Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.90 $2.90 48%
AQU-7   TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-2-4 $14.00 $2.00 17%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WEDONTBELIEVEHER 7 3 33 32   1nk 1nk (avila c)TORRES A 118 4.50 17% 4.80 3.45 W
4  TWICE SMITTEN 4 4 12 11   2nk 2nk (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 2.35  
1  GYPSY JANIE 1 7 43 42½   44½ 36 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 S
3  LEFT LEANING LUCY 3 1 22 21   32½ 46¼ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 4.00 7% 12.60 6.20  
5  BELLS ON HER TOES 5 5 79 58   59 510¾ (metivier rich)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 24.75  
6  VALLARAND 6 2 55½ 68½   612½ 619½ (martin carlo)SAMUEL L 123 3.50 ★ 3.60  
2  EXFILTRATION 2 6 66 713   716½ 723¾ (pregman john )PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00 65.00  
 
AQU-2   04/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:141 1:393   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DESERT DALLIANCE 7 4 31 31½ 1nk 16 16¾ (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 17% 5.10 1.30 W
1  WISHING ON A STAR 1 5 42 43 54¼ 26 26¾ (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 7.80  
4  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 4 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 46½ 38¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 38% 1.60 3.30 S
6  AFILADA 6 7 62½ 63¼ 32 36 49¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 10% 8.90 14.40  
2  DUCKPHAT 2 6 75½ 79¼ 712¾ 512½ 517¼ (henry nevill)TORRES A 117 12.00 8.80  
5  VODKATINI 5 3 2½ 2½ 42¼ 613½ 621¾ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 14% 6.10 3.55  
3  TONIGHT WE LOVE 3 2 52½ 53 68¾ 723½ 737 (mart)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 10.00 31.00  
 
AQU-3   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COLLOQUY 2 7 31 31 2nk 1nk 1¾ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 27% 2.70 0.80 W
7  MIDNIGHT WORKER 7 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 2¾ (chic)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.00 12% 7.60 4.10 P
1  CENTAVO 1 5 62½ 41½ 42 31 32 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 27.50  
3  SKYLANDER 3 4 73½ 62 31 41¼ 42¾ (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 6.80  
5  HIGHER QUALITY 5 2 2nk 2½ 52½ 56¾ 59 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.00 4.50  
4  SALUTE TO AMERICA 4 3 52 72¼ 64½ 68¾ 613 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 10.60  
6  VOLIERO 6 6 41½ 51½ 76½ 79¼ 714¾ (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 11% 7.90 48.75  
 
AQU-4   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  REIGNING CHICK 3 5 810½ 77½   62¼ 11 (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 6.20  
7  DIVA BANKER 7 8 68 55   21 21 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 118 2.50 3.55  
6  TRIPLE P 6 6 33 31   11 32½ (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 67.00  
8  CHAYSENBRYN 8 7 44½ 44   31½ 42½ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 3.00  
1  SHASTA STAR 1 4 79 88   85¼ 56½ (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 11% 8.00 6.20  
4  TARA'S TALENT 4 3 57½ 66½   75¼ 67 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 14% 6.30 12.30  
5  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 2 1nk 2nk   42 77¼ (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 3.50 21% 3.70 4.90  
2  QUALITY STONES 2 1 2nk 1nk   52 811 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 21% 3.90 4.30  
 
