Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - February 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (9/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (3/4/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-7   Win (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   02/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL SUCCESS Jan20 Dec21       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S RANSOM Jan24 Dec12 Oct24 Sep29 Sep20 (lake a)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
DOCTOR ABBIE Jan20 Dec27       (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
LADY LIGHTFEET Jan20 Dec14       (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
PRECIOUS AVARY Nov29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11   (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
FILTERED LIGHT Jan21 Dec12 Oct26     (lynch cathal)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
I CAME TO DANCE Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 Nov08 Oct14 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
AFRICAN ANGEL Dec14 Oct14       (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL MOORHEAD Jan19 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep16 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
UNCLE YUDI Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 Oct28 Oct11 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
CHARGING LION Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
SOUPER CATCH Jan18 Dec01 Nov12 Oct01 Aug19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
MEAN MACHINE Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Oct01 Aug30 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
A T M AWESOME Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov02 Oct11 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
 
PEN-3   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSTREET GAL Jan16 Dec31 Dec09 Nov05 Oct07 (milosevic m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
HIGHWAY QUEEN Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct25 (sells rachel)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 10% 9.30    
PSYCHE Dec28 Dec10 Dec02 Nov09 Oct25 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 18% 4.60    
ALONG THE WAY Dec30 Nov29 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
HIDDEN SPRINGS Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
DARE TO BE GREAT Dec02 Oct18 Aug15 Jul25 Jun29 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCE AND STRONG Jan02 Oct18 Sep22     (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
RECKLESS JONES Jan25         (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00    
BEJUCO Jan12 Nov29 Nov09     (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00    
HIGH STRIKE Jan25 Dec02 Nov09     (wames j)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
MIGHTY MINION Jan13 Dec02 Nov09     (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  SHARP STYLE Jan25 Jan13       (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 20.00    
ROCK ANNA ROLL Jan25         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-5   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER MONEY Jan15         (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50    
Z KITTY Jan20 Dec27       (mick r)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 Oct21   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Dec14 Nov15 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 6.00 6% 14.60    
FOREVER FIFI Dec02         (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
ZIV Jan20         (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
OBER DARE Jan20 Dec07 Nov12 Oct01 Sep18 (crane clovi)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
SCARLET WARRIOR Jan20         (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
NANASQUAN Dec27 Dec07 Oct21 Sep11 Jul31 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
PEN-6   02/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLI THE DOLLY Jan27 Jan13       (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 124 15.00    
KRONE Jan26 Dec11 Nov26 Nov02   (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 124 5.00    
KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS Jan27         (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
WIN FOR LAILA Jan26 Jan11 Dec20 Aug17 Aug05 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
HOPEFULLY ICU Jan27         (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00    
SHELLEY'S SONG         (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LILYSGOTACLUE Dec20         (mick r)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
HIGH CLASS DIVA Jan26 Dec27 Nov22 Oct21   (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
LORDHEARMYPRAYER Feb01 Jan13 Jan01 Dec15 Nov25 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   02/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRIENDLY FELLA Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 Oct16 Sep03 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9% 9.80    
LINGFIELD PARK Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 Aug24 (schoenthal phi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50    
DEVOTED KITTEN Jan25 Jan06 Dec06 Nov18 Oct21 (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ SUGAR BANK Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 Nov11 Oct11 (synnefias dim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
OUR LUCKY MAN Jan18 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Oct16 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00 39% 1.50    
DEE JAY Jan13         (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
CONDITION ONE Jan11 Dec07 Aug22 Aug05   (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jan11 Dec16 Nov16 Oct25 Oct07 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.