Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $12.40  
PEN-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-3   Win (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
PEN-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $17.60  
PEN-5   Win (4/5/3/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
PEN-6   Win (6/4/3/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 4.60
PEN-7   Win (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME 6 1 1nk 11   13 1 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 5.20  
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 7 7 7 6   5 2 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 13% 6.60 5.70 P
SERENE WARRIOR 2 4 5 42   4 3 (jacklin s)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 8% 11.50 27.30 S
POSITIVE FORCE 4 5 32 32   3 46 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 14% 6.20 8.10  
MELODIOUS SINGER 3 2 2nk 21   23 5 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.30 1.20  
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 1 3 6 7   7 610 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 9.70  
REITERATE 5 6 4 5   6 714 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 11% 8.50 3.60  
 
PEN-2   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:231 :483 1:02     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LEWIS 3 3 1½ 1   1 1¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 2.00 48% 1.10 0.80 W
HE'S FANCY FREE 1 7 4 43   2 2¼ (albright r)FLORES E 123 8.00 17% 5.00 21.40 P
QUINCY ADAMS 8 8 810½ 77   3 3 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00 2.90  
BARN SWALLOW 2 2 32 32   4 410¼ (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 3.90  
ROUND ROBIN 5 5 7 65   610½ 513½ (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 15.60  
J W RUNTOTHEBANK 6 1 2½ 2   5 613½ (cifarelli fra)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 44.30  
GREATEST WARRIOR 7 6 6 5   715½ 725¼ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00 49.30  
GRILLO 4 4 5 810   819½ 826 (carpio erin)VARGAS L 123 6.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
PEN-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIZZIES RED VELVET 3 1 2nk 1nk   1 14 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 6% 16.40 4.90 W
DUST BUNNY 4 2 44 4   2 24 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 12.00 4.10  
LUCKY BREEZE 2 4 31 3   4 3 (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 114 5.00 2.70 S
SCOREBOARD LILY 1 3 1nk 2nk   33 4 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 42% 1.40 0.80  
CEREAL I D 5 5 5 5   55 58 (boyer jr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00 21.30  
SCR  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE               (clarke dyl)DAVIS A 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  PERSWAYMEAGAIN               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  WINE GODDESS               (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
 
PEN-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEFI 1 7 5 31   1½ 1 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 7.80  
GANDI 2 1 3½ 4   2½ 2 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.40 P
CASH IN A FLASH 4 4 1nk 11   31 35 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 10% 9.30 3.80 S
AGGRANDIZE 5 2 2nk 21   4 4 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 11.40  
TUCKERTON BAY 7 8 8 8   7 5 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 12.60  
SPOOKY ONE 3 6 6 5   5 610 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 31.50  
RACING IN THE RAIN 8 5 7 7   69 711 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00 10.30  
FLAG 6 3 4¾ 6   813 821 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.50  
 
PEN-5   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U U STAR 5 4 22 12   15 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 17% 4.80 1.70 W
DIXIE CANNONBALL 4 6 44 34   25 2 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 37% 1.70 7.10 P
10  TIZ HANDSOME 9 1 12 22   3 311½ (albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
DREAMERS REWARD 3 2 34 48   410½ 412¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 11% 8.30 2.50  
TUCKABUCKAWAY 2 8 811¼ 710½   611½ 513 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 120 30.00 59.60  
THE LITTLE SPROUT 1 3 6 5   511 614¼ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 15.10  
CALLYOURIGHTBACK 6 9 7 812½   714½ 719 (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00 53.60  
PRINCIPALITY 8 7 914¼ 916½   924½ 826¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 78.60  
COMPASS CAY 7 5 5 69   820½ 927 (dominguez a)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 10% 9.10 6.30  
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
 
PEN-6   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:16 1:293   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO BE GREAT 5 1 21 22 1½ 13 14 (grusmark karl)INIRIO J 122 5.00 14% 6.00 6.30 W
UNCAPTURED GRACE 4 4 46 34 4 34 24 (lucas bonnie)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.00 17% 4.90 3.30 P
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 2 6 610½ 6 3 23 34 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 19.70  
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 (linder j)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.50 17% 5.00 5.30  
FUELED UP 1 2 34 4 6 55 5 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50 16.50  
TILTED TIARA 6 3 11 12 2½ 66 619½ (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 22% 3.50 0.70  
 
PEN-7   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAIR OF THE DOG 6 1 34 3½   2½ 1½ (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 4.60  
DROSSELMOON 3 4 22 2nk   1½ 2½ (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 19% 4.10 0.70 P
MY DEVILS CHILD 5 3 5 44   35 3 (lucas bonnie)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
PECOS BILL 1 5 44 5   46 4 (bartoni wayne )HADDOCK DEXTER 119 15.00 10.80  
MR. SKITTLES 4 6 6 6   6 511¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
WHO YOU SAY I AM 2 2 12 1nk   58 617 (smith r)FLORES E 124 20.00 34.90  
SCR  FAST CASH               (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.