2/5)-(9/8/2/4/5) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
SA-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/1/4/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/1/4/3)-(2/5/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5)-(9/8/2/4/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(9/8/2/4/5)-(3/2) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
SA-3   WIN (9/8/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/4/5)-(9/8/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/4/5)-(9/8/2/4/5)-(9/8/2/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/2/4/5)-(3/2) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/2/4/5)-(3/2)-(8/2/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
SA-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/5/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/5/4/6)-(3/2/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(8/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(8/2/6)-(6/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SA-5   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/5/1)-(8/2/6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(6/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(6/4/5)-(6/3/1/5/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/3/2)-(6/4/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/3/1/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/3/1/5/4)-(1/2/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-7   WIN (6/3/1/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5/4)-(6/3/1/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5/4)-(6/3/1/5/4)-(6/3/1/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5/4)-(1/2/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5/4)-(1/2/3)-(11/9/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
SA-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/5/4)-(1/2/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(11/9/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SA-9   WIN (11/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/9/10)-(11/9/10/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/9/10)-(11/9/10/8/7)-(11/9/10/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLURSDAY Dec02         (hanson ryan)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TRAP QUEEN by GOOD JOURNEY)
2  OAT MILK LATTE Nov27 Oct28       (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of NEACE by PHILANTHROPIST)
3  TIZ MY PRINCESS Nov25 Oct08 Aug19 Jun03 May06 (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 20.00 ★    
  (by TIZBUD out of BLUSH WITH REALITY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
4  CANDY ON TOP Nov27 Nov04 Sep30 Aug26 Jul29 (gaines carla)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CANDY CAUSEWAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  ELEGANCE CODE Apr10 Feb19       (gaines carla)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 ★    
  (by FED BIZ out of ELEGANTLY by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
6  AMERICAN CONQUEST Dec02 Nov06       (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 8.00    
  (by FINNEGANS WAKE out of AMERICAN FARRAH by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
7  SMART MONIQUE Nov27 Sep30 Aug19     (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 124 6.00 ★    
  (by GRAZEN out of ELEMENTAL METAL by SMART STRIKE)
8  SHOCKING GREY Nov27 Nov04 Oct09     (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by GRAZEN out of SEOUL UNBRIDLED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  TAPIT ROCKS Dec03 Apr17       (dunham dani)HERRERA A 124 15.00    
  (by HEAVEN'S GLORY out of INCREDIBLE TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
SA-2   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SPLASH Apr17 Feb20       (yakteen tim)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 ★    
2  NOLO CONTESTO Dec30 Nov24       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  DERBY STORM Dec10 Jul08 Jul01     (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 20.00 ★    
4  FIREMAN DAN Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Aug19 (amescua rene)DESORMEAUX J 124 4.00 ★    
5  BRUTTO May20 Apr16 Mar12     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.60 12% 7.50    
6  WINK AND A DREAM Oct30 Oct09 Aug13 Jul10 Apr03 (winick debbie)JIMENEZ A 124 20.00    
7  SEATTLE BREAKOUT Nov11 Oct07 Aug12     (headley kare)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00    
 
SA-3   01/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES AND CANDY Dec02 Oct07 Aug28 Aug06 Jun10 (mcanally ron)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 15.00    
2  TOPOLINA Nov13 May08 Mar13 Feb04   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 4.00 6% 16.80    
3  FRIED ASPARAGUS Nov26 Oct23 Sep05     (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
4  MAJESTIC STEPS (IRE) Nov13 Feb11       (eurton peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 6% 16.80    
5  GYPSY LYNN Nov26 Sep02 Aug21 Jul03 Jun05 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ Oct22 Sep11 Aug14     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00    
7  ADAM'S CREED Dec02 Oct28 Oct09 Aug28   (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
8  CRIMSON ROSE Dec16 Nov13 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
9  GOOD BOO JOO Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 May08 Apr16 (mul)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
10  LA AGUILILLA Dec17 Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 Jul31 (ramos jesus)CEDILLO ABEL 124 15.00    
SCR  TOO BOSSY Nov06 Sep11 Jul22 Jun18 May06 (puype mike)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00    
 
SA-4   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL POTENTE Apr07 Feb11       (blacker daniel)BRAVO J 124 6.00    
2  FAMOUS STAR (GB) Nov05 Aug05 Jun19 May30 Apr16 (sadler w)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  DISTORTED MATH Dec18         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.20 55% 0.80    
4  TENTH STREET DON Dec26 Nov05 Oct23 Jul09 May21 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 ★    
5  HYDRO FROST Nov24         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00 ★    
6  KATONAH         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 6.00 ★    
 
