Handicappers' Race Results

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Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 4.80
TAM-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.40  
TAM-3   Win (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TAM-4   Win (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
TAM-5   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.00  
TAM-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TAM-7   Win (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $69.40  
TAM-8   Win (8/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $20.40 $20.40 12.40
TAM-9   Win (1/6/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $8.60 $8.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:18
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GINGER SPARKLE 2 5 5 5   46 1½ (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 125 2.00 42% 1.40 3.40 W
NICOLINO 3 2 1nk 1nk   13 2½ (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 125 1.80 0.90 P
ANGELIC STORM 5 4 4 4   23 3 (chain pearl)HERRERA R 125 4.00 26% 2.80 3.30 S
MY SONG AND MELODY 4 1 2nk 2nk   3 4 (davis m)SOSA LAUREANO 116 8.00 12.70  
SONG OF THE HEART 1 3 3 35   58 511¾ (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 125 5.00 5.20  
SCR  AZULENE               (dominguez luis )ALICEA JEREMY 118 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:111 1:233   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTHRACITE 5 5 3 4 4 12 1 (orseno f)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.00 4.20  
MINTENON 3 2 44 3 3 22 2 (delacour arnau)BATISTA A 122 1.80 34% 1.90 0.90 P
TUNA N STAMPS 1 4 2 23 21 43 36 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 6.00 27% 2.70 3.40 S
KENRIC 2 3 1 13 11 32 4 (holder tedston)MARTIN MATTIE 113 10.00 9.30  
MAGNA RULER 6 1 5 5 52 5 510 (ramos ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 6.00 11.60  
FUN AT THE FORT 7 6 77 6 65 6 611 (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 6% 15.10 21.40  
ISLANDMAN 4 8 810 812¼ 713 719½ 733¼ (mardif james )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00 26.00  
ERLAN 8 7 66 711¾ 825 829½ 843¼ (cascallares nest)CASTANON L 122 15.00 29.30  
 
TAM-3   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:11     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FANTASY 5 3 31 2nk   13 111 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 64% 0.60 1.10 W
LYRICAL 6 2 2½ 32   3 211 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 9.50 P
LADY TEUFLESBERG 4 6 1½ 1nk   23 313 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 1.80 1.20 S
CALENDULA 1 1 4 47   5 418¼ (nunez mauricio)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00 5% 19.00 56.60  
BOURBON BLAST 3 4 54 59   4 518¾ (cheeks p)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00 6.30  
AUBURN 2 5 64 611   616½ 628¼ (lusk r)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
SCR  SHE NASTY               (delgado jorge)ARROYO S 122 3.00    
 
TAM-4   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO RIVER 4 1 4¾ 5¾   1½ 1 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50 10% 8.60 3.70 W
MORE MUCHO 7 2 1nk 2nk   3 2 (smith g)FERRER C 123 5.00 4.00  
MY GIRL MELLY 6 6 5 4¾   4 3 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 6.00 23% 3.30 4.30 S
HOLLYWOOD HONEY 3 5 2nk 1nk   2½ 48 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 123 3.00 9% 10.10 5.70  
LADYNESS 1 7 7 7   5 59 (sacco d)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.50 27% 2.80 4.80  
BELLA ROMANCE 2 4 3.2 3½   66 615 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00 3.00  
ANNA'S IMAGE 5 3 6 6   711 730¼ (gatis chris)ARROYO S 118 10.00 19.70  
SCR  LEMON TAFFY               (wasiluk pet)RODRIGUEZ A 123 30.00    
 
