The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Sunday - April 30, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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AQU-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:232 :47 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WILDHAWK 4 3 11½ 12   12½ 11¾ (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 60% 0.70 2.85 W
1  RISK FREE 1 2 32 22   22½ 21¾ (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 14% 6.00 2.10 P
3  MS. SOLVEIG 3 1 21½ 32   33 32¼ (antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00 1.80  
2  LAST GLIMMER 2 4 43½ 47½   49½ 416 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 2.90  
SCR  PUNKIN               (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
:222 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UPPER LEVEL 2 1 1nk 2½   1½ 11¾ (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 ★ 1.80  
10  CLASH A. J. 4 2 46 34   33 21¾ (jones e)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00 7.30  
3  BASIS RISK 1 4 35 46   45½ 35 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 30.00 9.80  
11  EIGHT AND SAND 5 5 2nk 1½   2½ 45¾ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 ★ 0.70  
8  RAW COURAGE 3 3 57½ 59½   510 514 (toscan)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 50.00 22.10  
SCR  SPETTRO               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN               (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  MOON HUNTER               (hemingway mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  IGNITED               (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
SCR  VOLKERT               (hennig mark)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK               (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 69% 0.40    
 
AQU-3   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
:24 :49 1:144 1:391   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OCEAN GATEWAY 3 2 2nk 21 21 1½ 11¾ (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.40 2.10 W
13  GIFTED 4 1 1nk 11 11 2½ 21¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 29% 2.50 0.45 P
1  KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE 1 4 45 43 32 310½ 317¾ (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 6.70  
4  TOOSHAY 2 3 31 32½ 46½ 419½ 426¾ (trites a)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 15.80  
SCR  PREREQUISITE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
SCR  PRET A TOUCHER               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  RIVER OAKS               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  TREASURED GEM               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
SCR  MEOW MEOW HISS               (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY               (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY               (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
 
AQU-4   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
:23 :464 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  IRISH JACKSON 3 6 33½ 23   21 12½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 35% 1.80 2.65 W
6  PRINCESS SONYA 5 3 13½ 13   11 22½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 17% 4.90 0.55 P
3  WINE GODDESS 2 1 69 68½   68 36¾ (lucas bonnie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00 11.90  
1  MRS BELL 1 2 55½ 58   47 46¾ (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 118 6.00 12% 7.10 12.00  
5  LA CHANCE 4 5 44½ 46   37 58¾ (romero)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00 10.10  
7  MY GORGEOUS 6 4 23½ 33½   57½ 617¾ (reyno)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00 26.50  
SCR  AKIVA               (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
 
AQU-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
:231 :454 1:101 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALL ME HARRY 2 1 3½ 2½ 22½ 21½ 1¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
10  MAJORITY PARTNER 5 3 1½ 1½ 12½ 11½ 2¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 38% 1.60 1.10 P
9  CELESTIAL MOON 4 6 53½ 54 44 33½ 34½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 2.65  
11  KINETIC SKY 6 4 41½ 42 55 55½ 45 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 21% 3.80 5.80  
8  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 3 2 2½ 31 33 44 57¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17.60  
2  ROYAL TRYST 1 5 64½ 66 611½ 69½ 69½ (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00 18.40  
SCR  CHULAINN               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  CLEAR VISION               (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
SCR  DAUNT               (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
SCR  NEVER EXPLAIN               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-6   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:251 :501 1:143 1:384   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 2 2 11½ 12½ 1½ 12½ 14¼ (barrera s)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 ★ 0.75  
6  LAY THE GROUNDWORK 1 1 21½ 32½ 31 22½ 24¼ (hennig mark)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 16% 5.40 3.45 P
1X  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 4 3 43 43½ 44½ 46½ 37¼ (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 120 0.60 59% 0.70 3.15  
9  TO A T 3 4 31½ 22½ 2½ 34½ 411¼ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★ 4.90  
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION               (albertrani thoma)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  EVER SUMMER               (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE               (breen j)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
SCR  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE               (rubley kelly)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60    
SCR  CHILI FLAG (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
:223 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BREW PUB 2 4 32½ 34½   33½ 11¾ (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.80  
6  UNIQUE UNIONS 5 2 21½ 2nk   1nk 21¾ (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 30% 2.30 1.75 P
7  FOOLISH GHOST 6 1 11½ 1nk   2nk 32 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00 17% 4.80 5.80 S
4  THRILL OF IT 3 5 43½ 47½   46½ 44¾ (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 4.50  
1  SCILLY CAY 1 3 65 510½   59½ 55¼ (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.85  
5  FIRST DEPUTY 4 6 55 611   612 610½ (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 17.90  
SCR  BATTLE STATION               ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Affirmed Success Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
:222 :453 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 3 11½ 11½   11½ 13¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 27% 2.70 0.60 W
2  SHERIFF BIANCO 1 2 32 32   21½ 23¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00 3.35 P
3  AMUNDSON 2 1 21½ 21½   31½ 35¼ (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 4.40  
5  SCOCCIATORE 4 6 42 44   44 46¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 21.00  
4  MY BOY TATE 3 5 65½ 56   54½ 57 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 9% 9.80 14.60  
6  LOBSTA 5 4 52½ 612   612½ 624½ (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 16.30  
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.