Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-2   EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $36.80 $12.80 53%
PEN-3   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.80 $3.80 48%
PEN-5   TRI (4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00  5-4-10 $69.60 $9.60 16%
    SFT (4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-4-10-3 $17.75 $5.75 48%
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/3/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $14.60 $4.60 46%
    EXA (6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-4 $50.80 $10.80 27%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHATTER ME 6 1 1nk 11   13 14¾ (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 5.20  
7  SIMPLE SOUVENIR 7 7 73¾ 63¼   54½ 24¾ (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 13% 6.60 5.70 P
2  SERENE WARRIOR 2 4 52¾ 42   43½ 35¼ (jacklin theodora )CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 8% 11.50 27.30 S
4  POSITIVE FORCE 4 5 32 32   33½ 46 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 14% 6.20 8.10  
3  MELODIOUS SINGER 3 2 2nk 21   23 57½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.20  
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN 1 3 63¼ 76¾   78½ 610 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 9.70  
5  REITERATE 5 6 42¼ 52¼   65½ 714 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 11% 8.50 3.60  
 
PEN-2   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUCKY LEWIS 3 3 1½ 11½   12½ 1¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 2.00 48% 1.10 0.80 W
1  HE'S FANCY FREE 1 7 45½ 43   22½ 2¼ (albright r)FLORES E 123 8.00 17% 5.00 21.40 P
8  QUINCY ADAMS 8 8 810½ 77   35½ 34¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00 2.90  
2  BARN SWALLOW 2 2 32 32   46½ 410¼ (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 ★ 3.90  
5  ROUND ROBIN 5 5 78½ 65   610½ 513½ (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 ★ 15.60  
6  J W RUNTOTHEBANK 6 1 2½ 21½   58½ 613½ (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 44.30  
7  GREATEST WARRIOR 7 6 68½ 53½   715½ 725¼ (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00 49.30  
4  GRILLO 4 4 56½ 810   819½ 826 (carpio er)VARGAS L 123 6.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
PEN-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIZZIES RED VELVET 3 1 2nk 1nk   12½ 14 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 6% 16.40 4.90 W
7  DUST BUNNY 4 2 44 41¾   22½ 24 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00 4.10  
4  LUCKY BREEZE 2 4 31 31½   43½ 34¾ (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 114 5.00 ★ 2.70 S
2  SCOREBOARD LILY 1 3 1nk 2nk   33 47¼ (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 42% 1.40 0.80  
8  CEREAL I D 5 5 54½ 54¼   55 58 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 21.30  
SCR  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE               (clarke d)DAVIS A 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  PERSWAYMEAGAIN               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  WINE GODDESS               (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
PEN-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEFI 1 7 51¾ 31   1½ 14¼ (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★ 7.80  
2  GANDI 2 1 3½ 41¼   2½ 24¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.40 P
4  CASH IN A FLASH 4 4 1nk 11   31 35 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 10% 9.30 3.80 S
5  AGGRANDIZE 5 2 2nk 21   44½ 48¼ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 ★ 11.40  
7  TUCKERTON BAY 7 8 88¾ 87¼   79½ 58½ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 12.60  
3  SPOOKY ONE 3 6 62¾ 53¾   56½ 610 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 31.50  
8  RACING IN THE RAIN 8 5 75¼ 76¾   69 711 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 10.30  
6  FLAG 6 3 4¾ 66¼   813 821 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50  
 
PEN-5   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  U U STAR 5 4 22 12   15 17¾ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 17% 4.80 1.70 W
4  DIXIE CANNONBALL 4 6 44 34   25 27¾ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 37% 1.70 7.10 P
10  TIZ HANDSOME 9 1 12 22   35½ 311½ (albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
3  DREAMERS REWARD 3 2 34 48   410½ 412¼ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 11% 8.30 2.50  
2  TUCKABUCKAWAY 2 8 811¼ 710½   611½ 513 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 120 30.00 59.60  
1  THE LITTLE SPROUT 1 3 66¾ 58½   511 614¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 15.10  
6  CALLYOURIGHTBACK 6 9 77¼ 812½   714½ 719 (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00 53.60  
9  PRINCIPALITY 8 7 914¼ 916½   924½ 826¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 78.60  
7  COMPASS CAY 7 5 54¼ 69   820½ 927 (dominguez mario)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 10% 9.10 6.30  
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
 
PEN-6   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:16 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DARE TO BE GREAT 5 1 21 22 1½ 13 14 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 5.00 14% 6.00 6.30 W
4  UNCAPTURED GRACE 4 4 46 34 43½ 34 24 (lucas bonni)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.00 17% 4.90 3.30 P
2  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 2 6 610½ 68½ 33½ 23 34 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 19.70  
3  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 3 5 56½ 55½ 54½ 44½ 47¾ (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50 17% 5.00 5.30  
1  FUELED UP 1 2 34 44½ 64¾ 55 58½ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50 16.50  
6  TILTED TIARA 6 3 11 12 2½ 66 619½ (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 22% 3.50 0.70  
 
PEN-7   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HAIR OF THE DOG 6 1 34 3½   2½ 1½ (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 4.60  
3  DROSSELMOON 3 4 22 2nk   1½ 2½ (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 19% 4.10 0.70 P
6  MY DEVILS CHILD 5 3 55½ 44   35 33¼ (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
1  PECOS BILL 1 5 44 54¼   46 45¾ (bartoni wayn)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 15.00 ★ 10.80  
4  MR. SKITTLES 4 6 69½ 66¼   68½ 511¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
2  WHO YOU SAY I AM 2 2 12 1nk   58 617 (smith r)FLORES E 124 20.00 34.90  
SCR  FAST CASH               (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.