Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/6/7)-(7/5/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(7/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7)-(7/5/8)-(7/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/8)-(7/5/8/1)-(7/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/8)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8)-(7/2/6)-(1/6/5/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6)-(7/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(1/6/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(1/6/5/10)-(7/3/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/6/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/10)-(1/6/5/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/10)-(1/6/5/10)-(1/6/5/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/10)-(7/3/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/10)-(7/3/2/1)-(4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1/4)-(7/3/2/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(4/2/3)-(6/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/1)-(4/2/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(6/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(6/4/8)-(6/7/10/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/8)-(6/4/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/8)-(6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/8)-(6/7/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (6/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/9)-(6/7/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/9)-(6/7/10/9)-(6/7/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPSOLUTION Feb19 Feb08 Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 4.50    
2  RISK VS REWARD Mar19 Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 (ward denn)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00    
3  SIR AGGRAVATOR Mar18 Feb19 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 2.00    
4  LORD BERRIER Mar03 Feb01 Jan11 Dec21 Nov23 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
5  BAZOO Mar15 Feb17 Jan25 Dec31 Dec16 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  OCEAN RIDE Mar19 Mar03 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
TAM-2   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Feb01 Jan15 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.50    
2  ARETE'S CHALICE Mar18 Feb17 Jan27 Dec16 Oct23 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 122 6.00    
3  JLO CAN DANCE Mar17 Feb10 Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00    
4  LADY TEUFLESBERG Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 Oct31 Oct21 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SNACKSTER Mar05 Feb12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov08 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 15% 5.70    
6  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Feb26 Feb12 Jan28 Dec24 Dec10 (richards rena)ALICEA JEREMY 115 4.00 7% 12.80    
7  DIXIELAND DANCER Mar29 Mar17 Mar08 Feb19 Feb03 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 6.00 7% 13.00    
 
TAM-3   04/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODE'S HERITAGE Feb24 Jan18 Nov21 Sep09   (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 ★    
2  GRAND SPUN Dec17 Nov25       (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
3  SUSIE'S SAVER Mar22 Mar08 Feb18 Dec18 Nov02 (paragallo jen)ALICEA JEREMY 111 12.00    
4  SAWEETIE GIRL Feb24 Jan29 Jan11 Dec03 Oct28 (garcia rodolf)MARTIN MATTIE 111 4.50    
5  ROYAL DAME Mar04 Feb08 Jan14 Dec03 Oct22 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
6  CHALCOLITHIC Mar24 Dec17 Nov30 Oct09   (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 122 12.00    
7  LOVE FOREVERAFTER Jan29 Jan06       (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
8  WATER FIGHT Mar17 Feb17 Jan06 Nov30 Oct12 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 10.00 7% 12.80    
 
TAM-4   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REINER Mar18 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 124 5.00    
2  THORN Mar18 Feb11 Jan11 Nov30 Nov04 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  HELEONORTIZ Jan08 Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 (machado anto)ARROYO S 119 8.00 11% 8.40    
4  PIYPA DE LYNDA Mar18 Feb26 Oct16 Sep23 Aug28 (puckett dwight)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00    
5  ROWDY JESS Mar18 Mar04 Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 116 6.00    
6  SWIFT KID Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 Jan13 Dec28 (macha)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 6.00 5% 17.90    
7  POSEIDON'S SON Mar18 Dec21 Dec01 Oct30 Oct16 (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
TAM-5   04/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SKIPSTER Mar05 Feb19 Jan27 Jan06 Dec21 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 119 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  SIMMS Mar17 Feb19 Jan29 Jan13 Dec31 (smith ro)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
3  BOCA GUY Mar03 Dec31 Dec14 Nov04 Sep24 (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 116 5.00    
4  SHIMMERING LEROID Mar17 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec21 (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 123 4.50    
5  HEREBY Mar05 Feb15 Jan29 Jan11 Dec11 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  KING OF CHAOS Mar17 Feb19 Feb01 Jan13 Dec30 (nunn doug)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 18% 4.70    
7  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 Dec09 Sep30 (dominguez )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 30.00    
8  CROWLEY'S WAR Mar18 Feb19 Jan29 Dec21 Oct20 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 15.00    
9  CLEMSON TIGER Mar05 Feb19 Apr10 Jan07 Jan01 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 30.00    
10  SUMMER PALACE Mar17 Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 Sep15 (cheeks katy)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST PAYDAY Mar22 Mar03 Jan13 Dec09 Sep07 (manning j)BRACHO A 123 6.00    
SCR  THE BEST DISTANCE Mar24 Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 Aug31 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  J P CORNETTA Mar18 Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 Oct16 (sanchez amador )CENTENO E 119 10.00    
 