AQU-5   04/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:114 1:342   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CITIZEN K 4 4 11½ 11 11½ 15 16 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 ★ 1.95  
4  FATIMA'S BLESSING 3 7 64½ 63½ 67 58½ 26 (summers chad)ORTIZ L 127 4.00 24% 3.10 2.40 P
1  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT 1 1 32½ 31½ 42 25 36¾ (ryerson j)VARGAS A 127 15.00 20.70  
7  STARQUIST 6 3 21½ 21 21½ 35½ 47½ (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 12.50  
3  MR. KRINGLE 2 2 43½ 41½ 31½ 48 57¾ (terranova jo)TORRES A 122 6.00 13% 6.40 6.40  
9  TIMBUKTU 7 5 54½ 52½ 54½ 610½ 69 (shuman mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 10.00 11% 7.90 3.90  
6  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 6 76 75½ 710 714½ 711¼ (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8.70  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50    
SCR  LIAR'S POKER               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE               (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MERCANTE 3 8 86½ 85 63 32 1¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 10.70  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CARESSING by HONOUR AND GLORY)
3  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 2 2 42½ 43 42 21 2¼ (lakeman and)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 33.25  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  OHANA HONOR 5 5 75 74½ 73¼ 74¼ 3½ (mcgaughey cla)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 7% 13.20 5.20 S
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  EQUAL PROTECTION 1 3 53½ 53½ 52½ 62¾ 4½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★ 1.35  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of APPEARANCE by HARLINGTON)
8  FAST BOAT TO SKYE 7 4 1½ 11½ 11 11 5¾ (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 12.00 12.40  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
9  WON AN AWARD 8 6 32 32 32 42 62¼ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 18% 4.60 2.25  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SOUNDS OF THE CITY by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  GOOD RAPPORT 4 1 2½ 21½ 21 52½ 74¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 ★ 31.25  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YES I'LL GO by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  TWIRLER 6 9 98½ 99 87¼ 88¼ 88½ (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 16.10  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GARDENIA GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
10  STEADY SCHEMING 9 7 64½ 64 99¼ 914¼ 920 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 36.75  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ANCIENT GODDESS (FR) by UNKNOWN)
SCR  D HOPPER               (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of K J WARRIOR by TAPIT)
SCR  PRICING POWER               (brown c)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PIONEER PRINCESS by PIONEERING)
SCR  SACRED RHYME               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
 
AQU-7   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122 1:253   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FIRST LOVE 1 5 62¼ 1½ 1nk 11½ 15¾ (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 26% 2.90 1.75 W
2  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 4 41¼ 52 44½ 45½ 25¾ (falcone robe)TORRES A 120 5.00 22% 3.60 6.90 P
4  JULIANA'S ROSE 4 6 73¼ 63½ 32½ 33½ 36½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 9% 10.80 4.00 S
8  DASHING DELLA 8 3 31 42 2nk 21½ 47¼ (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 18.20  
5  CAPTIVATING CARA 5 1 1nk 2½ 55½ 58½ 510½ (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 125 12.00 24.75  
6  CHASING DAYLIGHT 6 2 2nk 31½ 66 69½ 615¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 127 2.50 23% 3.30 1.90  
3  FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 8 51¾ 74 78½ 712 715¼ (jones eduardo)PANAIJO JORGE 127 20.00 52.75  
7  KEEN DANCER 7 7 89¼ 816 823½ 820 819¼ (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 17.20  
 
AQU-8   04/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:214 :434 :551     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NOTHING BETTER 2 1 11 1½   1½ 1¾ (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 10% 9.50 1.80 W
6  STRAIGHT ANSWER (GB) 5 9 98½ 87   73 2¾ (cox)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 12.30  
11  VOODOO ZIP 9 8 76½ 75½   52½ 32¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.40 5.00 S
1A  YES AND YES 7 5 64½ 65   62½ 42½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 5% 18.60 5.80  
1  THIN WHITE DUKE 4 4 43½ 42½   31½ 52½ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 5.00 ★ 5.80  
3  INTO THE SUNRISE 1 2 21 2½   2½ 63¾ (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 21.90  
5  COINAGE 3 6 54 53½   83½ 74½ (casse )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 17.70  
8  COMEDY TOWN 6 3 31½ 32   42 85½ (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9.50  
9  SLIPSTREAM 8 7 88 97½   94 96 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.85  
SCR  ANACONDA               (sharp joe)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE               (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
SCR  MR PHIL               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  RINALDI               (bond harold )TORRES A 113 15.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  WENDELL FONG               (lynch nat)VARGAS A 120 2.50 7% 12.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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