Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(6/2/3)-(2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/6)-(3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(3)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(6/5/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/5/8)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-5   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(2/5/7)-(4/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(4/8)-(4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/3/6/1)-(4/8/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(4/2/5)-(2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
AQU-9   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/9/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/9/7)-(2/1/9/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUT FEELING Jan28 Dec18 Sep25 Aug24 Jul29 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  SALTO DE TIGRE Mar25 Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 Nov06 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  NORGAY Mar17 Feb19 Feb02 Jan19 Jan08 (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 3.50    
4  AFJAN Mar17 Feb18 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  SMOKE AND HEAT Mar24 Feb18 Feb02 Dec15 Sep29 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50    
6  DONTBELATE Mar05 Feb18 Jan14 Dec18 Dec01 (persaud rand)TORRES A 115 15.00    
 
AQU-2   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASH A. J. Mar24 Mar17 Feb25 Feb11 Feb02 (jones eduard)HARKIE K 126 6.00    
2  TREVOR BARDETTE Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Jan12 Dec15 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  GOT THE GOLD Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 Dec29 Nov26 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  MSHINDI Feb09 Nov25 Oct17 Oct04   (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00 6% 15.90    
5  ALWAYS CHARMING Jun16 May21 Feb21 Jan27 Jan09 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00    
6  JUGGLER Oct17 Sep26 Aug31 Aug15 Jun27 (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  CENTRAL PRIDE Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 Dec03 Nov11 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 126 1.60    
 
AQU-3   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJESTIC TIGER Mar10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec10 Oct28 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
2  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Feb10 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 Aug23 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 48% 1.10    
3  BRONX BOMBER Mar11 Feb02 Jan01 Dec02 Nov17 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.50 ★    
4  MASKED MARAUDER Feb17 Feb11 Jan19 Nov30 Oct23 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 6.00    
5  GANDY DANCING Mar11 Mar03 Feb11 Jan05 Dec02 (barrera osca)TORRES A 116 4.50 ★    
6  FOOLISH GHOST Mar12 Feb11 Jan07 Nov17 Sep23 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 17% 4.80    
7  QUICK RETURN Feb11 Jan21 Dec02 Nov17 Oct16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
 
AQU-4   04/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALCOOLS Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
2  BLAKE B. Mar12 Feb10 Jan15 Dec18 Nov19 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 123 15.00    
3  LAFITTE'S FLEET Feb26 Jan26 Jan01 Dec04 Nov05 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  SIMPLY Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Oct16 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 ★    
5  LOST IN ROME Mar25 Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 Jan06 (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
6  GENTLEMAN JOE Feb25 Feb10 Dec15 Nov02 Oct15 (englehart je)TORRES A 113 4.00 ★    
7  JUMPSTER Mar05 Feb19 Feb10 Jan15 Dec06 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
 
AQU-5   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTY ONE TALES Mar04         (serpe ph)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by FORTY TALES out of I DO THAT by WHEELAWAY)
2  FREUDMEIN         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of COLORMEIN by MR. GREELEY)
3  FLUORESCENT BAY         (davis g)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SHADOWY WATERS by WILD AGAIN)
4  PETE N BILLY Jul17         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of THIN DRESS by FROST GIANT)
5  BLUE PLATE SPECIAL         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLA CARA by TRICKY CREEK)
6  BOURBON CHASE Jan28 Jan06 Dec08 Nov13 Oct09 (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
SCR  METEORITE         (jerkens a)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LEAVEMINTHEDUST by DANZIG)
8  Z DANCER Mar18         (romero r)DAVIS A 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STARSHIP FLARE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
9  CALDO CANDY         (bond harold )TORRES A 111 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
AQU-6   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING CUPID Mar11 Feb20 Jan12 Dec16 Dec02 (arr)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
2  BRUNATE Mar11 Jan12 Dec10 Nov20 Oct27 (bond harold )TORRES A 113 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  EL MAYOR Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 Oct28 Oct13 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50 ★    
4  R BOY CHEEKUM Mar19 Dec01 Nov20 Oct27 Oct13 (thompson)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
5  STORM SHOOTER Feb10 Jan12 Dec10 Nov13 Oct01 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SPECTATORLESS Dec10 Dec01 Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 120 8.00    
7  CAN'T BEAT ME Mar11 Feb19 Feb09 Dec31 Dec04 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  FENWAY Feb20 Feb05 Jan28 Jan20 Dec31 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 115 6.00    
 
AQU-7   04/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ'S BEACH Feb18 Mar27 Mar05     (synnefias pan)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 ★    
2  WATASHA Jan14 Dec18 Nov05 Oct09 Mar12 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
3  SILVER SEEKER Feb11 Dec10 Nov06     (lacroix gen)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 ★    
4  LIFE CHANGER Jan27 Nov26 Nov05 Oct08 Aug27 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  HANDSOME CAT Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 (jacobson dav)TORRES A 115 12.00    
6  JAKE ROCKS Mar04 Feb05 Jan14 Dec11 Oct23 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 ★    
7  AMERICAN LAW Jan08 Nov18 Apr21 Mar20   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
8  MONEY SUPPLY Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug06 Jun19 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  RYAN'S CAT Mar19 Feb18 Jan27 Jan13 Nov05 (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
10  HOLD THE SALSA Jul02 Jun02 Apr29 Jan08   (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
 
AQU-8   04/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Excelsior Purse ($125K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURLIN'S WISDOM Mar19 Feb19 Jan06 Dec18 Dec02 (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 10.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of WHISPER WISDOM by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  LAW PROFESSOR Feb18 Jan07 Nov05 Oct01 Sep01 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAUNTED HEROINE by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  BOURBONIC Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Dec03   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING AFLEET by AFLEET ALEX)
4  MILES D Feb25 Jan28 Feb19     (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by CURLIN out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
5  KEYSTONE FIELD Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct21 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SHE'S AN ELEVEN by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  FOREWARNED Mar07 Feb18 Jan07 Nov26 Oct29 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FORTUNE PLAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
7  PORTOS Mar11 Jan28 Dec17 Nov05 Sep05 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
  (by TAPIT out of FIERCE BOOTS by TIZNOW)
 
AQU-9   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRASS MONKEY Mar05 Feb12       (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  SUPER COACH FRED Feb12 Jan20       (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.80 38% 1.60    
3  LET FREEDOM SPRING Mar12 Feb27 May21 May08 Mar20 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 6.00    
SCR  AWESOME WEAPON Mar05 Feb17       (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 30.00    
5  SHARPOON Dec09 Nov25 Sep30 Aug10 Jul04 (fisher linda)SAMUEL L 125 30.00    
6  DESPEIGHT FORTUNE Jan22 Dec14       (bake)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00    
7  BOLD HONOR Feb25         (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.50 ★    
SCR  ZOOMSTER Jan07 Sep05       (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 118 12.00 ★    
9  GRAND AGAIN Mar05 Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 Nov25 (shivmang)DAVIS A 125 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.