Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-3   Win (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-4   Win (1/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (6/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-8   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-9   Win (1/6/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG OF THE HEART Feb25 Feb08 Jan11 Dec21 Dec09 (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 125 5.00    
GINGER SPARKLE Mar08 Feb24 Feb19 Feb05 Dec21 (crooks jeff)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
NICOLINO Jul03 Jun10 Apr29     (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 125 1.80    
SCR  AZULENE Mar20 Mar02       (dominguez luis )ALICEA JEREMY 118 15.00    
MY SONG AND MELODY Feb25 Aug05       (davis m)SOSA LAUREANO 116 8.00    
ANGELIC STORM Mar08 Jul30 Jun02 May01 Apr15 (chain pearl)HERRERA R 125 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
TAM-2   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT-12:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUNA N STAMPS Jan11 Nov30 Nov18 Jul16 Jun18 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
KENRIC Dec28 Nov09 Oct19 Sep29 Sep12 (holder tedston)MARTIN MATTIE 113 10.00    
MINTENON Feb15 Dec28 Dec02     (delacour arnau)BATISTA A 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
ISLANDMAN Oct09 Sep15 Aug24 Jul10 Jun12 (mardif james )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
ANTHRACITE Mar05 Feb10 Jul24 Jul01 May12 (orseno f)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 3.00    
MAGNA RULER Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Jan11 Dec23 (ramos ju)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 6.00    
FUN AT THE FORT Mar01 Feb11 Nov04 Oct22 Sep18 (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 6% 15.10    
ERLAN Mar01 Feb11       (cascallares nest)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
 
TAM-3   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALENDULA Feb26         (nunez mauricio)ALICEA JEREMY 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
AUBURN Feb12 Feb03 Jan20 Jan04 Dec02 (lusk r)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON BLAST Oct20 Sep29 Sep13 Aug29 Aug09 (cheeks p)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
SCR  SHE NASTY Feb10 Nov25 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 (delgado jorge)ARROYO S 122 3.00    
LADY TEUFLESBERG Mar05 Jan28 Oct31 Oct21 Aug27 (bennett s)FERRER C 122 1.80    
OUR FANTASY Mar08 Feb17 Dec11 Nov04 Oct09 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
LYRICAL Mar05 Feb12 Feb01 Jan15 Dec28 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADYNESS Mar01 Jan18 Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 (sacco d)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50 27% 2.80    
BELLA ROMANCE Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 Dec24 (mcgoey monica)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00    
HOLLYWOOD HONEY Feb10 Jan22 Dec16 Nov04 Sep23 (barboza victor)BATISTA A 123 3.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  LEMON TAFFY Mar05 Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec01 (wasiluk pet)RODRIGUEZ A 123 30.00    
CHICAGO RIVER Mar05 Feb18 Oct27 Sep11 Jul10 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.50 10% 8.60    
ANNA'S IMAGE Feb12 Jan29 Jan20 Dec28 Dec03 (gatis chris)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
MY GIRL MELLY Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 Dec16 Nov26 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 6.00 23% 3.30    
MORE MUCHO Mar05 Feb18 Feb04 Jan15 Jul29 (smith g)FERRER C 123 5.00    
 
TAM-5   03/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GO GREEN Feb26 Jan27 Jan08 Dec09   (o'connell kathle)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
GODS GLORY Feb26 Jan20 Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 8.00    
HOP AND SCOTCH Feb26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan07 Dec10 (lopez robe)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
PLEASANT VALIANT Feb17 Dec22 Nov25     (o'connell )GALLARDO A 118 10.00    
CESAR Feb26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec21 Dec07 (lopez mario )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 2.50 19% 4.30    
ASPLUNDER Feb26 Dec21 Oct24 Oct11 Sep28 (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
ROCK CHALK Feb26 Feb05 Jan27 Jan06 Nov27 (smith rob)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Feb26 Jan14 Dec22 Dec16 Nov25 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 15.00    
DENYING Mar08 Feb22 Feb10     (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00    
10  FLYING SUN Feb26 Aug11       (raven kerri)MORALES PABLO 118 4.50    
SCR  COX CANYON Feb26 Feb05 Jan28 Dec23 Nov30 (sacco grego)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00    
 
