Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $9.40  
PEN-2   Win (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
PEN-3   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $26.60 $26.60 22.60
PEN-4   Win (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
PEN-5   Win (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
PEN-6   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
PEN-7   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC GAMBLE 6 4 45 4   2½ 1 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 3.70  
ZILLION 5 5 5 54   3 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 6.90 P
ALLABOUTTHEMONEY 3 7 77 7   5 3 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.50 S
KHAKI JACK 1 2 11 12   1½ 4 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 25.30  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 7 6 6 67   7 5 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 11% 8.30 13.10  
MAGIC SPIN 2 3 21 22   43 6 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 8.00 24% 3.20 24.60  
HIGH HEAT 4 1 32 3   6 79 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 8% 12.20 15.40  
SCR  OSPREY               (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGISM 5 1 1½ 1   13 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 25% 3.00 4.80 W
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH 1 4 2½ 33   33 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 3.00 P
BO RUNKLE 4 7 6 43   23 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 0.80  
MISCHIEF MELODY 2 6 31 2   46 412¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10 11.50  
SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN 6 3 41 5   59 513¼ (brown a)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 13% 6.90 5.90  
COLETTE'S SPIRIT 7 2 7 6   612 618¼ (sanchez-pinero an)RUIZ ELISEO 112 15.00 8% 12.00 53.10  
TALENTED TAPPER 3 5 53 78   713 721 (harigeorgiou kons)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 65.80  
SCR  NANA'S BOOPA               (santaell)GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
 
PEN-3   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORECLOSURE 3 6 6 7 24 2 1 (houghton th)VARGAS L 122 4.50 22% 3.60 12.30 W
THE MAN TO SEE 7 1 12 1 14 1 2 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 4.20 P
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 4 2 7 67 4 610 3 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 13.10 S
CAIRO BOOGIE 2 7 5 55 78 710¼ 413 (demario charles )TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 8.40  
MISCHIEVIOUSBUD 1 3 32 2 3 5 514½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 47% 1.10 2.50  
JACK SLYE 6 5 4 45 57 38 615½ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 1.40  
GERONIMO (CHI) 5 4 22 3 67 4 716¼ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 13.00  
 
PEN-4   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSTEAU 2 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 12 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 30% 2.30 1.10 W
WILL E SUTTON 7 5 3½ 2½ 2½ 22 2 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50 3.60  
COOL COMEDIAN 3 1 41 5 42 3 37 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 7.90  
MEAN MACHINE 6 7 6 6 31 4 4 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.70 3.50  
CRUSH IT 4 6 7 75 54 5 5 (mcmahon deme)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 115 4.50 36% 1.70 9.60  
TRIPLE A. PLUS 1 3 1nk 31 66 6 616½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 18.60 17.00  
JONNY QUIST 5 4 5 4 79 712½ 717½ (bedard alan)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 17.30  
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR               (montoya mar)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:141 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONG THE WAY 7 7 79 7 5 33 11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 17% 4.70 2.20 W
PAYNT BY NUMBER 6 5 66 43 12 1 21 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 11% 7.90 2.40 P
SAKARI 4 4 34 54 33 2 3 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 43% 1.30 17.90 S
ESTA CHUCK 5 9 814 810 6 48 4 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 30.00 78.00  
ADMONISH 2 8 914½ 910½ 78 5 5 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.90 2.90  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 8 3 4 32 44 610 611½ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 10.40  
GONE DREAMING 3 1 1 22 8 718 724½ (whylie o)GILPIN SEAN 120 8.00 19.90  
PURELY SILVER 1 2 2 12 22 822 833¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 6.10  
FALSE RULING 9 6 5 6 912 930 946¼ (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 63.40  
 
PEN-6   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:122 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER AND THUNDER 2 3 1 11 11 1 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70 2.90 W
ONCE A GIANT 6 4 6 66 46 4 2 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 5.90 P
FACTOTUM 3 2 34 31 33 32 32 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 1.60 S
SAILOR SPEED 4 5 4 21 21 2 4 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50 7.50  
HOLD THE IRISH 1 6 5 5 5 55 5 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 12.10  
LTL BEAR SALOON 5 1 2 4 67 611 624 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 32% 2.10 3.20  
 
PEN-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPEFULLY ICU 2 4 1nk 11   12 1 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.30 1.00 W
SANTAFE EXPRESS 7 2 7 55   3 2 (fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 4.90 P
WIN FOR LAILA 4 7 5 21   22 3 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 7% 13.70 4.40 S
CEREAL I D 6 5 6 3   4 4 (boyer jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 8.70  
PEACEMON 5 1 3 45   5 512 (taylor joseph)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 25.70  
KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS 3 6 4 6   6 613 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 54% 0.90 3.70  
LILYSGOTACLUE 1 3 2nk 7   711¾ 721 (mick r)LLOYD W 124 15.00 71.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.