Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/5)-(4/3/8/5/6)-(4/3/8/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/8/5)-(6/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8/5)-(6/3/7/8)-(1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/8)-(6/3/7/8/1)-(6/3/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/7/8)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/8)-(1/3)-(4/2/7/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/7/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/7/6/4)-(1/3/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/2/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/2/7/1)-(4/7/6/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/1)-(4/2/7/1/5)-(4/2/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/7/1)-(4/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/1)-(4/7/6/2)-(5/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2/1)-(4/7/6/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(5/4/2)-(3/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3)-(5/4/2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/7/6)-(3/2/4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHAKI JACK Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 Oct07 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
SCR  OSPREY Mar07 Feb13 Jan18 Dec21 Dec06 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 10.00    
3  MAGIC SPIN Feb16 Jan25 Dec30 Nov11 Oct16 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
4  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Feb18 Feb11 Dec30 Dec16 Nov27 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  HIGH HEAT Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 8% 12.20    
6  ZILLION Feb17 Feb06 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 ★    
7  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Feb21 Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 Nov27 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
8  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Feb24 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Nov16 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
 
PEN-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Feb24 Jan27 Dec13 Dec06 Nov15 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  NANA'S BOOPA Mar08 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 Jan16 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 122 6.00    
3  MISCHIEF MELODY Feb24 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Dec06 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 24% 3.10    
4  TALENTED TAPPER Feb09 Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Oct05 (harigeorgiou )TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
5  BO RUNKLE Feb24 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
6  IMAGISM Mar01 Feb15 Feb08 Jan25 Jan16 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 Jun25 (brown keith)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
8  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Mar01 Jan16 May11 Apr21 Mar05 (sanchez-pinero )RUIZ ELISEO 112 15.00 8% 12.00    
 
PEN-3   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 Oct24 Sep22 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
2  CAIRO BOOGIE Feb25 Feb10 Jan16 Jan11 Dec14 (demario charle)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
3  FORECLOSURE Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Nov25   (houghton )VARGAS L 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 Nov08 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★    
5  GERONIMO (CHI) Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec09 Jun02 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
6  JACK SLYE Feb15 Feb01 Dec28 Oct23 Sep30 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 ★    
7  THE MAN TO SEE Feb15 Feb01 Dec03 Oct23 Oct15 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE A. PLUS Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Dec06 Nov02 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 18.60    
2  COUSTEAU Feb17 Jan27 Dec20 Nov18 Sep04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 30% 2.30    
3  COOL COMEDIAN Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 Oct25 Aug23 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
4  CRUSH IT Feb02 Jan08 Nov02 Oct06 Jul15 (mcmahon dem)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 36% 1.70    
5  JONNY QUIST Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec07 Nov24 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  MARGIN OF AIR Jan18 Dec07 Nov14 Oct24 Sep26 (montoya m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
7  MEAN MACHINE Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.70    
8  WILL E SUTTON Mar03 Feb14 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.50    
 
PEN-5   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURELY SILVER Feb17 Feb01 May20 Apr27 Apr01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 ★    
2  ADMONISH Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 Nov12 Nov03 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 7% 12.90    
3  GONE DREAMING Feb01 Jan03 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00    
4  SAKARI Mar03 Feb22 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 43% 1.30    
5  ESTA CHUCK Feb02 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 Oct19 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 120 30.00    
6  PAYNT BY NUMBER Feb09 Jan11 Dec02 Oct19 Sep28 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 11% 7.90    
7  ALONG THE WAY Feb10 Dec30 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 17% 4.70    
8  HIDDEN SPRINGS Feb10 Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
9  FALSE RULING Mar01 Feb02 Jan18 Sep16 Aug31 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   03/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE IRISH Feb22 Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Oct11 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
2  OVER AND THUNDER Feb22 Jan13 Dec13 Nov02 Oct12 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  FACTOTUM Mar02 Feb09 Jan11 Dec20 Dec08 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 ★    
4  SAILOR SPEED Feb22 Jan18 Dec20 Dec02 Sep29 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  LTL BEAR SALOON Feb22 Jan13 Dec28 Dec02 Oct19 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
6  ONCE A GIANT Feb17 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 Oct14 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILYSGOTACLUE Feb10 Dec20       (mick r)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
2  HOPEFULLY ICU Feb10 Jan27       (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
3  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS Feb10 Jan27       (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
4  WIN FOR LAILA Feb10 Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Aug17 (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 7% 13.70    
5  PEACEMON Feb15 Feb07 Apr22 Apr06   (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 5.00    
6  CEREAL I D Mar09 Feb08 Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★    
7  SANTAFE EXPRESS Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.