TAM-5   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:131 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEASANT VALIANT 3 2 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 1 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 118 10.00 5.00  
GODS GLORY 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 2nk 2 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 8.00 7.70 P
CESAR 4 3 56 5 43 34 3 (lopez mario )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 2.50 19% 4.30 1.40 S
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 7 6 43 4 32 4 46 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 15.00 23.30  
HOP AND SCOTCH 2 7 8 8 8 6 59 (lopez robe)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00 19.20  
10  FLYING SUN 9 5 3 3 5 5 610¼ (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 4.50 4.50  
ASPLUNDER 5 4 66 6 6 7 711 (cheeks katy)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00 59.30  
DENYING 8 9 910½ 912½ 910¾ 8 811½ (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 5.00  
ROCK CHALK 6 8 78 7 7 9 913¾ (smith rob)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00 11% 8.40 13.20  
SCR  COX CANYON               (sacco grego)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00    
SCR  GO GREEN               (o'connell kathle)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:151 1:412   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPLEY EFFECT 6 8 7 31 2nk 1½ 1 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 126 1.40 56% 0.80 0.60 W
TIPHARAH 8 4 83 6 4 2½ 2 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 8.00 20.20  
WINE WITH A ROSE 2 7 1nk 5 5 4 3 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 8.00 9.60  
SUNSHINE GIRL 3 3 4 1nk 1nk 3 410 (bennett gerald )FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 7% 14.10 8.10  
POWERFUL NATIVE 1 9 5 7 8 7 513 (cascallares nes)REEVES F 126 12.00 68.30  
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE 7 2 2nk 2nk 31 5 613 (scocca linda)BUSH V 126 10.00 17.30  
BLACK KARMA 9 1 6 94 7 67 713¾ (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00 39.20  
REBATE 4 6 94 84 9 912½ 818¼ (gatis chris)ARROYO S 118 3.50 3.40  
OSTARA 5 5 3½ 4 6 810½ 918½ (dominguez lu)ORDONEZ R 126 15.00 10% 9.50 50.30  
 
TAM-7   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPECT TO BE READY 7 2 2nk 2   3½ 1hd (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 111 12.00 33.70  
HANNITA'S EMPIRE 2 7 5 3   1½ 2hd (bennett s)FERRER C 118 3.50 3.20 P
MISS MIKAELA 5 1 1nk 1   2½ 33 (delgado jorge)SANTIAGO EDDIE 118 2.50 61% 0.60 0.70 S
MAGICGIRL 4 6 7 6   4 4 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 120 4.00 9.10  
LIZZ A BEE 8 3 4 44   55 5 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 9% 10.70 5.50  
HUSH Y'ALL 3 5 6 77   78 610¼ (pimental i)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 58.70  
PURE ELEGANCE 6 8 8 88   6 711¾ (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 13.20  
DRILL'S VALENTINE 1 4 32 5   8 816½ (chavez a)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 20.00 42.70  
SCR  TRUE ATKA               (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
 
TAM-8   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:143 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVEFORTHESONG 3 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 1¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 124 8.00 17% 4.90 9.20 W
LEOPARDI 6 5 6 6 6 1nk 2¼ (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00 10.30  
CALZONE 1 7 4 3½ 3.2 32 3 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.50 11% 8.30 5.20 S
SKY TRAVELER 5 4 5 5¾ 2nk 4 4 (lusk r)FERRER C 126 6.00 16% 5.30 9.80  
ALEXIS N NIKO 7 1 32 4¾ 4¼ 5 58 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.50 0.40  
VILLAGE PREACHER 4 6 7 7 7 6 613 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00 21.80  
BLACK LIMO 2 3 2½ 2nk 5¾ 7 718 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 124 6.00 20.20  
SCR  GARMENTO               (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
TAM-9   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:13 1:383   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMATI 6 2 1½ 11 1½ 1½ 1¼ (arriagada juan)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 4.00 25% 3.00 3.30 W
GOLDEN TONE 7 1 52 6 63 44 2¼ (rivera xavier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 8.00 7.30  
FIERCE WARRIOR 5 5 4 3 2½ 2½ 3¼ (nunn douglas)CASTANON L 121 3.00 8% 10.90 4.70 S
KUHL STAR 9 8 7 5 42 33 41 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 18.00  
GHOST STALKER 8 3 9 94 7 66 5 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 119 4.50 15% 5.80 3.80  
TRAPPEZOID 1 4 31 4 53 7 6 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 25% 3.00 8.10  
OCEAN RIDE 2 6 2½ 21 3 56 7 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 7% 14.30 6.20  
WINTER'S GHOST 3 7 62 83 9 811¼ 813½ (rigattieri joh)BATISTA A 119 10.00 7.70  
RISK VS REWARD 4 9 8 7 8 912¼ 919 (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 8.00 15.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.