Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/4/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(5/4/7/2)-(2/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-2   WIN (5/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/2)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/2)-(2/6/1)-(1/6/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/6/5/3)-(2/3/12) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(2/3/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(2/3/12)-(11/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-5   WIN (2/3/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/12)-(2/3/12/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/12)-(2/3/12/1)-(2/3/12/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/12)-(11/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/12)-(11/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-6   WIN (11/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/6)-(11/6/5/10/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (11/6)-(11/6/5/10/9)-(11/6/5/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/6)-(4/7/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (11/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(1/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
AQU-7   WIN (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/6)-(1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
AQU-8   WIN (1/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/9)-(1/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/9)-(1/7/9)-(1/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNSANDCONDITIONS Mar19 Mar11 Feb11 Feb05 Jan28 (persaud randi)OLVER MADISON 113 4.00    
2  ONE WHIRLWIND RIDE Mar26 Feb05 Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 (bar)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Mar19 Feb20 Jan07 Jan01 Dec16 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 12.00    
4  MAJOR SPIN Mar03 Jan14 Jan01 Dec03 Nov13 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 51% 1.00    
5  CHARGER Mar19 Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 Dec06 (rodriguez ru)TORRES A 115 3.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  AMEDEUS MUSIC Mar24 Jan12 Dec31 Dec04 Nov10 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 9% 10.00    
 
AQU-2   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORKMAN Oct21 Oct02 Sep24 Sep05 Aug24 (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 123 8.00    
2  PIT BOSS Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 (bernardini jua)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  DARK STORM Mar19 Feb05 Jan21 Oct21 Sep17 (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00    
4  HAMMERIN AAMER Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  MY FRIENDS BEER Mar19 Mar04 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
6  MOUNT TRAVERS Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 Jan29 Jan19 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
7  SILIPO Mar25 Sep24 Aug24 Aug03 May20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 14% 6.10    
8  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Mar11 Feb25 May20 Mar25 Feb12 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/14/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT THE WOAH Nov27 Nov04 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 5.00 11% 8.40    
2  GOIN' GOOD Feb21 Jan28 Jul18 May05 Apr16 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  SPUN GLASS Feb18 Dec24 Oct23 Oct16 Sep07 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 10.00    
SCR  MOSIENKO Mar25 Feb10 Dec08 Oct30 Oct06 (lalm)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00    
5  MAC THE PEE H DEE Mar02 Jul16 May19 Apr09 Feb27 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
6  POPPY FLOWER Sep13 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May19 (mott i)ORTIZ L 118 1.40 21% 3.90    
 
AQU-4   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUSTER Mar18 Feb19 Jan05 Nov20 Oct21 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 0.80 29% 2.40    
2  IN THE UNION Apr17 Mar02 Jan30 Jan08   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
3  DUST DEVIL Mar25 Feb25 Jan22 Oct15 Sep16 (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 10% 8.90    
4  THREE JOKERS Jan29 Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug12 (terranova jo)TORRES A 117 12.00    
5  SHIPSATIONAL Mar11 Feb11 Jan13 Dec02 Oct29 (barker edwa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 16% 5.40    
6  MAJORITY PARTNER Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 Sep23 Aug27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  LUNI SIMA Mar25 Mar11 Jan29 Dec18 Nov26 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
 
