Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-3   WIN (4/6/3/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.00 $3.00 30%
TAM-4   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $15.80 $7.80 98%
TAM-8   WIN (8/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $8.80 $2.80 47%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:18
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:242   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IKO IKO 6 3 21 2½ 1nk 12 1 (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 126 0.80 44% 1.30 0.30 W
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SWEET STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
RED TIARA 2 2 11 1½ 2nk 22 2 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 126 3.50 22% 3.50 2.10 P
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of REACH THE STARS (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
KEENE ON JENNY 1 1 32 3 32 35 313 (cordero antonio)CENTENO E 126 15.00 29.30  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
MOON CAVE 4 6 6 611 411 412 418¾ (charlton r)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 10.00 27.30  
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS EUPHORIA by ARAGORN (IRE))
SWEET MELADY 5 5 54 5 514 517 525¼ (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 27.40  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A J'S HONEY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BAILOUT KELA 3 4 4 4 615 624 635 (padilla tim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 12.00 11% 8.40 14.20  
  (by KELA out of BAILOUT BAILEY by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
SCR  APACHE RIDE               (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 126 10.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of APACHE QUEEN by INDY WIND)
SCR  CROSS FLEET               (antonucci je)ARROYO S 126 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FORESTELLE by FORESTRY)
SCR  GINETTES ON FIRE               (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of CONGREGATION by HOLD ME BACK)
 
TAM-2   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR AGGRAVATOR 5 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1hd (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 3.00 1.60  
ALMASHRIQ 4 5 41 2nk   2½ 2hd (pita daniel)FERRER C 118 4.50 10% 8.60 2.60 P
CREATIVE CLOUD 6 6 6 4   3 3 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.80 3.40 S
CATCHING FISH 1 1 1nk 3½   4 4 (garcia rodolf)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 4.90  
CAMPTOWN RACES 3 4 52 6   6 510¼ (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 8.00 22.90  
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE 2 3 3½ 5   5 613½ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 7.50  
SCR  EXPRESS PHAROAH               (arriagada ju)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-3   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:24   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS DREAM 3 4 3 4 5 1nk 1½ (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 4.50 13% 6.50 5.50 W
GLITTER BAY 9 8 6 63 4 4¼ 2½ (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00 9% 9.70 7.50 P
BLUE NEITH 4 2 11 11 1nk 2nk 3 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 30% 2.40 2.90 S
TAKE TO THE SKIES 8 5 4 32 2nk 3.2 4 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 5.30  
A RING THING 6 1 21 21 3.2 5 5 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 8.00 16% 5.30 6.30  
FORBIDDEN DREAM 1 3 8 9 95 8 6 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 6.00 12.00  
BIONDA SUPRISE 5 7 9 85 84 7 7 (yanez r)SPIETH S 120 20.00 35.90  
MONTANA JOYCE 7 6 7 7 6 6 810 (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 120 10.00 8.10  
ENTWINE (IRE) 2 10 10 10 106 9 912¼ (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 9.10  
10  JEFF'S ANGEL 10 9 5 5 7 10 1012¾ (exposito ado)ARROYO S 120 15.00 11.80  
SCR  AUDREY               (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
SCR  TAMI ANN               (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 7% 14.30    
 
