Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 3.70
AQU-2   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $5.60  
AQU-3   Win (13/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
AQU-4   Win (4/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.30 $7.30  
AQU-5   Win (10/11/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.00 $10.00  
AQU-6   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $3.50  
AQU-7   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.60  
AQU-8   Win (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDHAWK 4 3 1 12   1 1 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 60% 0.70 2.85 W
RISK FREE 1 2 32 22   2 2 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 14% 6.00 2.10 P
MS. SOLVEIG 3 1 2 32   33 3 (antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00 1.80  
LAST GLIMMER 2 4 4 4   4 416 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 2.90  
SCR  PUNKIN               (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
 
AQU-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER LEVEL 2 1 1nk 2½   1½ 1 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 1.80  
10  CLASH A. J. 4 2 46 34   33 2 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 7.30  
BASIS RISK 1 4 35 46   4 35 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 30.00 9.80  
11  EIGHT AND SAND 5 5 2nk 1½   2½ 4 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 0.70  
RAW COURAGE 3 3 5 5   510 514 (toscan)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 50.00 22.10  
SCR  SPETTRO               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN               (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  MOON HUNTER               (hemingway mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  IGNITED               (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  VOLKERT               (hennig mark)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK               (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 69% 0.40    
 
AQU-3   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OCEAN GATEWAY 3 2 2nk 21 21 1½ 1 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 2.10 W
13  GIFTED 4 1 1nk 11 11 2½ 2 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 29% 2.50 0.45 P
KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE 1 4 45 43 32 310½ 317¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 6.70  
TOOSHAY 2 3 31 3 4 419½ 426¾ (trites a)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 15.80  
SCR  PREREQUISITE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
SCR  PRET A TOUCHER               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
SCR  RIVER OAKS               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MEOW MEOW HISS               (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
 
AQU-4   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH JACKSON 3 6 3 23   21 1 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 35% 1.80 2.65 W
PRINCESS SONYA 5 3 1 13   11 2 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 17% 4.90 0.55 P
WINE GODDESS 2 1 69 6   68 3 (lucas bonnie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 11.90  
MRS BELL 1 2 5 58   47 4 (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 118 6.00 12% 7.10 12.00  
LA CHANCE 4 5 4 46   37 5 (romero)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 10.10  
MY GORGEOUS 6 4 2 3   5 617¾ (reyno)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 26.50  
SCR  AKIVA               (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
 
AQU-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:101 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME HARRY 2 1 3½ 2½ 2 2 1¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
10  MAJORITY PARTNER 5 3 1½ 1½ 1 1 2¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 38% 1.60 1.10 P
CELESTIAL MOON 4 6 5 54 44 3 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 2.65  
11  KINETIC SKY 6 4 4 42 55 5 45 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 21% 3.80 5.80  
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 2 2½ 31 33 44 5 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17.60  
ROYAL TRYST 1 5 6 66 611½ 6 6 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 18.40  
SCR  CHULAINN               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  CLEAR VISION               (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  DAUNT               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
SCR  NEVER EXPLAIN               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-6   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:143 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 2 1 1 1½ 1 1 (barrera s)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 0.75  
LAY THE GROUNDWORK 1 1 2 3 31 2 2 (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 16% 5.40 3.45 P
1X  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 3 43 4 4 4 3 (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 120 0.60 59% 0.70 3.15  
TO A T 3 4 3 2 2½ 3 411¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 4.90  
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION               (albertrani thoma)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  EVER SUMMER               (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE               (breen j)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE               (rubley kelly)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60    
SCR  CHILI FLAG (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.60    
 
AQU-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREW PUB 2 4 3 3   3 1 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.80  
UNIQUE UNIONS 5 2 2 2nk   1nk 2 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 30% 2.30 1.75 P
FOOLISH GHOST 6 1 1 1nk   2nk 32 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00 17% 4.80 5.80 S
THRILL OF IT 3 5 4 4   4 4 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 4.50  
SCILLY CAY 1 3 65 510½   5 5 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.85  
FIRST DEPUTY 4 6 55 611   612 610½ (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 17.90  
SCR  BATTLE STATION               ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Affirmed Success Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 3 1 1   1 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 27% 2.70 0.60 W
SHERIFF BIANCO 1 2 32 32   2 2 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35 P
AMUNDSON 2 1 2 2   3 3 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 4.40  
SCOCCIATORE 4 6 42 44   44 4 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 21.00  
MY BOY TATE 3 5 6 56   5 57 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 9% 9.80 14.60  
LOBSTA 5 4 5 612   612½ 624½ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 16.30  
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.