Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $11.40 $5.40 90%
TAM-3   WIN (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-1 $14.60 $5.60 62%
    TRI (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/1)-(7/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-1-7 $17.35 $8.35 93%
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/5/6/7)-(7/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-4-5 $28.40 $10.40 58%
TAM-6   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.40 $1.40 18%
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-2 $21.80 $5.80 36%
TAM-8   WIN (6/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $10.60 $2.60 33%
Simulator Race results
 
TAM-1   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:18
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BAZOO 4 1 1nk 11   11 1¼ (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.50 W
6  OCEAN RIDE 5 3 2nk 21   21 2¼ (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 21% 3.80 2.20 P
2  RISK VS REWARD 1 5 31 31½   31 34¾ (ward denn)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 10.50  
4  LORD BERRIER 3 2 51¼ 42   44 46¼ (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 17% 5.00 2.90  
3  SIR AGGRAVATOR 2 4 41¼ 53   57 511½ (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 2.00 2.60  
SCR  TAPSOLUTION               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 4.50    
 
TAM-2   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:48
See original race card.
:23 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY TEUFLESBERG 4 4 2½ 13   13 13¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.30 W
1  LYRICAL 1 3 31½ 33   33 23¾ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50 4.70  
2  ARETE'S CHALICE 2 5 43½ 23   43¼ 34½ (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 6.00 6.30  
7  DIXIELAND DANCER 6 2 65 43¼   23 45½ (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 13.00 6.50  
3  JLO CAN DANCE 3 6 54 65¾   56¼ 57¾ (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00 14.70  
6  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE 5 1 1½ 53¾   66¾ 68½ (richards rena)ALICEA JEREMY 115 4.00 7% 12.80 2.50  
SCR  SNACKSTER               (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
TAM-3   04/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 1:17
See original race card.
:233 :493 1:14 1:253   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROYAL DAME 5 5 2½ 1nk 1nk 12 11¾ (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 16% 5.20 3.00 W
1  BODE'S HERITAGE 1 3 31 31 2nk 22 21¾ (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 ★ 1.60 P
7  LOVE FOREVERAFTER 7 7 51½ 41¼ 42¼ 44½ 34½ (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 53% 0.90 3.30 S
4  SAWEETIE GIRL 4 1 1½ 2nk 32 34 44¾ (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 111 4.50 6.00  
3  SUSIE'S SAVER 3 4 62 72¾ 54¼ 59½ 510¾ (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 111 12.00 24.20  
6  CHALCOLITHIC 6 8 82¼ 83 65¾ 610½ 612 (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 122 12.00 27.10  
2  GRAND SPUN 2 2 41½ 51¾ 76¼ 711 715¾ (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 13.40  
8  WATER FIGHT 8 6 72¼ 61¾ 87¼ 816 823½ (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 10.00 7% 12.80 12.90  
 
TAM-4   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:133 1:391   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PIYPA DE LYNDA 3 2 42 41¼ 31 1½ 11½ (puckett dwight)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00 21.80  
7  POSEIDON'S SON 6 3 21 3.2 2nk 2½ 21½ (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 124 1.40 35% 1.90 0.70 P
1  REINER 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 3½ 35½ (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00 6.40  
5  ROWDY JESS 4 4 52½ 61¾ 41¼ 42½ 48¼ (fennessy john)SOSA LAUREANO 116 6.00 13.50  
6  SWIFT KID 5 5 63 51¾ 61½ 55½ 59¼ (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 6.00 5% 17.90 10.20  
2  THORN 2 6 31 2nk 51¼ 66½ 617 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 4.50 21% 3.70 2.30  
SCR  HELEONORTIZ               (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
TAM-5   04/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:111 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SIMMS 2 7 94¾ 85¾ 72¼ 51½ 11¼ (smith ro)CASTANON L 119 6.00 8.60  
4  SHIMMERING LEROID 4 3 83¾ 73¾ 61¾ 3½ 21¼ (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 123 4.50 8.40  
1  THE SKIPSTER 1 1 31½ 41¾ 41¼ 2nk 31¾ (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 3.00 48% 1.10 1.00 S
6  KING OF CHAOS 6 4 42 31½ 1nk 1nk 44 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 18% 4.70 11.70  
7  IN HONOR OF ARTIE 7 10 105¼ 107 104¼ 95 57¼ (dominguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 30.00 48.60  
3  BOCA GUY 3 6 52½ 53¼ 51¼ 84 67¼ (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 116 5.00 8.80  
8  CROWLEY'S WAR 8 5 21 2nk 2nk 41 77¾ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 15.00 36.30  
10  SUMMER PALACE 10 9 72¾ 96 93¼ 73 88½ (cheeks katy)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
5  HEREBY 5 2 11 1nk 3.2 62½ 913¾ (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 5% 19.00 3.50  
9  CLEMSON TIGER 9 8 62½ 63¾ 82¾ 105½ 1017 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00 61.00  
SCR  FAST PAYDAY               (manning j)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
SCR  J P CORNETTA               (sanchez amador )CENTENO E 119 10.00    
SCR  THE BEST DISTANCE               (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-6   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ODDS ON 7 1 31 31½ 1nk 11 11½ (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 3.00 34% 2.00 3.70 W
2  SHIMMERING LIGHT 2 2 41½ 21½ 3½ 21 21½ (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 10% 9.10 2.30 P
5  I AM THAT I AM 5 4 51¾ 41¾ 41 42 31¾ (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 8.00 11.60  
3  CHUCKY 3 7 84 63¼ 62½ 31½ 44¾ (smith cr)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 21% 3.80 4.50  
9  CALL BROS 9 6 61¾ 53¼ 51½ 54 58½ (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 12.00 31.30  
1  PHARAOH FANCY PANT 1 9 94½ 95¼ 85½ 75½ 611½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 6.00 6% 14.60 9.90  
6  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE 6 8 73¾ 73¾ 74½ 64½ 712 (gonzalez aldana)FERRER C 121 12.00 10.40  
4  EXAMINER 4 3 21 84¼ 96 87½ 817 (smith cra)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 ★ 12.20  
8  SUNNY SAINT 8 5 11 11½ 2nk 97½ 917¼ (downing will)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50 5.40  
 
