Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $7.70 $3.70 93%
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-1 $11.20 $7.20 180%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WILDHAWK 4 3 11½ 12   12½ 11¾ (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 60% 0.70 2.85 W
  (by HELMET (AUS) out of WADIA by CAMPANOLOGIST)
1  RISK FREE 1 2 32 22   22½ 21¾ (dela)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 14% 6.00 2.10 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of KEEP CROSSING by ISTAN)
3  MS. SOLVEIG 3 1 21½ 32   33 32¼ (antonacci ph)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00 1.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
2  LAST GLIMMER 2 4 43½ 47½   49½ 416 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 2.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
SCR  PUNKIN               (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of MISS ANNA MARIE by POSSE)
 
AQU-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UPPER LEVEL 2 1 1nk 2½   1½ 11¾ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 ★ 1.80  
10  CLASH A. J. 4 2 46 34   33 21¾ (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 7.30  
3  BASIS RISK 1 4 35 46   45½ 35 (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 30.00 9.80  
11  EIGHT AND SAND 5 5 2nk 1½   2½ 45¾ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 ★ 0.70  
8  RAW COURAGE 3 3 57½ 59½   510 514 (tosc)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 50.00 22.10  
SCR  SPETTRO               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN               (barker edwa)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  MOON HUNTER               (hemingway m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  IGNITED               (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  VOLKERT               (hennig ma)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK               (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 69% 0.40    
 
AQU-3   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:144 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OCEAN GATEWAY 3 2 2nk 21 21 1½ 11¾ (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 2.10 W
  (by TONALIST out of HANTALOOP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
13  GIFTED 4 1 1nk 11 11 2½ 21¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 29% 2.50 0.45 P
  (by TAPIT out of WITH HONORS by WAR FRONT)
1  KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE 1 4 45 43 32 310½ 317¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 6.70  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of NAPLES MIST by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  TOOSHAY 2 3 31 32½ 46½ 419½ 426¾ (trites)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 15.80  
  (by MO TOWN out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  PREREQUISITE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
  (by UPSTART out of ETSU by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  PRET A TOUCHER               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 ★    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TOCCO D'AMORE by RAVEN'S PASS)
SCR  RIVER OAKS               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MEI LING by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MEOW MEOW HISS               (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of DEANAALLEN'SKITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  VOLATILITY               (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of TAPITAL GAINS by TAPIT)
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of OELECTRA by GULCH)
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARACENA by MARJU (IRE))
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
 
AQU-4   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IRISH JACKSON 3 6 33½ 23   21 12½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 35% 1.80 2.65 W
6  PRINCESS SONYA 5 3 13½ 13   11 22½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 17% 4.90 0.55 P
3  WINE GODDESS 2 1 69 68½   68 36¾ (lucas bonni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 11.90  
1  MRS BELL 1 2 55½ 58   47 46¾ (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 118 6.00 12% 7.10 12.00  
5  LA CHANCE 4 5 44½ 46   37 58¾ (rome)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 10.10  
7  MY GORGEOUS 6 4 23½ 33½   57½ 617¾ (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 26.50  
SCR  AKIVA               (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
 
AQU-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:101 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALL ME HARRY 2 1 3½ 2½ 22½ 21½ 1¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
10  MAJORITY PARTNER 5 3 1½ 1½ 12½ 11½ 2¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 38% 1.60 1.10 P
9  CELESTIAL MOON 4 6 53½ 54 44 33½ 34½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 2.65  
11  KINETIC SKY 6 4 41½ 42 55 55½ 45 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 21% 3.80 5.80  
8  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 2 2½ 31 33 44 57¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17.60  
2  ROYAL TRYST 1 5 64½ 66 611½ 69½ 69½ (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 18.40  
SCR  CHULAINN               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  CLEAR VISION               (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  DAUNT               (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
SCR  NEVER EXPLAIN               (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-6   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:143 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 2 11½ 12½ 1½ 12½ 14¼ (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 122 1.60 ★ 0.75  
6  LAY THE GROUNDWORK 1 1 21½ 32½ 31 22½ 24¼ (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 16% 5.40 3.45 P
1X  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 3 43 43½ 44½ 46½ 37¼ (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 120 0.60 59% 0.70 3.15  
9  TO A T 3 4 31½ 22½ 2½ 34½ 411¼ (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION               (albertrani tho)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  EVER SUMMER               (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE               (breen j)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE               (rubley kelly)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60    
SCR  CHILI FLAG (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BREW PUB 2 4 32½ 34½   33½ 11¾ (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.80  
6  UNIQUE UNIONS 5 2 21½ 2nk   1nk 21¾ (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 30% 2.30 1.75 P
7  FOOLISH GHOST 6 1 11½ 1nk   2nk 32 (barrera oscar)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00 17% 4.80 5.80 S
4  THRILL OF IT 3 5 43½ 47½   46½ 44¾ (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 4.50  
1  SCILLY CAY 1 3 65 510½   59½ 55¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.85  
5  FIRST DEPUTY 4 6 55 611   612 610½ (shiv)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 17.90  
SCR  BATTLE STATION               ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Affirmed Success Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:222 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 3 11½ 11½   11½ 13¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 27% 2.70 0.60 W
  (by LAOBAN out of EVANGELICAL by DEVIL'S BAG)
2  SHERIFF BIANCO 1 2 32 32   21½ 23¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  AMUNDSON 2 1 21½ 21½   31½ 35¼ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 4.40  
  (by CURLIN out of BRIDGEHAMPTON by BERNARDINI)
5  SCOCCIATORE 4 6 42 44   44 46¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 21.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of OUR MISS JONES by ALPHABET SOUP)
4  MY BOY TATE 3 5 65½ 56   54½ 57 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 9% 9.80 14.60  
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
6  LOBSTA 5 4 52½ 612   612½ 624½ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 16.30  
  (by EMCEE out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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