TAM-6   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERFUL NATIVE Feb08 Jul09 Feb25 Jan30   (cascallares nes)REEVES F 126 12.00    
WINE WITH A ROSE Mar05 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct13 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
SUNSHINE GIRL Mar01 Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 Dec28 (bennett gerald )FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 7% 14.10    
REBATE Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Dec30 Nov25 (gatis chris)ARROYO S 118 3.50    
OSTARA Feb25 Aug16 Jul20 Feb20 Feb04 (dominguez lu)ORDONEZ R 126 15.00 10% 9.50    
RIPLEY EFFECT Mar04 Feb17 Feb01 Jan15 Dec21 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 126 1.40 56% 0.80    
JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Mar04 Feb17 Feb01 Dec23 May04 (scocca linda)BUSH V 126 10.00    
TIPHARAH Mar04 Dec16 Nov26 Jun30 Apr24 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 8.00    
BLACK KARMA Mar04 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Jan15 (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00    
 
TAM-7   03/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE ATKA Mar08 Mar01 Feb10 Feb03 Jan13 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
DRILL'S VALENTINE Feb26 Feb01 Dec09 Nov26 Jul01 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
HANNITA'S EMPIRE Feb26 Jan27 Dec16 Nov27 Nov11 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 3.50    
HUSH Y'ALL Mar08 Dec23 Nov25 Nov04 Oct26 (pimental i)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
MAGICGIRL Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 Dec31 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
MISS MIKAELA Feb03 Jan11 Dec17 Oct26 Oct10 (delgado jorge)SANTIAGO EDDIE 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
PURE ELEGANCE Feb19 Jan28 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00    
EXPECT TO BE READY Feb19 Jan27 Dec31 Dec07 Oct14 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 111 12.00    
LIZZ A BEE Feb19 Feb08 Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 9% 10.70    
 
TAM-8   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALZONE Mar03 Feb12 Jan18 Jan06 Dec14 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 4.50 11% 8.30    
BLACK LIMO Mar03 Jan22 Sep24 Sep07 Aug26 (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 124 6.00    
LIVEFORTHESONG Feb15 Jan13 Dec02 Sep07 Jul09 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
VILLAGE PREACHER Feb15         (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00    
SKY TRAVELER Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 Dec23   (lusk r)FERRER C 126 6.00 16% 5.30    
LEOPARDI Mar03 Jan13 Dec01 Oct30 Sep17 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00    
ALEXIS N NIKO Mar10 Feb16 Jan20 Nov25 Oct29 (mcgoey m)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 3.50    
SCR  GARMENTO Feb16 Jan05 Oct16     (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
TAM-9   03/19/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPEZOID Feb08 Jan14 Dec24 Dec09 Sep26 (guciardo kathy)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
OCEAN RIDE Mar03 Jan28 Jan04 Dec17 Nov23 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 119 10.00 7% 14.30    
WINTER'S GHOST Feb15 Jan20 Dec14 Oct14 Sep18 (rigattieri john)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
RISK VS REWARD Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 Dec23 Dec07 (ward dennis)FERRER C 121 8.00    
FIERCE WARRIOR Feb25 Feb19 Jan21 Dec31 Dec21 (nunn douglas)CASTANON L 121 3.00 8% 10.90    
OMATI Mar04 Feb05 Dec30 Nov05 Sep15 (arriagada juan)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
GOLDEN TONE Mar04 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec22 (rivera xavier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 8.00    
GHOST STALKER Feb19 Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Oct28 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
KUHL STAR Mar05 Nov18 Oct21 Sep25 Sep17 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.