TAM-4   03/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:14 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S FATE 5 3 31 3½ 2½ 12 15 (werneth robert )CENTENO E 119 4.50 11% 8.10 6.90 W
SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT 2 6 5 5 4 44 25 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.00 30% 2.30 1.40 P
CHUCKY 1 5 41 41 5 34 3 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 4.20 S
LAUDERDALE 3 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 22 49 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00 32.10  
EXAMINER 7 2 63 6 6 55 5 (maragh a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 6.00 2.10  
TIZ TRIUMPHANT 4 1 1½ 1nk 3½ 6 616¾ (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 8.10  
ZONIC 6 7 7 76 7 710¼ 722¾ (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 119 30.00 42.00  
SCR  PHARAOH FANCY PANT               (gonzalez aldana)FERRER C 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:084 1:221   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SMART AS ME 9 10 9 9 8 22 1 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 4.60  
DARK AND FITZY 7 4 12 1 11 12 2 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 4.50 4.60 P
12  ALYANAABI 10 7 43 43 42 32 3 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5.40  
CARRONADE 6 9 8 8 7 6 43 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 8.00 14.00  
GREAT BRITAIN 2 1 54 6 53 4 5 (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 2.50 43% 1.30 2.40  
VINTNER 1 6 10 10 10 9 65 (yanez r)SPIETH S 119 15.00 27.20  
BIG GEORGES KINGDM 3 3 22 2 21 5 78 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 12.00 5% 17.30 12.50  
CROWLEY'S WAR 4 5 64 55 6 8 8 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 20.00 58.10  
CONSTANT KNIGHT 5 8 76 77 9 10 912 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00 46.50  
DAMIR 8 2 3 33 3 7 1013 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 3.50 7% 14.40 4.10  
SCR  CANTANKEROUS CAT               (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE               (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 4.00    
SCR  MR MATUSCHEK               (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-6   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHUCA 2 5 5 4   2nk 1½ (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80 51% 0.90 1.10 W
DEVRA WARRIOR 1 4 1½ 1½   1nk 2½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 20% 3.90 3.70 P
YES DAY 5 3 3 3½   3.2 3¾ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 3.50 3.30 S
DANCE STEP 3 1 4 5   4 46 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 5.20  
INDIAN SPIDEROO 4 2 2½ 2½   5 510½ (kintz s )GALLARDO A 118 6.00 6.20  
SCR  MOTOWN MISCHIEF               (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
SCR  WISHIN N KISSIN               (ubide max)FERRER C 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CSILLA 8 1 3 3½   2½ 1¾ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 116 5.00 5.10  
SILVER GLEN 1 7 7 55   4¾ 2¾ (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 3.40 P
DIA DE SOL 4 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 3 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 125 6.00 43% 1.30 2.60 S
ARETE'S CHALICE 5 8 8 8   6 4 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 10.00 12.00  
TRULY A DREAM 6 6 6 4   5 5 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 25% 3.10 6.00  
BARBARA 2 3 1½ 1nk   1½ 610½ (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 123 4.00 4.50  
LADY MISTRESS 3 2 5 6   7 712½ (perry j)BUSH V 123 15.00 36.70  
STARSHIP PRECIOUS 7 4 43 7   8 814¼ (ferraro )GALLARDO A 125 8.00 7.30  
 
TAM-8   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLE DE BOYD 8 3 54 41   2nk 1 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 125 3.00 43% 1.30 3.40 W
10  I LIKE BOSTON 10 8 8 6   41 2 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 10% 9.20 2.00 P
11  SUNSPOT 11 11 9 53   3½ 3 (deaton william)MBATHA LUCKY 113 4.50 4.20 S
DEACON ELI 6 12 1210¾ 9   6 4 (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 125 20.00 76.90  
12  ANDY WALKS WITH ME 12 1 21 2nk   1nk 5 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 125 10.00 11.20  
GOD GIVEN RIGHTS 9 9 7 8   7 6 (seale christ)TERRAZA GERMAN 109 30.00 84.80  
STARSHIP MOZART 1 7 33 3½   5 7 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 2.50 25% 3.10 4.00  
BROADWAY RUCKUS 4 4 4 7   8 810¼ (dye steven)MENDEZ KEVIN 125 20.00 60.50  
RED'S MR Z 3 10 1110¾ 1211   11 915½ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 109 15.00 15.90  
MARSICO 5 5 66 105   9 1016 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 125 12.00 33.40  
ANDYLITHIC 2 6 10 1110   1211¾ 1118 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 20.00 67.40  
PERSONAL FINANCE 7 2 11 1nk   10 1219 (carrascojr vi)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00 25.60  
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER               (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 125 20.00    
 
TAM-9   03/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:131 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIES REIGNS 8 2 2 22 11 11 1 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00 13.40  
POSEIDON'S SON 7 8 107 9 5 32 2 (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 124 10.00 2.60  
HAD RIGHT 6 3 5 64 21 21 33 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 126 5.00 5% 19.00 11.90 S
AWKWARD PAUSE 5 7 8 8 6 5 4 (mcgoey monica)FERRER C 124 8.00 5.50  
10  ROWDY JESS 9 4 75 43 4 44 57 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 116 12.00 24.70  
MAPACHE G 3 10 9 10 9 6 610½ (arnett j)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 41% 1.50 4.20  
REINER 4 9 6 7 8 7 711½ (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 124 5.00 7% 14.10 12.30  
11  J P CORNETTA 10 1 32 33 7 8 812½ (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00 21% 3.70 3.40  
WATCH FOR THE LUTE 1 6 1 12 31 9 918¾ (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 3.50 5% 19.00 12.40  
NIP OF BOURBON 2 5 4 5 10 1011¾ 1024¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 10.00 34.60  
SCR  COMMANDER KEITH               (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 15.00    
SCR  MACHO REAL               (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.