Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-5   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $10.40 $2.40 30%
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
TAM-7   WIN (4/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $10.60 $0.60 6%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT-12:28
See original race card.
:23 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELMAR SUMMER 5 1 21 1nk   11 1 (cruz jesus)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.60 17% 4.80 0.60 W
ELARY 4 2 11 2nk   21 2 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 118 6.00 13% 6.70 6.80 P
BINOCHE 1 4 3 4   33 3 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 9.80 S
LUCKY FREEDOM 6 3 63 6   46 4 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 118 12.00 29.00  
LADYNESS 2 5 52 5   6 513¼ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 39% 1.60 2.90  
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 3 6 42 33   58 614¾ (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 8.00 11.40  
 
TAM-2   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:104 1:344   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER EXPLAIN 4 5 4 4 4 2½ 1 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 1.90  
DRAMA CHORUS 5 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 2 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 18% 4.70 3.30 P
PERFECT SPEIGHTY 2 3 32 3 31 31 3 (wright michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00 10% 8.80 5.10 S
CANNON'S ROAR 3 4 5 5 5 42 4 (wright michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 7.70  
LIKE THE KING 1 1 2 2½ 2nk 52 5 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 51% 1.00 1.70  
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG               (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
SCR  GRAND DAVID               (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE AGATE 5 1 1 1nk   14 1 (miller david )MARTIN MATTIE 115 2.00 45% 1.20 0.70 W
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of REVOLUTIONARY ACT by BOSTON HARBOR)
JULIANNA'S RUBY 3 3 2 2nk   24 2 (cordero antonio)FERRER C 122 5.00 6.60  
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
OPEN SKY 2 5 53 3   3 3 (burns patric)BATISTA A 122 10.00 7.40 S
  (by UNCAPTURED out of QUEEN OF SCOTS by IMPEACHMENT)
BAILOUT KELA 4 2 43 4   45 410½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 3.80  
  (by KELA out of BAILOUT BAILEY by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
KEENE ON JENNY 1 4 32 5   5 511¼ (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00 4.90  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
SCR  PORTAGE               (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  SOPRISE ASTRAY               (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 12.00 5% 17.90    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CAMP SURPRISE by FOREST CAMP)
 
TAM-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAIN WRECK 6 6 3½ 1nk   1nk 1 (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 4.00 2.20  
SHUT IT CALI 1 8 41 2nk   2nk 2 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 41% 1.50 3.50 P
LUNITA 3 7 5 53   46 312 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00 10.10  
DON'T ANNOY ME 2 5 1½ 3½   35 413 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 3.20  
AFTER NOON KISSES 8 4 7 6   510 516 (spanabel kell)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00 69.80  
STAR OF SARAH 4 9 910¾ 9   711 618½ (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 18% 4.50 28.80  
SUNSHINE GIRL 7 2 6 4   610½ 720½ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 4.30  
LA VILLANA 9 1 8 8   812 821¾ (escobar alison)COTTO L 120 15.00 20% 4.00 19.40  
LUCKY VAN HEMEL 5 3 2½ 7   915 943¾ (posadas pedro)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00 14.00  
 
TAM-5   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE BIG CALICO 2 2 1nk 1½   12 1 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 115 5.00 14% 6.40 4.20 W
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of CALICO BAY by THREE WONDERS)
JAWBREAK 4 5 3½ 3   22 2 (harty eoin)CENTENO E 122 3.50 19% 4.20 1.90 P
  (by TAPIT out of FLASHY AMERICAN by FLASHY BULL)
JURKOVEC 8 1 4¾ 53   44 313 (albertrani tho)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 14% 6.20 2.00 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
FUN AT THE FORT 7 4 7 79   6 413¼ (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 33% 2.00 13.10  
  (by VIOLENCE out of MILLENNIA by MILWAUKEE BREW)
GREENPOINT 5 6 6 67   7 513½ (hunt donald)FERRER C 122 8.00 9.80  
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RADIO ACTIVE by GOTTCHA GOLD)
SAN ANDRES 6 3 2nk 2½   34 614 (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 10.00 23.20  
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TIZNOW'S INFO by TIZNOW)
ERLAN 1 7 5¾ 43   56 716 (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 7.10  
  (by UPSTART out of LADY ISTAN by ISTAN)
HANDSOME TODD 3 8 86 811   813¾ 828½ (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00 44.00  
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of REVERSIONTOTHEMEAN by CURLIN)
 
TAM-6   03/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER BUGGY 1 2 1½ 11   12 1 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 6% 14.70 3.60 W
PRETTY RACHEL 6 1 2½ 21   22 2 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 3.50 27% 2.70 4.60 P
ALIZEE 4 4 5 42   4 33 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 45% 1.20 0.70 S
MAGICGIRL 3 3 4 5   3 4 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00 20.90  
TOWERING GAZE 7 6 7 63   5 5 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 53.10  
TRUE ATKA 2 7 6 75   7 612½ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00 29.70  
DAILY BRIEFING 5 5 3½ 32   6 713½ (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 118 6.00 5.20  
SCR  MURUMBI               (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:23 :491 1:134 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDA 8 5 5 7 7 33 1½ (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 4.50 16% 5.10 4.30 W
MYLASTREDCENT 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 12 2½ (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 22% 3.60 3.50 P
10  MORENA DANCER 10 7 75 31 33 5 34 (marrero nesto)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00 30.10  
CASTLE BORN 4 3 2 2½ 2½ 22 44 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 2.50 33% 2.00 2.30  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 6 8 6 6 5 4 5 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 15.30  
NO MORE FIRE 2 6 86 8 8 6 66 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 8.20  
AMORE MOON 5 4 32 4 4 7 79 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
LOOKIN AT KISSES 3 2 43 5 64 8 8 (ubide max)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00 18.10  
SET SAIL CARLIN 7 9 96 10 10 9 912½ (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00 6.40  
SKYWARD PRINCESS 9 10 107 9 9 1011¼ 1015¼ (lopez mari)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
 
TAM-8   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:223 :472 1:122 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS DREAM 6 3 44 4 32 2nk 11 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.40 W
KISSES FOR HANNAH 4 7 8 8 5 32 21 (lopez ro)CASTANON L 119 6.00 8.00  
DONNA LIRICA 5 2 11 12 1 1nk 3 (cordero antonio)FERRER C 119 8.00 10.70  
SUWANNEE CHICK 1 6 7 7 6 44 4 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00 32.10  
MYSTIC DREAMS 3 8 9 9 8 5 5 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 16% 5.20 8.30  
RAINOUT 8 9 6 6 7 7 6 (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 12.00 8.00  
DYNA'S HONOR 7 5 54 5 42 6 711 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00 4.00  
10  GLEAMING BRUTALITY 9 4 21 22 2 8 818½ (klesaris)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
RAHTID 2 1 32 3 9 910¾ 919¼ (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00 81.20  
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS               (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50 6% 14.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.