Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   SFT (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3/8)-(5/6/4/3/8)-(5/6/4/3/8) 96 $0.10 $9.60  5-8-4-6 $11.39 $1.79 19%
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $13.00 $3.00 30%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND WISER 2 3 3 22 2½ 11 1 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 3.70  
VOUCH 1 2 1 12 1½ 21 2 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 49% 1.00 4.70 P
SICILIA MIKE 4 4 44 43 3 36 39 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 5% 17.20 1.70 S
OFF THE MEDS 5 5 6 66 66 510½ 411½ (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 4.50 10% 9.50 8.50  
PRETTY GOOD YEAR 3 6 5 5 4 410 518¼ (rubley kelly)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.10  
LTL BEAR SALOON 6 1 2 32 5 614½ 628¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.30 3.60  
SCR  MOTI               (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
 
PEN-2   02/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:133 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JADE'S DREAM 3 2 1nk 1 1 1 1 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 34% 1.90 0.60 W
PRATT 4 4 4 32 2 2 2 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 17% 5.00 6.80 P
SWEEPIN HARD 1 5 5 55 57 4 38 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 7.40  
SOUL STORY 2 3 3.2 42 44 3 411¼ (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 10.00 6% 14.90 12.00  
ANTE UP ALEX 5 1 2nk 2 34 5 513½ (wyner harold)OCASIO M 118 4.00 13% 6.80 2.40  
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS               (smith law)VARGAS L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:253   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIME TIME PLAYER 5 3 2½ 2nk 12 15 1 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 39% 1.60 0.40 W
SAILOR SPEED 8 8 8 56 35 35 2 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 12.80 P
OVER AND THUNDER 4 6 4 3½ 22 25 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 9.00 5.60 S
TURNS 6 2 55 77 710½ 510 411 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 15% 5.90 8.20  
VIOLENT PASS 3 4 3 4 4 49 511 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 9% 10.00 14.00  
HOLD THE IRISH 2 7 6 6 5 611 612¼ (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 15.60  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 7 5 76 88 811½ 711½ 713¾ (smith lawrenc)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 51.70  
ACT OF VALOR 1 1 1½ 1nk 610½ 818 827 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 26.00  
 
PEN-4   02/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:13 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 1 2 1½ 11 12 1½ 1½ (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 2.90  
BARISTA VIXEN 8 7 8 74 32 2½ 2½ (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 6% 14.80 6.40 P
ONE MORE KELLY 3 4 5 43 6 45 3½ (kulp brandon)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 6.00  
IRIE EMPRESS 5 6 6 8 8 56 4 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 44.10  
BONITA LASSIE 2 3 2½ 21 4 32 5 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 10.40  
ANNA ROCKS 4 5 4 5 5 67 6 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 18.40  
AMI'S LINK 7 8 7 64 7 78 7 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
JEANETTEO 6 1 31 3 22 810 811¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 27% 2.70 1.80  
SCR  ALWAYS A QUEEN               (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-5   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALERIE FIRST 3 4 22 22 2 2 1nk (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 5 1 12 12 1 1 2nk (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 7.90  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 6 6 56 44 43 3 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 6.00 8% 11.10 5.50 S
WICKED T 2 5 57 4 34 3 4 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 8.60  
CAR LADY 1 7 711 710 7 57 5 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 38% 1.60 1.70  
LAUGH IT OFF 6 2 33 34 5 7 68 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 10% 9.20 4.40  
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 7 3 4 66 68 6 712 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 6.20  
SCR  ISABELLA SMILE               (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA               (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
 
PEN-6   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:142 1:412   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAKARI 1 2 1 12 1 1 1 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 3.70  
TILTED TIARA 7 4 4 22 2 2 2 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 2.50 1.30 P
FUELED UP 3 1 3 4 3 38 3 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 7.80  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 2 7 69 5 4 48 410 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 17.90  
SIMPLE JUSTICE 4 6 710½ 7 612 511½ 511½ (mick r)LLOYD W 122 12.00 39.50  
CRIMSON LILLE 6 5 55 6 715 724½ 631¼ (deiter ke)VARGAS L 124 6.00 7.50  
FULL OF ATTITUDE 5 3 2 32 510 623½ 732¼ (zerpa gil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 67% 0.50 2.80  
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT               (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 3.00    
 
PEN-7   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:13 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELISHMENT 1 2 69 3 1 110 111¼ (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00 3.10  
WEEKEND IN COURT 6 7 811 8 69 411½ 211¼ (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 6.00 13.20  
POLITICAL 3 8 710 7 4 311 312 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 9% 9.70 3.40 S
CONTRAFLOW 4 1 2 4 3 210 413 (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 2.50 45% 1.20 2.30  
TRUE GOLD 8 4 32 2nk 2 512½ 518½ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 22% 3.60 4.40  
AXXERATOR 2 5 5 6 58 614½ 619 (maldonado j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 15.10  
MY MAN ELVIS 7 3 4 5 7 718½ 721 (flores-coba)RAMOS C 117 10.00 26.10  
COMPOUND IT 5 6 1 1nk 813¼ 831½ 839¼ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 12.00 10.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.