Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.90 $0.90 15%
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $14.10 $2.10 18%
AQU-5   WIN (2/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00  12 $6.70 $0.70 12%
    EXA (2/3/12)-(2/3/12/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00  12-3 $16.30 $4.30 36%
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(2/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-12 $14.00 $2.00 17%
    PK4 (5/4/7/2)-(2/6/1)-(1/6/5/3)-(2/3/12) 144 $0.50 $72.00  5-2-6-11/12 $73.37 $1.37 2%
AQU-7   TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-6-7 $16.50 $4.50 38%

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNSANDCONDITIONS 1 2 45 4   12 1 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00 5.40  
CHARGER 4 3 32 21   32 2 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 3.00 11% 8.10 3.50 P
ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE 2 1 2nk 31   43 311 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 2.35  
MAJOR SPIN 3 4 1nk 11   22 412½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 51% 1.00 0.90  
SCR  AMEDEUS MUSIC               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 9% 10.00    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY               (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FRIENDS BEER 5 5 31 2nk 1 1 1 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 22% 3.60 2.50 W
MOUNT TRAVERS 6 1 4 5 2 2 2 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00 30.25  
HAMMERIN AAMER 4 4 5 4 44 3 3 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 19% 4.30 5.20 S
PIT BOSS 2 3 21 3½ 54 5 49 (bernardini jua)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 13% 6.70 4.90  
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY 8 6 63 6 8 710 5 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 3.40  
CORKMAN 1 8 8 8 7 810 610¾ (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 123 8.00 11.40  
DARK STORM 3 7 7 7 67 6 710¾ (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 24.50  
SILIPO 7 2 11 1nk 32 47 811¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 14% 6.10 4.00  
 
AQU-3   04/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:222 :443 :554     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOIN' GOOD 2 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 43% 1.30 2.45 W
MAC THE PEE H DEE 4 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 3.65  
POPPY FLOWER 5 5 42 3   3 3 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 21% 3.90 1.00 S
SPUN GLASS 3 4 5 5   53 4 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00 12.90  
HIT THE WOAH 1 2 32 42   42 52 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 11% 8.40 7.40  
SCR  MOSIENKO               (lalm)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
 
AQU-4   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:111 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJORITY PARTNER 6 2 2nk 1½ 14 1 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 22% 3.50 2.10 W
OUSTER 1 5 5 32 24 2 2 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 29% 2.40 0.70 P
LUNI SIMA 7 1 4 43 3 35 3 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00 9.80  
SHIPSATIONAL 5 3 34 64 612½ 612 414½ (barker edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 16% 5.40 28.50  
DUST DEVIL 3 6 6 5 58 411 516¼ (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 10% 8.90 25.00  
THREE JOKERS 4 4 1nk 2½ 48 511 616¾ (terranova jo)TORRES A 117 12.00 12.00  
IN THE UNION 2 7 7 77 717½ 717½ 724¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 15.00 21.10  
 
AQU-5   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:233 :494 1:141 1:383   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CLEAR CONSCIENCE 11 1 54 43 42 11 1 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00 2.35 W
  (by BLAME out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
ONE HEADLIGHT 3 9 6 64 5 5 2 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.20 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WARRIOR HALL by WAR FRONT)
VINCE THE PRINCE 8 5 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 3 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 22.80  
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
TONY O 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 4 (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 12.00 12.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
VALENTINO'S HERE 5 8 7 54 32 43 5 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 126 12.00 15.50  
  (by LAOBAN out of NEVER MISS A TRICK by ANASHEED)
10  MAMA BANNED ME 10 2 10 10 10 6 6 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 7.70  
  (by LAOBAN out of MAMA MAXINE by MORE THAN READY)
ALL GOOD HERE 2 10 9 9 9 7 712 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 40% 1.50 4.90  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PROFESSIONAL WOMAN by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
AWESOME FORCE 9 4 43 75 8 1011 812¼ (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00 ######  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVER AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
MUDVILLE NINE 4 7 31 3 6 910 913½ (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 8.00 15.20  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SQUID GAMER 6 6 86 86 1111¼ 1111½ 1013½ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 6.00 9.20  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
MUNNY FOR NUTHIN 1 11 1112¼ 11 78 810 1113¾ (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 126 12.00 30.25  
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEHANTIC KAT by TOMORROWS CAT)
SCR  CAESAR'S GHOST               (caramori edu)TORRES A 113 15.00    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
 