TAM-7   04/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AMBITIEUSE 5 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 1¼ (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 4.60  
1  MACCOOL'S GIRL 1 2 52 62½ 31 21 2¼ (halden rachel)CENTENO E 119 4.00 ★ 2.40 P
2  SWEET DUTCHESS 2 4 72¾ 3½ 2½ 31 32¾ (o'connell ka)ARROYO S 119 4.50 24% 3.20 2.30 S
8  BIKINI BABY 7 7 62½ 52 52½ 53½ 43¾ (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 15.90  
3  FUNNY ENOUGH 3 1 41½ 73 76 43 54½ (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 10.00 22% 3.60 15.20  
7  FREEDOM ROSE 6 6 2½ 41½ 63½ 65½ 67¾ (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00 22.80  
4  APPLECROSS (IRE) 4 5 31½ 2½ 41 76 713¾ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 3.00 26% 2.90 2.60  
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE               (sacco d)FERRER C 119 12.00    
 
TAM-8   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:221 :462 :582     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IMPACTO 7 6 43½ 1nk   1½ 14¼ (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 12.00 14% 6.40 4.30 W
6  INCREDIBLE BILL 6 3 22½ 2nk   2½ 24¼ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.60 40% 1.50 0.80 P
4  SAN ANDRES 4 4 55 53½   56½ 310¾ (king clarenc)BATISTA A 125 2.50 19% 4.30 2.80 S
9  MINISTER QUINN 8 1 12½ 31½   34½ 412½ (mcgoey monica)LOPEZ E 125 30.00 29.30  
3  GOD GIVEN RIGHTS 3 5 76¼ 64½   67½ 514¾ (seale christopher)BUSH V 118 12.00 39.90  
2  ANDY WALKS WITH ME 2 2 32½ 42½   46½ 616½ (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 8.00 11.90  
5  OZAH 5 8 811¼ 86   714½ 725 (nunn dougl)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00 40.80  
1  NAPO 1 7 66 75   816½ 837¼ (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 ★ 12.70  
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART               (ferraro anth)COA J 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
TAM-9   04/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:22 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) 5 1 3.2 1½   11 1nk (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00 40% 1.50 1.10 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAGIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE 1 6 61½ 41½   21 2nk (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 125 8.00 4.60  
  (by MSHAWISH out of HOME CROWD by CAME HOME)
7  FIGHT 6 2 4¼ 51¾   41¼ 3¼ (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 125 6.00 22% 3.50 4.70 S
  (by KEEN ICE out of FLEET GODDESS by HOLY BULL)
4  FAST FIXER 4 7 5½ 72¾   63¼ 43½ (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00 48.40  
  (by BUCCHERO out of MONSLEWN by SLEW CITY SLEW)
10  DEPOLI 9 8 92½ 95   73¾ 53¾ (delgado jose)ARROYO S 118 6.00 7% 13.70 10.90  
  (by FROSTED out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
9  PARTNER TOURS 8 9 72½ 62¾   84¼ 64 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.50 5% 19.00 6.30  
  (by TOURIST out of ELBE by DANSILI)
2  FLAVIAN 2 3 2nk 3½   31 74¼ (perry j)BUSH V 125 8.00 12.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOUTHERN GEM by SMART STRIKE)
8  EL GABRIELO 7 5 82½ 84¾   94¾ 85½ (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00 45.30  
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
3  BIG ROWDY DAN 3 4 1nk 2½   53¼ 96½ (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00 20.10  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of SASHA'S FIERCE by INCLUDE)
SCR  JURKOVEC               (albertrani tho)CAMACHO SAMY 125 4.00 7% 12.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.