Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/1/3)-(2/5/4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/7/2)-(7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4/5)-(1/7/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(7/6)-(1/9/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(1/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(1/9/4)-(7/4/8/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/4)-(1/9/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/4)-(1/9/4/2/7)-(1/9/4/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/9/4)-(7/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4)-(7/4/8/2)-(5/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2/1)-(7/4/8/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/8/2)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/2)-(5/7/1)-(4/1/8/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/8)-(5/7/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(4/1/8/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(4/1/8/5/9)-(6/3/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5/9)-(4/1/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5/9)-(4/1/8/5/9)-(4/1/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5/9)-(6/3/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/10)-(6/3/10/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/10)-(6/3/10/1)-(6/3/10/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINOCHE Jan04 Dec28 Nov25 Sep02   (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 ★    
2  LADYNESS Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Dec03 Oct13 Sep20 Sep06   (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 8.00 ★    
4  ELARY Jan01 Dec14 Nov04 Aug07   (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  BELMAR SUMMER Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 (cruz jesus)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.60 17% 4.80    
6  LUCKY FREEDOM Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Oct29 Oct20 (rigattieri j)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKE THE KING Jan28 Dec01 Oct23 Oct08 Jul30 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
2  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Feb12 Jan18 Oct23 Sep13 Jun25 (wright michael )CENTENO E 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  GRAND DAVID Dec26 Nov05 Sep06 Jul30 Jul03 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
4  CANNON'S ROAR Jan08 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 (wright michael)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 ★    
5  NEVER EXPLAIN Jan18 Jan01 Oct19 Sep23 Sep03 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG Oct30 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 Jun02 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
7  DRAMA CHORUS Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Sep07 Jun22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEENE ON JENNY Jan27 Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 Sep03 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
2  OPEN SKY Dec23 Jun30 Apr22     (burns patric)BATISTA A 122 10.00 ★    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of QUEEN OF SCOTS by IMPEACHMENT)
3  JULIANNA'S RUBY Jan27         (cordero antonio)FERRER C 122 5.00    
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
SCR  SOPRISE ASTRAY Sep05         (cascallares n)LUGO D 122 12.00 5% 17.90    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CAMP SURPRISE by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  PORTAGE         (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 ★    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  BAILOUT KELA Jan27 Oct23 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KELA out of BAILOUT BAILEY by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
7  YANKEE AGATE Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct23   (miller david )MARTIN MATTIE 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of REVOLUTIONARY ACT by BOSTON HARBOR)
 
TAM-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHUT IT CALI         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 41% 1.50    
2  DON'T ANNOY ME Jan27 Jul15       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 ★    
3  LUNITA Feb10 Jan21 Dec31     (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00    
4  STAR OF SARAH         (escobar aliso)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 18% 4.50    
5  LUCKY VAN HEMEL Feb08         (posadas pedro)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
6  TRAIN WRECK Jan29         (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 4.00    
7  SUNSHINE GIRL Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 ★    
8  AFTER NOON KISSES Dec14         (spanabel kell)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
9  LA VILLANA         (escobar alison)COTTO L 120 15.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-5   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERLAN Feb11         (cascallares n)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of LADY ISTAN by ISTAN)
2  THE BIG CALICO Feb11 Oct08 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 115 5.00 14% 6.40    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of CALICO BAY by THREE WONDERS)
3  HANDSOME TODD         (santillana fra)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
  (by YOUNG BRIAN out of REVERSIONTOTHEMEAN by CURLIN)
4  JAWBREAK         (harty eoin)CENTENO E 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by TAPIT out of FLASHY AMERICAN by FLASHY BULL)
5  GREENPOINT Jan11 Dec28 Dec02 Oct15 Sep25 (hunt donald)FERRER C 122 8.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RADIO ACTIVE by GOTTCHA GOLD)
6  SAN ANDRES         (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TIZNOW'S INFO by TIZNOW)
7  FUN AT THE FORT Feb11 Nov04 Oct22 Sep18   (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MILLENNIA by MILWAUKEE BREW)
8  JURKOVEC Feb11 Dec28 Oct20 Sep17 Jul20 (albertrani tho)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
  (by VIOLENCE out of DUCRU by BROKEN VOW)
 
TAM-6   03/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER BUGGY Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 6% 14.70    
2  TRUE ATKA Feb10 Feb03 Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  MURUMBI Feb03 Jan06 Dec11 Oct26 Oct06 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
4  MAGICGIRL Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
5  ALIZEE Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Dec07 Nov26 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  DAILY BRIEFING Feb05 Dec30 Nov05 Sep29 Sep05 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
7  PRETTY RACHEL Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Nov25 (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  TOWERING GAZE Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 Oct01 Sep17 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYLASTREDCENT Feb08         (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  NO MORE FIRE Nov06 Sep17 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
3  LOOKIN AT KISSES Feb08 Feb01 Dec30     (ubide max)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
4  CASTLE BORN Feb19 Dec09 May08 Apr14   (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  AMORE MOON Jan26 Dec23 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BRIENNE OF TARTH Feb08 Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 (robillard jul)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00    
7  SET SAIL CARLIN Feb08 Jan07 Dec02     (sweeze)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00    
8  RUDA Feb08         (king clarenc)BATISTA A 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
9  SKYWARD PRINCESS Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 Sep24 Aug05 (lopez mari)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MORENA DANCER Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec07 Aug30 (marrero nesto)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUWANNEE CHICK Feb15 Jan22 Jan01 Dec21 Aug30 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00 ★    
2  RAHTID Feb18 Dec14 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00    
3  MYSTIC DREAMS Feb08 Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
4  KISSES FOR HANNAH Feb01 Jan18 Jan01 Nov25 Oct14 (lopez ro)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
5  DONNA LIRICA Feb15 Feb01 Jan01 Oct24 Oct14 (cordero antonio)FERRER C 119 8.00    
6  CUPIDS DREAM Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Apr13 Mar11 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  DYNA'S HONOR Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec21 Oct06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
8  RAINOUT Feb01 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 12.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50 6% 14.50    
10  GLEAMING BRUTALITY Jan15 Sep24 Aug22 Jul21 Jun18 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.