SA-5   01/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIVE ME THE LUTE Jan02 Nov27 Oct22 Sep16 Aug05 (miller peter)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00 ★    
2  KANDEREL Nov05 Oct01 Aug05 May29 Apr10 (mandella richar)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
3  MANITOWISH Dec11 Oct07 Sep10 Jul22 Jun17 (valenzuel)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
4  COMMANDER (FR) Nov06 Oct08 Sep01 Jul30 Mar25 (palma hector)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 6.00    
5  MESUT Nov27 Nov06 Jan07     (gaines carla)BRAVO J 122 12.00 ★    
6  MY SUMMER DREAM Dec11 Oct21 Oct08 Aug11 Jun12 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 9% 9.50    
SCR  COMMANDER KHAI Dec31 Nov27 Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 15.00    
8  HEMBREE         (miller peter)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
9  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06   (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
10  REBEL POSSE Dec03 Jul16 Jun09 May13   (d'amato ph)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 4.00    
 
SA-6   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SHAMROCK Dec26 Dec17 Nov18 Oct07 Sep02 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.50    
2  VEGAN Nov12 Oct16 Sep24 Jan30 Jan01 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 3.00 ★    
3  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Dec17 Apr01 Feb20 Jan16   (puype mike)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00 ★    
4  ROSE HARBOR Feb18 Jan15       (hanson ryan)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  QUEEN MOLOTOV Nov18 Oct28 Aug28 Jul30 Apr10 (thomas jamey)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
6  FEELING GRAZEFUL Feb20 Jan14       (saavedra a)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
SA-7   01/13/2023 4290ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AQUA SEAFORM SHAME Oct29 Sep02       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  STELLA NOIR Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 May21 May01 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 122 5.00    
3  SECRETS TOLD Oct30 Oct02 Jul30 Jun18 May15 (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
4  ANGELCENTS Nov19 Sep22 Sep02 Jun11   (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 6% 14.50    
5  GOLD FOR KITTEN Nov12 Feb19 Jan09     (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
6  PHENOM Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 Mar12 Feb12 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
7  FOUNDER'S DAY Dec18 Nov19 Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
8  XMAS SURPRISE Nov19 Aug19 Jul29 May22 Apr02 (powell leonard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
 
SA-8   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH WAHINE Dec09 Sep23 Sep16 Aug27 Jul29 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 117 2.50 33% 2.00    
2  GLORIOUS SPRING Dec17 Nov12 Sep17 Jul30   (blacker dan)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  STARSHIP DEFIANT Dec18 Oct16 Aug11 Jun26 Jun10 (hess b)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.00 10% 8.80    
4  ROMAN EMPRESS Dec09 Nov13 Oct22 Sep30 Sep18 (saavedra an)HERRERA A 122 20.00 ★    
5  VELLA Dec17 Nov12 Sep24 Aug11 Jul10 (wong jonathan)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
6  GIANNA'S WILD CAT Dec17 Jul28 Jul09 Apr15 Feb13 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
 
SA-9   01/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET HEIDELBERG Nov18 Oct30 Sep11 Aug21 Jul24 (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 10.00    
2  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Nov25 Feb04 Jan08     (yakteen ti)VAN DRAYDEN 124 12.00    
3  BALI DANCER Nov26 Nov11 Oct30 Aug26 Aug04 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
4  WITCH MOON Nov13 Oct15 Sep05 Jul28 May27 (spawr william)FREY KYLE 124 12.00    
5  LIZY D Nov13 Oct15 Sep05 Apr16 Mar26 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 15.00    
6  NOBLE HEARTED Nov20 Oct30 Sep16 Aug12 May27 (hess b)CEDILLO ABEL 120 12.00    
7  CHEERFUL CHARM Oct30 Aug06 Jun12 Mar25 Jan21 (winick debbie)CURATOLO RYAN 124 5.00 ★    
8  BEACHGRASS Nov20 Oct15 Sep05 May01 Apr03 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 8.00 ★    
9  DOLLY MAY (IRE) Nov18 Oct15 Aug14 Jun12 Apr30 (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
10  ICE QUEEN Nov20 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 Jul04 (saldana ree)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
11  CONSTERNATION (IRE) Nov20 Oct30 Sep30 Aug12 Jul23 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  TROJAN WAY Dec17 Oct15 Sep02 Jul31   ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.