Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 2.90
AQU-2   Win (4/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
AQU-3   Win (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
AQU-4   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.40  
AQU-5   Win (11/4/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.90  
AQU-6   Win (2/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $23.40  
AQU-7   Win (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
AQU-8   Win (12/11/4/13/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEDONTBELIEVEHER 7 3 33 32   1nk 1nk (avila car)TORRES A 118 4.50 17% 4.80 3.45 W
TWICE SMITTEN 4 4 12 11   2nk 2nk (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 2.35  
GYPSY JANIE 1 7 43 4   4 36 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 S
LEFT LEANING LUCY 3 1 22 21   3 4 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 123 4.00 7% 12.60 6.20  
BELLS ON HER TOES 5 5 79 58   59 510¾ (metivier richar)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00 24.75  
VALLARAND 6 2 5 6   612½ 619½ (martin carlos )SAMUEL L 123 3.50 3.60  
EXFILTRATION 2 6 66 713   716½ 723¾ (pregman jr)PANAIJO JORGE 120 20.00 65.00  
 
AQU-2   04/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:141 1:393   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERT DALLIANCE 7 4 31 3 1nk 16 1 (breen j)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 17% 5.10 1.30 W
WISHING ON A STAR 1 5 42 43 5 26 2 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 7.80  
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 4 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 4 3 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 2.50 38% 1.60 3.30 S
AFILADA 6 7 6 6 32 36 4 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 10% 8.90 14.40  
DUCKPHAT 2 6 7 7 712¾ 512½ 517¼ (henry neville)TORRES A 117 12.00 8.80  
VODKATINI 5 3 2½ 2½ 4 613½ 621¾ (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 14% 6.10 3.55  
TONIGHT WE LOVE 3 2 5 53 6 723½ 737 (martin)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 10.00 31.00  
 
AQU-3   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLOQUY 2 7 31 31 2nk 1nk 1¾ (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.20 27% 2.70 0.80 W
MIDNIGHT WORKER 7 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 2¾ (chicha)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 4.00 12% 7.60 4.10 P
CENTAVO 1 5 6 4 42 31 32 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 15.00 27.50  
SKYLANDER 3 4 7 62 31 4 4 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 6.80  
HIGHER QUALITY 5 2 2nk 2½ 5 5 59 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.00 4.50  
SALUTE TO AMERICA 4 3 52 7 6 6 613 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 10.60  
VOLIERO 6 6 4 5 7 7 714¾ (persaud randi)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 11% 7.90 48.75  
 
AQU-4   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:222 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGNING CHICK 3 5 810½ 7   6 11 (reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 6.20  
DIVA BANKER 7 8 68 55   21 21 (rodriguez rudy)TORRES A 118 2.50 3.55  
TRIPLE P 6 6 33 31   11 3 (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 120 30.00 67.00  
CHAYSENBRYN 8 7 4 44   3 4 (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 3.00  
SHASTA STAR 1 4 79 88   8 5 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 11% 8.00 6.20  
TARA'S TALENT 4 3 5 6   7 67 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 14% 6.30 12.30  
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 5 2 1nk 2nk   42 7 (toscan)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 3.50 21% 3.70 4.90  
QUALITY STONES 2 1 2nk 1nk   52 811 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 21% 3.90 4.30  
 
AQU-5   04/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:114 1:342   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITIZEN K 4 4 1 11 1 15 16 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 1.95  
FATIMA'S BLESSING 3 7 6 6 67 5 26 (summers chad)ORTIZ L 127 4.00 24% 3.10 2.40 P
OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT 1 1 3 3 42 25 3 (ryerson jam)VARGAS A 127 15.00 20.70  
STARQUIST 6 3 2 21 2 3 4 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 12.50  
MR. KRINGLE 2 2 4 4 3 48 5 (terranova john)TORRES A 122 6.00 13% 6.40 6.40  
TIMBUKTU 7 5 5 5 5 610½ 69 (shuman mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 10.00 11% 7.90 3.90  
NOBLE HUNTSMAN 5 6 76 7 710 714½ 711¼ (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8.70  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50    
SCR  LIAR'S POKER               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE               (brion keri)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
SCR  SAFALOW'S MISSION               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 125 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-6   04/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:12 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERCANTE 3 8 8 85 63 32 1¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 10.70  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER 2 2 4 43 42 21 2¼ (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 33.25  
OHANA HONOR 5 5 75 7 7 7 3½ (mcgaughey claud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 5.00 7% 13.20 5.20 S
EQUAL PROTECTION 1 3 5 5 5 6 4½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 1.35  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE 7 4 1½ 1 11 11 5¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 118 12.00 12.40  
WON AN AWARD 8 6 32 32 32 42 6 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 18% 4.60 2.25  
GOOD RAPPORT 4 1 2½ 2 21 5 7 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 31.25  
TWIRLER 6 9 9 99 8 8 8 (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 16.10  
10  STEADY SCHEMING 9 7 6 64 9 914¼ 920 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 36.75  
SCR  D HOPPER               (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00    
SCR  PRICING POWER               (brown c)ORTIZ L 126 4.00    
SCR  SACRED RHYME               (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
AQU-7   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:122 1:253   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FIRST LOVE 1 5 6 1½ 1nk 1 1 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 26% 2.90 1.75 W
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 4 4 52 4 4 2 (falcone robert)TORRES A 120 5.00 22% 3.60 6.90 P
JULIANA'S ROSE 4 6 7 6 3 3 3 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 9% 10.80 4.00 S
DASHING DELLA 8 3 31 42 2nk 2 4 (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 18.20  
CAPTIVATING CARA 5 1 1nk 2½ 5 5 510½ (diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 125 12.00 24.75  
CHASING DAYLIGHT 6 2 2nk 3 66 6 615¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ L 127 2.50 23% 3.30 1.90  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 8 5 74 7 712 715¼ (jones e)PANAIJO JORGE 127 20.00 52.75  
KEEN DANCER 7 7 8 816 823½ 820 819¼ (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 12.00 17.20  
 
AQU-8   04/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:214 :434 :551     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTHING BETTER 2 1 11 1½   1½ 1¾ (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 10% 9.50 1.80 W
STRAIGHT ANSWER (GB) 5 9 9 87   73 2¾ (cox b)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 10.00 12.30  
11  VOODOO ZIP 9 8 7 7   5 3 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12% 7.40 5.00 S
1A  YES AND YES 7 5 6 65   6 4 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 5.00 5% 18.60 5.80  
THIN WHITE DUKE 4 4 4 4   3 5 (donk david)VARGAS A 120 5.00 5.80  
INTO THE SUNRISE 1 2 21 2½   2½ 6 (casse mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 21.90  
COINAGE 3 6 54 5   8 7 (casse ma)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 17.70  
COMEDY TOWN 6 3 3 32   42 8 (miceli michae)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 9.50  
SLIPSTREAM 8 7 88 9   94 96 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 2.85  
SCR  ANACONDA               (sharp joe)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
SCR  MARVALOUS MIKE               (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 118 30.00    
SCR  MR PHIL               (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
SCR  RINALDI               (bond ja)TORRES A 113 15.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  WENDELL FONG               (lynch natal)VARGAS A 120 2.50 7% 12.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.