Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/5)-(4/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/5)-(4/5/7/2)-(5/6/4/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(5/6/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(5/6/4/3)-(6/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3/8)-(5/6/4/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/4/3)-(6/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/3)-(6/9/7)-(1/8/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/2)-(6/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/7)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7)-(1/8/6/4)-(5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/4)-(5)-(4/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/8/2/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/8/2/1)-(5/8/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5)-(4/8/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/1/7)-(4/8/3/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOUCH Feb08 Jan20 Nov29 Oct14 Sep08 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 49% 1.00    
2  GRAND WISER Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov15 Nov04 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  MOTI Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 Oct25 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 ★    
4  PRETTY GOOD YEAR Nov23 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 Jul22 (rubley kelly)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
5  SICILIA MIKE Jan27 Dec20 Nov25 Nov11 Oct28 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 5% 17.20    
6  OFF THE MEDS Feb14 Jan27 Jan06 Dec12 Nov15 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 124 4.50 10% 9.50    
7  LTL BEAR SALOON Jan13 Dec28 Dec02 Oct19 Oct07 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-2   02/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEEPIN HARD Jan26 Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 Sep22 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50    
2  SOUL STORY Feb09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 10.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  TUCKERTON BAY Feb09 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
4  JADE'S DREAM Feb10 Jan26 Jan14 Dec18 Dec10 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
5  PRATT Jan26 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  WORLD OF FOOLS Jan21 Jan04 Dec11 Dec01 Nov19 (smith law)VARGAS L 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ANTE UP ALEX Jan31 Jan23 Dec19 Sep05 Aug16 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
PEN-3   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT OF VALOR Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 Oct12 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
2  HOLD THE IRISH Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Oct11 May19 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
3  VIOLENT PASS Feb09 Jan20 Dec09 Nov23 Nov09 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
4  OVER AND THUNDER Jan13 Dec13 Nov02 Oct12   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 10% 9.00    
5  PRIME TIME PLAYER Jan18 Nov29 Nov01 Oct07 Jun16 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
6  TURNS Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 Nov09 Oct18 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER Feb18 Jan15 Dec21 Nov25 Nov13 (smith lawrence)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
8  SAILOR SPEED Jan18 Dec20 Dec02 Sep29 Sep11 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   02/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jan19 Nov01 Oct13 Aug29 Jul08 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
2  BONITA LASSIE Jan16 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
3  ONE MORE KELLY Feb07 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Sep26 (kulp brandon)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
4  ANNA ROCKS Jan18 Nov30 Jul22 Jun30 May20 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
5  IRIE EMPRESS Dec20 Dec07 Nov04 Oct25 Oct05 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00    
6  JEANETTEO Jan27 Dec28 Nov29 Apr29 Apr07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  AMI'S LINK Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 Nov19 Nov03 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS A QUEEN Jan15 Dec07 Nov15     (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
9  BARISTA VIXEN Dec07 Oct14 Sep15 Aug24 Aug04 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 6% 14.80    
 
PEN-5   02/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAR LADY Feb02 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 Oct05 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 38% 1.60    
2  WICKED T Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Nov01 Oct19 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
SCR  TEACHER DRAMA Feb02 Jan11 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 (sells rache)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
4  VALERIE FIRST Jan25 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 Oct17 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ISABELLA SMILE Jan30 Jan04 Dec20 Nov21 Nov02 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 4.50 16% 5.40    
6  MIKEY'S JEWEL Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Dec07 Nov15 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 6.00 8% 11.10    
7  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Feb02 Oct28 Oct04 Sep23 Aug12 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
8  LAUGH IT OFF Feb02 Jan12 Dec13 Nov08 Oct05 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.50 10% 9.20    
9  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Dec27 Dec13 Oct28 Sep15 Aug24 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAKARI Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 ★    
2  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep23 Aug18 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 15.00 ★    
3  FUELED UP Jan19 Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 Aug31 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
4  SIMPLE JUSTICE Dec06 Nov09 Oct11 Sep23 Aug19 (mick r)LLOYD W 122 12.00    
5  FULL OF ATTITUDE Jan19 Nov26 Jun11     (zerpa gil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 67% 0.50    
6  CRIMSON LILLE Jan25 Jan11 Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 (deiter ke)VARGAS L 124 6.00    
SCR  DARE TO BE GREAT Feb10 Dec02 Oct18 Aug15 Jul25 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 3.00 ★    
8  TILTED TIARA Feb08 Dec28 Nov21 Nov13 Oct08 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   02/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELISHMENT Feb06 Jan20 Jan09 Dec05 Nov23 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 6.00 ★    
2  AXXERATOR Feb10 Jan22 Dec10 Nov27 Nov21 (maldonado j)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
3  POLITICAL Jan20 Nov29 Sep27 Sep19 Aug29 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 9% 9.70    
4  CONTRAFLOW Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 Aug26 Aug05 (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  COMPOUND IT Jan12 Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 Oct03 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
6  WEEKEND IN COURT Feb06 Jan23 Jan12 Jan03 Dec21 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 6.00    
7  MY MAN ELVIS Feb06 Jan10 Dec21 Dec13 Nov23 (flores-coba)RAMOS C 117 10.00 ★    
8  TRUE GOLD Feb02 Jan18 Dec09 Nov22 Nov14 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.