Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - March 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-2   Win (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-4   Win (1/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-5   Win (7/4/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-6   Win (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (4/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TAM-8   Win (6/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3 F PT-12:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BINOCHE Jan04 Dec28 Nov25 Sep02   (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50    
LADYNESS Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Dec03 Oct13 Sep20 Sep06   (davis scooter)FERRER C 118 8.00    
ELARY Jan01 Dec14 Nov04 Aug07   (delgado jorge)ARROYO S 118 6.00 13% 6.70    
BELMAR SUMMER Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 Dec03 Oct29 (cruz jesus)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 1.60 17% 4.80    
LUCKY FREEDOM Feb12 Jan18 Jan01 Oct29 Oct20 (rigattieri joh)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-2   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIKE THE KING Jan28 Dec01 Oct23 Oct08 Jul30 (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
PERFECT SPEIGHTY Feb12 Jan18 Oct23 Sep13 Jun25 (wright w)CENTENO E 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  GRAND DAVID Dec26 Nov05 Sep06 Jul30 Jul03 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 119 8.00    
CANNON'S ROAR Jan08 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 Sep06 (wright w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
NEVER EXPLAIN Jan18 Jan01 Oct19 Sep23 Sep03 (mcgaughey claude)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN STRONG Oct30 Sep24 Aug12 Jul10 Jun02 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
DRAMA CHORUS Feb04 Jan08 Dec17 Sep07 Jun22 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
TAM-3   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEENE ON JENNY Jan27 Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 Sep03 (cordero antoni)MENESES MARCOS 122 6.00    
OPEN SKY Dec23 Jun30 Apr22     (burns patricia)BATISTA A 122 10.00    
JULIANNA'S RUBY Jan27         (cordero antonio)FERRER C 122 5.00    
SCR  SOPRISE ASTRAY Sep05         (cascallares nes)LUGO D 122 12.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  PORTAGE         (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50    
BAILOUT KELA Jan27 Oct23 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
YANKEE AGATE Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct23   (miller m)MARTIN MATTIE 115 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
TAM-4   03/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUT IT CALI         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 41% 1.50    
DON'T ANNOY ME Jan27 Jul15       (o'connell )GALLARDO A 120 2.50    
LUNITA Feb10 Jan21 Dec31     (lopez rob)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00    
STAR OF SARAH         (escobar alison)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00 18% 4.50    
LUCKY VAN HEMEL Feb08         (posadas pedro)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
TRAIN WRECK Jan29         (hunt donald)BUSH V 120 4.00    
SUNSHINE GIRL Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
AFTER NOON KISSES Dec14         (spanabel kelly )FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
LA VILLANA         (escobar alison)COTTO L 120 15.00 20% 4.00    
 
TAM-5   03/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERLAN Feb11         (cascallares nes)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
THE BIG CALICO Feb11 Oct08 Sep11 Aug27 Jul30 (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 115 5.00 14% 6.40    
HANDSOME TODD         (santillana frank)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 15.00    
JAWBREAK         (harty eoin)CENTENO E 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
GREENPOINT Jan11 Dec28 Dec02 Oct15 Sep25 (hunt donald)FERRER C 122 8.00    
SAN ANDRES         (king clarence )BATISTA A 122 10.00    
FUN AT THE FORT Feb11 Nov04 Oct22 Sep18   (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
JURKOVEC Feb11 Dec28 Oct20 Sep17 Jul20 (albertrani thoma)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
 
TAM-6   03/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER BUGGY Jan20 Jan08 Dec23 Apr29 Apr03 (machado antonio)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 6% 14.70    
TRUE ATKA Feb10 Feb03 Jan13 Jan06 Dec23 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  MURUMBI Feb03 Jan06 Dec11 Oct26 Oct06 (bennett s)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
MAGICGIRL Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Dec31 Dec02 (posadas pedro)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00    
ALIZEE Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Dec07 Nov26 (arnett )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
DAILY BRIEFING Feb05 Dec30 Nov05 Sep29 Sep05 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
PRETTY RACHEL Feb19 Feb05 Jan13 Dec23 Nov25 (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
TOWERING GAZE Dec02 Nov04 Oct26 Oct01 Sep17 (carmichael m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYLASTREDCENT Feb08         (paragallo jenni)SOSA LAUREANO 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
NO MORE FIRE Nov06 Sep17 Jul21 Jun29 Jun17 (carmichael m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00    
LOOKIN AT KISSES Feb08 Feb01 Dec30     (ubide max)MARTIN MATTIE 115 30.00    
CASTLE BORN Feb19 Dec09 May08 Apr14   (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
AMORE MOON Jan26 Dec23 Dec02 Oct29 Oct01 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRIENNE OF TARTH Feb08 Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Nov04 (robillard julie)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00    
SET SAIL CARLIN Feb08 Jan07 Dec02     (sweezey )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 8.00    
RUDA Feb08         (king clarence )BATISTA A 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
SKYWARD PRINCESS Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 Sep24 Aug05 (lopez mario )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MORENA DANCER Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec07 Aug30 (marrero nestor)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUWANNEE CHICK Feb15 Jan22 Jan01 Dec21 Aug30 (parra h)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
RAHTID Feb18 Dec14 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00    
MYSTIC DREAMS Feb08 Jan18 Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 (mazza w)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
KISSES FOR HANNAH Feb01 Jan18 Jan01 Nov25 Oct14 (lopez robe)CASTANON L 119 6.00    
DONNA LIRICA Feb15 Feb01 Jan01 Oct24 Oct14 (cordero antonio)FERRER C 119 8.00    
CUPIDS DREAM Feb01 Jan07 Dec10 Apr13 Mar11 (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
DYNA'S HONOR Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec21 Oct06 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
RAINOUT Feb01 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 12.00    
SCR  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Dec07 Oct15 (yanez r)MENESES MARCOS 123 4.50 6% 14.50    
10  GLEAMING BRUTALITY Jan15 Sep24 Aug22 Jul21 Jun18 (klesaris s)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.