Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-2   WIN (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-1 $45.00 $13.00 41%
PEN-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $26.60 $22.60 565%
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/7/6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-7 $130.40 $114.40 715%
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/7/6/4)-(1/3/7/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  3-7-4 $449.10 $425.10 1771%
    DD (6/3/7/8)-(1/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00  6-3 $216.80 $200.80 1255%
PEN-4   DD (1/3)-(4/2/7/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-2 $56.80 $40.80 255%
    PK3 (6/3/7/8)-(1/3)-(4/2/7/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00  6-3-2/6 $102.90 $86.90 543%
PEN-5   TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2/1)-(4/7/6/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  7-6-4 $73.30 $25.30 53%
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/7/6/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00  3-2/6-7 $50.95 $34.95 218%
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-6 $39.00 $15.00 63%
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3)-(5/4/2/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-6-3 $50.30 $14.30 40%
    SFT (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3)-(5/4/2/6/3)-(5/4/2/6/3) 72 $0.10 $7.20  2-6-3-4 $12.08 $4.88 68%
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-2 $27.40 $3.40 14%
PEN-7   PK5 (1/3)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/7/6/2)-(5/4/2)-(3/2/4) 288 $1.00 $288  3-2/6-7-2-2 $1100.30 $812.30 282%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ROMANTIC GAMBLE 6 4 45 43½   2½ 13½ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 3.70  
6  ZILLION 5 5 55½ 54   31½ 23½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 ★ 6.90 P
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 3 7 77 77¼   53½ 33¾ (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.50 S
1  KHAKI JACK 1 2 11 12   1½ 44½ (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 25.30  
8  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 6 66½ 67   75½ 55¾ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 11% 8.30 13.10  
3  MAGIC SPIN 2 3 21 22   43 66½ (albright amy)FLORES E 124 8.00 24% 3.20 24.60  
5  HIGH HEAT 4 1 32 33½   65½ 79 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 8% 12.20 15.40  
SCR  OSPREY               (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IMAGISM 5 1 1½ 12½   13 14¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 25% 3.00 4.80 W
1  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 1 4 2½ 33   33 24¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 ★ 3.00 P
5  BO RUNKLE 4 7 63¼ 43   23 34½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 0.80  
3  MISCHIEF MELODY 2 6 31 22½   46 412¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10 11.50  
7  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 6 3 41 56½   59 513¼ (brown keith)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 13% 6.90 5.90  
8  COLETTE'S SPIRIT 7 2 74¼ 67½   612 618¼ (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 112 15.00 8% 12.00 53.10  
4  TALENTED TAPPER 3 5 53 78   713 721 (harigeorgiou ko)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 65.80  
SCR  NANA'S BOOPA               (santae)GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FORECLOSURE 3 6 66¾ 77½ 24 22½ 11¼ (houghton )VARGAS L 122 4.50 22% 3.60 12.30 W
7  THE MAN TO SEE 7 1 12 11½ 14 12½ 21¼ (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★ 4.20 P
4  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 4 2 76¾ 67 46½ 610 35½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★ 13.10 S
2  CAIRO BOOGIE 2 7 56¼ 55 78 710¼ 413 (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 8.40  
1  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD 1 3 32 21½ 35½ 59½ 514½ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 47% 1.10 2.50  
6  JACK SLYE 6 5 42¼ 45 57 38 615½ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 ★ 1.40  
5  GERONIMO (CHI) 5 4 22 33½ 67 49½ 716¼ (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 13.00  
 
PEN-4   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COUSTEAU 2 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 12 14¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 30% 2.30 1.10 W
8  WILL E SUTTON 7 5 3½ 2½ 2½ 22 24¼ (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 3.60  
3  COOL COMEDIAN 3 1 41 52½ 42 33½ 37 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 7.90  
7  MEAN MACHINE 6 7 63¼ 64½ 31 43½ 48¾ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.70 3.50  
4  CRUSH IT 4 6 73¼ 75 54 55½ 59¼ (mcmahon de)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 115 4.50 36% 1.70 9.60  
1  TRIPLE A. PLUS 1 3 1nk 31 66 68½ 616½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 18.60 17.00  
5  JONNY QUIST 5 4 51¼ 42½ 79 712½ 717½ (bedard al)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 ★ 17.30  
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR               (montoya m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:141 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ALONG THE WAY 7 7 79 75½ 54½ 33 11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 17% 4.70 2.20 W
6  PAYNT BY NUMBER 6 5 66 43 12 12½ 21 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 11% 7.90 2.40 P
4  SAKARI 4 4 34 54 33 22½ 32¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 43% 1.30 17.90 S
5  ESTA CHUCK 5 9 814 810 67½ 48 44¼ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 30.00 78.00  
2  ADMONISH 2 8 914½ 910½ 78 58½ 54½ (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.90 2.90  
8  HIDDEN SPRINGS 8 3 44½ 32 44 610 611½ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 10.40  
3  GONE DREAMING 3 1 12½ 22 88½ 718 724½ (whylie o)GILPIN SEAN 120 8.00 19.90  
1  PURELY SILVER 1 2 22½ 12 22 822 833¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★ 6.10  
9  FALSE RULING 9 6 55½ 64½ 912 930 946¼ (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 63.40  
 
PEN-6   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:122 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OVER AND THUNDER 2 3 12½ 11 11 11½ 11¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.90 W
6  ONCE A GIANT 6 4 67½ 66 46 42½ 21¼ (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★ 5.90 P
3  FACTOTUM 3 2 34 31 33 32 32 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 ★ 1.60 S
4  SAILOR SPEED 4 5 44½ 21 21 21½ 45½ (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50 7.50  
1  HOLD THE IRISH 1 6 54½ 53½ 56½ 55 56¼ (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 12.10  
5  LTL BEAR SALOON 5 1 22½ 41½ 67 611 624 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.20  
 
PEN-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOPEFULLY ICU 2 4 1nk 11   12 15½ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.30 1.00 W
7  SANTAFE EXPRESS 7 2 73¼ 55   35½ 25½ (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 ★ 4.90 P
4  WIN FOR LAILA 4 7 52¼ 21   22 36¾ (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 7% 13.70 4.40 S
6  CEREAL I D 6 5 62¾ 34½   45½ 48½ (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★ 8.70  
5  PEACEMON 5 1 31½ 45   57½ 512 (taylor jose)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 25.70  
3  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS 3 6 41¾ 65¼   67¾ 613 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 54% 0.90 3.70  
1  LILYSGOTACLUE 1 3 2nk 75¼   711¾ 721 (mick r)LLOYD W 124 15.00 71.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.