The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Saturday - April 01, 2023

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AQU-1   04/01/2023 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:25 :491 1:124 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFJAN 4 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 1(toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 13% 6.50 9.50 W
SALTO DE TIGRE 2 5 4 41 3½ 21 2(jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80 2.50 P
SMOKE AND HEAT 5 3 54 58 5 33(englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 4.70  
GUT FEELING 1 6 3½ 3½ 4¾ 52 4(padilla-precia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 1.80 37% 1.70 1.75  
NORGAY 3 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 42 54 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 3.50 3.15  
DONTBELATE 6 1 6 617 641¾ 642 667¼ (persaud randi)TORRES A 115 15.00 24.00  
 
AQU-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
:221 :45 :57     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS CHARMING 4 3 1 1   11(klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 12.90  
CENTRAL PRIDE 6 1 2 2   22(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60 13% 6.60 0.85 P
CLASH A. J. 1 4 58 412   410½ 3(jones eduardo )HARKIE K 126 6.00 5.10  
JUGGLER 5 2 4 512   310½ 4(romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 124 3.50 34% 1.90 8.10  
GOT THE GOLD 3 6 69 612½   511½ 511 (sells rach)DAVIS A 124 10.00 9% 10.20 10.80  
TREVOR BARDETTE 2 5 3 39   612 614¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.50 15% 5.70 3.30  
SCR  MSHINDI               (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00    
 
AQU-3   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
:221 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH GHOST 6 1 12 1   11(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 17% 4.80 3.95 W
MAJESTIC TIGER 1 4 53 4   44 2(rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 6.70  
BRONX BOMBER 3 2 22 3   23(kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 11.30 S
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 2 3 4 2   33 4(jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 48% 1.10 3.85  
QUICK RETURN 7 6 64 5   55(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 2.35  
MASKED MARAUDER 4 5 7 710   79 67 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00 4.60  
GANDY DANCING 5 7 3 66   6713½ (barrera oscar )TORRES A 116 4.50 6% 16.30 8.60  
 
AQU-4   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
:223 :45 1:101 1:24   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAFITTE'S FLEET 2 2 5 42 43 4¾ 1hd (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 60% 0.70 0.90 W
JUMPSTER 5 1 41 5 5 52hd (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 20.10  
LOST IN ROME 3 5 31 2nk 1nk 1½ 3(younghans will)HARKIE K 120 8.00 5.10  
GENTLEMAN JOE 4 3 2½ 3½ 31 2½ 4(englehart jeff)TORRES A 113 4.00 2.20  
BLAKE B. 1 4 1½ 1nk 2nk 3½ 511¼ (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00 5.50  
SCR  ALCOOLS               (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SIMPLY               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40    
 
AQU-5   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
:221 :452 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PETE N BILLY 3 1 2½ 21   2nk 1(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 2.95  
FREUDMEIN 1 3 1½ 11   1nk 2(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 5.90  
CALDO CANDY 7 7 612 69   55 3(bond ja)TORRES A 111 10.00 13.00  
BOURBON CHASE 5 4 56 5   66 4(pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 30% 2.30 2.10  
Z DANCER 6 5 4 4   34 5(romero raf)DAVIS A 118 8.00 21% 3.80 7.90  
BLUE PLATE SPECIAL 4 6 3 3   4611¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 25% 3.00 2.75  
FLUORESCENT BAY 2 2 717 722   721 719½ (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00 37.75  
SCR  FORTY ONE TALES               (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
SCR  METEORITE               (jerkens a)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:231 :463 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T BEAT ME 6 4 4 3   31nk (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00 12% 7.30 3.35 W
EL MAYOR 3 5 2nk 1½   1nk 2nk (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 5.20 P
STORM SHOOTER 5 1 1nk 2½   2nk 3½ (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50 30% 2.40 2.20 S
BRUNATE 2 3 5 4   44(bond ja)TORRES A 113 2.00 36% 1.80 1.80  
R BOY CHEEKUM 4 2 32 5   58 510¼ (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 30.00 38.25  
CATCHING CUPID 1 6 6 610   6610¾ (arria)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 7.50  
SCR  FENWAY               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00    
SCR  SPECTATORLESS               (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 120 8.00    
 
AQU-7   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
:222 :45 1:10     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE ROCKS 6 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 4.10  
AMERICAN LAW 7 7 6 4   3½ 2½ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 10.50  
LIFE CHANGER 4 2 4 5   53 34 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20 3.25 S
SILVER SEEKER 3 1 1½ 1nk   41 44 (lacroix gene)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 3.40  
WATASHA 2 5 8 9   98 58 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 10.90  
KAZ'S BEACH 1 4 5 6   76(synnefias panag)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 11.90  
RYAN'S CAT 9 6 31 3.2   2½ 7(rodri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00 22.30  
MONEY SUPPLY 8 10 9 7   65 89 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 23% 3.30 4.30  
HANDSOME CAT 5 8 7 8   8911½ (jacobson david)TORRES A 115 12.00 21.40  
10  HOLD THE SALSA 10 9 10 1012¼   1012½ 1016½ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 59.50  
 
AQU-8   04/01/2023 5940ft DIRT MUDDY Excelsior Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
:232 :47 1:113 1:364   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAW PROFESSOR 2 2 32 2 2nk 14 1(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 28% 2.60 0.50 W
KEYSTONE FIELD 5 4 1 1 1nk 24 2(maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.80 7.90 P
MILES D 4 1 2 35 32 33(brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 31% 2.20 3.95 S
PORTOS 7 7 715 714 7 411½ 4(morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 29.25  
CURLIN'S WISDOM 1 3 4 4 43 512 510 (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 10.00 13.90  
FOREWARNED 6 5 513½ 612 6 612½ 611¼ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00 22.30  
BOURBONIC 3 6 614 511½ 5 713 712¼ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00 11.50  
 
AQU-9   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
:22 :452 1:12     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET FREEDOM SPRING 3 1 21 2½   1½ 1(pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00 4.70  
BRASS MONKEY 1 3 32 31   2½ 2(quick p)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 4.00 36% 1.80 4.50 P
GRAND AGAIN 7 4 42 4   33 3(shivmangal)DAVIS A 125 10.00 11.20 S
BOLD HONOR 6 7 5 6   57 410½ (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50 1.95  
SUPER COACH FRED 2 2 11 1½   4516 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 38% 1.60 1.95  
SHARPOON 4 5 66 56   6616¼ (fisher linda)SAMUEL L 125 30.00 42.25  
DESPEIGHT FORTUNE 5 6 78 714½   714½ 719½ (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 16.30  
SCR  AWESOME WEAPON               (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
SCR  ZOOMSTER               (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.