The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - February 10, 2023

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PEN-1   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
:234 :48 1:134 1:27   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL SUCCESS 1 6 4 4 2nk 112 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.20 W
PRECIOUS AVARY 5 2 3 3 31 222 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00 15.50  
AFRICAN ANGEL 8 3 2½ 2½ 1nk 33(houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 36.20  
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 2 4 54 6 4 446 (lake a)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 3.50  
DOCTOR ABBIE 3 8 8 7 6 559 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 14.80  
I CAME TO DANCE 7 7 6 8 7 613½ 623¾ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
FILTERED LIGHT 6 5 7 54 5 714½ 729¼ (lynch cathal)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 23% 3.40 3.00  
LADY LIGHTFEET 4 1 1½ 1½ 8 826½ 852¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 46% 1.20 4.50  
 
PEN-2   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
:242 :483 1:134 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER CATCH 4 2 2nk 1nk 1 11 1(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 59% 0.70 1.80 W
MEAN MACHINE 5 6 6 6 4 21 2(kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 2.50 11% 8.00 2.70 P
UNCLE YUDI 2 5 4 5 5 35 3(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 8.30  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 1 3 1nk 2nk 3 47 412 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 3.50  
CHARGING LION 3 4 5 3 2 5517¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 7.60  
A T M AWESOME 6 1 3 4 6 617½ 634¼ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 6.10  
 
PEN-3   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
:241 :49 1:144 1:424   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PSYCHE 3 6 42 4 1½ 14 13 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 18% 4.60 3.00 W
DARE TO BE GREAT 6 4 21 21 33 35 23 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 6.00 13.40 P
ALONG THE WAY 4 3 5 6 66 46 3(johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.00 S
BACKSTREET GAL 1 2 3 3 55 54(milosevic m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 3.10  
HIDDEN SPRINGS 5 1 11 11 2½ 24 5(ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 17% 5.00 4.40  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 5 6 52 4 611½ 618 (sells rachel)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 10% 9.30 5.90  
 
PEN-4   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
:223 :462 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH STRIKE 4 3 1½ 1½   12 1(wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 33% 2.10 0.60 W
ROCK ANNA ROLL 6 1 2½ 2½   22 2(stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 18% 4.60 4.30 P
FIERCE AND STRONG 1 5 54 58   43(farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 10.40 S
MIGHTY MINION 5 2 3 36   37 4(graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 22% 3.60 5.20  
BEJUCO 3 4 4 47   69 5(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 8.80  
RECKLESS JONES 2 6 65 68   59 6(stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00 21.90  
SCR  SHARP STYLE               (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 20.00    
 
PEN-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:49
:23 :472 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 3 1 1nk 2nk   1½ 1(wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 9.30  
FOREVER FIFI 5 4 6 4   44 2(zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 4.90  
NANASQUAN 9 7 53 33   34 33 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 51% 1.00 1.60 S
OBER DARE 7 9 8 6   54(crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 7.30  
SUPER MONEY 1 6 2nk 1nk   2½ 5(schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 5.40  
Z KITTY 2 5 7 710¼   669 (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00 19.00  
SCARLET WARRIOR 8 8 911¼ 917¾   812 7(kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 16% 5.20 6.70  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 4 3 3½ 56   7813½ (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 6.00 6% 14.60 11.90  
ZIV 6 2 41 816¼   927 939¾ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00 37.40  
 
PEN-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
:224 :473 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLEY'S SONG 6 2 5 3.2   2nk 1¼ (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 2.90 W
HOPEFULLY ICU 5 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 39.40  
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 9 7 8 2nk   3.2 3(maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 5% 19.00 1.30 S
KRONE 2 8 6 7   44(shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00 7.70  
WIN FOR LAILA 4 5 7 5   55(zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 21% 3.80 8.70  
HIGH CLASS DIVA 8 1 2nk 4¾   6613½ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 10.90  
KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS 3 6 31 6   7715 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 49% 1.00 5.20  
HOLLI THE DOLLY 1 9 9 911¼   812¾ 815¾ (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 124 15.00 46.80  
LILYSGOTACLUE 7 4 4 810¼   915¾ 925¼ (mick r)LLOYD W 124 15.00 70.50  
 
PEN-7   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
:233 :471 1:121 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE JAY 6 4 2½ 11 12 11¼ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 22% 3.50 0.70 W
CONDITION ONE 7 1 31 3 22 22¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 4.60  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 4 2 4 43 3 33(synnefias dim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 15.90  
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 8 5 6 67 6 446 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 21.20  
LINGFIELD PARK 2 3 1½ 21 44 5512 (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 9.30  
FRIENDLY FELLA 1 6 5 53 5 610 612 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9% 9.80 10.60  
DEVOTED KITTEN 3 7 77 7 711½ 713 713 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 40.60  
OUR LUCKY MAN 5 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 39% 1.50 5.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.