Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/4/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5/2)-(3/4/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5/2)-(3/4/7/5/2)-(3/4/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5/2)-(3/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5/2)-(3/1/4)-(2/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/5/4/2)-(3/1/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/6)-(6/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(6/2/4)-(4/5/3/7/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/1/5)-(6/2/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(4/5/3/7/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(4/5/3/7/10)-(6/4/3/5/1) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/5/3/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10)-(4/5/3/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7/10)-(6/4/3/5/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/7/10)-(6/4/3/5/1)-(6/3/4) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/3/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1)-(6/4/3/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5/1)-(6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
2  SERENE WARRIOR Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 Oct24 Oct10 (jacklin theodor)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
3  MELODIOUS SINGER Feb09 Jan25 Dec28 Dec03 Oct19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  POSITIVE FORCE Feb09 Jan19 Dec28 Nov29 Oct14 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
5  REITERATE Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Nov23 Oct21 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
6  SHATTER ME Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50    
7  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-2   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S FANCY FREE         (albright r)FLORES E 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
2  BARN SWALLOW Feb02 Dec02       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.50 ★    
3  LUCKY LEWIS Feb02         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
4  GRILLO Jan11         (carpio er)VARGAS L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROUND ROBIN Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct28   (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 ★    
6  J W RUNTOTHEBANK Feb24 Feb02       (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00    
7  GREATEST WARRIOR Feb16 Jan25       (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00    
8  QUINCY ADAMS Feb24 Feb02       (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 123 8.00    
 
PEN-3   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERSWAYMEAGAIN Feb11         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 124 8.00    
2  SCOREBOARD LILY Feb01 Jan13 Oct05 Sep16 Aug18 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Jan26 Jul18 Feb12 Jan14   (clarke d)DAVIS A 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  LUCKY BREEZE Jan24 Dec20 Dec07     (arce josue)RUIZ ELISEO 114 5.00 ★    
SCR  WINE GODDESS Feb17 Feb02 Jan20 Dec29 Dec02 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 10% 9.20    
6  LIZZIES RED VELVET         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124 15.00 6% 16.40    
7  DUST BUNNY Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Dec14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
8  CEREAL I D Feb08 Jan26 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 (boyer david )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 20.00    
 
PEN-4   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEFI Feb16 Jan25 Oct03 Sep10 Sep03 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 ★    
2  GANDI Feb16 Jan25 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
3  SPOOKY ONE Feb17 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
4  CASH IN A FLASH Feb01 Jan01 Nov19 Oct08 Aug07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 10% 9.30    
5  AGGRANDIZE Feb16 Jan13 Nov29 Nov18 Nov02 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 ★    
6  FLAG Jan17 Dec20 Nov29 Oct25 Aug02 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  TUCKERTON BAY Feb09 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
8  RACING IN THE RAIN Feb16 Jan18 Dec28 Nov27 Nov18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
 
PEN-5   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LITTLE SPROUT Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
2  TUCKABUCKAWAY Feb17 Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Aug29 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 120 30.00    
3  DREAMERS REWARD Feb23 Feb09 Jan20 Dec02 Sep08 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 2.50 11% 8.30    
4  DIXIE CANNONBALL Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Sep19 Aug04 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  U U STAR Feb16 Jan12 Dec02 Nov16 Oct14 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Feb23 Feb09 Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 30.00    
7  COMPASS CAY Jan29 Dec31 Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 (dominguez mario)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00    
9  PRINCIPALITY Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
10  TIZ HANDSOME Feb09 Dec09 Nov09 Oct25 Oct04 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   03/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUELED UP Feb22 Jan19 Nov30 Nov16 Oct28 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
2  BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Feb22 Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep23 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
3  DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Feb15 Jan25 Dec08 Nov26 Nov10 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  UNCAPTURED GRACE Feb24 Feb16 Jan27 Nov12 Aug28 (lucas bonni)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 2.00 17% 4.90    
5  DARE TO BE GREAT Feb10 Dec02 Oct18 Aug15 Jul25 (grusmark ka)INIRIO J 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
6  TILTED TIARA Feb22 Feb08 Dec28 Nov21 Nov13 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-7   03/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PECOS BILL Feb08 Dec27 Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 (bartoni wayn)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00 ★    
2  WHO YOU SAY I AM Feb23 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Aug04 (smith r)CORA D 124 20.00    
3  DROSSELMOON Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.40 19% 4.10    
4  MR. SKITTLES Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 Oct11 Sep15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FAST CASH Feb02 Dec09 Oct01 Sep08 Aug20 (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
6  MY DEVILS CHILD Feb08 Jan19 Dec30 Nov23 Oct28 (lucas bonni)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  HAIR OF THE DOG Feb02 Jan12 Nov05 Sep25 Aug28 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.