Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-4 $34.00 $10.00 42%
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-4-7 $68.00 $32.00 89%
    SFT (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-4-7-3 $32.87 $25.67 357%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 2 5 4 21   12 1 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 23% 3.40 3.20 W
CHEROKEE PARTY 3 3 1nk 11   22 2 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 14% 6.30 1.70 P
FOLK HERO 4 1 2nk 3   35 3 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60 1.90  
RISQUE'S JEWEL 1 4 5 5   5 4 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 110 15.00 5% 17.30 13.30  
HAY NINETEEN 5 2 3 4   4 58 (ferreira fernan)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.20 4.00  
SCR  SENSON               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-2   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY LAD 7 1 21 2½   1nk 11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 25% 3.00 1.40 W
DREAMERS REWARD 5 2 11 1½   2nk 21 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 8% 11.10 3.80 P
DIXIE CANNONBALL 4 5 5 42   3 3 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 18% 4.70 2.90 S
FRANK N DUCKY 2 3 3 32   44 4 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 110 20.00 25.90  
MYSTIC POINT 1 4 75 7   57 5 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 5.00 17% 4.80 5.80  
THE LITTLE SPROUT 3 8 8 86   7 611¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 8.30  
CALLYOURIGHTBACK 8 6 4 53   68 712 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 48.70  
BOOM BOOM KABOOM 6 7 6 65   89 816¼ (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 120 30.00 6% 14.50 34.80  
SCR  SUTTON VALLEY               (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
 
PEN-3   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRODIX 5 2 2½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 11.50  
JUST GOT STARTED 2 6 31 2½   2nk 2¾ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10 1.10 P
JUMP FOR THE WIN 8 4 52 32   34 3 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 11.60  
ON THE RIM 7 5 6 53   4 4 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 9% 10.20 25.30  
PERSISTENT DANGER 9 1 7 65   5 5 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 1.90  
FREEDOM'S START 6 8 8 8   6 611¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 30.00 71.20  
NICHOLAS JAMES 3 9 910¾ 913¼   912¾ 714 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 12% 7.10 8.60  
RED DEVOLUTION 4 3 1½ 42   710¼ 815¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
BORN HAPPY 1 7 42 7   811¼ 916 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00 18.00  
 
PEN-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATHENA BEACH 6 3 1nk 1   13 1 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 25% 3.00 3.30 W
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
FREYDIS 4 2 32 2   23 2 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 3.50 P
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
I'M HEADING EAST 7 1 2nk 32   34 3 (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 5.20 S
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
MORGANS COVE 3 7 6 59   412 413¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70 7.10  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
NEWSDLEY 2 4 55 4   513½ 518½ (sinnefia paul)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 14% 6.30 8.40  
  (by HERE'S ZEALOUS out of NICE MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
WEST ABBOTT 8 5 4 69   615½ 620½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 2.30  
  (by HIGHLAND REEL out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
OUT OF AMMO 5 8 810 814½   718½ 721 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 20.20  
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
DREAMINGOFROYALTY 1 6 7 714   821½ 829¾ (agnew naois)INIRIO J 122 15.00 41.60  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of QUEEN AMIRA (GB) by FORESTRY)
 
PEN-5   02/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:214 :452 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAR ON THE BEACH 5 1 14 16   110 1 (flores-coba)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 4.00 2.60  
DANCIN IN DUBAI 4 8 710 714   511½ 2 (brown kelto)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 2.70 P
SCYNTZ 3 5 4 4   411 310¾ (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 122 50.00 50.50  
KNOCKDOWN KID 8 2 34 3   210 411¼ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 30.00 65.80  
BAILEY COFFEE 1 6 67 511½   612 511¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 16% 5.20 7.60  
ABHAR 2 3 24 26   310 613¼ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 37.00  
10  BORN FOR VICTORY 9 4 5 612   713 717¼ (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00 55% 0.80 1.30  
LIONESQUE 6 9 912 816   816 817¾ (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.00  
NOTORIOUS REY 7 7 811 917½   920 923¾ (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00 72.80  
SCR  ADY'S MUNNY               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
SCR  FRANCIS X.               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
SCR  MANUKA BOBBY               (soto- martin)ORTIZ JONATHAN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:144 1:281   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUSHEMUP 1 1 11 11 11 12 1 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 31% 2.20 0.80 W
KRONE 5 4 21 21 21 22 2 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 2.40  
SANTAFE EXPRESS 4 2 3 35 36 36 3 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 17.30 32.20 S
SKIPOVER 3 5 5 4 48 49 4 (cooper stac)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 7.10  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 2 3 4 57 58 59 5 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 3.70  
SCR  BABY BLUE               (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 29% 2.40    
 
PEN-7   02/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CALCULATED THINKIN 9 3 41 2   1nk 1 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 20% 4.10 1.30 W
E T'S CANDY MAN 6 7 54 4   32 2 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 124 6.00 4.50 P
EQUAL JUSTICE 8 2 1½ 1   2nk 3 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 4.20  
TOWN JAK 3 4 6 6   56 47 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 14% 6.40 12.70  
BOX OF JOE 5 8 7 79   68 5 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 30.00 34.20  
MR. SKITTLES 2 9 912¼ 914   8 611¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 79.60  
SPEEDY MOONLITE 7 1 2½ 3   45 712 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.00 33% 2.10 5.40  
POINTER 1 5 31 5   7 812¼ (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50 9.50  
WHO YOU SAY I AM 4 6 8 811   912¾ 918¼ (smith r)AGUILAR M 124 20.00 22.40  
SCR  TIZANOXBOW               (mccaslin john)BOWMAN ADAM 124 30.00    
SCR  TORAZO               (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 11% 8.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.