Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/4)-(8/2/4)-(8/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/4)-(7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2/4)-(7/5)-(4/6/3/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-2   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/6/1)-(7/5/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(4/6/3/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(4/6/3/9)-(2/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/9)-(4/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/9)-(4/6/3/9)-(4/6/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/9)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/9)-(2/1/6)-(2/9/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/8)-(2/1/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(2/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(2/9/3)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/9/3)-(2/9/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/9/3)-(2/9/3/7)-(2/9/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/9/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/9/3)-(2/1)-(4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4/6)-(8/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/2/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/2/5/1)-(4/6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(8/1/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(8/1/10)-(4/11/5/1/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/10)-(8/1/10/11/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/10)-(8/1/10/11/5)-(8/1/10/11/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/1/10)-(4/11/5/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/11/5/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/11/5/1/7)-(4/11/5/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/11/5/1/7)-(4/11/5/1/7)-(4/11/5/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEENE ON JENNY Mar01 Jan27 Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 (cordero antonio)CENTENO E 126 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
2  RED TIARA Jan05 Sep10 Aug04 May07   (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 126 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of REACH THE STARS (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
SCR  CROSS FLEET Feb01 Sep17 Aug14 Jun02 May07 (antonucci je)ARROYO S 126 8.00 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of FORESTELLE by FORESTRY)
4  BAILOUT KELA Mar01 Jan27 Oct23 Oct01 Sep10 (padilla tim)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 12.00 11% 8.40    
  (by KELA out of BAILOUT BAILEY by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
5  MOON CAVE Dec23         (charlton r)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS EUPHORIA by ARAGORN (IRE))
6  SWEET MELADY Feb11         (cascallares n)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A J'S HONEY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  APACHE RIDE         (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 126 10.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of APACHE QUEEN by INDY WIND)
8  IKO IKO May20 Apr03       (proctor thoma)MORALES PABLO 126 0.80 44% 1.30    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SWEET STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  GINETTES ON FIRE Mar03 Feb08 Dec16 Nov30 Oct23 (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of CONGREGATION by HOLD ME BACK)
 
TAM-2   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING FISH Feb19 Jan25 Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 (garcia rodolf)SOSA LAUREANO 111 6.00 ★    
2  RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 Jun26 Jun03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
SCR  EXPRESS PHAROAH Feb24 Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 Jul31 (arriagada ju)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  CAMPTOWN RACES Mar04 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Dec09 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 118 8.00    
5  ALMASHRIQ Dec17 Nov26 Oct21 Apr08 Feb09 (pita daniel)FERRER C 118 4.50 10% 8.60    
6  SIR AGGRAVATOR Feb19 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Nov20 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 3.00 ★    
7  CREATIVE CLOUD Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Oct16 Aug26 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
TAM-3   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORBIDDEN DREAM Mar05 Feb05 Apr16 Mar18 Feb09 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 6.00    
2  ENTWINE (IRE) Mar03 Jan25 Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50    
3  CUPIDS DREAM Mar01 Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Apr13 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 123 4.50 13% 6.50    
4  BLUE NEITH Mar03 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Oct24 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  BIONDA SUPRISE Mar03 Feb08 Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 (yanez r)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
6  A RING THING Mar03 Feb08 Jan25 Jan13 Dec21 (delgado jose )FUENTES MARIO 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
7  MONTANA JOYCE Mar03 Jan28 Jan13 Dec23 Dec09 (mcgoey monica)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
8  TAKE TO THE SKIES Mar03 Jan28 Jan01 Oct13 Sep28 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
9  GLITTER BAY Mar03 Feb12 Feb03 Jan07 Jan01 (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00 9% 9.70    
10  JEFF'S ANGEL Mar03 Jan28 Jan15 Dec30 Oct23 (exposito ado)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
SCR  TAMI ANN Mar03 Feb03 Nov09 Oct26 Oct06 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  AUDREY Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 Feb19 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   03/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHUCKY Feb18 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Sep30 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
2  SEVENTY SEVENTYCAT Mar04 Feb05 Feb01 Dec30 Dec23 (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  LAUDERDALE Feb24 Jan25 Dec21 Dec02 Oct16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00    
SCR  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 May07 Apr08 (gonzalez aldana)FERRER C 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Feb22 Feb04 Sep17 Apr30 Apr09 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
6  IT'S FATE Feb18 Feb01 Dec30 Dec21 Dec02 (werneth robert )CENTENO E 119 4.50 11% 8.10    
7  ZONIC Dec02 Oct28 Oct13 Sep23 Aug30 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
8  EXAMINER Mar01 Feb16 Jan08 Dec30 Dec21 (maragh a)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   03/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINTNER Feb26 Jan28 Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 (yanez r)SPIETH S 119 15.00    
2  GREAT BRITAIN Feb26 Jan27 Jan14 Dec24 Nov26 (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  BIG GEORGES KINGDM Dec30 Nov14 Oct18 Aug09 Jul13 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 12.00 5% 17.30    
4  CROWLEY'S WAR Feb19 Jan29 Dec21 Oct20 Oct04 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 119 20.00    
5  CONSTANT KNIGHT Feb26 Feb04 Dec29 Dec11 Nov26 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
6  CARRONADE Feb26 Jan29 Jan20 Dec16 Sep27 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
7  DARK AND FITZY Feb15 Dec28 Jan06     (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  CANTANKEROUS CAT Aug22 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 May29 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
9  DAMIR Feb04 Dec28 Dec10 Sep14 Sep03 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 119 3.50 7% 14.40    
10  SMART AS ME Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 Dec16 (smith r)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TONE Mar04 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 4.00    
12  ALYANAABI Mar05 Feb05 Dec31 Dec14 Nov26 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
SCR  MR MATUSCHEK Jan14 Dec10 Nov18 Jul30 Jul03 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
TAM-6   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVRA WARRIOR Sep15 Jul26       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  PACHUCA Sep15 Sep01 Aug14 Jul16   (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.80 51% 0.90    
SCR  WISHIN N KISSIN Feb26 Feb08 Jan29     (ubide max)FERRER C 118 6.00    
SCR  MOTOWN MISCHIEF Jan22 Oct10 Sep15 Aug21 Jul24 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00 ★    
5  DANCE STEP Jan22 Dec17 Aug21 Jul16   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
6  INDIAN SPIDEROO Sep01 Aug10 Jul26     (kintz s )GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
7  YES DAY Jan14 Dec17 Oct03 Sep05   (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 3.50 ★    
 