TAM-6   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 May07 Apr08 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 6.00 6% 14.60    
2  SHIMMERING LIGHT Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec09 (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
3  CHUCKY Mar18 Feb18 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 (smith cr)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  EXAMINER Mar18 Mar01 Feb16 Jan08 Dec30 (smith cra)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 ★    
5  I AM THAT I AM Feb18 Feb10 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 8.00    
6  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Jun26 (gonzalez aldana)FERRER C 121 12.00    
7  ODDS ON Mar08 Feb18 Feb01 Jan25 Jan07 (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
8  SUNNY SAINT Mar04 Feb10 Jan28 Jan13 Dec07 (downing will)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50    
9  CALL BROS Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 Jan06 Dec14 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 12.00    
 
TAM-7   04/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACCOOL'S GIRL Jul24 Jul02 Jun11     (halden rachel)CENTENO E 119 4.00 ★    
2  SWEET DUTCHESS Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Dec24 Mar12 (o'connell ka)ARROYO S 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  FUNNY ENOUGH Mar15 Feb17 Feb04 Dec28 Feb03 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
4  APPLECROSS (IRE) Aug14 Jul23 May29 Mar25 Feb26 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE Mar22 Jan25 Dec23 Mar18   (sacco d)FERRER C 119 12.00    
6  AMBITIEUSE Mar05 Feb08 Apr02 Mar12 Feb05 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50    
7  FREEDOM ROSE Feb11 Jan15 Apr13 Mar03   (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
8  BIKINI BABY Mar11 Feb11 Jan15 Sep23 Aug28 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 
TAM-8   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPO May06         (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 ★    
2  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 Dec30 (posadas pedro)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 8.00    
3  GOD GIVEN RIGHTS Mar18 Feb05 Jan18     (seale christopher)BUSH V 118 12.00    
4  SAN ANDRES Mar01         (king clarenc)BATISTA A 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  OZAH Feb22 Dec14       (nunn dougl)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 30.00    
6  INCREDIBLE BILL May25 Apr20 Mar05     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
SCR  STARSHIP MOZART Mar18 Feb08 Jan28 Jan20 Nov21 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 8.00 5% 18.50    
8  IMPACTO         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 12.00 14% 6.40    
9  MINISTER QUINN Dec24 Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct16 (mcgoey monica)LOPEZ E 125 30.00    
 
TAM-9   04/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Sep29 Sep15 Aug13 Aug03 Jul10 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 125 8.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of HOME CROWD by CAME HOME)
2  FLAVIAN Dec09 Oct30 Sep17 Aug12 Jul16 (perry j)BUSH V 125 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SOUTHERN GEM by SMART STRIKE)
3  BIG ROWDY DAN Mar17         (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of SASHA'S FIERCE by INCLUDE)
4  FAST FIXER Mar22 Mar11 Feb24     (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 30.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MONSLEWN by SLEW CITY SLEW)
SCR  JURKOVEC Mar01 Feb11 Dec28 Oct20 Sep17 (albertrani tho)CAMACHO SAMY 125 4.00 7% 12.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
6  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE) Feb18 Jan07 Dec03     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BAGIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  FIGHT Jan05 Dec11 Oct30 Oct15 Sep16 (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by KEEN ICE out of FLEET GODDESS by HOLY BULL)
8  EL GABRIELO         (ramirez l)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
9  PARTNER TOURS         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TOURIST out of ELBE by DANSILI)
10  DEPOLI Feb24 Dec30 Nov30 Oct15 Aug27 (delgado jose)ARROYO S 118 6.00 7% 13.70    
  (by FROSTED out of TOURNER by HARD SPUN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.