AQU-6   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:242   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE REVENGER 4 6 11 11 11 13 1 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 4.10  
10  SWIFT TAP 10 2 21 21 21 23 2 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 5.60 P
1A  ICY STORM 8 1 6 88 610 510 3 (arriaga anto)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00 18.00  
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 9 3 52 54 3 37 4 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 6.40  
THERISASTORMBREWIN 7 5 31 42 45 49 510 (giangiulio m)TORRES A 115 10.00 15.40  
AMERICAN LINCOLN 1 10 1010¾ 1117½ 1018 914½ 611½ (romero jesus)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00 95.75  
COOL QUARTET 5 9 9 9 917½ 1014¾ 712¼ (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 13% 6.70 5.40  
11  LIL COMMISSIONER 11 4 8 78 710½ 711½ 812½ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 63% 0.60 1.90  
JONNY QUIST 3 8 4 3 59 611½ 912¾ (beda)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 20.00 27.50  
LIAM'S FIRE 6 7 73 6 811 812½ 1017¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 33.25  
FOREVER WICKED 2 11 1111¼ 1016½ 1118½ 1118¾ 1125¼ (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 123 20.00 40.50  
SCR  MISTER WINSTON               (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
AQU-7   04/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:141 1:393   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHITTINGTON PARK 4 5 6 6 53 32 1¼ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 20% 4.00 0.90 W
WILD BANKER 5 2 4 31 1½ 1nk 2¼ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 7.90 7.00 P
SIX PERCENT 6 6 5 42 3½ 2nk 32 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 16% 5.30 3.90 S
FULL MOON FEVER 7 7 7 7 7 5 47 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 9.50  
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 2 4 1nk 1nk 2½ 4 5 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00 4.40  
DATESFREEDOM 1 1 3 53 6 611½ 618½ (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00 36.75  
MICROSECOND 3 3 2nk 2nk 4 723½ 738 (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 13% 6.70 23.60  
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11 1:354   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTY INVASION 3 11 1010¼ 8 5 1 1 (schettin)DAVIS A 126 20.00 43.75  
LEM ME DRINK 6 9 56 5 4 2 2 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 4.60  
APEROL SPRITZ 5 12 1214¾ 1213¼ 8 33 3 (breen j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12.30  
SPERSS 4 2 6 6 7 5 4 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 14.10  
11  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES 11 5 4 44 6 6 5 (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 6.00 5.50  
10  GIGGLING GHOST 10 4 31 3½ 2nk 4 6 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00 28.00  
DENIECE OF DEGRACE 8 10 1110¾ 10 9 7 711 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 30.00 70.50  
DERWIN'S PAYNTER 9 8 77 7 10 913 813 (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 9% 9.90 31.00  
WINE GODDESS 2 7 910 1111¾ 11 1014½ 916¾ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 10.00 25.75  
12  MISCHIEF MOTION 12 6 8 9 12 1116½ 1018¼ (tessor)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 15.00 10.80  
GOTHAM GRAY 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 812½ 1123 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 18% 4.60 1.70  
JANNIE MAE 7 3 2nk 2nk 31 1217½ 1223½ (nevin michel)TORRES A 121 4.50 13% 6.60 6.40  
SCR  DON'T QUIT JACKIE               (weaver georg)TORRES A 121 15.00    
SCR  GRACE IN MOTION               (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 126 20.00    
SCR  MY INNER VOICE               (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT               (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.