Handicappers' Racing Form
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Aqueduct
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
AQU-1   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-2   Win NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00
AQU-3   Win (13/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-5   Win (10/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-7   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
AQU-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK FREE Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 Jan29 Jan07 (delaur)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 14% 6.00    
2  LAST GLIMMER         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
3  MS. SOLVEIG Mar12 Aug25 Jul27     (antonacci phil)CASTELLANO J 125 3.00    
SCR  PUNKIN Mar10         (klesaris robert)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
5  WILDHAWK Mar26 Feb05       (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
AQU-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPETTRO Dec09 Nov05 Oct06 Aug25 Jul16 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN Feb25 Oct08 May29 Apr10 Mar19 (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 122 15.00    
3  BASIS RISK Apr15 Feb25 Feb05 Dec09 Nov13 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 30.00    
4  UPPER LEVEL Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec16 Oct20 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  HEYMACKIT'SJACK Mar17 Feb22 Jan21 Sep25 Aug27 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 69% 0.40    
SCR  MOON HUNTER Dec17 Nov12 Oct20 Sep25 Sep03 (hemingway mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  IGNITED Jun11 May14       (trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5% 17.70    
8  RAW COURAGE Apr02 Mar10 Feb09 Jan29 Dec31 (toscano t)OLVER MADISON 113 50.00    
SCR  VOLKERT Mar10 Feb05 Jun14 May21 Apr23 (hennig mark)VARGAS A 120 4.50    
10  CLASH A. J. Apr22 Apr01 Mar24 Mar17 Feb25 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 115 8.00    
11  EIGHT AND SAND Apr23 Mar10 Feb17 Dec11 Nov13 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAYLEIGH'S PRIDE Mar19 Feb16 Nov25 Oct23   (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
SCR  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Feb11         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  TREASURED GEM Mar26 Oct22 Sep18 Aug21 Jul24 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
4  TOOSHAY Mar17         (trites a)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  PRET A TOUCHER Mar05         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  KEEP IT SEXY Oct22 Sep23       (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY Mar11 Feb04 Jan04 Nov19   (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  MEOW MEOW HISS Apr01         (jerkens a)CANCEL ERIC 118 10.00    
SCR  PREREQUISITE Apr01         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
SCR  RIVER OAKS Feb05 Oct01       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Mar04 Nov20 Sep18 Aug14 Jul20 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
12  OCEAN GATEWAY Mar26 Feb12       (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 23% 3.40    
13  GIFTED Mar31 Mar04 Feb05 Nov25 Aug07 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-4   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS BELL Apr16 Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Jan27 (lucas bonnie)OLVER MADISON 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  AKIVA         (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 118 15.00 10% 8.60    
3  WINE GODDESS Apr14 Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 Jan20 (lucas bonnie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 6.00    
4  IRISH JACKSON         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  LA CHANCE Apr16 Mar12 Feb18 Oct23 Sep23 (romero)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 5.00    
6  PRINCESS SONYA Mar12 Dec29 Nov17     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 1.80 17% 4.90    
7  MY GORGEOUS Mar24 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 Jan12 (reyno)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
AQU-5   04/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPACE LAUNCH Nov19 Sep16 Jul01 May29   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 9% 10.50    
2  ROYAL TRYST Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 Feb11 Jan14 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 30.00    
SCR  CHULAINN Nov19 Oct22 Jun19 May15   (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  NEVER EXPLAIN Mar01 Jan18 Jan01 Oct19 Sep23 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAUNT Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
6  CALL ME HARRY Mar10 Feb10 Nov19 Oct27 Oct13 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLEAR VISION Sep03 Aug04 Jul15 May21 Mar05 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00    
8  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Mar24 Dec11 Oct09 Jul31 May29 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
9  CELESTIAL MOON Apr06 Mar11 Dec15 Nov10 Oct15 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00    
10  MAJORITY PARTNER Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 Sep23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.00 38% 1.60    
11  KINETIC SKY Mar04 Feb02 Jan01 Nov06 Oct14 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-6   04/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1X  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Jan12 Dec16 (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 120 0.60 59% 0.70    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60    
SCR  CHILI FLAG (FR) Feb25         (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.60 ★    
SCR  FRIVOLE (FR)         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50    
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Mar11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (albertrani thoma)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Mar15 May15 Mar12 Feb12 Jan15 (rubley kelly)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  EVER SUMMER Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 Aug24   (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
6  LAY THE GROUNDWORK Mar23 Feb26 Jan25 Dec26 Sep10 (hennig mark)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  DESERT DALLIANCE Apr13 Mar12 Feb13 Dec09 Nov13 (breen j)RIDER TBA 120 3.00    
8  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Apr21 Mar12 Feb12 Jan19 Dec17 (barrera s)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 ★    
9  TO A T Apr22 Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 Dec09 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 120 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCILLY CAY Mar25 Mar05 Feb17 Feb10 Jan07 (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  BREW PUB Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
4  THRILL OF IT Mar24 Jul28 May30 Mar27 Feb24 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
5  FIRST DEPUTY Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan05 Dec16 (shivma)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
6  UNIQUE UNIONS Nov17 Sep23 Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 30% 2.30    
7  FOOLISH GHOST Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Jan07 Nov17 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 111 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  BATTLE STATION Apr27 Nov18 Oct27 Sep22 Aug27 ( )TBA null      
 
AQU-8   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Affirmed Success Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LISTENTOYOURHEART Apr07 Feb17 Jan21 Aug26 Jul10 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  SHERIFF BIANCO Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 Feb05 Dec30 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  AMUNDSON Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 Dec09 Nov12 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50    
4  MY BOY TATE Jan08 Dec04 Oct30 Oct10 Aug12 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
5  SCOCCIATORE Mar30 Feb10 Apr07 Mar19 Feb12 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
6  LOBSTA Feb20 Jan22 May22 Apr29 Mar20 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
7  TODAY'S FLAVOR Apr08 Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 Nov27 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
AQU-9   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOLO CONTESTO Apr15 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 Dec30 (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 51% 0.90    
2  MACH ONE Apr16 Jan26 Dec29 Sep16 Aug21 (persaud ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 8.00 ★    
3  MAJESTIC TIGER Apr01 Mar10 Jan26 Jan12 Dec10 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  SON OF AN EX Mar18 Mar10 Feb18 Feb12 Jan26 (chin peter)DAVIS A 124 15.00    
5  ALWAYS CHARMING Apr01 Jun16 May21 Feb21 Jan27 (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.50    
6  BIG VENEZUELA Apr16 Mar26 Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 (tessore bruno)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00    
7  SKYLANDER Apr13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec03 Oct22 (trites a)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 12.00    
8  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 Dec10 Nov27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.