TAM-7   03/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER GLEN Mar03 Sep18 Jul29     (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 123 3.00 ★    
2  BARBARA Mar03 Feb22 Jan28 Jan18 Jan01 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 123 4.00 ★    
3  LADY MISTRESS Mar03 Feb22 Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 (perry j)BUSH V 123 15.00    
4  DIA DE SOL Feb25 Jan27 Jan06 Dec04 Oct28 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 125 6.00 43% 1.30    
5  ARETE'S CHALICE Feb17 Jan27 Dec16 Oct23 Sep25 (rivera xavi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 10.00 ★    
6  TRULY A DREAM Jan28 Jan08 Dec14 Nov25 Sep16 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.50 25% 3.10    
7  STARSHIP PRECIOUS Mar05 Feb04 Sep12 Aug20 Jul11 (ferraro )GALLARDO A 125 8.00    
8  CSILLA Mar03 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 116 5.00    
 
TAM-8   03/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP MOZART Feb08 Jan28 Jan20 Nov21 Nov09 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
2  ANDYLITHIC Mar08 Feb02 Jan12 Dec22   (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 118 20.00    
3  RED'S MR Z Feb26 Sep01 Aug18     (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 109 15.00    
4  BROADWAY RUCKUS Mar10 Feb26 Feb12 Jan28 Oct14 (dye steven)MENDEZ KEVIN 125 20.00    
5  MARSICO Feb18 Jul01 Jun11 May30 May14 (parra hernan)ARROYO S 125 12.00 ★    
6  DEACON ELI Feb26 Feb12 Jan18 May31   (tsirigotis jr)DIAZ S 125 20.00    
7  PERSONAL FINANCE Feb15 Jan27 Jan18 Dec28   (carrascojr vi)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00    
8  CALLE DE BOYD Feb18 Jan21 Jan08 Mar11 Jan30 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
9  GOD GIVEN RIGHTS Feb05 Jan18       (seale christ)TERRAZA GERMAN 109 30.00    
10  I LIKE BOSTON Feb10 Sep25 Jul23 Jun09 May12 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00 10% 9.20    
11  SUNSPOT Mar04 Feb12 Oct22 Sep18 Jun30 (deaton william)MBATHA LUCKY 113 4.50 ★    
12  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Mar04 Feb18 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 125 10.00    
SCR  LOCKDOWN LOVER Aug03 Jul13 May26 Feb23 Feb10 (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 125 20.00    
 
TAM-9   03/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH FOR THE LUTE Feb24 Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 Nov30 (orseno josep)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  MACHO REAL Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Apr08 (roque elis)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
3  NIP OF BOURBON Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Oct18 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 10.00    
4  MAPACHE G Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 Dec17 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
5  REINER Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec09 Dec02 (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 124 5.00 7% 14.10    
6  AWKWARD PAUSE Feb22 Jan28 Jan15 Dec31 Jul30 (mcgoey monica)FERRER C 124 8.00    
7  HAD RIGHT Mar03 Feb17 Feb03 Jan27 Jan08 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  POSEIDON'S SON Dec21 Dec01 Oct30 Oct16 Sep16 (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
9  ARIES REIGNS Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan13 Dec28 (rarick lynn)MARIN SAMUEL 124 6.00    
10  ROWDY JESS Mar04 Feb03 Jan27 Jan13 Dec23 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 116 12.00    
11  J P CORNETTA Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  COMMANDER KEITH Feb15 Jan27 Jul01 Jun19 Apr08 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.