AQU-5   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNNY FOR NUTHIN         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 126 12.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEHANTIC KAT by TOMORROWS CAT)
2  ALL GOOD HERE Mar15         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 40% 1.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PROFESSIONAL WOMAN by DISTINCTIVE PRO)
3  ONE HEADLIGHT         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WARRIOR HALL by WAR FRONT)
4  MUDVILLE NINE Mar18 Feb24       (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FANFIRE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  VALENTINO'S HERE Feb17 Jan19 Nov20 Oct21 Sep24 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 126 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of NEVER MISS A TRICK by ANASHEED)
6  SQUID GAMER Mar26 Feb17       (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
7  TONY O Nov11 Oct27       (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TOGA TIGER by HOLD THAT TIGER)
8  VINCE THE PRINCE Jul27         (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIPLING'S JOY by KIPLING)
9  AWESOME FORCE Feb26 Jan26       (diprima gre)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of EVER AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  MAMA BANNED ME Jan06 Dec08 Nov11     (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MAMA MAXINE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  CAESAR'S GHOST Feb17 Dec31 Dec02 Nov09   (caramori edu)TORRES A 113 15.00 ★    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WISH I UNDERSTOOD by CONCORD POINT)
12  CLEAR CONSCIENCE Nov11         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BLAME out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
 
AQU-6   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ICY STORM Mar25 Mar18 Feb09 Jan07 Oct31 (arriaga anto)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 12.00    
SCR  MISTER WINSTON Mar30 Sep06 Aug22 Jul19 Jul09 (sel)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
2  AMERICAN LINCOLN Mar18 Feb19 Feb10 Jan22 Oct01 (romero jesus)BROWN DALTON 120 30.00    
3  FOREVER WICKED Mar26 Mar18 Mar10 Feb26 Jan07 (persaud rand)SAMUEL L 123 20.00    
4  JONNY QUIST Mar15 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec07 (beda)HUAYAS (JASON) 118 20.00    
5  THE REVENGER Mar18 Jan26 Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 ★    
6  COOL QUARTET Apr02 Feb26 Feb11 Feb05 Jan21 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 13% 6.70    
7  LIAM'S FIRE Mar25 Feb18 Jan14 Jan01 Dec04 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
8  THERISASTORMBREWIN Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Oct16 Sep24 (giangiulio m)TORRES A 115 10.00    
9  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Mar18 Feb26 Jan22 Dec18 Oct27 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 ★    
10  SWIFT TAP Mar18 Feb11 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 ★    
11  LIL COMMISSIONER Mar05 Feb25 Jan29 Dec29 Nov18 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 63% 0.60    
 
AQU-7   04/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATESFREEDOM Mar25 Mar10 Feb12 Jan28 Jan05 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 4.00    
3  MICROSECOND Jan19 Apr16       (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 111 12.00 13% 6.70    
4  WHITTINGTON PARK Mar18 Feb19 Dec29 Nov14 Oct18 (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60 20% 4.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 Nov16 Oct24 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
6  WILD BANKER Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 Oct16 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
7  SIX PERCENT Mar11 Jan29 Jan06 Oct16 Sep05 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
8  FULL MOON FEVER Mar18 Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00    
 
AQU-8   04/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTHAM GRAY Mar11         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  WINE GODDESS Mar24 Feb17 Feb02 Jan20 Dec29 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 10.00    
3  FROSTY INVASION Mar12 Feb26 Feb02 Jan13 Dec08 (schettin)DAVIS A 126 20.00    
4  SPERSS Jan14         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
5  APEROL SPRITZ Feb26 Jan12       (breen j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
6  LEM ME DRINK Feb10 Jan19 Nov26 Oct29 Sep30 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00    
7  JANNIE MAE Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 Jul17 Jun17 (nevin michel)TORRES A 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
8  DENIECE OF DEGRACE Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 Nov26 Nov04 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 111 30.00    
9  DERWIN'S PAYNTER Feb18 Jan28 Dec18     (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 9% 9.90    
10  GIGGLING GHOST Mar19 Jul24 Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 20.00    
11  SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES Nov04         (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
12  MISCHIEF MOTION Mar24 Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 Aug26 (tessor)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 15.00    
SCR  MY INNER VOICE Mar31 Feb17       (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 20.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  DON'T QUIT JACKIE Mar12         (weaver georg)TORRES A 121 15.00    
SCR  GRACE IN MOTION Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 126 20.00    
SCR  STRANGE FRUIT Mar31 Jan20       (reynolds patric)DAVIS KATIE 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.